Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:32.899913+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 12-0 | 1 | 25.26 | 23 | 12.26 | 10.7 | 1.3 |
| 2 | Florida State | ACC | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.93 | 32.17 | 13.52 | 11.6 | -0.6 |
| 3 | Virginia Tech | Big East | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.54 | 17.92 | 13.9 | 9.61 | 1.39 |
| 4 | Miami | Big East | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.28 | 27.18 | 11.96 | 10.09 | -0.09 |
| 5 | Washington | Pac-10 | 11-1 | 0.92 | 22.9 | 9.75 | 12.83 | 8.41 | 2.59 |
| 6 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 11-1 | 0.92 | 22.71 | 15.67 | 9.93 | 9.82 | 1.18 |
| 7 | Toledo | Mid-American | 10-1 | 0.91 | 21.88 | 25 | 4.69 | 10.34 | -0.34 |
| 8 | Florida | SEC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.55 | 17.67 | 14.39 | 9.84 | 0.16 |
| 9 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.47 | 24.33 | 12.55 | 10.5 | -0.5 |
| 10 | TCU | Western Athletic | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.83 | 24.75 | 8.64 | 11.29 | -1.29 |
| 11 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.65 | 8.5 | 12.27 | 8.31 | 1.69 |
| 12 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 11-3 | 0.79 | 20.41 | 20.57 | 12.43 | 11.95 | -0.95 |
| 13 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.13 | 11.5 | 7.82 | 9.08 | 0.92 |
| 14 | Boise State | Big West | 10-2 | 0.83 | 19.98 | 21.5 | 4.24 | 9.94 | 0.06 |
| 15 | Michigan | Big Ten | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.15 | 14.58 | 11.86 | 9.52 | -0.52 |
| 16 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.04 | 12.42 | 11.52 | 9.13 | -0.13 |
| 17 | Texas | Big 12 | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19 | 18.58 | 9.31 | 9.98 | -0.98 |
| 18 | Clemson | ACC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.93 | 13.58 | 10.34 | 9.18 | -0.18 |
| 19 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.86 | 18.33 | 8.74 | 10.85 | -1.85 |
| 20 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.85 | 7.17 | 12.82 | 7.92 | 1.08 |
| 21 | Louisville | Conference USA | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.74 | 11.42 | 9.93 | 8.72 | 0.28 |
| 22 | Air Force | Mountain West | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.2 | 9.08 | 7.78 | 8.05 | 0.95 |
| 23 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 9-3 | 0.75 | 17.64 | 1.75 | 10.88 | 6.45 | 2.55 |
| 24 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.25 | 4.85 | 13.53 | 8.11 | 0.89 |
| 25 | Purdue | Big Ten | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.21 | 9.58 | 12.77 | 8.41 | -0.41 |
| 26 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.19 | 9.08 | 12.91 | 8.65 | -0.65 |
| 27 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.15 | 9.25 | 12.77 | 8.85 | -0.85 |
| 28 | Tennessee | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.14 | 11.08 | 11.46 | 8.82 | -0.82 |
| 29 | Auburn | SEC | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.04 | 3.85 | 12.72 | 7.81 | 1.19 |
| 30 | Georgia | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.97 | 9.92 | 11.09 | 8.9 | -0.9 |
| 31 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.96 | 9.5 | 11.41 | 8.46 | -0.46 |
| 32 | South Carolina | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.96 | 8.5 | 12.01 | 8.91 | -0.91 |
| 33 | Mississippi State | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.94 | 7 | 12.8 | 7.68 | 0.32 |
| 34 | LSU | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.78 | 7.08 | 11.59 | 8.1 | -0.1 |
| 35 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.49 | 3.42 | 12.48 | 6.69 | 1.31 |
| 36 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.37 | 3.5 | 11.48 | 6.83 | 1.17 |
| 37 | NC State | ACC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.07 | 3.42 | 9.75 | 6.81 | 1.19 |
| 38 | Ohio | Mid-American | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.99 | 12.27 | 7.63 | 8.43 | -1.43 |
| 39 | UCF | FBS Independents | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.51 | 10.18 | 4.96 | 7.98 | -0.98 |
