Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:33.091143+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 11-0 | 1 | 25.63 | 26 | 11.59 | 10.37 | 0.63 |
| 2 | Miami | Big East | 8-0 | 1 | 25.41 | 31.62 | 9.88 | 7.78 | 0.22 |
| 3 | BYU | Mountain West | 10-0 | 1 | 24.37 | 23.3 | 5.83 | 8.17 | 1.83 |
| 4 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.3 | 20.3 | 12.56 | 9.23 | -0.23 |
| 5 | Florida | SEC | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.25 | 33.89 | 11.44 | 8.64 | -0.64 |
| 6 | Texas | Big 12 | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.05 | 29.4 | 9.62 | 9.51 | -0.51 |
| 7 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.98 | 13.1 | 12.64 | 7.47 | 1.53 |
| 8 | Tennessee | SEC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.8 | 11.12 | 14.97 | 6.14 | 0.86 |
| 9 | Maryland | ACC | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.76 | 17.6 | 10.22 | 8.25 | 0.75 |
| 10 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.51 | 15.7 | 9.29 | 7.85 | 1.15 |
| 11 | Illinois | Big Ten | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.49 | 11.11 | 11.82 | 6.6 | 1.4 |
| 12 | Louisville | Conference USA | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.13 | 16.3 | 6.99 | 8.6 | 0.4 |
| 13 | Marshall | Mid-American | 8-1 | 0.89 | 21.99 | 11.89 | 8.85 | 6.44 | 1.56 |
| 14 | Toledo | Mid-American | 7-1 | 0.88 | 21.48 | 14 | 6.56 | 6.06 | 0.94 |
| 15 | Michigan | Big Ten | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.69 | 12.67 | 15.96 | 7.14 | -0.14 |
| 16 | Syracuse | Big East | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.64 | 11.2 | 13.22 | 7.82 | 0.18 |
| 17 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.36 | 11 | 11.61 | 7.07 | 0.93 |
| 18 | Colorado | Big 12 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.27 | 8.8 | 12.06 | 6.98 | 1.02 |
| 19 | Virginia Tech | Big East | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.2 | 22.22 | 10.25 | 8.34 | -1.34 |
| 20 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.73 | 6.88 | 17.38 | 4.89 | 1.11 |
| 21 | Utah | Mountain West | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.7 | 13.22 | 9.56 | 7.28 | -0.28 |
| 22 | Washington | Pac-10 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.16 | 3.67 | 10.81 | 5.17 | 1.83 |
| 23 | Auburn | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.13 | 1.78 | 14.46 | 4.9 | 2.1 |
| 24 | Ole Miss | SEC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.94 | 12.25 | 9.15 | 5.69 | 0.31 |
| 25 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.8 | 12.11 | 13.45 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 | Florida State | ACC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.69 | 11 | 13.15 | 6.28 | -0.28 |
| 27 | South Carolina | SEC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.67 | 7.2 | 10.29 | 6.84 | 0.16 |
| 28 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.44 | 9.8 | 7.18 | 6.75 | 0.25 |
| 29 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.36 | 9.56 | 12.53 | 6.12 | -0.12 |
| 30 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.29 | 14.89 | 8.69 | 7.14 | -1.14 |
| 31 | Boston College | Big East | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.18 | 9.56 | 10.28 | 6.57 | -0.57 |
| 32 | LSU | SEC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.18 | 8.44 | 11.89 | 6.16 | -0.16 |
| 33 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.05 | 3 | 9.82 | 5.89 | 1.11 |
| 34 | South Florida | FBS Independents | 7-3 | 0.7 | 16.95 | 13.5 | 3 | 7.58 | -0.58 |
| 35 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.93 | 8.56 | 10.03 | 6.46 | -0.46 |
| 36 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 7-3 | 0.7 | 16.92 | 1.5 | 11.69 | 5.37 | 1.63 |
| 37 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.84 | 9.11 | 8.88 | 6.62 | -0.62 |
| 38 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.81 | 12.78 | 6.12 | 6.77 | -0.77 |
| 39 | NC State | ACC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.81 | 6.78 | 10.28 | 5.91 | 0.09 |
