Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:32.701809+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penn State | Big Ten | 8-0 | 1 | 25.99 | 18.88 | 12.74 | 6.83 | 1.17 |
| 2 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 7-0 | 1 | 25.84 | 28.86 | 10.43 | 6.65 | 0.35 |
| 3 | Florida State | ACC | 8-0 | 1 | 25.8 | 20.88 | 11.39 | 7 | 1 |
| 4 | Virginia Tech | Big East | 6-0 | 1 | 25.44 | 35.33 | 7.74 | 5.89 | 0.11 |
| 5 | Marshall | Mid-American | 7-0 | 1 | 24.85 | 30.71 | 5.34 | 6.82 | 0.18 |
| 6 | Mississippi State | SEC | 7-0 | 1 | 24.8 | 14.57 | 7.74 | 6.2 | 0.8 |
| 7 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 23.18 | 24.57 | 13.27 | 6.55 | -0.55 |
| 8 | Florida | SEC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.99 | 18.29 | 14.52 | 5.7 | 0.3 |
| 9 | Tennessee | SEC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.38 | 13.17 | 16.91 | 4.98 | 0.02 |
| 10 | Utah | Mountain West | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.21 | 20.29 | 9.91 | 6.27 | -0.27 |
| 11 | BYU | Mountain West | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.94 | 12.71 | 10.42 | 5.24 | 0.76 |
| 12 | Georgia | SEC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.53 | 8 | 10.06 | 4.76 | 1.24 |
| 13 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.47 | 13.43 | 7.68 | 5.6 | 0.4 |
| 14 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.35 | 15.33 | 9.96 | 4.53 | 0.47 |
| 15 | Texas | Big 12 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 20.09 | 16.12 | 13.82 | 6.44 | -0.44 |
| 16 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.91 | 9.12 | 13.91 | 5.56 | 0.44 |
| 17 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.9 | 23.25 | 10.82 | 7.37 | -1.37 |
| 18 | Michigan | Big Ten | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.52 | 9.29 | 17.58 | 5.02 | -0.02 |
| 19 | Alabama | SEC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.22 | 5.29 | 18.47 | 4.31 | 0.69 |
| 20 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.74 | 13.29 | 12.06 | 5.73 | -0.73 |
| 21 | Syracuse | Big East | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.71 | 8 | 13.97 | 4.83 | 0.17 |
| 22 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.7 | 21.71 | 7.95 | 6.53 | -1.53 |
| 23 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.6 | 12.57 | 9.96 | 5.34 | -0.34 |
| 24 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.14 | 7.38 | 4.97 | 5.09 | 0.91 |
| 25 | Ole Miss | SEC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.07 | 8.29 | 9.4 | 5.02 | -0.02 |
| 26 | Maryland | ACC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.94 | 13 | 6.79 | 5.53 | -0.53 |
| 27 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.89 | 3.71 | 12.46 | 3.94 | 1.06 |
| 28 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.89 | 22 | 10.42 | 5.21 | -1.21 |
| 29 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.62 | 5.86 | 8.12 | 4.48 | 0.52 |
| 30 | Akron | Mid-American | 6-2 | 0.75 | 17.61 | 2.62 | 5.72 | 4.42 | 1.58 |
| 31 | Louisiana Tech | FBS Independents | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.56 | 4.29 | 9.59 | 4.06 | 0.94 |
| 32 | Arkansas | SEC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.55 | 22 | 7.33 | 5.35 | -1.35 |
| 33 | Idaho | Big West | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.5 | 9.71 | 5.33 | 5.09 | -0.09 |
| 34 | Purdue | Big Ten | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.96 | 9.75 | 15.11 | 5.5 | -0.5 |
| 35 | Air Force | Mountain West | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.89 | 5.17 | 9.95 | 3.92 | 0.08 |
| 36 | Boston College | Big East | 5-2 | 0.71 | 16.81 | 3.86 | 3.23 | 4.23 | 0.77 |
| 37 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 5-2 | 0.71 | 16.39 | 1.29 | 6.15 | 3.71 | 1.29 |
| 38 | Louisville | Conference USA | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.88 | 8.12 | 9.2 | 4.99 | 0.01 |
| 39 | Rice | Western Athletic | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.8 | 3.88 | 12.87 | 4.84 | 0.16 |
