Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:33.090770+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 10-0 | 1 | 26 | 27.6 | 12.63 | 9.54 | 0.46 |
| 2 | Miami | Big East | 7-0 | 1 | 25.15 | 34.57 | 7.76 | 6.83 | 0.17 |
| 3 | BYU | Mountain West | 9-0 | 1 | 24.56 | 25.11 | 6.05 | 7.51 | 1.49 |
| 4 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.03 | 20.22 | 11.79 | 8.29 | -0.29 |
| 5 | Texas | Big 12 | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.02 | 26.11 | 10.69 | 8.38 | -0.38 |
| 6 | Florida | SEC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.87 | 33.5 | 10.14 | 7.7 | -0.7 |
| 7 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.76 | 14.44 | 11.77 | 6.85 | 1.15 |
| 8 | Maryland | ACC | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.52 | 17.67 | 9.63 | 7.43 | 0.57 |
| 9 | Illinois | Big Ten | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.41 | 11.88 | 12.12 | 6.01 | 0.99 |
| 10 | Tennessee | SEC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.41 | 9.71 | 15.52 | 5.33 | 0.67 |
| 11 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.39 | 16.11 | 9.34 | 7.06 | 0.94 |
| 12 | Louisville | Conference USA | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.23 | 15.44 | 8.6 | 7.62 | 0.38 |
| 13 | Washington | Pac-10 | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.01 | 7.25 | 11.8 | 5.2 | 1.8 |
| 14 | Marshall | Mid-American | 7-1 | 0.88 | 21.67 | 12.62 | 7.61 | 5.77 | 1.23 |
| 15 | Toledo | Mid-American | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.04 | 15.14 | 5.68 | 5.49 | 0.51 |
| 16 | Syracuse | Big East | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.35 | 11.22 | 13.68 | 7.01 | -0.01 |
| 17 | Michigan | Big Ten | 6-2 | 0.75 | 20.24 | 11.62 | 16.62 | 6.17 | -0.17 |
| 18 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.05 | 9.44 | 12.93 | 6.1 | 0.9 |
| 19 | Colorado | Big 12 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.87 | 8.33 | 12.32 | 6.26 | 0.74 |
| 20 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.8 | 13.75 | 12.94 | 6.43 | -0.43 |
| 21 | Virginia Tech | Big East | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.75 | 20.62 | 10.48 | 7.24 | -1.24 |
| 22 | Florida State | ACC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.66 | 13.12 | 13.34 | 5.86 | 0.14 |
| 23 | South Carolina | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.63 | 12.11 | 8.93 | 7.25 | -0.25 |
| 24 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.25 | 16.88 | 9.46 | 6.69 | -0.69 |
| 25 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.24 | 12.67 | 6.53 | 6.43 | 0.57 |
| 26 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.16 | 5.67 | 8.51 | 5.99 | 1.01 |
| 27 | Utah | Mountain West | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.15 | 13.12 | 10.07 | 6.33 | -0.33 |
| 28 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.13 | 5.86 | 18.93 | 4.19 | 0.81 |
| 29 | Ole Miss | SEC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.11 | 12.25 | 9.09 | 5.69 | 0.31 |
| 30 | Boston College | Big East | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.96 | 12.12 | 8.87 | 6.15 | -0.15 |
| 31 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 7-2 | 0.78 | 18.83 | 2.33 | 10.91 | 5.02 | 1.98 |
| 32 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.54 | 15.25 | 5.33 | 6.31 | -0.31 |
| 33 | Georgia | SEC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.25 | 7.43 | 12.63 | 4.72 | 0.28 |
| 34 | Auburn | SEC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.2 | 1.12 | 13.59 | 4.22 | 1.78 |
| 35 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.8 | 4.29 | 12.49 | 4.18 | 0.82 |
| 36 | Purdue | Big Ten | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.48 | 0.86 | 14.77 | 3.65 | 1.35 |
| 37 | South Florida | FBS Independents | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.33 | 11.56 | 3.63 | 6.56 | -0.56 |
| 38 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.27 | 8.38 | 13.44 | 5.32 | -0.32 |
