Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:32.705676+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Florida State | ACC | 11-0 | 1 | 25.43 | 21.64 | 13.36 | 9.74 | 1.26 |
| 2 | Virginia Tech | Big East | 11-0 | 1 | 24.79 | 30.82 | 8.83 | 10.59 | 0.41 |
| 3 | Marshall | Mid-American | 13-0 | 1 | 24.54 | 25.08 | 8.38 | 12.31 | 0.69 |
| 4 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 12-1 | 0.92 | 23.49 | 20.85 | 12.95 | 11.76 | 0.24 |
| 5 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.03 | 24.42 | 9.84 | 11.03 | -0.03 |
| 6 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.06 | 11.08 | 13.58 | 8.84 | 1.16 |
| 7 | Michigan | Big Ten | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.04 | 9.5 | 14.16 | 8.53 | 1.47 |
| 8 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.79 | 21.25 | 9.1 | 10.92 | -0.92 |
| 9 | Mississippi State | SEC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.37 | 8.25 | 10.7 | 9.15 | 0.85 |
| 10 | Alabama | SEC | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.94 | 8.69 | 16.16 | 9.08 | 0.92 |
| 11 | Penn State | Big Ten | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.9 | 14.08 | 13.93 | 10.36 | -0.36 |
| 12 | Tennessee | SEC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.47 | 14.58 | 13.59 | 9.85 | -0.85 |
| 13 | Utah | Mountain West | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.12 | 14.17 | 11.71 | 9.64 | -0.64 |
| 14 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.9 | 12 | 11.1 | 9.51 | -0.51 |
| 15 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.8 | 10.5 | 11.07 | 8.46 | 0.54 |
| 16 | Boise State | Big West | 10-3 | 0.77 | 18.7 | 11.77 | 7.01 | 9.61 | 0.39 |
| 17 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.44 | 9 | 9.29 | 8.6 | 0.4 |
| 18 | Louisiana Tech | FBS Independents | 8-3 | 0.73 | 17.99 | 7.55 | 10.13 | 7.02 | 0.98 |
| 19 | Miami | Big East | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.92 | 16.31 | 12.2 | 10.81 | -1.81 |
| 20 | Florida | SEC | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.86 | 10.08 | 13.9 | 9.33 | -0.33 |
| 21 | Arkansas | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.15 | 11.58 | 11.74 | 9.19 | -1.19 |
| 22 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.12 | 14.33 | 9.97 | 9.8 | -1.8 |
| 23 | Illinois | Big Ten | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.1 | 9.42 | 12.52 | 8.32 | -0.32 |
| 24 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.06 | 8.33 | 12.41 | 7.69 | 0.31 |
| 25 | BYU | Mountain West | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.04 | 7 | 13.14 | 7.98 | 0.02 |
| 26 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.98 | 7.17 | 12.54 | 8.14 | -0.14 |
| 27 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.93 | 6.33 | 12.85 | 7.72 | 0.28 |
| 28 | Ole Miss | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.81 | 7.92 | 11.21 | 8.34 | -0.34 |
| 29 | TCU | Western Athletic | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.8 | 12.42 | 8.68 | 9.34 | -1.34 |
| 30 | Texas | Big 12 | 9-5 | 0.64 | 16.69 | 11.07 | 13.25 | 10.24 | -1.24 |
| 31 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.49 | 4.5 | 11.26 | 6.97 | 1.03 |
| 32 | Georgia | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.05 | 2.17 | 11.62 | 6.57 | 1.43 |
| 33 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.02 | 1.69 | 8.74 | 6.97 | 2.03 |
| 34 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.59 | 10.08 | 8.99 | 9.25 | -1.25 |
| 35 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.59 | 6.45 | 7.88 | 7.01 | -0.01 |
| 36 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.53 | 2.91 | 11.38 | 6.23 | 0.77 |
| 37 | Houston | Conference USA | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.41 | 3.91 | 9.05 | 6.69 | 0.31 |
| 38 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.19 | 16.75 | 9.75 | 9.8 | -2.8 |
| 39 | Purdue | Big Ten | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.96 | 6.58 | 13.38 | 7.6 | -0.6 |
