Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:32.896921+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 8-0 | 1 | 26.03 | 31.25 | 12.29 | 7.5 | 0.5 |
| 2 | Florida State | ACC | 9-1 | 0.9 | 24.03 | 33.4 | 13.95 | 9.65 | -0.65 |
| 3 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.46 | 26.89 | 12.96 | 8.15 | -0.15 |
| 4 | Virginia Tech | Big East | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.4 | 16.67 | 13.98 | 7.06 | 0.94 |
| 5 | Florida | SEC | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.24 | 21.44 | 12.72 | 7.65 | 0.35 |
| 6 | Miami | Big East | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.97 | 24.88 | 12.04 | 7 | 0 |
| 7 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.58 | 11 | 11.83 | 6.66 | 1.34 |
| 8 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.54 | 22.33 | 8.83 | 8.39 | -0.39 |
| 9 | Washington | Pac-10 | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.5 | 5.78 | 14.07 | 5.63 | 2.37 |
| 10 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.1 | 13.56 | 8.34 | 6.95 | 1.05 |
| 11 | TCU | Western Athletic | 7-1 | 0.88 | 21.87 | 24.88 | 5.2 | 7.62 | -0.62 |
| 12 | Toledo | Mid-American | 8-1 | 0.89 | 21.75 | 23.67 | 4.29 | 8.39 | -0.39 |
| 13 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 8-1 | 0.89 | 21.64 | 12.56 | 6.17 | 7.11 | 0.89 |
| 14 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 21.07 | 27.2 | 11.35 | 9.13 | -1.13 |
| 15 | Clemson | ACC | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.37 | 18.2 | 8.17 | 8.24 | -0.24 |
| 16 | Purdue | Big Ten | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.34 | 13 | 12.95 | 6.82 | 0.18 |
| 17 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.33 | 15 | 12.38 | 7.5 | -0.5 |
| 18 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.29 | 15.67 | 11.92 | 7.79 | -0.79 |
| 19 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.97 | 6.89 | 13.85 | 5.53 | 1.47 |
| 20 | South Carolina | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.9 | 11.89 | 10.55 | 7.41 | -0.41 |
| 21 | Louisville | Conference USA | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.89 | 11.33 | 11.06 | 6.43 | 0.57 |
| 22 | Auburn | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.85 | 7 | 12.73 | 6.03 | 0.97 |
| 23 | Texas | Big 12 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.77 | 18.56 | 7.98 | 7.57 | -0.57 |
| 24 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.58 | 8.11 | 10.57 | 5.92 | 1.08 |
| 25 | Mississippi State | SEC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.58 | 10.25 | 13.95 | 5.57 | 0.43 |
| 26 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.52 | 13.62 | 11.2 | 6.68 | -0.68 |
| 27 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.31 | 7.62 | 13.35 | 5.38 | 0.62 |
| 28 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.17 | 12.88 | 9.98 | 6.02 | -0.02 |
| 29 | Georgia | SEC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.1 | 11.62 | 9.96 | 6.28 | -0.28 |
| 30 | Boise State | Big West | 7-2 | 0.78 | 18.95 | 19.22 | 2.75 | 7.41 | -0.41 |
| 31 | Ole Miss | SEC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.42 | 6 | 8.92 | 5.01 | 0.99 |
| 32 | Michigan | Big Ten | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.82 | 15.33 | 11.83 | 7.29 | -1.29 |
| 33 | Boston College | Big East | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.51 | 16.11 | 10.32 | 7.22 | -1.22 |
| 34 | LSU | SEC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.21 | 7.89 | 11.91 | 6.07 | -0.07 |
| 35 | San José State | Western Athletic | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.18 | 5.9 | 8.12 | 6.07 | 0.93 |
| 36 | UCF | FBS Independents | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17 | 13.5 | 2.85 | 7.93 | -0.93 |
| 37 | Tennessee | SEC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.5 | 7.88 | 15.37 | 5.6 | -0.6 |
| 38 | Air Force | Mountain West | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.42 | 9 | 5.41 | 6.13 | -0.13 |
| 39 | UAB | Conference USA | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.37 | 3.22 | 8.94 | 5.42 | 0.58 |
