Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:33.091514+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miami | Big East | 9-0 | 1 | 25.57 | 34.67 | 10.74 | 8.83 | 0.17 |
| 2 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 11-0 | 1 | 25.52 | 26 | 11.51 | 10.37 | 0.63 |
| 3 | BYU | Mountain West | 11-0 | 1 | 24.51 | 21.45 | 7.29 | 8.87 | 2.13 |
| 4 | Florida | SEC | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.48 | 32.9 | 11.96 | 9.57 | -0.57 |
| 5 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.4 | 20 | 12.33 | 10.11 | -0.11 |
| 6 | Texas | Big 12 | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.98 | 29.4 | 9.68 | 9.51 | -0.51 |
| 7 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.93 | 13.1 | 12.7 | 7.47 | 1.53 |
| 8 | Maryland | ACC | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.89 | 16.36 | 10.37 | 8.94 | 1.06 |
| 9 | Illinois | Big Ten | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.68 | 11.2 | 12.02 | 7.34 | 1.66 |
| 10 | Tennessee | SEC | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.63 | 10.22 | 13.36 | 6.62 | 1.38 |
| 11 | Louisville | Conference USA | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.43 | 15.27 | 8.2 | 9.13 | 0.87 |
| 12 | Marshall | Mid-American | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.16 | 13.1 | 8.49 | 7.35 | 1.65 |
| 13 | Toledo | Mid-American | 8-1 | 0.89 | 21.52 | 14.78 | 5.68 | 7.02 | 0.98 |
| 14 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.88 | 14.27 | 11.26 | 8.31 | 0.69 |
| 15 | Michigan | Big Ten | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.74 | 11.7 | 14.03 | 7.8 | 0.2 |
| 16 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.73 | 13.18 | 10.14 | 8.28 | 0.72 |
| 17 | Virginia Tech | Big East | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.44 | 21.4 | 9.48 | 9.18 | -1.18 |
| 18 | Colorado | Big 12 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.19 | 8.8 | 11.88 | 6.98 | 1.02 |
| 19 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.93 | 6.89 | 14.35 | 5.52 | 1.48 |
| 20 | Washington | Pac-10 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 19.73 | 4.5 | 12.03 | 5.94 | 2.06 |
| 21 | Syracuse | Big East | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.6 | 4.82 | 14.3 | 6.9 | 1.1 |
| 22 | South Carolina | SEC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.23 | 7 | 10.71 | 7.51 | 0.49 |
| 23 | Utah | Mountain West | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.13 | 11.6 | 11.72 | 7.78 | -0.78 |
| 24 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.02 | 11.09 | 7.1 | 7.69 | 0.31 |
| 25 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.79 | 13.9 | 8.97 | 7.71 | -0.71 |
| 26 | Boston College | Big East | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.76 | 11.7 | 9.66 | 7.74 | -0.74 |
| 27 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.43 | 11.6 | 7.4 | 7.16 | -0.16 |
| 28 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.41 | 8.3 | 8.91 | 6.99 | 0.01 |
| 29 | Georgia | SEC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.32 | 7.22 | 14.11 | 6.05 | -0.05 |
| 30 | LSU | SEC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.26 | 8.44 | 12.5 | 6.16 | -0.16 |
| 31 | Ole Miss | SEC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.07 | 8.67 | 10.43 | 5.91 | 0.09 |
| 32 | Arkansas | SEC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.06 | 2.5 | 11.96 | 5.61 | 1.39 |
| 33 | South Florida | FBS Independents | 7-3 | 0.7 | 16.97 | 13.5 | 3.28 | 7.58 | -0.58 |
| 34 | Rice | Western Athletic | 8-3 | 0.73 | 16.94 | 1.36 | 8.48 | 5.82 | 2.18 |
| 35 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 16.85 | 3 | 9.44 | 5.89 | 1.11 |
| 36 | Boise State | Western Athletic | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.49 | 10.45 | 11.08 | 7.69 | -0.69 |
| 37 | Auburn | SEC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 15.98 | -0.8 | 13.94 | 4.8 | 2.2 |
| 38 | Iowa | Big Ten | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.9 | 13.3 | 12.12 | 7.5 | -1.5 |