| 40 | Colorado | Big 12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.92 | 7.83 | 12.53 | 7.82 | -0.82 |
| 41 | Louisville | Conference USA | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.59 | 6.5 | 10.31 | 7.35 | -0.35 |
| 42 | Idaho | Big West | 7-4 | 0.64 | 14.57 | 1.91 | 5.46 | 5.97 | 1.03 |
| 43 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.43 | 5.83 | 9.88 | 7.56 | -0.56 |
| 44 | Wake Forest | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.38 | 4.75 | 10.58 | 7.67 | -0.67 |
| 45 | Boston College | Big East | 8-4 | 0.67 | 14.34 | -0.92 | 8.33 | 5.74 | 2.26 |
| 46 | Washington | Pac-10 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.3 | 2.42 | 13.17 | 6.65 | 0.35 |
| 47 | Syracuse | Big East | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.28 | 3.67 | 11.31 | 7.11 | -0.11 |
| 48 | Akron | Mid-American | 7-4 | 0.64 | 14.08 | 0.09 | 7.5 | 5.52 | 1.48 |
| 49 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.85 | 2.58 | 9.1 | 6.61 | 0.39 |
| 50 | Air Force | Mountain West | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.6 | 4.18 | 10.35 | 6.73 | -0.73 |
| 51 | Toledo | Mid-American | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.58 | 5.82 | 8.25 | 7.06 | -1.06 |
| 52 | New Mexico State | Big West | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.17 | 3.36 | 7.56 | 6.32 | -0.32 |
| 53 | Clemson | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 13.11 | 5.75 | 14.2 | 7.67 | -1.67 |
| 54 | USC | Pac-10 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.88 | 5.83 | 12.1 | 7.56 | -1.56 |
| 55 | Virginia | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 12.59 | -1.67 | 13.26 | 5.6 | 1.4 |
| 56 | Memphis | Conference USA | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.53 | 4.55 | 11.59 | 7.04 | -2.04 |
| 57 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.44 | 4.18 | 11.17 | 6.69 | -1.69 |
| 58 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.43 | -0.17 | 14.25 | 5.95 | 0.05 |
| 59 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.23 | -2.64 | 9.42 | 4.8 | 1.2 |
| 60 | Maryland | ACC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.08 | 2.91 | 9.71 | 6.25 | -1.25 |
| 61 | Kentucky | SEC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.65 | -1.25 | 10.89 | 5.68 | 0.32 |
| 62 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.49 | -2.08 | 12.4 | 5.5 | 0.5 |
| 63 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 5-7 | 0.42 | 10.49 | 1.42 | 15.19 | 6.36 | -1.36 |
| 64 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.43 | -2.17 | 11.85 | 5.38 | 0.62 |
| 65 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.34 | 0.27 | 11.23 | 5.57 | -0.57 |
| 66 | Auburn | SEC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.13 | -0.27 | 13.28 | 5.42 | -0.42 |
| 67 | Navy | FBS Independents | 5-7 | 0.42 | 10.13 | 1.67 | 9.78 | 6.45 | -1.45 |
| 68 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.93 | -0.36 | 11.51 | 5.4 | -0.4 |
| 69 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.89 | -0.64 | 12.87 | 5.33 | -0.33 |
| 70 | NC State | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.88 | -4.83 | 10.99 | 4.52 | 1.48 |
| 71 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.69 | 0 | 5.55 | 5.5 | -0.5 |
| 72 | Rice | Western Athletic | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.32 | -2.18 | 12.25 | 4.87 | 0.13 |
| 73 | UAB | Conference USA | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.23 | -2.82 | 12.95 | 4.74 | 0.26 |
| 74 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.22 | -1.45 | 8.16 | 5.16 | -0.16 |
| 75 | Ohio | Mid-American | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.2 | -1.45 | 7.87 | 5.13 | -0.13 |
| 76 | West Virginia | Big East | 4-7 | 0.36 | 8.41 | 0.27 | 12.7 | 5.57 | -1.57 |
| 77 | Kansas | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8 | -5 | 10.08 | 4.7 | 0.3 |
