Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:32.897654+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 10-0 | 1 | 25.9 | 26.8 | 13.25 | 9.11 | 0.89 |
| 2 | Florida State | ACC | 11-1 | 0.92 | 24.2 | 32.17 | 13.42 | 11.6 | -0.6 |
| 3 | Virginia Tech | Big East | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.34 | 17.3 | 13.84 | 7.92 | 1.08 |
| 4 | Miami | Big East | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.27 | 25.3 | 11.91 | 9.01 | -0.01 |
| 5 | Washington | Pac-10 | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.01 | 9.73 | 13.21 | 7.72 | 2.28 |
| 6 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.69 | 14.18 | 9.91 | 8.74 | 1.26 |
| 7 | TCU | Western Athletic | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.51 | 24.9 | 7.89 | 9.52 | -0.52 |
| 8 | Toledo | Mid-American | 9-1 | 0.9 | 21.92 | 24.1 | 4.69 | 9.42 | -0.42 |
| 9 | Florida | SEC | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.71 | 17.27 | 14.78 | 8.87 | 0.13 |
| 10 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.48 | 23.08 | 11.18 | 10.54 | -0.54 |
| 11 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 21.22 | 24.1 | 13.53 | 8.81 | -0.81 |
| 12 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.76 | 8.82 | 12.09 | 7.75 | 1.25 |
| 13 | Clemson | ACC | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.68 | 16.73 | 9.37 | 8.96 | 0.04 |
| 14 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.64 | 20.45 | 8.17 | 10.17 | -1.17 |
| 15 | Auburn | SEC | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.51 | 6.82 | 12.23 | 7.43 | 1.57 |
| 16 | Louisville | Conference USA | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.49 | 12.91 | 9.35 | 8.21 | 0.79 |
| 17 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.37 | 10.1 | 12.5 | 7.21 | 0.79 |
| 18 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.33 | 15.1 | 10.37 | 7.96 | 0.04 |
| 19 | Texas | Big 12 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.15 | 20.2 | 7.87 | 8.56 | -0.56 |
| 20 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 9-2 | 0.82 | 19.99 | 12.09 | 6.58 | 8.4 | 0.6 |
| 21 | Boise State | Big West | 9-2 | 0.82 | 19.89 | 22.09 | 3.45 | 9.16 | -0.16 |
| 22 | Michigan | Big Ten | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.98 | 15.64 | 11.89 | 8.94 | -0.94 |
| 23 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.95 | 11.45 | 12.6 | 8.39 | -0.39 |
| 24 | Purdue | Big Ten | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.76 | 11.36 | 11.96 | 8.09 | -0.09 |
| 25 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.52 | 8.18 | 12.03 | 7.01 | 0.99 |
| 26 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.39 | 13.7 | 13.02 | 8.2 | -1.2 |
| 27 | Tennessee | SEC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.32 | 14.5 | 12.46 | 7.97 | -0.97 |
| 28 | Mississippi State | SEC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.18 | 9.7 | 12.81 | 7.04 | -0.04 |
| 29 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.16 | 5.18 | 10.98 | 6.62 | 1.38 |
| 30 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.06 | 10.9 | 11.38 | 7.66 | -0.66 |
| 31 | Georgia | SEC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.88 | 10.8 | 10.91 | 7.61 | -0.61 |
| 32 | Air Force | Mountain West | 8-3 | 0.73 | 17.87 | 9.64 | 6.79 | 7.51 | 0.49 |
| 33 | LSU | SEC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.83 | 8.2 | 11.73 | 6.88 | 0.12 |
| 34 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 8-3 | 0.73 | 17.15 | 1.18 | 10.66 | 5.78 | 2.22 |
| 35 | South Carolina | SEC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.52 | 7.73 | 12.14 | 7.92 | -0.92 |
| 36 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.41 | 4.18 | 15.08 | 6.68 | 0.32 |
| 37 | Ohio | Mid-American | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.15 | 12.27 | 7.54 | 8.43 | -1.43 |
| 38 | UAB | Conference USA | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.72 | 4.18 | 9.91 | 6.87 | 0.13 |
| 39 | UCF | FBS Independents | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.71 | 10.18 | 4.93 | 7.98 | -0.98 |
