Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:33.094841+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miami | Big East | 12-0 | 1 | 25.7 | 32.92 | 13.29 | 11.65 | 0.35 |
| 2 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.02 | 13 | 12.51 | 9.07 | 1.93 |
| 3 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.88 | 18.23 | 13.4 | 10.99 | 0.01 |
| 4 | Texas | Big 12 | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.72 | 23.85 | 11.55 | 11.67 | -0.67 |
| 5 | Florida | SEC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.72 | 30 | 13.25 | 11.19 | -1.19 |
| 6 | Tennessee | SEC | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.65 | 11.46 | 14.45 | 9.76 | 1.24 |
| 7 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.51 | 17.23 | 11.8 | 11.75 | -0.75 |
| 8 | BYU | Mountain West | 12-2 | 0.86 | 21.15 | 13.86 | 9.05 | 9.93 | 2.07 |
| 9 | Louisville | Conference USA | 11-2 | 0.85 | 20.91 | 13.15 | 9.44 | 10.32 | 0.68 |
| 10 | Maryland | ACC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.73 | 12.25 | 11.03 | 8.87 | 1.13 |
| 11 | Illinois | Big Ten | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.63 | 8.75 | 11.84 | 8.13 | 1.87 |
| 12 | Marshall | Mid-American | 11-2 | 0.85 | 20.57 | 11 | 8.09 | 8.9 | 2.1 |
| 13 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.53 | 12.58 | 9.96 | 8.9 | 1.1 |
| 14 | Toledo | Mid-American | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.1 | 9.17 | 8.68 | 8.14 | 1.86 |
| 15 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 11-3 | 0.79 | 19.99 | 15.43 | 11.03 | 10.65 | 0.35 |
| 16 | Colorado | Big 12 | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.55 | 7.23 | 14.63 | 8.43 | 1.57 |
| 17 | LSU | SEC | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.53 | 8.92 | 13.88 | 8.89 | 1.11 |
| 18 | Syracuse | Big East | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.34 | 6.69 | 13.83 | 8.73 | 1.27 |
| 19 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.72 | 6.92 | 12.6 | 7.52 | 1.48 |
| 20 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.62 | 13.75 | 8.72 | 8.75 | 0.25 |
| 21 | South Carolina | SEC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.47 | 6.67 | 11.17 | 8.04 | 0.96 |
| 22 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.14 | 10.73 | 9.67 | 8.12 | -0.12 |
| 23 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 8-3 | 0.73 | 17.75 | 11.09 | 6.8 | 7.69 | 0.31 |
| 24 | South Florida | FBS Independents | 8-3 | 0.73 | 17.44 | 14.18 | 3.57 | 8.5 | -0.5 |
| 25 | Virginia Tech | Big East | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.43 | 16.58 | 11.67 | 10.28 | -2.28 |
| 26 | Florida State | ACC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.28 | 8.25 | 14.7 | 7.93 | 0.07 |
| 27 | Michigan | Big Ten | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.1 | 6.92 | 13.8 | 8.05 | -0.05 |
| 28 | Utah | Mountain West | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.08 | 9.92 | 12.1 | 8.92 | -0.92 |
| 29 | Boston College | Big East | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.96 | 9.17 | 11.57 | 8.62 | -0.62 |
| 30 | Georgia | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.94 | 8.58 | 11.82 | 8.49 | -0.49 |
| 31 | Boise State | Western Athletic | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.89 | 10.92 | 10.15 | 8.56 | -0.56 |
| 32 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.41 | 8.36 | 13.1 | 7.62 | -0.62 |
| 33 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.13 | 2.92 | 10.97 | 7.07 | 0.93 |
| 34 | Ole Miss | SEC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.79 | 7.36 | 8.94 | 6.98 | 0.02 |
| 35 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.76 | 9.54 | 10.83 | 9.15 | -1.15 |
| 36 | North Carolina | ACC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.67 | 5.38 | 13.45 | 8.41 | -0.41 |
| 37 | Iowa | Big Ten | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.09 | 11.08 | 11.84 | 8.74 | -1.74 |
| 38 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.99 | 10.08 | 11.54 | 8.4 | -1.4 |