| 78 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.9 | -6.92 | 11.96 | 4.34 | 0.66 |
| 79 | UL Monroe | FBS Independents | 5-6 | 0.45 | 7.89 | -12.36 | 7.67 | 2.35 | 2.65 |
| 80 | SMU | Western Athletic | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.57 | -4.2 | 8.62 | 3.85 | 0.15 |
| 81 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.14 | -2.27 | 10.35 | 4.87 | -0.87 |
| 82 | UCF | FBS Independents | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.77 | -3.73 | 8.83 | 4.61 | -0.61 |
| 83 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.71 | -5.27 | 11.8 | 4.12 | -0.12 |
| 84 | California | Pac-10 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.61 | -6.73 | 12.91 | 3.37 | 0.63 |
| 85 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.59 | -7.36 | 13.85 | 3.61 | 0.39 |
| 86 | Utah State | Big West | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.59 | -6.09 | 11.27 | 3.91 | 0.09 |
| 87 | Indiana | Big Ten | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.37 | -8.64 | 11.77 | 3.72 | 0.28 |
| 88 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.32 | -9 | 11.21 | 3.36 | 0.64 |
| 89 | Arkansas State | Big West | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.29 | -7.82 | 8.88 | 3.62 | 0.38 |
| 90 | Missouri | Big 12 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.18 | -13.36 | 14.21 | 2.55 | 1.45 |
| 91 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.03 | -10.45 | 7.59 | 3.04 | 0.96 |
| 92 | Cincinnati | Conference USA | 3-8 | 0.27 | 5.47 | -1.27 | 11.69 | 5.18 | -2.18 |
| 93 | LSU | SEC | 3-8 | 0.27 | 5.06 | -3.27 | 13.86 | 4.53 | -1.53 |
| 94 | San José State | Western Athletic | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.56 | -14.4 | 9.46 | 2.59 | 0.41 |
| 95 | North Carolina | ACC | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.39 | -7.82 | 11.38 | 3.18 | -0.18 |
| 96 | Army | Conference USA | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.37 | -8.36 | 12.1 | 3.38 | -0.38 |
| 97 | Tulane | Conference USA | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.16 | -10.91 | 11.52 | 3.3 | -0.3 |
| 98 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.12 | -6.58 | 13.21 | 4.1 | -1.1 |
| 99 | Nevada | Big West | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.09 | -12.27 | 11.95 | 3.12 | -0.12 |
| 100 | Duke | ACC | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.07 | -13.27 | 13.28 | 2.51 | 0.49 |
| 101 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.03 | -14.55 | 14.16 | 1.56 | 1.44 |
| 102 | Middle Tennessee | FBS Independents | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.98 | -9.73 | 3.76 | 3.44 | -0.44 |
| 103 | UNLV | Mountain West | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.9 | -14.91 | 10.53 | 1.74 | 1.26 |
| 104 | Tulsa | Western Athletic | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.9 | -14.18 | 9.47 | 2.49 | -0.49 |
| 105 | Kent State | Mid-American | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.89 | -14.82 | 10.85 | 2.27 | -0.27 |
| 106 | North Texas | Big West | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.82 | -15.73 | 9.05 | 1.16 | 0.84 |
| 107 | Temple | Big East | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.75 | -19.36 | 14.86 | 1.24 | 0.76 |
| 108 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.66 | -19.27 | 8.14 | 1.71 | 0.29 |
| 109 | Iowa | Big Ten | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.23 | -16.82 | 14.32 | 1.55 | -0.55 |
| 110 | Rutgers | Big East | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.52 | -24.73 | 12.95 | 0.91 | 0.09 |
| 111 | Baylor | Big 12 | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.54 | -25.18 | 12.87 | 0.75 | 0.25 |
| 112 | Ball State | Mid-American | 0-11 | 0 | -2.31 | -18.55 | 10.31 | 1.34 | -1.34 |
| 113 | South Carolina | SEC | 0-11 | 0 | -2.36 | -17.36 | 15.72 | 0.66 | -0.66 |
| 114 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 0-11 | 0 | -2.55 | -26.91 | 8.22 | 0.62 | -0.62 |