| 40 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.79 | 8.44 | 8.96 | 5.97 | 0.03 |
| 41 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.74 | 6.89 | 9.7 | 5.5 | 0.5 |
| 42 | Arkansas | SEC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.57 | 2.44 | 13.38 | 5.04 | 0.96 |
| 43 | Georgia | SEC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.07 | 5.62 | 13.27 | 5.09 | -0.09 |
| 44 | Rice | Western Athletic | 7-3 | 0.7 | 16.02 | 0.5 | 9.12 | 5.1 | 1.9 |
| 45 | Boise State | Western Athletic | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.39 | 6.5 | 11.82 | 6.28 | -0.28 |
| 46 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.26 | 2.62 | 10.5 | 4.46 | 0.54 |
| 47 | Iowa | Big Ten | 5-4 | 0.56 | 15.1 | 12.78 | 13.25 | 6.71 | -1.71 |
| 48 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.45 | 6.71 | 9.09 | 4.83 | -0.83 |
| 49 | UAB | Conference USA | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.11 | 6.11 | 9.34 | 6.01 | -1.01 |
| 50 | Cincinnati | Conference USA | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.72 | 2.11 | 10.48 | 4.93 | 0.07 |
| 51 | Purdue | Big Ten | 5-3 | 0.62 | 13.66 | -2.5 | 13.93 | 3.49 | 1.51 |
| 52 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.65 | 2.22 | 9.5 | 4.98 | 0.02 |
| 53 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.47 | 1.67 | 10.57 | 4.85 | 0.15 |
| 54 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.41 | 1.11 | 11.05 | 4.73 | 0.27 |
| 55 | UCF | FBS Independents | 5-5 | 0.5 | 13.11 | 9.8 | 8.35 | 7.17 | -2.17 |
| 56 | USC | Pac-10 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 13.06 | 6.8 | 11.63 | 6.69 | -1.69 |
| 57 | North Carolina | ACC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.97 | 2 | 16.93 | 5.55 | -0.55 |
| 58 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 12.51 | 10.44 | 15.62 | 6.66 | -2.66 |
| 59 | Air Force | Mountain West | 5-4 | 0.56 | 12.24 | -0.44 | 7.43 | 4.42 | 0.58 |
| 60 | Clemson | ACC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 12.17 | -2 | 12.49 | 4.12 | 0.88 |
| 61 | Wake Forest | ACC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 11.87 | -1.89 | 10.62 | 4.11 | 0.89 |
| 62 | Alabama | SEC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.74 | 5.33 | 13.77 | 5.64 | -1.64 |
| 63 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.62 | 4 | 13.19 | 5.15 | -1.15 |
| 64 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.15 | -0.8 | 13.78 | 4.8 | 0.2 |
| 65 | Troy | FBS Independents | 5-4 | 0.56 | 11.03 | -4.78 | 7.54 | 3.51 | 1.49 |
| 66 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.87 | 1.33 | 11.74 | 4.79 | -0.79 |
| 67 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.7 | -1.9 | 12.29 | 4.59 | 0.41 |
| 68 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.66 | 1.33 | 11.71 | 4.81 | -0.81 |
| 69 | TCU | Conference USA | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.2 | 0.67 | 6.69 | 4.64 | -0.64 |
| 70 | Kent State | Mid-American | 5-5 | 0.5 | 9.9 | -3.7 | 8.04 | 4.1 | 0.9 |
| 71 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.86 | -0.44 | 13.38 | 4.41 | -0.41 |
| 72 | Memphis | Conference USA | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.3 | -1.89 | 10.66 | 4.1 | -0.1 |
| 73 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.27 | -1.56 | 11.47 | 4.12 | -0.12 |
| 74 | Indiana | Big Ten | 3-5 | 0.38 | 9.23 | 0.5 | 15.72 | 4.08 | -1.08 |
| 75 | Missouri | Big 12 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.07 | -2.33 | 11.32 | 4.04 | -0.04 |
| 76 | Ball State | Mid-American | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.76 | -3.11 | 7.54 | 3.82 | 0.18 |
| 77 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.63 | -5.67 | 10.53 | 3.53 | 0.47 |
| 78 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 3-6 | 0.33 | 8.61 | 1.78 | 13.58 | 4.86 | -1.86 |
| 79 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 3-5 | 0.38 | 8 | -2.62 | 16.41 | 3.36 | -0.36 |
