Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:32.703298+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Florida State | ACC | 11-0 | 1 | 25.8 | 21.64 | 13.64 | 9.74 | 1.26 |
| 2 | Virginia Tech | Big East | 10-0 | 1 | 24.92 | 31.5 | 7.83 | 9.66 | 0.34 |
| 3 | Marshall | Mid-American | 10-0 | 1 | 24.58 | 27.3 | 6.67 | 9.57 | 0.43 |
| 4 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.3 | 24.2 | 12.16 | 9.37 | -0.37 |
| 5 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.15 | 26.27 | 9.87 | 10.25 | -0.25 |
| 6 | Florida | SEC | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.37 | 14.64 | 13.52 | 8.81 | 0.19 |
| 7 | Alabama | SEC | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.34 | 7.91 | 16.65 | 7.54 | 1.46 |
| 8 | Texas | Big 12 | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.17 | 17.82 | 11.85 | 8.96 | 0.04 |
| 9 | Michigan | Big Ten | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.15 | 10.27 | 14.32 | 8.06 | 0.94 |
| 10 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.15 | 11.82 | 13.7 | 8.33 | 0.67 |
| 11 | Tennessee | SEC | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.99 | 15.7 | 14.29 | 8.42 | -0.42 |
| 12 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.81 | 22.45 | 8.68 | 10.05 | -1.05 |
| 13 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.24 | 11.09 | 8.46 | 8.34 | 0.66 |
| 14 | Mississippi State | SEC | 8-2 | 0.8 | 19.99 | 8.6 | 10.26 | 7.7 | 0.3 |
| 15 | Louisiana Tech | FBS Independents | 8-2 | 0.8 | 19.93 | 10.9 | 9.33 | 6.96 | 1.04 |
| 16 | Penn State | Big Ten | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.71 | 13.25 | 13.84 | 9.28 | -0.28 |
| 17 | Boston College | Big East | 8-2 | 0.8 | 18.88 | 4.7 | 6.39 | 6.18 | 1.82 |
| 18 | Utah | Mountain West | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.84 | 15.36 | 11.05 | 8.97 | -0.97 |
| 19 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.71 | 16 | 9.89 | 9.26 | -1.26 |
| 20 | BYU | Mountain West | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.66 | 9.27 | 11.67 | 7.75 | 0.25 |
| 21 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.64 | 12.55 | 10.71 | 8.82 | -0.82 |
| 22 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.56 | 11.09 | 10.8 | 7.82 | 0.18 |
| 23 | Boise State | Big West | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.4 | 12.5 | 6.18 | 9.07 | -0.07 |
| 24 | Arkansas | SEC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.31 | 14.3 | 12.5 | 8.07 | -1.07 |
| 25 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.09 | 11.2 | 11.54 | 6.87 | 0.13 |
| 26 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18 | 10.6 | 11.64 | 7.39 | -0.39 |
| 27 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.85 | 6.4 | 13.38 | 6.42 | 0.58 |
| 28 | Ole Miss | SEC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.79 | 9.6 | 10.21 | 7.34 | -0.34 |
| 29 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.65 | 6.4 | 11.91 | 6.41 | 0.59 |
| 30 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.47 | 5.9 | 11.1 | 6.02 | 0.98 |
| 31 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 8-3 | 0.73 | 17.16 | 2.18 | 8.34 | 5.98 | 2.02 |
| 32 | Georgia | SEC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.01 | 2.6 | 11.43 | 5.62 | 1.38 |
| 33 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.86 | 11 | 8.43 | 8.67 | -0.67 |
| 34 | Purdue | Big Ten | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.63 | 7.45 | 13.92 | 7.14 | -0.14 |
| 35 | Illinois | Big Ten | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.34 | 6.45 | 12.5 | 7.06 | -0.06 |
| 36 | Louisville | Conference USA | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.19 | 7.36 | 9.92 | 6.9 | 0.1 |
| 37 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.06 | 6.91 | 9.24 | 7.15 | -0.15 |
| 38 | Washington | Pac-10 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.94 | 3 | 13.27 | 6.23 | 0.77 |
| 39 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.9 | 16.6 | 10.09 | 8.11 | -2.11 |