| 40 | Boston College | Big East | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.67 | 13.3 | 10.04 | 7.63 | -1.63 |
| 41 | San José State | Western Athletic | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.6 | 4.36 | 7.97 | 6.4 | 0.6 |
| 42 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.58 | 9.6 | 10.68 | 7.02 | -1.02 |
| 43 | Cincinnati | Conference USA | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.29 | 1.36 | 11.49 | 5.87 | 1.13 |
| 44 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.04 | 4.7 | 11.05 | 6.33 | -0.33 |
| 45 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.86 | 5.42 | 11.89 | 7.67 | -0.67 |
| 46 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.77 | 3.8 | 9.98 | 5.98 | 0.02 |
| 47 | South Florida | FBS Independents | 7-4 | 0.64 | 14.55 | 7 | -1.64 | 7.52 | -0.52 |
| 48 | Ole Miss | SEC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.51 | 1.9 | 10.24 | 5.43 | 0.57 |
| 49 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.44 | 11.73 | 10.32 | 7.82 | -1.82 |
| 50 | NC State | ACC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.41 | 1.5 | 10.41 | 5.29 | 0.71 |
| 51 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.02 | 5.91 | 10.86 | 6.83 | -0.83 |
| 52 | Marshall | Mid-American | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.74 | 4.91 | 8.69 | 6.67 | -0.67 |
| 53 | West Virginia | Big East | 6-4 | 0.6 | 13.56 | -0.8 | 14.86 | 4.83 | 1.17 |
| 54 | Akron | Mid-American | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.5 | 3.45 | 9.51 | 6.28 | -0.28 |
| 55 | Middle Tennessee | FBS Independents | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.34 | 3.09 | 8.51 | 6.16 | -0.16 |
| 56 | Syracuse | Big East | 5-5 | 0.5 | 13.22 | 5.4 | 13.79 | 6.43 | -1.43 |
| 57 | Virginia | ACC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 13.12 | -0.6 | 9.62 | 4.83 | 1.17 |
| 58 | UNLV | Mountain West | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.93 | 6.9 | 9.94 | 6.65 | -1.65 |
| 59 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.83 | 3 | 14.3 | 5.8 | -0.8 |
| 60 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 12.24 | -1.27 | 14.04 | 5.23 | 0.77 |
| 61 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.14 | 1.1 | 12.48 | 5.25 | -0.25 |
| 62 | North Carolina | ACC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.9 | -1.36 | 12.22 | 5.15 | 0.85 |
| 63 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.65 | -1.27 | 8.94 | 5.17 | 0.83 |
| 64 | Tulane | Conference USA | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.6 | -1.55 | 9.52 | 5.17 | 0.83 |
| 65 | Arkansas | SEC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.16 | -0.5 | 12.56 | 4.88 | 0.12 |
| 66 | Illinois | Big Ten | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.78 | 0.73 | 11.04 | 5.68 | -0.68 |
| 67 | Utah | Mountain West | 4-6 | 0.4 | 10.23 | 3.4 | 10.26 | 6.05 | -2.05 |
| 68 | USC | Pac-10 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.77 | -1 | 12.38 | 5.26 | -0.26 |
| 69 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.4 | -3.27 | 14.11 | 4.42 | 0.58 |
| 70 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.4 | -3 | 14.89 | 4.73 | 0.27 |
| 71 | Maryland | ACC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.22 | -3.36 | 12.02 | 4.6 | 0.4 |
| 72 | BYU | Mountain West | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.21 | -3.36 | 13.34 | 4.6 | 0.4 |
| 73 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.84 | -1.67 | 10.59 | 5.41 | -0.41 |
| 74 | Penn State | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.66 | -2.42 | 12.75 | 5.26 | -0.26 |
| 75 | Idaho | Big West | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.64 | -5.09 | 7.46 | 4.46 | 0.54 |
| 76 | Utah State | Big West | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.42 | -5.82 | 5.79 | 4.23 | 0.77 |
| 77 | Ball State | Mid-American | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.12 | -12.45 | 10.43 | 2.58 | 2.42 |
| 78 | Memphis | Conference USA | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.37 | -2.09 | 10.8 | 4.71 | -0.71 |
