Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:32.896556+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 7-0 | 1 | 26.51 | 28.71 | 14.55 | 6.45 | 0.55 |
| 2 | Virginia Tech | Big East | 8-0 | 1 | 26.15 | 21.25 | 13.78 | 6.73 | 1.27 |
| 3 | TCU | Western Athletic | 7-0 | 1 | 24.36 | 28.86 | 3.95 | 6.85 | 0.15 |
| 4 | Florida State | ACC | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.67 | 31.89 | 12.82 | 8.63 | -0.63 |
| 5 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 7-1 | 0.88 | 23.43 | 25.38 | 12.92 | 7.18 | -0.18 |
| 6 | Florida | SEC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 23.26 | 21.25 | 13.71 | 6.79 | 0.21 |
| 7 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.69 | 12 | 12.85 | 6.06 | 0.94 |
| 8 | Clemson | ACC | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.48 | 25.44 | 6.62 | 8.15 | -0.15 |
| 9 | Miami | Big East | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.34 | 25.57 | 10.29 | 6.16 | -0.16 |
| 10 | Washington | Pac-10 | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.3 | 6.12 | 13.45 | 5.1 | 1.9 |
| 11 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.26 | 20.25 | 8.33 | 7.3 | -0.3 |
| 12 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.1 | 18.57 | 10.33 | 6.55 | -0.55 |
| 13 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.09 | 14.5 | 8.84 | 6.37 | 0.63 |
| 14 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 7-1 | 0.88 | 21.41 | 11.12 | 6.03 | 6.2 | 0.8 |
| 15 | Toledo | Mid-American | 7-1 | 0.88 | 21.34 | 24.88 | 2.42 | 7.6 | -0.6 |
| 16 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.54 | 25.11 | 9.83 | 8.08 | -1.08 |
| 17 | Purdue | Big Ten | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.4 | 13 | 13.01 | 6.82 | 0.18 |
| 18 | South Carolina | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.2 | 11.89 | 11.09 | 7.41 | -0.41 |
| 19 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.96 | 15.12 | 12.77 | 6.65 | -0.65 |
| 20 | Auburn | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.92 | 7 | 12.76 | 6.03 | 0.97 |
| 21 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.82 | 17 | 12.56 | 7.05 | -1.05 |
| 22 | Michigan | Big Ten | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.62 | 17.62 | 10.77 | 7.01 | -1.01 |
| 23 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.41 | 7.62 | 13.72 | 5.38 | 0.62 |
| 24 | Georgia | SEC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.37 | 11.62 | 10.42 | 6.28 | -0.28 |
| 25 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.31 | 12.88 | 10.67 | 6.02 | -0.02 |
| 26 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.25 | 7.38 | 12.85 | 5.05 | 0.95 |
| 27 | Texas | Big 12 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.07 | 19.38 | 7.1 | 6.77 | -0.77 |
| 28 | Louisville | Conference USA | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.02 | 10.12 | 9.76 | 5.6 | 0.4 |
| 29 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.95 | 6.25 | 11.35 | 5 | 1 |
| 30 | Mississippi State | SEC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.87 | 9.14 | 15.58 | 4.72 | 0.28 |
| 31 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.59 | 3.75 | 11.57 | 4.68 | 1.32 |
| 32 | Boise State | Big West | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.48 | 18.12 | 3.63 | 6.46 | -0.46 |
| 33 | UAB | Conference USA | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.46 | 5.12 | 9.29 | 5.35 | 0.65 |
| 34 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.38 | 10.14 | 10.57 | 5.19 | -0.19 |
| 35 | NC State | ACC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.88 | 3.57 | 11.79 | 3.98 | 1.02 |
| 36 | Ole Miss | SEC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.42 | 4.86 | 8.61 | 4.23 | 0.77 |
| 37 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.72 | 3.67 | 11.54 | 5.38 | 0.62 |
| 38 | UCF | FBS Independents | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.47 | 14.56 | 2.91 | 7.24 | -1.24 |
| 39 | San José State | Western Athletic | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.44 | 6.22 | 6.9 | 5.5 | 0.5 |