| 40 | Miami | Big East | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.89 | 11 | 13.22 | 7.44 | -1.44 |
| 41 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.75 | 6.45 | 7.96 | 7.01 | -0.01 |
| 42 | Virginia | ACC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.7 | 2 | 13.27 | 5.96 | 1.04 |
| 43 | Houston | Conference USA | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.56 | 3.91 | 9 | 6.69 | 0.31 |
| 44 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.42 | 3.18 | 7.98 | 6.2 | 0.8 |
| 45 | TCU | Western Athletic | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.32 | 11.4 | 8.48 | 7.45 | -1.45 |
| 46 | Syracuse | Big East | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.29 | 6.9 | 10.77 | 6.7 | -0.7 |
| 47 | Colorado | Big 12 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.27 | 6.3 | 11.09 | 6.3 | -0.3 |
| 48 | Air Force | Mountain West | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.13 | 5.1 | 10.57 | 6.4 | -0.4 |
| 49 | Idaho | Big West | 7-4 | 0.64 | 14.81 | 1.91 | 5.38 | 5.97 | 1.03 |
| 50 | Clemson | ACC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.48 | 7.18 | 13.77 | 7.31 | -1.31 |
| 51 | Akron | Mid-American | 7-4 | 0.64 | 14.33 | 0.09 | 8.19 | 5.52 | 1.48 |
| 52 | Toledo | Mid-American | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.74 | 5.82 | 8.65 | 7.06 | -1.06 |
| 53 | Wake Forest | ACC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.65 | 3.36 | 10.83 | 6.56 | -0.56 |
| 54 | New Mexico State | Big West | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.3 | 3.36 | 7.63 | 6.32 | -0.32 |
| 55 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.68 | 3.4 | 12.07 | 5.82 | -0.82 |
| 56 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.59 | 3 | 12.65 | 5.72 | -0.72 |
| 57 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.45 | 2.4 | 11.78 | 5.62 | -0.62 |
| 58 | Kentucky | SEC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 12.27 | -0.73 | 11.61 | 5.34 | 0.66 |
| 59 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 12.16 | -0.91 | 12.3 | 5.29 | 0.71 |
| 60 | Memphis | Conference USA | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.71 | 4.55 | 12.47 | 7.04 | -2.04 |
| 61 | Ohio | Mid-American | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.67 | 1.5 | 6.29 | 5.34 | -0.34 |
| 62 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.66 | -0.17 | 14.53 | 5.95 | 0.05 |
| 63 | USC | Pac-10 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.56 | 4 | 11.75 | 6.51 | -1.51 |
| 64 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.48 | 1.82 | 14.94 | 5.93 | -0.93 |
| 65 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.4 | -2.64 | 10.2 | 4.8 | 1.2 |
| 66 | Maryland | ACC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.25 | 2.91 | 9.48 | 6.25 | -1.25 |
| 67 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.54 | -2.1 | 11.37 | 4.5 | 0.5 |
| 68 | Auburn | SEC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.4 | -0.27 | 14.32 | 5.42 | -0.42 |
| 69 | NC State | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.07 | -4.83 | 11.26 | 4.52 | 1.48 |
| 70 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.8 | 0 | 5.98 | 5.5 | -0.5 |
| 71 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 4-6 | 0.4 | 9.67 | 1.4 | 10.67 | 5.37 | -1.37 |
| 72 | Rice | Western Athletic | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.45 | -2.18 | 12.47 | 4.87 | 0.13 |
| 73 | UAB | Conference USA | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.33 | -2.82 | 13.39 | 4.74 | 0.26 |
| 74 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.3 | -1.45 | 8.39 | 5.16 | -0.16 |
| 75 | SMU | Western Athletic | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.8 | -2.33 | 8.03 | 3.95 | 0.05 |
| 76 | Navy | FBS Independents | 4-7 | 0.36 | 8.76 | 0.91 | 10.96 | 5.72 | -1.72 |
| 77 | Kansas | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.06 | -5 | 10.26 | 4.7 | 0.3 |
