Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:32.897291+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 9-0 | 1 | 26.02 | 28.22 | 13.25 | 8.23 | 0.77 |
| 2 | Florida State | ACC | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.93 | 33 | 12.59 | 10.63 | -0.63 |
| 3 | Florida | SEC | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.53 | 21.3 | 13.62 | 8.48 | 0.52 |
| 4 | Virginia Tech | Big East | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.43 | 17.3 | 13.88 | 7.92 | 1.08 |
| 5 | Miami | Big East | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.08 | 25.22 | 11.7 | 7.98 | 0.02 |
| 6 | Washington | Pac-10 | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.66 | 5.9 | 14.05 | 6.26 | 2.74 |
| 7 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.62 | 10.7 | 11.41 | 7.37 | 1.63 |
| 8 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.39 | 14.6 | 8.95 | 7.94 | 1.06 |
| 9 | TCU | Western Athletic | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.11 | 24 | 6.63 | 8.57 | -0.57 |
| 10 | Toledo | Mid-American | 9-1 | 0.9 | 21.99 | 24.1 | 4.77 | 9.42 | -0.42 |
| 11 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.48 | 24.82 | 11.91 | 9.82 | -0.82 |
| 12 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 21.3 | 24.1 | 13.04 | 8.81 | -0.81 |
| 13 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.69 | 13.8 | 12.58 | 8.14 | -0.14 |
| 14 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.32 | 19.7 | 8.07 | 9.09 | -1.09 |
| 15 | Auburn | SEC | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.24 | 6.6 | 13.18 | 6.58 | 1.42 |
| 16 | Clemson | ACC | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.24 | 18.2 | 8.45 | 8.24 | -0.24 |
| 17 | Mississippi State | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.2 | 11.56 | 13.33 | 6.54 | 0.46 |
| 18 | Texas | Big 12 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.19 | 20.2 | 7.82 | 8.56 | -0.56 |
| 19 | Louisville | Conference USA | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.14 | 12.3 | 9.72 | 7.32 | 0.68 |
| 20 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20 | 12.44 | 11.68 | 7.2 | -0.2 |
| 21 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 8-2 | 0.8 | 19.96 | 9 | 10.02 | 6.74 | 1.26 |
| 22 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.96 | 15.33 | 10.58 | 7.21 | -0.21 |
| 23 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.96 | 8.11 | 13.48 | 6.17 | 0.83 |
| 24 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 8-2 | 0.8 | 19.74 | 10.9 | 7.24 | 7.41 | 0.59 |
| 25 | Boise State | Big West | 8-2 | 0.8 | 19.37 | 20.1 | 2.91 | 8.18 | -0.18 |
| 26 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.51 | 13.7 | 12.93 | 8.2 | -1.2 |
| 27 | Michigan | Big Ten | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.36 | 16 | 11.81 | 8.23 | -1.23 |
| 28 | Purdue | Big Ten | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.18 | 9.7 | 12.33 | 7.05 | -0.05 |
| 29 | South Carolina | SEC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.98 | 8.7 | 11.57 | 7.39 | -0.39 |
| 30 | LSU | SEC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.91 | 8.2 | 12.17 | 6.88 | 0.12 |
| 31 | Tennessee | SEC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.79 | 11.78 | 14.53 | 6.87 | -0.87 |
| 32 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.69 | 5.2 | 11.88 | 5.91 | 1.09 |
| 33 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.3 | 12.67 | 10.62 | 6.87 | -0.87 |
| 34 | Georgia | SEC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.26 | 10 | 10.58 | 6.71 | -0.71 |
| 35 | Air Force | Mountain West | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.18 | 8.5 | 6.82 | 6.65 | 0.35 |
| 36 | San José State | Western Athletic | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.14 | 5.9 | 8.03 | 6.07 | 0.93 |
| 37 | Ole Miss | SEC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.48 | 4.11 | 9.24 | 5.33 | 0.67 |
| 38 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.44 | 4.18 | 15.27 | 6.68 | 0.32 |
| 39 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.31 | 7.18 | 11.46 | 7.48 | -0.48 |