| 40 | UAB | Conference USA | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.47 | 4.18 | 9.2 | 6.87 | 0.13 |
| 41 | UNLV | Mountain West | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.42 | 7.31 | 9.39 | 8.7 | -0.7 |
| 42 | Marshall | Mid-American | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.26 | 5.38 | 10.01 | 8.1 | -0.1 |
| 43 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.21 | 9.08 | 13.56 | 8.51 | -1.51 |
| 44 | Boston College | Big East | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.85 | 8.42 | 11.28 | 8.12 | -1.12 |
| 45 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.51 | 5.5 | 10.58 | 7.62 | -0.62 |
| 46 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.42 | 4.08 | 11.47 | 7.27 | -0.27 |
| 47 | South Florida | FBS Independents | 7-4 | 0.64 | 14.37 | 7 | -2.01 | 7.52 | -0.52 |
| 48 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.28 | 11.73 | 10.16 | 7.82 | -1.82 |
| 49 | Syracuse | Big East | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.28 | 7.45 | 13.02 | 7.53 | -1.53 |
| 50 | Ole Miss | SEC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.92 | 1.92 | 10.79 | 6.48 | 0.52 |
| 51 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.53 | 4 | 11.74 | 7.8 | -0.8 |
| 52 | San José State | Western Athletic | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.5 | 1.42 | 8.75 | 6.33 | 0.67 |
| 53 | Cincinnati | Conference USA | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.38 | 0.33 | 11.41 | 6.1 | 0.9 |
| 54 | Akron | Mid-American | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.38 | 3.45 | 9.43 | 6.28 | -0.28 |
| 55 | Middle Tennessee | FBS Independents | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.13 | 3.09 | 7.67 | 6.16 | -0.16 |
| 56 | West Virginia | Big East | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.01 | -0.58 | 14.35 | 5.86 | 1.14 |
| 57 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.66 | 4.75 | 11.02 | 7.16 | -1.16 |
| 58 | North Carolina | ACC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.85 | -1.36 | 12.47 | 5.15 | 0.85 |
| 59 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.82 | 0.83 | 11.91 | 6.23 | -0.23 |
| 60 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.54 | -1.27 | 8.85 | 5.17 | 0.83 |
| 61 | Tulane | Conference USA | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.46 | -1.55 | 8.94 | 5.17 | 0.83 |
| 62 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.06 | 1.55 | 13.25 | 5.95 | -0.95 |
| 63 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.91 | -1.25 | 14 | 5.7 | 0.3 |
| 64 | Arkansas | SEC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.87 | -0.92 | 12.33 | 5.72 | 0.28 |
| 65 | Illinois | Big Ten | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.54 | 0.73 | 10.73 | 5.68 | -0.68 |
| 66 | BYU | Mountain West | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.39 | -2.5 | 12.3 | 5.28 | 0.72 |
| 67 | Virginia | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.04 | -4.17 | 11.78 | 4.69 | 1.31 |
| 68 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.27 | -3 | 14.06 | 4.73 | 0.27 |
| 69 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.21 | -3.27 | 13.94 | 4.42 | 0.58 |
| 70 | Maryland | ACC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.06 | -3.36 | 12.14 | 4.6 | 0.4 |
| 71 | Utah | Mountain West | 4-7 | 0.36 | 8.98 | 2.45 | 9.72 | 6.29 | -2.29 |
| 72 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.66 | -1.67 | 10.62 | 5.41 | -0.41 |
| 73 | USC | Pac-10 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.6 | -2.33 | 12.2 | 5.39 | -0.39 |
| 74 | Penn State | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.59 | -2.42 | 12.35 | 5.26 | -0.26 |
| 75 | Idaho | Big West | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.45 | -5.09 | 7.08 | 4.46 | 0.54 |
| 76 | Utah State | Big West | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.26 | -5.82 | 5.67 | 4.23 | 0.77 |
| 77 | Tulsa | Western Athletic | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.12 | -3.58 | 8.83 | 4.84 | 0.16 |
| 78 | Ball State | Mid-American | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.03 | -12.45 | 9.92 | 2.58 | 2.42 |