| 40 | Boston College | Big East | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.43 | 14.62 | 10.73 | 6.15 | -1.15 |
| 41 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.38 | 14.5 | 10.55 | 6 | -1 |
| 42 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.34 | 9 | 11.58 | 5.67 | -0.67 |
| 43 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.27 | 7.12 | 12.26 | 5.54 | -0.54 |
| 44 | LSU | SEC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.22 | 8.62 | 11.72 | 5.53 | -0.53 |
| 45 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.14 | 4.88 | 13.43 | 4.9 | 0.1 |
| 46 | Ohio | Mid-American | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.09 | 15.75 | 7.33 | 6.64 | -1.64 |
| 47 | Tennessee | SEC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.57 | 8.71 | 16.66 | 5 | -1 |
| 48 | Air Force | Mountain West | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.54 | 8.38 | 5.84 | 5.39 | -0.39 |
| 49 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 5-4 | 0.56 | 15.05 | 9.22 | 12.56 | 6.16 | -1.16 |
| 50 | Arkansas | SEC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.99 | 6.43 | 11.86 | 4.59 | -0.59 |
| 51 | Virginia | ACC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 14.84 | 2.75 | 7.19 | 4.6 | 0.4 |
| 52 | South Florida | FBS Independents | 5-3 | 0.62 | 14.39 | 6 | -0.2 | 5.41 | -0.41 |
| 53 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 14.38 | -0.75 | 16.25 | 3.88 | 1.12 |
| 54 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.32 | 4.29 | 10.42 | 4.24 | -0.24 |
| 55 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.66 | 0.44 | 15.91 | 4.61 | 0.39 |
| 56 | UNLV | Mountain West | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.54 | 10.88 | 10.31 | 5.95 | -1.95 |
| 57 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.38 | 1 | 10.9 | 4.76 | 0.24 |
| 58 | Illinois | Big Ten | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.9 | 5.25 | 9.04 | 5.04 | -1.04 |
| 59 | Marshall | Mid-American | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.51 | 4.62 | 7.8 | 4.84 | -0.84 |
| 60 | West Virginia | Big East | 4-3 | 0.57 | 12.32 | -4.14 | 15.86 | 2.88 | 1.12 |
| 61 | Temple | Big East | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.04 | 1.12 | 9.89 | 4.21 | -0.21 |
| 62 | Syracuse | Big East | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11.99 | 8.14 | 13.97 | 4.95 | -1.95 |
| 63 | Memphis | Conference USA | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.87 | 0.62 | 10.26 | 4.18 | -0.18 |
| 64 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.51 | 0.25 | 7.29 | 4.05 | -0.05 |
| 65 | Kansas | Big 12 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.29 | -0.38 | 9.96 | 3.93 | 0.07 |
| 66 | Cincinnati | Conference USA | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.08 | -0.38 | 10.28 | 3.93 | 0.07 |
| 67 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.5 | -2.88 | 12.51 | 3.24 | 0.76 |
| 68 | Maryland | ACC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.26 | -3.5 | 11.21 | 3.32 | 0.68 |
| 69 | Alabama | SEC | 3-5 | 0.38 | 10.05 | 1.88 | 15.66 | 4.38 | -1.38 |
| 70 | Utah State | Big West | 4-4 | 0.5 | 9.56 | -5 | 5.43 | 3.09 | 0.91 |
| 71 | Penn State | Big Ten | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.38 | -2.56 | 15.35 | 3.89 | 0.11 |
| 72 | Akron | Mid-American | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.26 | -2.78 | 12.29 | 3.99 | 0.01 |
| 73 | Ball State | Mid-American | 4-4 | 0.5 | 9.17 | -12.38 | 8.33 | 2.07 | 1.93 |
| 74 | BYU | Mountain West | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.89 | -4.11 | 12.59 | 3.56 | 0.44 |
| 75 | USC | Pac-10 | 3-5 | 0.38 | 8.17 | -1.75 | 12.7 | 3.64 | -0.64 |
| 76 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.81 | -3.5 | 12.94 | 3.44 | -0.44 |
| 77 | California | Pac-10 | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.57 | -3.62 | 13.38 | 3.25 | -0.25 |
| 78 | Indiana | Big Ten | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.56 | -4.25 | 12.14 | 3.44 | -0.44 |