| 39 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.98 | 8.12 | 10.02 | 5.59 | -0.59 |
| 40 | LSU | SEC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.92 | 7.5 | 11.19 | 5.3 | -0.3 |
| 41 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.74 | 9.25 | 8.62 | 5.41 | -0.41 |
| 42 | NC State | ACC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.59 | 6.88 | 9.14 | 5.31 | -0.31 |
| 43 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.58 | 4.88 | 10.87 | 4.65 | 0.35 |
| 44 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.57 | 6.38 | 9.19 | 5.33 | -0.33 |
| 45 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.4 | 4.12 | 8.78 | 4.83 | 0.17 |
| 46 | Arkansas | SEC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.38 | 1.88 | 13.93 | 4.36 | 0.64 |
| 47 | Cincinnati | Conference USA | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.13 | 2.62 | 10.47 | 4.48 | 0.52 |
| 48 | North Carolina | ACC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.64 | 2.33 | 17.66 | 5.11 | -0.11 |
| 49 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.57 | 6.71 | 8.69 | 4.83 | -0.83 |
| 50 | UCF | FBS Independents | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.52 | 11.67 | 8.47 | 6.76 | -1.76 |
| 51 | Boise State | Western Athletic | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.5 | 6.44 | 10.63 | 5.62 | -0.62 |
| 52 | Rice | Western Athletic | 6-3 | 0.67 | 14.4 | -2.44 | 9.72 | 4.01 | 1.99 |
| 53 | Clemson | ACC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 14.26 | -0.12 | 10.86 | 3.98 | 1.02 |
| 54 | Air Force | Mountain West | 5-3 | 0.62 | 13.97 | 0.38 | 7.12 | 4.06 | 0.94 |
| 55 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.92 | 13 | 14.84 | 6.33 | -2.33 |
| 56 | Iowa | Big Ten | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.65 | 9 | 13.28 | 5.48 | -1.48 |
| 57 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.35 | 1.11 | 11.13 | 4.73 | 0.27 |
| 58 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.27 | 6 | 12.5 | 4.83 | -0.83 |
| 59 | UAB | Conference USA | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.6 | 4.25 | 9.02 | 4.98 | -0.98 |
| 60 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.47 | 2.25 | 11.37 | 4.47 | -0.47 |
| 61 | TCU | Conference USA | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.22 | 3.38 | 5.93 | 4.64 | -0.64 |
| 62 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.75 | 0.62 | 10.68 | 4.12 | -0.12 |
| 63 | Memphis | Conference USA | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.61 | 0.5 | 8.87 | 4.1 | -0.1 |
| 64 | USC | Pac-10 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.39 | 3 | 13.69 | 5.23 | -1.23 |
| 65 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11 | -1 | 9.94 | 3.84 | 0.16 |
| 66 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.62 | -1.9 | 11.58 | 4.59 | 0.41 |
| 67 | Alabama | SEC | 3-5 | 0.38 | 10.6 | 5.12 | 15.34 | 4.95 | -1.95 |
| 68 | Wake Forest | ACC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.4 | -2.25 | 10.21 | 3.57 | 0.43 |
| 69 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 3-5 | 0.38 | 10.34 | 4.62 | 13.28 | 4.81 | -1.81 |
| 70 | Ball State | Mid-American | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.28 | -1.88 | 7.7 | 3.63 | 0.37 |
| 71 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.63 | -1.67 | 13.49 | 4.12 | -0.12 |
| 72 | Troy | FBS Independents | 4-4 | 0.5 | 9.46 | -9.38 | 8.01 | 2.32 | 1.68 |
| 73 | Penn State | Big Ten | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.61 | -5.86 | 16.98 | 2.44 | 0.56 |
| 74 | Kent State | Mid-American | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.43 | -5.56 | 7.48 | 3.3 | 0.7 |
| 75 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.42 | -6.22 | 10.34 | 3.44 | 0.56 |
| 76 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 3-5 | 0.38 | 8.06 | -2.62 | 15.69 | 3.36 | -0.36 |
| 77 | West Virginia | Big East | 3-5 | 0.38 | 8.03 | -1.62 | 14.41 | 3.69 | -0.69 |
| 78 | UNLV | Mountain West | 3-6 | 0.33 | 7.68 | 0 | 10.97 | 4.5 | -1.5 |