| 40 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.16 | 9 | 11.59 | 5.67 | -0.67 |
| 41 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.05 | 8.5 | 10.24 | 5.69 | -0.69 |
| 42 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 15.54 | -0.44 | 15.13 | 4.42 | 1.58 |
| 43 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.48 | 6 | 8.97 | 5.11 | -0.11 |
| 44 | NC State | ACC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.36 | 2.25 | 11.49 | 4.34 | 0.66 |
| 45 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.31 | 2.5 | 16.11 | 5.68 | 0.32 |
| 46 | South Florida | FBS Independents | 6-3 | 0.67 | 15.21 | 6 | -1.49 | 6.02 | -0.02 |
| 47 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 5-4 | 0.56 | 15.05 | 11.33 | 11.97 | 6.31 | -1.31 |
| 48 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.91 | 2.1 | 12.16 | 5.56 | 0.44 |
| 49 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 14.84 | -1.78 | 11.77 | 4.15 | 1.85 |
| 50 | Virginia | ACC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 14.83 | 2.75 | 7.16 | 4.6 | 0.4 |
| 51 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.65 | 6 | 12.4 | 5.89 | -0.89 |
| 52 | Ohio | Mid-American | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.65 | 13.67 | 7.44 | 7.16 | -2.16 |
| 53 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.41 | 3.67 | 13.1 | 5.22 | -0.22 |
| 54 | Illinois | Big Ten | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.06 | 5.44 | 9 | 5.64 | -0.64 |
| 55 | Marshall | Mid-American | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.78 | 4.89 | 7.18 | 5.54 | -0.54 |
| 56 | Syracuse | Big East | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.42 | 7.62 | 13.7 | 5.51 | -1.51 |
| 57 | Cincinnati | Conference USA | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.29 | 1 | 10.79 | 4.71 | 0.29 |
| 58 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 5-5 | 0.5 | 13.28 | 6.2 | 12.27 | 6.26 | -1.26 |
| 59 | Arkansas | SEC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.94 | 3.88 | 11.92 | 4.74 | -0.74 |
| 60 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 5-4 | 0.56 | 12.86 | 0.56 | 8.23 | 4.62 | 0.38 |
| 61 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.93 | 0.8 | 10.06 | 5.24 | -0.24 |
| 62 | Maryland | ACC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 11.89 | -2.33 | 11.66 | 4.01 | 0.99 |
| 63 | UNLV | Mountain West | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.78 | 7.22 | 10.05 | 6 | -2 |
| 64 | Utah State | Big West | 5-4 | 0.56 | 11.08 | -3.67 | 5.83 | 3.79 | 1.21 |
| 65 | West Virginia | Big East | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.65 | -4.12 | 15.77 | 3.3 | 0.7 |
| 66 | Memphis | Conference USA | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.39 | 0.33 | 10.76 | 4.61 | -0.61 |
| 67 | USC | Pac-10 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.73 | -0.89 | 13.62 | 4.31 | -0.31 |
| 68 | Middle Tennessee | FBS Independents | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.5 | -0.56 | 9.29 | 4.4 | -0.4 |
| 69 | Temple | Big East | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.31 | -2.11 | 10.66 | 4.04 | -0.04 |
| 70 | Akron | Mid-American | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.14 | -2.78 | 12.22 | 3.99 | 0.01 |
| 71 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.05 | -4.11 | 13.49 | 3.31 | 0.69 |
| 72 | Kansas | Big 12 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.9 | -4.67 | 11.96 | 3.61 | 0.39 |
| 73 | Idaho | Big West | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.84 | -1.89 | 6.18 | 4.15 | -0.15 |
| 74 | North Carolina | ACC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.71 | -6.22 | 14.7 | 3.2 | 0.8 |
| 75 | Alabama | SEC | 3-6 | 0.33 | 8.67 | 1.44 | 15.72 | 4.82 | -1.82 |
| 76 | Tulane | Conference USA | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.48 | -5.78 | 10.58 | 3.48 | 0.52 |
| 77 | Penn State | Big Ten | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.33 | -2.6 | 12.73 | 4.32 | -0.32 |
| 78 | Ball State | Mid-American | 4-5 | 0.44 | 7.84 | -15.33 | 9.41 | 1.85 | 2.15 |