| 40 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.78 | 2.12 | 15.3 | 4.42 | 0.58 |
| 41 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.65 | 4.12 | 10.8 | 4.76 | 0.24 |
| 42 | Kentucky | SEC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.55 | 3.25 | 9.85 | 4.51 | 0.49 |
| 43 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.52 | 7.43 | 15.72 | 4.62 | -0.62 |
| 44 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.35 | 5.62 | 6.85 | 4.99 | 0.01 |
| 45 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.23 | 8.71 | 12.94 | 4.55 | -0.55 |
| 46 | Boise State | Big West | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.07 | 5.12 | 5.6 | 5.01 | -0.01 |
| 47 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.94 | 9.57 | 9.94 | 5.05 | -1.05 |
| 48 | Illinois | Big Ten | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.85 | 3.86 | 14.71 | 4.09 | -0.09 |
| 49 | Wake Forest | ACC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.74 | 5.71 | 12.24 | 4.65 | -0.65 |
| 50 | Houston | Conference USA | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.67 | 4.14 | 10.87 | 4.27 | -0.27 |
| 51 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.66 | 7.86 | 9.29 | 4.53 | -0.53 |
| 52 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.62 | 3.29 | 13.63 | 4.05 | -0.05 |
| 53 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.46 | 3.14 | 10.37 | 4.04 | -0.04 |
| 54 | Washington | Pac-10 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.35 | 1.86 | 14.04 | 3.78 | 0.22 |
| 55 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.29 | 2 | 11.21 | 3.9 | 0.1 |
| 56 | Colorado | Big 12 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.21 | 2.57 | 11.24 | 3.85 | 0.15 |
| 57 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.2 | 3.86 | 9.77 | 4.19 | -0.19 |
| 58 | Virginia | ACC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 13.97 | 1 | 12.6 | 3.66 | 0.34 |
| 59 | Miami | Big East | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.84 | 8.33 | 16.18 | 4.12 | -1.12 |
| 60 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 13.68 | -2.5 | 12.67 | 3.61 | 1.39 |
| 61 | NC State | ACC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 13.05 | -2.88 | 9.19 | 3.44 | 1.56 |
| 62 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.94 | 1.5 | 15.23 | 3.21 | -0.21 |
| 63 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 12.54 | -1.14 | 11.46 | 3.31 | 0.69 |
| 64 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.3 | 6.88 | 3.08 | 5.22 | -1.22 |
| 65 | USC | Pac-10 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 12.12 | 7.29 | 14.41 | 4.5 | -1.5 |
| 66 | TCU | Western Athletic | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11.48 | 6 | 9.11 | 4.45 | -1.45 |
| 67 | Clemson | ACC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11.44 | 1.71 | 17.48 | 3.8 | -0.8 |
| 68 | Toledo | Mid-American | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.32 | 1.14 | 6.17 | 3.72 | -0.72 |
| 69 | New Mexico State | Big West | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.24 | 1 | 5.82 | 3.64 | -0.64 |
| 70 | Auburn | SEC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.99 | -0.43 | 14.55 | 3.41 | -0.41 |
| 71 | Indiana | Big Ten | 4-4 | 0.5 | 9.76 | -7.75 | 10.78 | 2.84 | 1.16 |
| 72 | West Virginia | Big East | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.75 | -0.14 | 11.39 | 3.48 | -0.48 |
| 73 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 3-5 | 0.38 | 9.38 | 0.88 | 10.17 | 4.18 | -1.18 |
| 74 | UAB | Conference USA | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.13 | -3.29 | 12.36 | 2.93 | 0.07 |
| 75 | Missouri | Big 12 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.91 | -4.86 | 14.14 | 2.78 | 0.22 |
| 76 | Tulane | Conference USA | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.58 | -6.57 | 12.02 | 2.66 | 0.34 |
| 77 | California | Pac-10 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.45 | -7.29 | 12.34 | 2.15 | 0.85 |
