Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:32.701025+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 6-0 | 1 | 26.94 | 29.33 | 13.32 | 5.79 | 0.21 |
| 2 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 6-0 | 1 | 26.68 | 21.17 | 13.39 | 5.39 | 0.61 |
| 3 | Penn State | Big Ten | 6-0 | 1 | 26.39 | 22 | 11.83 | 5.26 | 0.74 |
| 4 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 5-0 | 1 | 26.26 | 27.8 | 10.25 | 4.72 | 0.28 |
| 5 | Florida State | ACC | 6-0 | 1 | 26.22 | 23.5 | 10.79 | 5.28 | 0.72 |
| 6 | Mississippi State | SEC | 6-0 | 1 | 25.4 | 16.83 | 8 | 5.5 | 0.5 |
| 7 | Virginia Tech | Big East | 5-0 | 1 | 25.37 | 30 | 5.87 | 4.83 | 0.17 |
| 8 | Marshall | Mid-American | 5-0 | 1 | 25.06 | 26.8 | 4.85 | 4.83 | 0.17 |
| 9 | Michigan | Big Ten | 5-1 | 0.83 | 23.14 | 11.83 | 17.66 | 4.69 | 0.31 |
| 10 | Florida | SEC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.6 | 18.33 | 14.46 | 4.83 | 0.17 |
| 11 | Syracuse | Big East | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.33 | 19.67 | 12.51 | 5.39 | -0.39 |
| 12 | Tennessee | SEC | 4-1 | 0.8 | 22.02 | 13 | 17.26 | 4.06 | -0.06 |
| 13 | Alabama | SEC | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21.57 | 9 | 15.5 | 3.38 | 0.62 |
| 14 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21.39 | 17 | 12.09 | 3.9 | 0.1 |
| 15 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21.11 | 23.2 | 8.84 | 4.55 | -0.55 |
| 16 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21.06 | 25 | 6.21 | 4.77 | -0.77 |
| 17 | Ole Miss | SEC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 20.99 | 10.67 | 7.53 | 4.68 | 0.32 |
| 18 | BYU | Mountain West | 4-1 | 0.8 | 20.78 | 7.2 | 12.43 | 3.14 | 0.86 |
| 19 | Utah | Mountain West | 4-1 | 0.8 | 20.76 | 22.8 | 7 | 4.58 | -0.58 |
| 20 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 5-1 | 0.83 | 20.74 | 8.17 | 5.27 | 4.22 | 0.78 |
| 21 | Georgia | SEC | 4-1 | 0.8 | 20.35 | 6.2 | 7.93 | 3.29 | 0.71 |
| 22 | Maryland | ACC | 4-1 | 0.8 | 20.15 | 13 | 6 | 4.09 | -0.09 |
| 23 | Air Force | Mountain West | 4-1 | 0.8 | 20.08 | 7.4 | 8.19 | 3.56 | 0.44 |
| 24 | Texas | Big 12 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.25 | 17.86 | 11.87 | 5.76 | -0.76 |
| 25 | Boston College | Big East | 4-1 | 0.8 | 18.76 | 5.2 | -1.06 | 3.22 | 0.78 |
| 26 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.1 | 16.17 | 11.52 | 5.08 | -1.08 |
| 27 | Purdue | Big Ten | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.08 | 10 | 11.27 | 4.21 | -0.21 |
| 28 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.58 | 4.5 | 14.35 | 3.61 | 0.39 |
| 29 | USC | Pac-10 | 3-2 | 0.6 | 17.17 | 11.2 | 15.86 | 3.56 | -0.56 |
| 30 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.11 | 7 | 9.9 | 3.86 | 0.14 |
| 31 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.1 | 9 | 7.86 | 4.09 | -0.09 |
| 32 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.94 | 5.67 | 8.46 | 3.76 | 0.24 |
| 33 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.63 | 12.2 | 14.88 | 3.91 | -0.91 |
| 34 | Illinois | Big Ten | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.44 | 10.2 | 12.97 | 3.56 | -0.56 |
| 35 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.39 | 9.6 | 11.31 | 3.58 | -0.58 |
| 36 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.38 | 17.4 | 7.72 | 4.05 | -1.05 |
| 37 | Washington | Pac-10 | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.33 | 6 | 17.78 | 3.1 | -0.1 |
| 38 | Kentucky | SEC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.24 | 2.5 | 8.02 | 3.29 | 0.71 |
| 39 | Arkansas | SEC | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.18 | 19.6 | 8.55 | 4.37 | -1.37 |