| 78 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.03 | -6.92 | 11.9 | 4.34 | 0.66 |
| 79 | UL Monroe | FBS Independents | 5-6 | 0.45 | 7.98 | -12.36 | 7.61 | 2.35 | 2.65 |
| 80 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.31 | -2.27 | 10.97 | 4.87 | -0.87 |
| 81 | UCF | FBS Independents | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.93 | -3.73 | 9.56 | 4.61 | -0.61 |
| 82 | California | Pac-10 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.73 | -6.73 | 12.94 | 3.37 | 0.63 |
| 83 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.73 | -7.36 | 14.13 | 3.61 | 0.39 |
| 84 | Indiana | Big Ten | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.5 | -8.64 | 12.05 | 3.72 | 0.28 |
| 85 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.45 | -9 | 11.53 | 3.36 | 0.64 |
| 86 | Arkansas State | Big West | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.36 | -7.82 | 8.62 | 3.62 | 0.38 |
| 87 | Missouri | Big 12 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.32 | -13.36 | 14.43 | 2.55 | 1.45 |
| 88 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.05 | -10.45 | 7.66 | 3.04 | 0.96 |
| 89 | West Virginia | Big East | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.89 | -2.8 | 13.33 | 4.35 | -1.35 |
| 90 | Cincinnati | Conference USA | 3-8 | 0.27 | 5.58 | -1.27 | 11.78 | 5.18 | -2.18 |
| 91 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.32 | -6.3 | 11.38 | 3.48 | -0.48 |
| 92 | Army | Conference USA | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.17 | -8.2 | 12.48 | 3.18 | -0.18 |
| 93 | Utah State | Big West | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.97 | -9.4 | 12.55 | 2.86 | 0.14 |
| 94 | UNLV | Mountain West | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.66 | -14.6 | 10.11 | 1.59 | 1.41 |
| 95 | San José State | Western Athletic | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.64 | -14.4 | 9.28 | 2.59 | 0.41 |
| 96 | North Carolina | ACC | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.38 | -7.82 | 11.58 | 3.18 | -0.18 |
| 97 | Tulane | Conference USA | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.24 | -10.91 | 11.71 | 3.3 | -0.3 |
| 98 | Duke | ACC | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.17 | -13.27 | 13.65 | 2.51 | 0.49 |
| 99 | Nevada | Big West | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.17 | -12.27 | 12.07 | 3.12 | -0.12 |
| 100 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.11 | -14.55 | 13.95 | 1.56 | 1.44 |
| 101 | Middle Tennessee | FBS Independents | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.99 | -9.73 | 4.29 | 3.44 | -0.44 |
| 102 | LSU | SEC | 2-8 | 0.2 | 3.11 | -6.1 | 15.19 | 3.39 | -1.39 |
| 103 | Temple | Big East | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.43 | -15.8 | 15.17 | 1.57 | 0.43 |
| 104 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.43 | -7.91 | 12.98 | 3.48 | -1.48 |
| 105 | North Texas | Big West | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.37 | -14.6 | 9.06 | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 106 | Tulsa | Western Athletic | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.94 | -14.18 | 9.51 | 2.49 | -0.49 |
| 107 | Kent State | Mid-American | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.92 | -14.82 | 10.97 | 2.27 | -0.27 |
| 108 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.61 | -19.27 | 8.01 | 1.71 | 0.29 |
| 109 | Iowa | Big Ten | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.23 | -16.82 | 14.78 | 1.55 | -0.55 |
| 110 | Rutgers | Big East | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.52 | -24.73 | 13.35 | 0.91 | 0.09 |
| 111 | Baylor | Big 12 | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.54 | -25.18 | 13.62 | 0.75 | 0.25 |
| 112 | Ball State | Mid-American | 0-11 | 0 | -2.35 | -18.55 | 10.75 | 1.34 | -1.34 |
| 113 | South Carolina | SEC | 0-11 | 0 | -2.43 | -17.36 | 17.38 | 0.66 | -0.66 |
| 114 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 0-11 | 0 | -2.58 | -26.91 | 8.39 | 0.62 | -0.62 |