| 79 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.65 | -3.62 | 12.48 | 3.3 | -0.3 |
| 80 | Missouri | Big 12 | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.52 | -4.75 | 13.04 | 3.15 | -0.15 |
| 81 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.49 | -3.75 | 13.34 | 3.25 | -0.25 |
| 82 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.28 | -4.88 | 12.14 | 2.91 | 0.09 |
| 83 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.65 | -9 | 6.78 | 2.42 | 0.58 |
| 84 | Indiana | Big Ten | 2-5 | 0.29 | 6.27 | -0.71 | 15.43 | 3.4 | -1.4 |
| 85 | Virginia | ACC | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.83 | -8.33 | 10.49 | 2.69 | 0.31 |
| 86 | New Mexico State | Sun Belt | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.8 | -8.33 | 9.88 | 2.93 | 0.07 |
| 87 | Utah State | FBS Independents | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.97 | -7.86 | 12.42 | 2.47 | -0.47 |
| 88 | SMU | Western Athletic | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.84 | -8.86 | 9.91 | 2.08 | -0.08 |
| 89 | Mississippi State | SEC | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.57 | -12.43 | 14.13 | 1.1 | 0.9 |
| 90 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.44 | -4.88 | 14.06 | 2.98 | -0.98 |
| 91 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.8 | -10.12 | 8.9 | 2.4 | -0.4 |
| 92 | San José State | Western Athletic | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.78 | -11.12 | 10.85 | 2.3 | -0.3 |
| 93 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.75 | -12.62 | 12.05 | 1.98 | 0.02 |
| 94 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.68 | -12 | 14.74 | 2.12 | -0.12 |
| 95 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.66 | -12.12 | 9.87 | 2 | 0 |
| 96 | Army | Conference USA | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.65 | -13.25 | 10.89 | 1.96 | 0.04 |
| 97 | Kansas | Big 12 | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.64 | -16 | 14.64 | 1.49 | 0.51 |
| 98 | UConn | FBS Independents | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.62 | -12.25 | 7.41 | 1.77 | 0.23 |
| 99 | Temple | Big East | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.6 | -16.25 | 13.8 | 1.25 | 0.75 |
| 100 | Baylor | Big 12 | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.52 | -20.38 | 17.66 | 0.76 | 1.24 |
| 101 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.37 | -16.12 | 7.17 | 1.56 | 0.44 |
| 102 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.34 | -16.25 | 4.94 | 0.95 | 1.05 |
| 103 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.3 | -19.25 | 7.76 | 1.09 | 0.91 |
| 104 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.26 | -6.78 | 9.68 | 2.9 | -0.9 |
| 105 | Rutgers | Big East | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.19 | -24.38 | 10.09 | 0.59 | 1.41 |
| 106 | Akron | Mid-American | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.13 | -12.11 | 14.57 | 2.17 | -0.17 |
| 107 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.99 | -12.67 | 10.62 | 1.8 | 0.2 |
| 108 | Tulane | Conference USA | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.66 | -11.2 | 12.36 | 3.19 | -1.19 |
| 109 | Ohio | Mid-American | 1-7 | 0.12 | 1.05 | -8 | 10.18 | 2.57 | -1.57 |
| 110 | Kentucky | SEC | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.58 | -15 | 16.16 | 1.62 | -0.62 |
| 111 | Tulsa | Western Athletic | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.42 | -18.38 | 10.15 | 1.22 | -0.22 |
| 112 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.39 | -18.5 | 7.55 | 0.94 | 0.06 |
| 113 | Idaho | Sun Belt | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.1 | -17 | 11.48 | 2.25 | -1.25 |
| 114 | Navy | FBS Independents | 0-7 | 0 | -2.37 | -17.14 | 13.91 | 1.15 | -1.15 |
| 115 | Houston | Conference USA | 0-8 | 0 | -2.53 | -21 | 14.53 | 1.17 | -1.17 |
| 116 | Duke | ACC | 0-9 | 0 | -2.63 | -24 | 14.07 | 1.08 | -1.08 |
| 117 | California | Pac-10 | 0-8 | 0 | -2.73 | -24 | 18.8 | 0.91 | -0.91 |