| 79 | Idaho | Big West | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.53 | -2.38 | 6.63 | 3.64 | -0.64 |
| 80 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.45 | -7.38 | 16.86 | 2.58 | 0.42 |
| 81 | New Mexico State | Big West | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.37 | -5.62 | 12.29 | 3.03 | -0.03 |
| 82 | North Carolina | ACC | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.34 | -7.38 | 14.61 | 2.69 | 0.31 |
| 83 | Middle Tennessee | FBS Independents | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.03 | -7.62 | 9.45 | 2.77 | 0.23 |
| 84 | Tulane | Conference USA | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.97 | -8.75 | 10.44 | 2.64 | 0.36 |
| 85 | Houston | Conference USA | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.86 | -10 | 10.46 | 2.17 | 0.83 |
| 86 | UConn | FBS Independents | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.78 | -7.25 | 4.88 | 2.77 | 0.23 |
| 87 | Rutgers | Big East | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.7 | -12.88 | 10.61 | 1.97 | 1.03 |
| 88 | Tulsa | Western Athletic | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.75 | -9.44 | 9.9 | 2.35 | 0.65 |
| 89 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.84 | -8.71 | 8.74 | 2 | 0 |
| 90 | Utah | Mountain West | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.81 | -2.75 | 12.16 | 3.29 | -1.29 |
| 91 | Colorado | Big 12 | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.53 | -4 | 16.54 | 3.17 | -1.17 |
| 92 | Kentucky | SEC | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.18 | -8.5 | 17.55 | 2.65 | -0.65 |
| 93 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.12 | -7.38 | 12.58 | 2.27 | -0.27 |
| 94 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4 | -9.5 | 13.5 | 1.73 | 0.27 |
| 95 | Rice | Western Athletic | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.9 | -11.38 | 14.31 | 1.92 | 0.08 |
| 96 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.88 | -9 | 9.87 | 2.01 | -0.01 |
| 97 | Missouri | Big 12 | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.77 | -13 | 13.13 | 1.92 | 0.08 |
| 98 | SMU | Western Athletic | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.67 | -10.5 | 10.84 | 1.87 | 0.13 |
| 99 | Baylor | Big 12 | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.54 | -19.5 | 15.93 | 0.66 | 1.34 |
| 100 | North Texas | Big West | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.37 | -14.75 | 8.94 | 0.97 | 1.03 |
| 101 | Louisiana Tech | FBS Independents | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.17 | -9 | 7.24 | 3.05 | -1.05 |
| 102 | Army | Conference USA | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.11 | -13 | 11.21 | 1.68 | -0.68 |
| 103 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.02 | -15.14 | 8.85 | 1.56 | -0.56 |
| 104 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.46 | -17 | 13.08 | 1.32 | -0.32 |
| 105 | Iowa | Big Ten | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.33 | -15.22 | 17.32 | 1.34 | -0.34 |
| 106 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.25 | -23.12 | 14.09 | 0.88 | 0.12 |
| 107 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.21 | -24.12 | 11.73 | 0.54 | 0.46 |
| 108 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.17 | -18.33 | 10.72 | 1.39 | -0.39 |
| 109 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.04 | -30.25 | 10.19 | 0.59 | 0.41 |
| 110 | Kent State | Mid-American | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.03 | -22.22 | 10.92 | 0.67 | 0.33 |
| 111 | UL Monroe | FBS Independents | 1-7 | 0.12 | -0.09 | -34.38 | 7.96 | 0.11 | 0.89 |
| 112 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 0-8 | 0 | -2.38 | -21.25 | 5.53 | 0.68 | -0.68 |
| 113 | Arkansas State | Big West | 0-9 | 0 | -2.39 | -17.78 | 12.69 | 1.63 | -1.63 |
| 114 | Wake Forest | ACC | 0-7 | 0 | -2.51 | -22.71 | 9.75 | 0.52 | -0.52 |
| 115 | Navy | FBS Independents | 0-8 | 0 | -2.63 | -22 | 16.94 | 0.55 | -0.55 |
| 116 | Duke | ACC | 0-8 | 0 | -2.84 | -28.88 | 16.26 | 0.29 | -0.29 |