| 78 | Army | Conference USA | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.43 | -5.43 | 12.33 | 2.76 | 0.24 |
| 79 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.29 | -7.71 | 11.93 | 1.98 | 1.02 |
| 80 | UNLV | Mountain West | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.2 | -10.86 | 12.78 | 1.61 | 1.39 |
| 81 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.13 | -10.57 | 15.33 | 1.97 | 1.03 |
| 82 | San José State | Western Athletic | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.02 | -8 | 7.96 | 2.41 | 0.59 |
| 83 | Ohio | Mid-American | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.8 | -1.12 | 6.48 | 3.78 | -0.78 |
| 84 | Memphis | Conference USA | 2-5 | 0.29 | 7.75 | 1.57 | 15.15 | 3.83 | -1.83 |
| 85 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.56 | -6 | 13.35 | 2.97 | 0.03 |
| 86 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.45 | -6 | 13.25 | 2.96 | 0.04 |
| 87 | Cincinnati | Conference USA | 2-5 | 0.29 | 7.39 | 1.14 | 10.39 | 3.71 | -1.71 |
| 88 | Kansas | Big 12 | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.99 | -7.38 | 11.25 | 2.75 | 0.25 |
| 89 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.76 | -1.83 | 9.54 | 2.7 | -0.7 |
| 90 | UL Monroe | FBS Independents | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.43 | -13.5 | 8.95 | 1.46 | 1.54 |
| 91 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.88 | -2.57 | 13.17 | 3.06 | -1.06 |
| 92 | LSU | SEC | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.83 | -3.29 | 15.82 | 2.88 | -0.88 |
| 93 | Navy | FBS Independents | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.57 | -4.29 | 13.83 | 2.81 | -0.81 |
| 94 | Utah State | Big West | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.87 | -11.71 | 13.99 | 1.67 | 0.33 |
| 95 | UCF | FBS Independents | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.86 | -10 | 11.58 | 2.13 | -0.13 |
| 96 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.66 | -11.57 | 10.04 | 1.87 | 0.13 |
| 97 | Nevada | Big West | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.52 | -17.29 | 12.86 | 1.35 | 0.65 |
| 98 | North Texas | Big West | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.52 | -13.71 | 8.72 | 0.81 | 1.19 |
| 99 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.07 | -8 | 10.29 | 2.71 | -0.71 |
| 100 | Arkansas State | Big West | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.95 | -6.62 | 8.84 | 2.7 | -0.7 |
| 101 | SMU | Western Athletic | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.61 | -17 | 11.93 | 0.75 | 0.25 |
| 102 | Duke | ACC | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.38 | -10.43 | 16.78 | 1.87 | -0.87 |
| 103 | North Carolina | ACC | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.27 | -12.43 | 16.75 | 1.62 | -0.62 |
| 104 | Iowa | Big Ten | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.17 | -13.86 | 17 | 1.2 | -0.2 |
| 105 | Temple | Big East | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.04 | -16.29 | 17.89 | 0.76 | 0.24 |
| 106 | Baylor | Big 12 | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.84 | -20.57 | 14.62 | 0.81 | 0.19 |
| 107 | Tulsa | Western Athletic | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.79 | -21.29 | 11.08 | 0.94 | 0.06 |
| 108 | Middle Tennessee | FBS Independents | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.75 | -20.71 | 7.99 | 1.28 | -0.28 |
| 109 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.34 | -20.38 | 10.57 | 1.1 | -0.1 |
| 110 | Kent State | Mid-American | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.32 | -21.12 | 10 | 0.9 | 0.1 |
| 111 | South Carolina | SEC | 0-8 | 0 | -2.51 | -17.62 | 18.42 | 0.39 | -0.39 |
| 112 | Ball State | Mid-American | 0-7 | 0 | -2.57 | -22.14 | 12.79 | 0.47 | -0.47 |
| 113 | Rutgers | Big East | 0-7 | 0 | -2.67 | -23.57 | 15.22 | 0.6 | -0.6 |
| 114 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 0-7 | 0 | -2.68 | -28 | 9.92 | 0.33 | -0.33 |