| 39 | Alabama | SEC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.92 | 7.17 | 13.02 | 8.14 | -1.14 |
| 40 | Washington | Pac-10 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 14.67 | -1.42 | 13.58 | 5.67 | 2.33 |
| 41 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.65 | 5.67 | 11.82 | 7.7 | -0.7 |
| 42 | Rice | Western Athletic | 8-4 | 0.67 | 14.63 | -0.17 | 8.39 | 5.96 | 2.04 |
| 43 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.45 | 5.25 | 10.97 | 7.29 | -0.29 |
| 44 | NC State | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.45 | 5.17 | 10.9 | 7.5 | -0.5 |
| 45 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.41 | 4.25 | 11.61 | 7.32 | -0.32 |
| 46 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.33 | 5.33 | 9.64 | 7.61 | -0.61 |
| 47 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.1 | 2 | 12.8 | 6.6 | 0.4 |
| 48 | Cincinnati | Conference USA | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.08 | 3.83 | 9.28 | 7.04 | -0.04 |
| 49 | Clemson | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.05 | 2.5 | 11.54 | 6.6 | 0.4 |
| 50 | UCF | FBS Independents | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.05 | 11.73 | 8.35 | 8.38 | -2.38 |
| 51 | Arkansas | SEC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.95 | 1.25 | 13.18 | 6.37 | 0.63 |
| 52 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.95 | 8.36 | 9.54 | 7.94 | -1.94 |
| 53 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.69 | 5.55 | 9.71 | 6.93 | -0.93 |
| 54 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.65 | 0.83 | 12.23 | 6.23 | 0.77 |
| 55 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.6 | 1.33 | 9.66 | 6.29 | 0.71 |
| 56 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 13.54 | 10.42 | 14.74 | 9.07 | -3.07 |
| 57 | UAB | Conference USA | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.51 | 5.36 | 8.2 | 7.09 | -1.09 |
| 58 | USC | Pac-10 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 13.04 | 7.58 | 12.14 | 8.44 | -2.44 |
| 59 | Troy | FBS Independents | 7-4 | 0.64 | 12.96 | -2.09 | 5.85 | 4.92 | 2.08 |
| 60 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 6-5 | 0.55 | 12.89 | 1 | 10.81 | 5.74 | 0.26 |
| 61 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.67 | 5.08 | 11.19 | 7.1 | -1.1 |
| 62 | Auburn | SEC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 12.45 | -2.25 | 14.03 | 5.29 | 1.71 |
| 63 | Wake Forest | ACC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.56 | -1.73 | 10.7 | 5.09 | 0.91 |
| 64 | TCU | Conference USA | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.31 | 0.33 | 9.22 | 6.1 | -0.1 |
| 65 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.13 | 2.55 | 11.23 | 6.17 | -1.17 |
| 66 | Kent State | Mid-American | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.07 | -3 | 8.66 | 4.69 | 1.31 |
| 67 | Memphis | Conference USA | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.64 | 1.18 | 9.93 | 5.79 | -0.79 |
| 68 | Indiana | Big Ten | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.63 | 0.64 | 12.49 | 5.65 | -0.65 |
| 69 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.6 | 1 | 10.34 | 5.76 | -0.76 |
| 70 | Purdue | Big Ten | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.55 | -2.33 | 13.6 | 5.25 | 0.75 |
| 71 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.28 | -0.09 | 13.85 | 5.47 | -0.47 |
| 72 | Air Force | Mountain West | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.85 | -4.08 | 9.48 | 5.04 | 0.96 |
| 73 | Penn State | Big Ten | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.29 | -3 | 14.47 | 4.69 | 0.31 |
| 74 | Ball State | Mid-American | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.87 | -2.55 | 7.49 | 4.86 | 0.14 |
| 75 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 8.81 | 1.18 | 12.53 | 5.73 | -1.73 |
| 76 | UNLV | Mountain West | 4-7 | 0.36 | 8.72 | 1.27 | 10.76 | 5.83 | -1.83 |
| 77 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.7 | -5.18 | 11.1 | 4.44 | 0.56 |
| 78 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.69 | -1.5 | 10.38 | 5.55 | -0.55 |
