Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:32.898772+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 12-0 | 1 | 25.4 | 23 | 12.35 | 10.7 | 1.3 |
| 2 | Florida State | ACC | 11-1 | 0.92 | 24.09 | 32.17 | 13.72 | 11.6 | -0.6 |
| 3 | Miami | Big East | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.4 | 27.18 | 11.97 | 10.09 | -0.09 |
| 4 | Virginia Tech | Big East | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.34 | 17.64 | 13.44 | 8.76 | 1.24 |
| 5 | Washington | Pac-10 | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.74 | 9.73 | 12.53 | 7.72 | 2.28 |
| 6 | TCU | Western Athletic | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.66 | 27.64 | 7.91 | 10.57 | -0.57 |
| 7 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.38 | 14.18 | 9.03 | 8.74 | 1.26 |
| 8 | Toledo | Mid-American | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22 | 25 | 4.74 | 10.34 | -0.34 |
| 9 | Florida | SEC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.67 | 17.67 | 14.44 | 9.84 | 0.16 |
| 10 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.22 | 22.09 | 12.11 | 9.45 | -0.45 |
| 11 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.77 | 14.82 | 11.24 | 8.76 | 0.24 |
| 12 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.65 | 10.73 | 11.96 | 8.03 | 0.97 |
| 13 | Clemson | ACC | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.55 | 16.73 | 9.35 | 8.96 | 0.04 |
| 14 | Texas | Big 12 | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.54 | 20.73 | 8.36 | 9.47 | -0.47 |
| 15 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.48 | 8.82 | 11.75 | 7.75 | 1.25 |
| 16 | Louisville | Conference USA | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.31 | 12.91 | 9.03 | 8.21 | 0.79 |
| 17 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 10-3 | 0.77 | 20.03 | 21.08 | 12.06 | 11.16 | -1.16 |
| 18 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 9-2 | 0.82 | 19.89 | 12.09 | 6.79 | 8.4 | 0.6 |
| 19 | Boise State | Big West | 9-2 | 0.82 | 19.72 | 22.09 | 3.21 | 9.16 | -0.16 |
| 20 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.97 | 18.33 | 8.81 | 10.85 | -1.85 |
| 21 | Michigan | Big Ten | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.78 | 15.64 | 11.34 | 8.94 | -0.94 |
| 22 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.76 | 11.45 | 12.7 | 8.39 | -0.39 |
| 23 | Purdue | Big Ten | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.64 | 11.36 | 11.94 | 8.09 | -0.09 |
| 24 | Tennessee | SEC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.59 | 13.36 | 10.8 | 8.55 | -0.55 |
| 25 | Auburn | SEC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.51 | 4.42 | 12.42 | 7.42 | 1.58 |
| 26 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.4 | 8.18 | 11.93 | 7.01 | 0.99 |
| 27 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 8-3 | 0.73 | 17.95 | 5.18 | 10.96 | 6.62 | 1.38 |
| 28 | Air Force | Mountain West | 8-3 | 0.73 | 17.79 | 9.64 | 6.99 | 7.51 | 0.49 |
| 29 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 8-3 | 0.73 | 17.06 | 1.18 | 10.42 | 5.78 | 2.22 |
| 30 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.96 | 5.17 | 13.74 | 7.57 | 0.43 |
| 31 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.69 | 10.09 | 13.4 | 8.18 | -1.18 |
| 32 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.48 | 9.45 | 12.11 | 8.19 | -1.19 |
| 33 | Mississippi State | SEC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.39 | 7.45 | 12.73 | 7.2 | -0.2 |
| 34 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.33 | 9.18 | 11.12 | 7.74 | -0.74 |
| 35 | Georgia | SEC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.33 | 8.73 | 11.44 | 7.9 | -0.9 |
| 36 | South Carolina | SEC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.27 | 7.73 | 11.6 | 7.92 | -0.92 |
| 37 | Ohio | Mid-American | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.08 | 12.27 | 7.69 | 8.43 | -1.43 |
| 38 | LSU | SEC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.07 | 6.45 | 11.03 | 7.25 | -0.25 |
| 39 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.94 | 6.27 | 10.14 | 7.26 | -0.26 |