| 39 | Florida State | ACC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.87 | 7.5 | 14.42 | 6.41 | -0.41 |
| 40 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.84 | 8.2 | 13.59 | 7.06 | -1.06 |
| 41 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.76 | 12.5 | 7.98 | 6.43 | -1.43 |
| 42 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.67 | 6.9 | 13.33 | 6.36 | -0.36 |
| 43 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.44 | 1.27 | 12.16 | 5.81 | 1.19 |
| 44 | NC State | ACC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.28 | 5.7 | 11.26 | 6.35 | -0.35 |
| 45 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.27 | 6.5 | 10.43 | 6.66 | -0.66 |
| 46 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.25 | 7.1 | 9.81 | 6.36 | -0.36 |
| 47 | Purdue | Big Ten | 6-3 | 0.67 | 14.96 | -1.11 | 13.83 | 4.24 | 1.76 |
| 48 | UAB | Conference USA | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.91 | 7.7 | 7.32 | 6.98 | -0.98 |
| 49 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.88 | 6.2 | 8.42 | 6.45 | -0.45 |
| 50 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.75 | 2.9 | 10.22 | 5.49 | 0.51 |
| 51 | USC | Pac-10 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.4 | 8.64 | 12.01 | 7.89 | -1.89 |
| 52 | North Carolina | ACC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.37 | 5 | 15.14 | 6.92 | -0.92 |
| 53 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.35 | 1.4 | 11.08 | 5.32 | 0.68 |
| 54 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 13.93 | 12.7 | 15.72 | 7.84 | -2.84 |
| 55 | Cincinnati | Conference USA | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.58 | 2.11 | 10.14 | 4.93 | 0.07 |
| 56 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.49 | 1.22 | 11.14 | 4.75 | 0.25 |
| 57 | Alabama | SEC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 13.31 | 7.2 | 13.95 | 6.72 | -1.72 |
| 58 | UCF | FBS Independents | 5-5 | 0.5 | 13.06 | 9.8 | 8.82 | 7.17 | -2.17 |
| 59 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 6-5 | 0.55 | 12.65 | -0.09 | 13.41 | 5.47 | 0.53 |
| 60 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.38 | 3.1 | 10.67 | 5.71 | -0.71 |
| 61 | Troy | FBS Independents | 6-4 | 0.6 | 12.09 | -2.5 | 5.52 | 4.39 | 1.61 |
| 62 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.09 | 1.5 | 11.09 | 5.37 | -0.37 |
| 63 | Memphis | Conference USA | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.94 | 1.5 | 10.15 | 5.35 | -0.35 |
| 64 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.86 | 0.8 | 10.22 | 5.19 | -0.19 |
| 65 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.73 | 0.9 | 10.11 | 5.23 | -0.23 |
| 66 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.53 | 4 | 13.44 | 5.15 | -1.15 |
| 67 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.74 | 1.33 | 11.51 | 4.81 | -0.81 |
| 68 | Clemson | ACC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.66 | -2.3 | 12.76 | 4.5 | 0.5 |
| 69 | Wake Forest | ACC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.54 | -2.2 | 11.13 | 4.51 | 0.49 |
| 70 | Air Force | Mountain West | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.14 | -2.8 | 7.49 | 4.42 | 0.58 |
| 71 | TCU | Conference USA | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.12 | 0.67 | 7.15 | 4.64 | -0.64 |
| 72 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.96 | -0.33 | 14.01 | 4.41 | -0.41 |
| 73 | Kent State | Mid-American | 5-5 | 0.5 | 9.94 | -3.7 | 8.18 | 4.1 | 0.9 |
| 74 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.62 | -2 | 13.46 | 5.01 | -0.01 |
| 75 | Penn State | Big Ten | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.12 | -3.56 | 15.96 | 3.69 | 0.31 |
| 76 | Missouri | Big 12 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.07 | -2.33 | 10.94 | 4.04 | -0.04 |
| 77 | UNLV | Mountain West | 4-7 | 0.36 | 8.77 | 1.27 | 11.12 | 5.83 | -1.83 |
| 78 | New Mexico State | Sun Belt | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.61 | -5.55 | 9.34 | 4.26 | 0.74 |