| 80 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.56 | -7 | 11.34 | 3.73 | 0.27 |
| 81 | Penn State | Big Ten | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.55 | -5.75 | 16.65 | 2.86 | 0.14 |
| 82 | Virginia | ACC | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.42 | -7.4 | 11.43 | 3.3 | 0.7 |
| 83 | New Mexico State | Sun Belt | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.41 | -6.4 | 9.75 | 3.62 | 0.38 |
| 84 | Utah State | FBS Independents | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.1 | -6 | 11.77 | 3.1 | -0.1 |
| 85 | West Virginia | Big East | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.74 | -2.67 | 14.16 | 3.91 | -0.91 |
| 86 | UNLV | Mountain West | 3-7 | 0.3 | 6.37 | -1 | 11.02 | 4.77 | -1.77 |
| 87 | San José State | Western Athletic | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.7 | -7.78 | 10.11 | 3.24 | -0.24 |
| 88 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.6 | -8.44 | 9.09 | 3 | 0 |
| 89 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.44 | -10.78 | 6.5 | 2.45 | 0.55 |
| 90 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.19 | -5.4 | 8.36 | 3.57 | -0.57 |
| 91 | Tulane | Conference USA | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.29 | -8.91 | 11.29 | 3.89 | -0.89 |
| 92 | SMU | Western Athletic | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.82 | -10.88 | 11.6 | 2.06 | -0.06 |
| 93 | Mississippi State | SEC | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.81 | -11.75 | 13.61 | 1.39 | 0.61 |
| 94 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.54 | -6.44 | 13.49 | 3.11 | -1.11 |
| 95 | Kentucky | SEC | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.09 | -10.44 | 15.18 | 2.64 | -0.64 |
| 96 | Akron | Mid-American | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.06 | -12.11 | 14 | 2.17 | -0.17 |
| 97 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.05 | -11.56 | 11.21 | 2.43 | -0.43 |
| 98 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.01 | -12.78 | 12.61 | 2.45 | -0.45 |
| 99 | Army | Conference USA | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.97 | -12.56 | 10.22 | 2.26 | -0.26 |
| 100 | UConn | FBS Independents | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.96 | -11.67 | 7.36 | 2.19 | -0.19 |
| 101 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.91 | -14.11 | 10.75 | 2.13 | -0.13 |
| 102 | Temple | Big East | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.79 | -18.33 | 14.39 | 1.08 | 0.92 |
| 103 | Baylor | Big 12 | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.75 | -20 | 16.16 | 0.99 | 1.01 |
| 104 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.73 | -15 | 5.48 | 1.38 | 0.62 |
| 105 | Kansas | Big 12 | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.72 | -20.78 | 15.49 | 1.13 | 0.87 |
| 106 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.7 | -16.89 | 7.78 | 1.77 | 0.23 |
| 107 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.64 | -18.33 | 7.77 | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| 108 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.52 | -12.8 | 11.4 | 1.84 | 0.16 |
| 109 | Rutgers | Big East | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.42 | -26.33 | 9.88 | 0.49 | 1.51 |
| 110 | Ohio | Mid-American | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.7 | -9 | 10.88 | 2.58 | -1.58 |
| 111 | Idaho | Sun Belt | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.21 | -17 | 11.41 | 2.25 | -1.25 |
| 112 | Tulsa | Western Athletic | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.13 | -19.33 | 10.39 | 1.43 | -0.43 |
| 113 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.11 | -20 | 8.44 | 0.94 | 0.06 |
| 114 | Navy | FBS Independents | 0-8 | 0 | -2.31 | -16.75 | 12.13 | 1.44 | -1.44 |
| 115 | Houston | Conference USA | 0-9 | 0 | -2.54 | -21.33 | 14.8 | 1.22 | -1.22 |
| 116 | Duke | ACC | 0-9 | 0 | -2.61 | -24 | 13.6 | 1.08 | -1.08 |
| 117 | California | Pac-10 | 0-9 | 0 | -2.76 | -25.89 | 17.93 | 0.9 | -0.9 |