| 40 | Colorado | Big 12 | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.15 | 7 | 14.67 | 3.07 | -0.07 |
| 41 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.05 | 3.8 | 13.26 | 2.9 | 0.1 |
| 42 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.02 | 6.4 | 13.92 | 3.27 | -0.27 |
| 43 | Boise State | Big West | 4-2 | 0.67 | 15.88 | 2.17 | 6.2 | 3.33 | 0.67 |
| 44 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 3-2 | 0.6 | 15.65 | 3 | 11.25 | 2.91 | 0.09 |
| 45 | Houston | Conference USA | 3-2 | 0.6 | 15.61 | 5.4 | 11.81 | 3.26 | -0.26 |
| 46 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 3-2 | 0.6 | 15.58 | 3.6 | 12.04 | 2.78 | 0.22 |
| 47 | Wake Forest | ACC | 3-2 | 0.6 | 15.58 | 3.8 | 9.83 | 3.09 | -0.09 |
| 48 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 3-2 | 0.6 | 15.48 | 3 | 10.16 | 2.87 | 0.13 |
| 49 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 4-2 | 0.67 | 15.43 | 0.5 | 6.51 | 3.05 | 0.95 |
| 50 | Idaho | Big West | 3-2 | 0.6 | 15.11 | 6.8 | 6.27 | 3.3 | -0.3 |
| 51 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 3-2 | 0.6 | 15.11 | 2.2 | 8.21 | 2.7 | 0.3 |
| 52 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 4-2 | 0.67 | 15.04 | -0.83 | 6.16 | 2.88 | 1.12 |
| 53 | NC State | ACC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 14.92 | -1.5 | 10.81 | 2.75 | 1.25 |
| 54 | Toledo | Mid-American | 3-2 | 0.6 | 14.83 | 8 | 4 | 3.53 | -0.53 |
| 55 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 14.36 | -5 | 12.31 | 2.39 | 1.61 |
| 56 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 3-3 | 0.5 | 14.3 | 8.5 | 18.91 | 4.08 | -1.08 |
| 57 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 14.26 | 9.67 | 13.74 | 4.04 | -1.04 |
| 58 | Akron | Mid-American | 4-2 | 0.67 | 13.97 | -2.5 | 5.3 | 2.67 | 1.33 |
| 59 | Missouri | Big 12 | 3-2 | 0.6 | 13.92 | -2 | 14.54 | 2.32 | 0.68 |
| 60 | Louisiana Tech | FBS Independents | 3-2 | 0.6 | 13.76 | -1 | 12.41 | 2.4 | 0.6 |
| 61 | Louisville | Conference USA | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.63 | 9.67 | 8.04 | 3.84 | -0.84 |
| 62 | Auburn | SEC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.38 | 2.5 | 14.22 | 3.45 | -0.45 |
| 63 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.13 | 2.83 | 14.67 | 3.34 | -0.34 |
| 64 | New Mexico State | Big West | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.87 | 4 | 6.36 | 3.48 | -0.48 |
| 65 | Miami | Big East | 2-3 | 0.4 | 12.11 | 9.4 | 16.91 | 3.57 | -1.57 |
| 66 | Virginia | ACC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 11.28 | -2.33 | 13.31 | 2.66 | 0.34 |
| 67 | UAB | Conference USA | 2-3 | 0.4 | 11.13 | 3.6 | 13.59 | 2.94 | -0.94 |
| 68 | San José State | Western Athletic | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.82 | -2.33 | 6.86 | 2.72 | 0.28 |
| 69 | Indiana | Big Ten | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.8 | -1.67 | 11.25 | 2.81 | 0.19 |
| 70 | LSU | SEC | 2-3 | 0.4 | 10.65 | 0.8 | 16.43 | 2.6 | -0.6 |
| 71 | Cincinnati | Conference USA | 2-3 | 0.4 | 10.64 | 3.8 | 7.73 | 2.99 | -0.99 |
| 72 | Clemson | ACC | 2-3 | 0.4 | 10.49 | 0.6 | 16.68 | 2.58 | -0.58 |
| 73 | TCU | Western Athletic | 2-3 | 0.4 | 10.41 | 4.8 | 10.72 | 3.13 | -1.13 |
| 74 | Rice | Western Athletic | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.37 | -5.33 | 14.72 | 2.02 | 0.98 |
| 75 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.33 | -5.67 | 13.84 | 2.27 | 0.73 |
| 76 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 2-3 | 0.4 | 9.97 | 2.6 | 7.62 | 2.85 | -0.85 |
| 77 | UNLV | Mountain West | 3-3 | 0.5 | 9.87 | -7.83 | 11.11 | 1.84 | 1.16 |