| 79 | Utah State | FBS Independents | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.59 | -3.89 | 9.26 | 3.88 | 0.12 |
| 80 | Ball State | Mid-American | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.86 | -3.2 | 8.52 | 4.24 | -0.24 |
| 81 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.69 | -5.2 | 10.69 | 4.04 | -0.04 |
| 82 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.5 | -7 | 11.36 | 3.73 | 0.27 |
| 83 | Indiana | Big Ten | 3-6 | 0.33 | 7.22 | -1.11 | 14.8 | 4.3 | -1.3 |
| 84 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 3-7 | 0.3 | 6.87 | -0.2 | 12.97 | 4.96 | -1.96 |
| 85 | Virginia | ACC | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.54 | -8 | 11.8 | 3.48 | 0.52 |
| 86 | West Virginia | Big East | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.93 | -2.7 | 13 | 4.31 | -1.31 |
| 87 | SMU | Western Athletic | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.63 | -8.56 | 10.27 | 2.7 | 0.3 |
| 88 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.52 | -4.2 | 12.44 | 4 | -1 |
| 89 | Akron | Mid-American | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.07 | -8.2 | 12.61 | 3.18 | -0.18 |
| 90 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.05 | -7.9 | 9.04 | 3.38 | -0.38 |
| 91 | San José State | Western Athletic | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.82 | -12 | 10.36 | 2.89 | 0.11 |
| 92 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.78 | -10 | 6.18 | 3.01 | -0.01 |
| 93 | Temple | Big East | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.62 | -16.2 | 13.93 | 1.41 | 1.59 |
| 94 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.39 | -7.36 | 7.83 | 3.44 | -0.44 |
| 95 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.2 | -9.64 | 10.59 | 2.79 | 0.21 |
| 96 | Tulane | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.67 | -12.58 | 11.39 | 3.56 | -0.56 |
| 97 | Mississippi State | SEC | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.17 | -10.78 | 14.33 | 1.8 | 0.2 |
| 98 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.86 | -14.11 | 10.64 | 2.13 | -0.13 |
| 99 | Kentucky | SEC | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.79 | -9.7 | 15.35 | 3.11 | -1.11 |
| 100 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.5 | -12.6 | 10.4 | 2.51 | -0.51 |
| 101 | UConn | FBS Independents | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.45 | -12.9 | 8.45 | 2.22 | -0.22 |
| 102 | Army | Conference USA | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.39 | -14.5 | 10.05 | 2.18 | -0.18 |
| 103 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.38 | -16.2 | 13.67 | 2.26 | -0.26 |
| 104 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.29 | -16.2 | 8.98 | 2 | 0 |
| 105 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.28 | -15.6 | 7.1 | 1.39 | 0.61 |
| 106 | Baylor | Big 12 | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.25 | -19.6 | 14.88 | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 107 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.19 | -17.4 | 6.76 | 1.44 | 0.56 |
| 108 | Kansas | Big 12 | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.14 | -22.9 | 15.26 | 1.04 | 0.96 |
| 109 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.13 | -17.1 | 7.98 | 1.29 | 0.71 |
| 110 | Rutgers | Big East | 2-8 | 0.2 | 1.94 | -26.8 | 10.95 | 0.5 | 1.5 |
| 111 | Ohio | Mid-American | 1-9 | 0.1 | 0.36 | -10.5 | 12.14 | 2.61 | -1.61 |
| 112 | Idaho | Sun Belt | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.03 | -17.6 | 10.69 | 2.43 | -1.43 |
| 113 | Tulsa | Western Athletic | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.06 | -18.4 | 10.15 | 1.62 | -0.62 |
| 114 | Navy | FBS Independents | 0-9 | 0 | -2.29 | -16.89 | 11.3 | 1.59 | -1.59 |
| 115 | Houston | Conference USA | 0-10 | 0 | -2.53 | -21.4 | 14.29 | 1.38 | -1.38 |
| 116 | Duke | ACC | 0-10 | 0 | -2.63 | -25.1 | 13.44 | 1.13 | -1.13 |
| 117 | California | Pac-10 | 0-10 | 0 | -2.69 | -24 | 17.95 | 1.19 | -1.19 |