| 79 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 4-7 | 0.36 | 8.6 | 0.82 | 11.54 | 5.69 | -1.69 |
| 80 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.55 | -2.75 | 13.03 | 5.29 | -0.29 |
| 81 | Virginia | ACC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.84 | -6.83 | 11.04 | 4.05 | 0.95 |
| 82 | New Mexico State | Sun Belt | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.52 | -9.5 | 9.5 | 3.73 | 1.27 |
| 83 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7 | -3.55 | 12.67 | 4.54 | -0.54 |
| 84 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.71 | -5.27 | 11.98 | 4.43 | -0.43 |
| 85 | SMU | Western Athletic | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.54 | -6.27 | 10.9 | 3.82 | 0.18 |
| 86 | Akron | Mid-American | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.46 | -7.18 | 11.1 | 3.93 | 0.07 |
| 87 | Missouri | Big 12 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.41 | -8.18 | 11.9 | 3.52 | 0.48 |
| 88 | Temple | Big East | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.29 | -10.27 | 12.69 | 2.81 | 1.19 |
| 89 | Utah State | FBS Independents | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.24 | -9.55 | 10.72 | 3.7 | 0.3 |
| 90 | West Virginia | Big East | 3-8 | 0.27 | 5.08 | -3 | 13.35 | 4.65 | -1.65 |
| 91 | Mississippi State | SEC | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.47 | -8.36 | 15.17 | 3.15 | -0.15 |
| 92 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.29 | -7.36 | 7.58 | 3.44 | -0.44 |
| 93 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.24 | -8.64 | 9.08 | 3.5 | -0.5 |
| 94 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.2 | -9.64 | 10.14 | 2.79 | 0.21 |
| 95 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.07 | -13.18 | 13.11 | 3.02 | -0.02 |
| 96 | Baylor | Big 12 | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.99 | -13.82 | 11.9 | 2.33 | 0.67 |
| 97 | Army | Conference USA | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.96 | -12.36 | 8.4 | 2.74 | 0.26 |
| 98 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.93 | -11.91 | 6.62 | 2.84 | 0.16 |
| 99 | Kansas | Big 12 | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.77 | -19.64 | 13.21 | 1.49 | 1.51 |
| 100 | Tulane | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.59 | -12.58 | 11.11 | 3.56 | -0.56 |
| 101 | San José State | Western Athletic | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.55 | -13.83 | 12.2 | 3.09 | -0.09 |
| 102 | Kentucky | SEC | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.25 | -9.82 | 14.41 | 3.35 | -1.35 |
| 103 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.99 | -12.64 | 9.67 | 2.7 | -0.7 |
| 104 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.85 | -16 | 11.78 | 2.24 | -0.24 |
| 105 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.84 | -14.45 | 6.54 | 2.17 | -0.17 |
| 106 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.79 | -16.27 | 8.93 | 2.28 | -0.28 |
| 107 | UConn | FBS Independents | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.78 | -16.18 | 7.93 | 1.92 | 0.08 |
| 108 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.73 | -16.36 | 5.12 | 1.75 | 0.25 |
| 109 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.69 | -18.45 | 8.37 | 1.26 | 0.74 |
| 110 | Rutgers | Big East | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.48 | -25.27 | 10 | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 111 | Ohio | Mid-American | 1-10 | 0.09 | 0.06 | -11.36 | 12.05 | 2.63 | -1.63 |
| 112 | Idaho | Sun Belt | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.21 | -16.55 | 8.38 | 2.78 | -1.78 |
| 113 | Tulsa | Western Athletic | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.27 | -17.82 | 10.69 | 1.74 | -0.74 |
| 114 | California | Pac-10 | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.4 | -20.91 | 15.68 | 1.55 | -0.55 |
| 115 | Navy | FBS Independents | 0-10 | 0 | -2.21 | -16.1 | 10.31 | 1.83 | -1.83 |
| 116 | Houston | Conference USA | 0-11 | 0 | -2.52 | -22 | 14.44 | 1.37 | -1.37 |
| 117 | Duke | ACC | 0-11 | 0 | -2.59 | -25.36 | 12.68 | 1.32 | -1.32 |