| 40 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.91 | 5.18 | 10.97 | 7.02 | -0.02 |
| 41 | UCF | FBS Independents | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.6 | 10.18 | 5 | 7.98 | -0.98 |
| 42 | Ole Miss | SEC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.57 | 3.09 | 10.78 | 6.24 | 0.76 |
| 43 | UAB | Conference USA | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.55 | 4.18 | 9.2 | 6.87 | 0.13 |
| 44 | NC State | ACC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.4 | 3 | 9.56 | 6.16 | 0.84 |
| 45 | Cincinnati | Conference USA | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.18 | 1.36 | 11.15 | 5.87 | 1.13 |
| 46 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.64 | 5.42 | 11.45 | 7.67 | -0.67 |
| 47 | UNLV | Mountain West | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.51 | 6.5 | 9.32 | 7.8 | -0.8 |
| 48 | South Florida | FBS Independents | 7-4 | 0.64 | 14.44 | 7 | -2.06 | 7.52 | -0.52 |
| 49 | Marshall | Mid-American | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.37 | 4.92 | 9.65 | 7.32 | -0.32 |
| 50 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.36 | 11.73 | 10.23 | 7.82 | -1.82 |
| 51 | Syracuse | Big East | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.36 | 7.45 | 13.04 | 7.53 | -1.53 |
| 52 | Boston College | Big East | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.2 | 7.91 | 11.28 | 7.31 | -1.31 |
| 53 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.93 | 5.91 | 10.7 | 6.83 | -0.83 |
| 54 | San José State | Western Athletic | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.6 | 1.42 | 8.95 | 6.33 | 0.67 |
| 55 | Akron | Mid-American | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.46 | 3.45 | 9.49 | 6.28 | -0.28 |
| 56 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.43 | 2.18 | 11.71 | 6.05 | -0.05 |
| 57 | Middle Tennessee | FBS Independents | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.2 | 3.09 | 7.73 | 6.16 | -0.16 |
| 58 | Arkansas | SEC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 12.9 | 0.55 | 12.07 | 5.65 | 0.35 |
| 59 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 12.08 | -1.27 | 13.97 | 5.23 | 0.77 |
| 60 | West Virginia | Big East | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.99 | -1.64 | 14.27 | 5.13 | 0.87 |
| 61 | North Carolina | ACC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.93 | -1.36 | 12.67 | 5.15 | 0.85 |
| 62 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.61 | -1.27 | 8.91 | 5.17 | 0.83 |
| 63 | Tulane | Conference USA | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.52 | -1.55 | 8.92 | 5.17 | 0.83 |
| 64 | Virginia | ACC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.51 | -2.45 | 11.37 | 4.77 | 1.23 |
| 65 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.14 | 1.55 | 13.48 | 5.95 | -0.95 |
| 66 | Illinois | Big Ten | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.6 | 0.73 | 10.8 | 5.68 | -0.68 |
| 67 | BYU | Mountain West | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.45 | -2.5 | 12.41 | 5.28 | 0.72 |
| 68 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.33 | -3 | 14.29 | 4.73 | 0.27 |
| 69 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.26 | -3.27 | 14.03 | 4.42 | 0.58 |
| 70 | Maryland | ACC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.12 | -3.36 | 12.34 | 4.6 | 0.4 |
| 71 | Utah | Mountain West | 4-7 | 0.36 | 9.03 | 2.45 | 9.69 | 6.29 | -2.29 |
| 72 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.71 | -1.67 | 10.6 | 5.41 | -0.41 |
| 73 | USC | Pac-10 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.66 | -2.33 | 12.41 | 5.39 | -0.39 |
| 74 | Penn State | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.64 | -2.42 | 12.43 | 5.26 | -0.26 |
| 75 | Idaho | Big West | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.49 | -5.09 | 7.14 | 4.46 | 0.54 |
| 76 | Utah State | Big West | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.32 | -5.82 | 5.85 | 4.23 | 0.77 |
| 77 | Tulsa | Western Athletic | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.18 | -3.58 | 9.03 | 4.84 | 0.16 |
| 78 | Ball State | Mid-American | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.08 | -12.45 | 10 | 2.58 | 2.42 |