| 79 | Memphis | Conference USA | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.18 | -2.09 | 10.32 | 4.71 | -0.71 |
| 80 | Temple | Big East | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.84 | -4.09 | 11.13 | 4.33 | -0.33 |
| 81 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.64 | -6.64 | 13.47 | 4.03 | -0.03 |
| 82 | Kansas | Big 12 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.38 | -8.91 | 12.44 | 3.52 | 0.48 |
| 83 | Alabama | SEC | 3-8 | 0.27 | 5.48 | -1.64 | 14.64 | 5.01 | -2.01 |
| 84 | Colorado | Big 12 | 3-8 | 0.27 | 5.16 | -2.91 | 14.65 | 4.73 | -1.73 |
| 85 | California | Pac-10 | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.85 | -4.45 | 13.57 | 4.33 | -1.33 |
| 86 | New Mexico State | Big West | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.56 | -5.64 | 9.82 | 4.28 | -1.28 |
| 87 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.44 | -7.27 | 11.42 | 3.36 | -0.36 |
| 88 | Rice | Western Athletic | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.42 | -7.73 | 12.09 | 3.59 | -0.59 |
| 89 | Indiana | Big Ten | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.41 | -8.18 | 12.9 | 4 | -1 |
| 90 | Missouri | Big 12 | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.31 | -8.45 | 10.51 | 3.56 | -0.56 |
| 91 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.3 | -9.36 | 12.41 | 2.7 | 0.3 |
| 92 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.26 | -9.18 | 10.94 | 3.04 | -0.04 |
| 93 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.03 | -12.82 | 10.99 | 2.5 | 0.5 |
| 94 | Houston | Conference USA | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.97 | -14.45 | 11.98 | 2.3 | 0.7 |
| 95 | North Texas | Big West | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.93 | -12.55 | 7.47 | 2.07 | 0.93 |
| 96 | Louisiana Tech | FBS Independents | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.93 | -6.58 | 7.51 | 4.45 | -1.45 |
| 97 | Rutgers | Big East | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.91 | -15.09 | 11.1 | 2.4 | 0.6 |
| 98 | Iowa | Big Ten | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.83 | -10.58 | 14.79 | 2.88 | 0.12 |
| 99 | UConn | FBS Independents | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.81 | -13.45 | 5.42 | 2.51 | 0.49 |
| 100 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.8 | -8.75 | 9.33 | 3.92 | -0.92 |
| 101 | SMU | Western Athletic | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.48 | -14.25 | 10.26 | 2.06 | 0.94 |
| 102 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.15 | -10.45 | 11.25 | 2.54 | -0.54 |
| 103 | Kentucky | SEC | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.13 | -11.73 | 14.96 | 3.02 | -1.02 |
| 104 | Wake Forest | ACC | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.79 | -16.45 | 9.37 | 1.78 | 0.22 |
| 105 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.62 | -21.73 | 12.19 | 0.92 | 1.08 |
| 106 | Baylor | Big 12 | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.59 | -23.45 | 14.17 | 0.84 | 1.16 |
| 107 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.48 | -25 | 9.22 | 1.08 | 0.92 |
| 108 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.41 | -21.42 | 11.94 | 1.54 | 0.46 |
| 109 | Army | Conference USA | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.06 | -13.45 | 11.51 | 2.54 | -1.54 |
| 110 | Arkansas State | Big West | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.13 | -14.82 | 10.83 | 2.54 | -1.54 |
| 111 | Louisiana | FBS Independents | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.21 | -16.73 | 4.77 | 1.65 | -0.65 |
| 112 | Navy | FBS Independents | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.32 | -19 | 12.79 | 1.54 | -0.54 |
| 113 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.37 | -20.27 | 11.22 | 1.33 | -0.33 |
| 114 | Kent State | Mid-American | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.39 | -21 | 9.44 | 0.88 | 0.12 |
| 115 | UL Monroe | FBS Independents | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.6 | -29 | 4.81 | 0.33 | 0.67 |
| 116 | Duke | ACC | 0-11 | 0 | -2.61 | -25 | 13.85 | 0.9 | -0.9 |