| 78 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 2-4 | 0.33 | 9.16 | 3.67 | 10.26 | 3.53 | -1.53 |
| 79 | Memphis | Conference USA | 2-4 | 0.33 | 8.74 | 2 | 16.91 | 3.4 | -1.4 |
| 80 | Tulane | Conference USA | 2-3 | 0.4 | 8.5 | -3.4 | 11.77 | 2.17 | -0.17 |
| 81 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 2-3 | 0.4 | 8.25 | -4.4 | 10.34 | 1.95 | 0.05 |
| 82 | Utah State | Big West | 2-3 | 0.4 | 8.12 | -2.8 | 11.43 | 2.19 | -0.19 |
| 83 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 2-3 | 0.4 | 7.91 | -8.2 | 11.92 | 1.58 | 0.42 |
| 84 | Army | Conference USA | 2-3 | 0.4 | 7.73 | -6.2 | 13.79 | 1.97 | 0.03 |
| 85 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 2-4 | 0.33 | 7.58 | 1.33 | 2.74 | 3.19 | -1.19 |
| 86 | California | Pac-10 | 2-3 | 0.4 | 7.51 | -12.8 | 11.64 | 0.99 | 1.01 |
| 87 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.96 | -1 | 12.38 | 2.85 | -0.85 |
| 88 | Ohio | Mid-American | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.9 | -1.83 | 7.27 | 2.75 | -0.75 |
| 89 | Navy | FBS Independents | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.66 | -4 | 12.62 | 2.42 | -0.42 |
| 90 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.41 | -5.17 | 10.79 | 2.37 | -0.37 |
| 91 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.09 | -9.33 | 12.07 | 1.44 | 0.56 |
| 92 | Kansas | Big 12 | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.8 | -10.5 | 8.44 | 1.82 | 0.18 |
| 93 | Nevada | Big West | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.5 | -14.33 | 15.87 | 1.38 | 0.62 |
| 94 | UL Monroe | FBS Independents | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.39 | -19 | 8.94 | 0.56 | 1.44 |
| 95 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.37 | -12.83 | 10.1 | 1.46 | 0.54 |
| 96 | North Carolina | ACC | 1-4 | 0.2 | 3.14 | -8.2 | 16.62 | 1.62 | -0.62 |
| 97 | West Virginia | Big East | 1-4 | 0.2 | 2.92 | -10 | 18.02 | 1.39 | -0.39 |
| 98 | Iowa | Big Ten | 1-4 | 0.2 | 2.62 | -17.6 | 20.85 | 0.42 | 0.58 |
| 99 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 1-4 | 0.2 | 2.58 | -16.4 | 16.96 | 1.02 | -0.02 |
| 100 | Duke | ACC | 1-4 | 0.2 | 2.39 | -11.8 | 17.6 | 1.08 | -0.08 |
| 101 | UCF | FBS Independents | 1-4 | 0.2 | 2.39 | -17.4 | 15.81 | 0.96 | 0.04 |
| 102 | North Texas | Big West | 1-4 | 0.2 | 2.31 | -19.8 | 9.75 | 0.29 | 0.71 |
| 103 | Tulsa | Western Athletic | 1-4 | 0.2 | 2.24 | -19.2 | 9.53 | 0.73 | 0.27 |
| 104 | Arkansas State | Big West | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.11 | -8.5 | 6.83 | 1.83 | -0.83 |
| 105 | Baylor | Big 12 | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.63 | -19.33 | 15.6 | 0.82 | 0.18 |
| 106 | Kent State | Mid-American | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.6 | -19.83 | 11.56 | 0.85 | 0.15 |
| 107 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.55 | -20.5 | 9.57 | 0.78 | 0.22 |
| 108 | Middle Tennessee | FBS Independents | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.53 | -20.17 | 5.91 | 1.16 | -0.16 |
| 109 | Temple | Big East | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.37 | -18.5 | 21.04 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| 110 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 0-5 | 0 | -2.43 | -22.4 | 3.32 | 0.34 | -0.34 |
| 111 | Ball State | Mid-American | 0-6 | 0 | -2.51 | -21.17 | 9.22 | 0.53 | -0.53 |
| 112 | South Carolina | SEC | 0-6 | 0 | -2.59 | -17.67 | 20.53 | 0.18 | -0.18 |
| 113 | Rutgers | Big East | 0-5 | 0 | -2.61 | -19.2 | 19.26 | 0.52 | -0.52 |
| 114 | SMU | Western Athletic | 0-5 | 0 | -2.62 | -22.4 | 12.11 | 0.34 | -0.34 |