| 79 | BYU | Mountain West | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.82 | -6.1 | 13.36 | 3.53 | 0.47 |
| 80 | Utah | Mountain West | 3-6 | 0.33 | 7.52 | 0 | 12.12 | 4.5 | -1.5 |
| 81 | Colorado | Big 12 | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.68 | -2.44 | 14.58 | 3.93 | -0.93 |
| 82 | Rutgers | Big East | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.6 | -12.88 | 10.34 | 1.97 | 1.03 |
| 83 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.58 | -3.44 | 13.67 | 3.87 | -0.87 |
| 84 | California | Pac-10 | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.5 | -3.89 | 13.66 | 3.65 | -0.65 |
| 85 | Indiana | Big Ten | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.33 | -4.56 | 12.19 | 3.83 | -0.83 |
| 86 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.25 | -6.78 | 16.22 | 3.1 | -0.1 |
| 87 | New Mexico State | Big West | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.14 | -5.78 | 11.6 | 3.44 | -0.44 |
| 88 | Rice | Western Athletic | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.94 | -6.89 | 13.17 | 3.04 | -0.04 |
| 89 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.8 | -8.33 | 12.9 | 2.19 | 0.81 |
| 90 | Houston | Conference USA | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.65 | -10.89 | 10.67 | 2.35 | 0.65 |
| 91 | Tulsa | Western Athletic | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.64 | -9.44 | 9.47 | 2.35 | 0.65 |
| 92 | UConn | FBS Independents | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.31 | -12.67 | 5.18 | 2.29 | 0.71 |
| 93 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.99 | -8.25 | 10.45 | 2.33 | -0.33 |
| 94 | Kentucky | SEC | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.37 | -9.56 | 17.37 | 2.79 | -0.79 |
| 95 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.3 | -9.11 | 12.93 | 2.29 | -0.29 |
| 96 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.22 | -8.78 | 9.32 | 2.27 | -0.27 |
| 97 | Missouri | Big 12 | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.02 | -12.67 | 11.64 | 2.18 | -0.18 |
| 98 | SMU | Western Athletic | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.97 | -12.56 | 9.28 | 1.81 | 0.19 |
| 99 | North Texas | Big West | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.9 | -13.33 | 8.61 | 1.26 | 0.74 |
| 100 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.82 | -13.33 | 11.29 | 1.98 | 0.02 |
| 101 | Louisiana Tech | FBS Independents | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.75 | -8.5 | 7.9 | 3.41 | -1.41 |
| 102 | Baylor | Big 12 | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.69 | -22.78 | 17.44 | 0.55 | 1.45 |
| 103 | Iowa | Big Ten | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.46 | -13.4 | 15.88 | 1.83 | 0.17 |
| 104 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.27 | -26.56 | 9.28 | 0.83 | 1.17 |
| 105 | Army | Conference USA | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.67 | -13.12 | 11.56 | 1.95 | -0.95 |
| 106 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.54 | -15.5 | 9.67 | 1.79 | -0.79 |
| 107 | Wake Forest | ACC | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.2 | -19.62 | 8.19 | 0.89 | 0.11 |
| 108 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.16 | -18.33 | 10.62 | 1.39 | -0.39 |
| 109 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.03 | -18.56 | 5.3 | 1 | 0 |
| 110 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 1-8 | 0.11 | -0 | -23.11 | 15.06 | 1.04 | -0.04 |
| 111 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 1-8 | 0.11 | -0.01 | -23.22 | 10.6 | 0.67 | 0.33 |
| 112 | Kent State | Mid-American | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.13 | -20.3 | 9.53 | 0.89 | 0.11 |
| 113 | UL Monroe | FBS Independents | 1-8 | 0.11 | -0.22 | -30.89 | 6.51 | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| 114 | Arkansas State | Big West | 0-10 | 0 | -2.42 | -18.8 | 13.1 | 1.67 | -1.67 |
| 115 | Navy | FBS Independents | 0-8 | 0 | -2.62 | -22 | 16.89 | 0.55 | -0.55 |
| 116 | Duke | ACC | 0-9 | 0 | -2.7 | -25.89 | 14.2 | 0.51 | -0.51 |