| 79 | Temple | Big East | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.98 | -4.09 | 11.32 | 4.33 | -0.33 |
| 80 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.82 | -6.64 | 14.11 | 4.03 | -0.03 |
| 81 | Kansas | Big 12 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.53 | -8.91 | 12.83 | 3.52 | 0.48 |
| 82 | Tulsa | Western Athletic | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.44 | -7.09 | 9.91 | 3.47 | 0.53 |
| 83 | Colorado | Big 12 | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.89 | -3 | 14.21 | 4.25 | -1.25 |
| 84 | Alabama | SEC | 3-8 | 0.27 | 5.64 | -1.64 | 15.89 | 5.01 | -2.01 |
| 85 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.13 | -7.8 | 11.31 | 2.87 | 0.13 |
| 86 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.06 | -9.6 | 12.57 | 2.32 | 0.68 |
| 87 | California | Pac-10 | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.96 | -4.45 | 14.14 | 4.33 | -1.33 |
| 88 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.85 | -8.7 | 8.24 | 3.27 | -0.27 |
| 89 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.85 | -9.6 | 9.85 | 2.79 | 0.21 |
| 90 | Rutgers | Big East | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.72 | -13.8 | 10.59 | 2.34 | 0.66 |
| 91 | New Mexico State | Big West | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.66 | -5.64 | 10.23 | 4.28 | -1.28 |
| 92 | Rice | Western Athletic | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.51 | -7.73 | 12.25 | 3.59 | -0.59 |
| 93 | Indiana | Big Ten | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.5 | -8.18 | 12.84 | 4 | -1 |
| 94 | Missouri | Big 12 | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.39 | -8.45 | 10.75 | 3.56 | -0.56 |
| 95 | SMU | Western Athletic | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.18 | -10.55 | 9.31 | 2.53 | 0.47 |
| 96 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.11 | -12.82 | 11.31 | 2.5 | 0.5 |
| 97 | Houston | Conference USA | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.07 | -14.45 | 12.67 | 2.3 | 0.7 |
| 98 | Louisiana Tech | FBS Independents | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.99 | -6.58 | 7.28 | 4.45 | -1.45 |
| 99 | North Texas | Big West | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.93 | -12.55 | 7.93 | 2.07 | 0.93 |
| 100 | Iowa | Big Ten | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.9 | -10.58 | 15.22 | 2.88 | 0.12 |
| 101 | UConn | FBS Independents | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.88 | -13.45 | 5.18 | 2.51 | 0.49 |
| 102 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.79 | -8.1 | 9.98 | 2.72 | -0.72 |
| 103 | Kentucky | SEC | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.2 | -11.73 | 15.91 | 3.02 | -1.02 |
| 104 | Wake Forest | ACC | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.18 | -16.3 | 8.68 | 1.66 | 0.34 |
| 105 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.66 | -21.73 | 11.98 | 0.92 | 1.08 |
| 106 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.64 | -20.18 | 12.84 | 1.64 | 0.36 |
| 107 | Baylor | Big 12 | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.63 | -23.45 | 14.04 | 0.84 | 1.16 |
| 108 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.52 | -25 | 9.14 | 1.08 | 0.92 |
| 109 | Army | Conference USA | 1-9 | 0.1 | 0.12 | -14.6 | 12.88 | 2.11 | -1.11 |
| 110 | Arkansas State | Big West | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.14 | -14.82 | 11.54 | 2.54 | -1.54 |
| 111 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.21 | -16.73 | 4.54 | 1.65 | -0.65 |
| 112 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.36 | -20.27 | 11.35 | 1.33 | -0.33 |
| 113 | Kent State | Mid-American | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.38 | -21 | 9.29 | 0.88 | 0.12 |
| 114 | UL Monroe | FBS Independents | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.6 | -29 | 4.75 | 0.33 | 0.67 |
| 115 | Navy | FBS Independents | 0-10 | 0 | -2.51 | -21.1 | 14.05 | 1.13 | -1.13 |
| 116 | Duke | ACC | 0-11 | 0 | -2.64 | -25 | 13.92 | 0.9 | -0.9 |