| 40 | NC State | ACC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.12 | 2.44 | 9.82 | 4.92 | 1.08 |
| 41 | Boston College | Big East | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.81 | 13.3 | 10.21 | 7.63 | -1.63 |
| 42 | UCF | FBS Independents | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.77 | 10.18 | 4.62 | 7.98 | -0.98 |
| 43 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 15.52 | -0.8 | 11.01 | 4.83 | 2.17 |
| 44 | Ohio | Mid-American | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.24 | 12.5 | 6.8 | 7.77 | -1.77 |
| 45 | Marshall | Mid-American | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.9 | 6.4 | 7.94 | 6.41 | -0.41 |
| 46 | Syracuse | Big East | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.8 | 8.89 | 12.94 | 6.47 | -1.47 |
| 47 | UAB | Conference USA | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.75 | 2.6 | 10.49 | 5.77 | 0.23 |
| 48 | Cincinnati | Conference USA | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.3 | 1.2 | 10.94 | 5.29 | 0.71 |
| 49 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.3 | 4.44 | 11.56 | 5.54 | -0.54 |
| 50 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.02 | 3.44 | 10.66 | 5.26 | -0.26 |
| 51 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 13.65 | -1.1 | 15.1 | 4.79 | 1.21 |
| 52 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 5-5 | 0.5 | 13.41 | 9.5 | 11.32 | 6.69 | -1.69 |
| 53 | South Florida | FBS Independents | 6-4 | 0.6 | 13.24 | 1.8 | -0.96 | 5.51 | 0.49 |
| 54 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 5-5 | 0.5 | 13.14 | 6.2 | 12.18 | 6.26 | -1.26 |
| 55 | UNLV | Mountain West | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.94 | 6.9 | 10.17 | 6.65 | -1.65 |
| 56 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.91 | 3 | 13.89 | 5.8 | -0.8 |
| 57 | Illinois | Big Ten | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.76 | 4.6 | 9.94 | 6.08 | -1.08 |
| 58 | Middle Tennessee | FBS Independents | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.32 | 3.1 | 9.82 | 5.62 | -0.62 |
| 59 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.3 | 1.1 | 12.82 | 5.25 | -0.25 |
| 60 | West Virginia | Big East | 5-4 | 0.56 | 12.03 | -2.89 | 14.81 | 3.95 | 1.05 |
| 61 | Virginia | ACC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 12.01 | -1.44 | 8.83 | 4.13 | 0.87 |
| 62 | Akron | Mid-American | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.85 | 1 | 10.75 | 5.2 | -0.2 |
| 63 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.88 | -1.7 | 14.64 | 4.45 | 0.55 |
| 64 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.62 | -1.5 | 8.82 | 4.66 | 0.34 |
| 65 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.56 | 0.36 | 10.49 | 5.62 | -0.62 |
| 66 | Maryland | ACC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.53 | -2.4 | 11.03 | 4.4 | 0.6 |
| 67 | Idaho | Big West | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.25 | -1.4 | 6 | 4.73 | 0.27 |
| 68 | Utah | Mountain West | 4-6 | 0.4 | 10.18 | 3.4 | 10.65 | 6.05 | -2.05 |
| 69 | North Carolina | ACC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.16 | -5.3 | 14.13 | 3.7 | 1.3 |
| 70 | Tulane | Conference USA | 5-5 | 0.5 | 9.97 | -4 | 9.4 | 4.25 | 0.75 |
| 71 | Arkansas | SEC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.64 | -1.33 | 12.35 | 4.23 | -0.23 |
| 72 | Utah State | Big West | 5-5 | 0.5 | 9.62 | -6.1 | 6.91 | 3.81 | 1.19 |
| 73 | Memphis | Conference USA | 4-6 | 0.4 | 9.17 | 0 | 10.51 | 5 | -1 |
| 74 | USC | Pac-10 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.61 | -1.4 | 12.53 | 4.68 | -0.68 |
| 75 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.22 | -2.5 | 13.15 | 4.49 | -0.49 |
| 76 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.13 | -3.9 | 16.18 | 4.06 | -0.06 |
| 77 | Temple | Big East | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.96 | -3.8 | 10.99 | 4.08 | -0.08 |
| 78 | BYU | Mountain West | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.77 | -6.1 | 13.87 | 3.53 | 0.47 |