| 79 | Memphis | Conference USA | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.22 | -2.09 | 10.32 | 4.71 | -0.71 |
| 80 | Temple | Big East | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.87 | -4.09 | 11.12 | 4.33 | -0.33 |
| 81 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.69 | -6.64 | 13.7 | 4.03 | -0.03 |
| 82 | Kansas | Big 12 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.42 | -8.91 | 12.54 | 3.52 | 0.48 |
| 83 | Alabama | SEC | 3-8 | 0.27 | 5.51 | -1.64 | 14.86 | 5.01 | -2.01 |
| 84 | Colorado | Big 12 | 3-8 | 0.27 | 5.19 | -2.91 | 14.76 | 4.73 | -1.73 |
| 85 | California | Pac-10 | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.88 | -4.45 | 13.8 | 4.33 | -1.33 |
| 86 | New Mexico State | Big West | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.58 | -5.64 | 9.82 | 4.28 | -1.28 |
| 87 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.47 | -7.27 | 11.44 | 3.36 | -0.36 |
| 88 | Rice | Western Athletic | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.45 | -7.73 | 12.33 | 3.59 | -0.59 |
| 89 | Indiana | Big Ten | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.44 | -8.18 | 12.99 | 4 | -1 |
| 90 | Missouri | Big 12 | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.33 | -8.45 | 10.59 | 3.56 | -0.56 |
| 91 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.32 | -9.36 | 12.53 | 2.7 | 0.3 |
| 92 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.28 | -9.18 | 10.96 | 3.04 | -0.04 |
| 93 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.05 | -12.82 | 11.07 | 2.5 | 0.5 |
| 94 | Houston | Conference USA | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.99 | -14.45 | 11.99 | 2.3 | 0.7 |
| 95 | North Texas | Big West | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.95 | -12.55 | 7.44 | 2.07 | 0.93 |
| 96 | Louisiana Tech | FBS Independents | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.95 | -6.58 | 7.58 | 4.45 | -1.45 |
| 97 | Rutgers | Big East | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.93 | -15.09 | 11.1 | 2.4 | 0.6 |
| 98 | Iowa | Big Ten | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.85 | -10.58 | 14.9 | 2.88 | 0.12 |
| 99 | UConn | FBS Independents | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.83 | -13.45 | 5.4 | 2.51 | 0.49 |
| 100 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.82 | -8.75 | 9.45 | 3.92 | -0.92 |
| 101 | SMU | Western Athletic | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.5 | -14.25 | 10.47 | 2.06 | 0.94 |
| 102 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.16 | -10.45 | 11.32 | 2.54 | -0.54 |
| 103 | Kentucky | SEC | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.14 | -11.73 | 15.01 | 3.02 | -1.02 |
| 104 | Wake Forest | ACC | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.8 | -16.45 | 9.55 | 1.78 | 0.22 |
| 105 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.63 | -21.73 | 12.27 | 0.92 | 1.08 |
| 106 | Baylor | Big 12 | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.6 | -23.45 | 14.27 | 0.84 | 1.16 |
| 107 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.49 | -25 | 9.28 | 1.08 | 0.92 |
| 108 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.41 | -21.42 | 12.08 | 1.54 | 0.46 |
| 109 | Army | Conference USA | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.06 | -13.45 | 11.5 | 2.54 | -1.54 |
| 110 | Arkansas State | Big West | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.13 | -14.82 | 11.06 | 2.54 | -1.54 |
| 111 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.21 | -16.73 | 4.81 | 1.65 | -0.65 |
| 112 | Navy | FBS Independents | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.33 | -19 | 12.94 | 1.54 | -0.54 |
| 113 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.37 | -20.27 | 11.21 | 1.33 | -0.33 |
| 114 | Kent State | Mid-American | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.39 | -21 | 9.51 | 0.88 | 0.12 |
| 115 | UL Monroe | FBS Independents | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.61 | -29 | 5.04 | 0.33 | 0.67 |
| 116 | Duke | ACC | 0-11 | 0 | -2.62 | -25 | 14.06 | 0.9 | -0.9 |