| 79 | Kansas | Big 12 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.57 | -7.7 | 12.43 | 3.43 | 0.57 |
| 80 | Penn State | Big Ten | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.07 | -4.36 | 13.17 | 4.25 | -0.25 |
| 81 | Ball State | Mid-American | 4-6 | 0.4 | 6.92 | -16.6 | 11.16 | 1.78 | 2.22 |
| 82 | Alabama | SEC | 3-7 | 0.3 | 6.69 | -0.9 | 15.99 | 4.77 | -1.77 |
| 83 | Colorado | Big 12 | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.96 | -3 | 14.57 | 4.25 | -1.25 |
| 84 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.85 | -8.33 | 12.7 | 2.19 | 0.81 |
| 85 | California | Pac-10 | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.75 | -4.3 | 15.05 | 3.94 | -0.94 |
| 86 | Rutgers | Big East | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.5 | -12.22 | 9.95 | 2.32 | 0.68 |
| 87 | New Mexico State | Big West | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.42 | -5.5 | 11.33 | 3.93 | -0.93 |
| 88 | Indiana | Big Ten | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.39 | -6.2 | 12.32 | 3.98 | -0.98 |
| 89 | Rice | Western Athletic | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.25 | -7.9 | 13.28 | 3.19 | -0.19 |
| 90 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.11 | -7.8 | 12.29 | 2.87 | 0.13 |
| 91 | Tulsa | Western Athletic | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.98 | -8.9 | 8.8 | 2.73 | 0.27 |
| 92 | Missouri | Big 12 | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.92 | -8.9 | 9.97 | 3.16 | -0.16 |
| 93 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.79 | -11.3 | 11.22 | 2.64 | 0.36 |
| 94 | Houston | Conference USA | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.77 | -14 | 11.44 | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| 95 | SMU | Western Athletic | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.73 | -10.9 | 8.73 | 2.33 | 0.67 |
| 96 | UConn | FBS Independents | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.62 | -11.9 | 4.63 | 2.64 | 0.36 |
| 97 | Louisiana Tech | FBS Independents | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.47 | -5.64 | 7.65 | 4.32 | -1.32 |
| 98 | Iowa | Big Ten | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.27 | -11.27 | 15.94 | 2.45 | 0.55 |
| 99 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.93 | -13.78 | 10.52 | 1.69 | 0.31 |
| 100 | Kentucky | SEC | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.88 | -9 | 16.22 | 3.16 | -1.16 |
| 101 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.87 | -11.56 | 8.74 | 2.55 | -0.55 |
| 102 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.81 | -8.1 | 9.86 | 2.72 | -0.72 |
| 103 | North Texas | Big West | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.36 | -14.5 | 7.69 | 1.47 | 0.53 |
| 104 | Baylor | Big 12 | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.14 | -23 | 15.37 | 0.71 | 1.29 |
| 105 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.06 | -20.5 | 11.81 | 0.97 | 1.03 |
| 106 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 2-8 | 0.2 | 1.9 | -27.4 | 8.89 | 0.87 | 1.13 |
| 107 | Army | Conference USA | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.38 | -14 | 12.66 | 2.07 | -1.07 |
| 108 | Wake Forest | ACC | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.08 | -20.67 | 9.96 | 0.86 | 0.14 |
| 109 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.05 | -18.1 | 3.5 | 1.15 | -0.15 |
| 110 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.12 | -19.9 | 10.14 | 1.26 | -0.26 |
| 111 | Kent State | Mid-American | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.14 | -20.3 | 9.57 | 0.89 | 0.11 |
| 112 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.23 | -22.8 | 13.38 | 1.18 | -0.18 |
| 113 | Arkansas State | Big West | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.23 | -14.82 | 11.82 | 2.54 | -1.54 |
| 114 | UL Monroe | FBS Independents | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.42 | -30.1 | 6.24 | 0.3 | 0.7 |
| 115 | Navy | FBS Independents | 0-9 | 0 | -2.55 | -20.89 | 15.6 | 0.93 | -0.93 |
| 116 | Duke | ACC | 0-10 | 0 | -2.62 | -23.7 | 14.53 | 0.82 | -0.82 |