Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:33.091884+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miami | Big East | 10-0 | 1 | 25.73 | 37 | 11.64 | 9.84 | 0.16 |
| 2 | BYU | Mountain West | 11-0 | 1 | 24.45 | 21.45 | 7.29 | 8.87 | 2.13 |
| 3 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.74 | 21.67 | 12.55 | 10.63 | 0.37 |
| 4 | Florida | SEC | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.39 | 32.9 | 11.78 | 9.57 | -0.57 |
| 5 | Texas | Big 12 | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.25 | 28 | 10.5 | 10.45 | -0.45 |
| 6 | Tennessee | SEC | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.89 | 13 | 12.93 | 7.93 | 1.07 |
| 7 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.8 | 13.1 | 12.36 | 7.47 | 1.53 |
| 8 | Maryland | ACC | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.75 | 16.36 | 9.88 | 8.94 | 1.06 |
| 9 | Illinois | Big Ten | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.71 | 10.73 | 11.42 | 7.94 | 2.06 |
| 10 | Marshall | Mid-American | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.04 | 13.18 | 6.86 | 8.1 | 1.9 |
| 11 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.4 | 18.08 | 11.75 | 10.83 | -0.83 |
| 12 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.06 | 14.67 | 11.1 | 9.13 | 0.87 |
| 13 | Colorado | Big 12 | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.96 | 10.36 | 13.57 | 7.85 | 1.15 |
| 14 | Louisville | Conference USA | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.63 | 12.75 | 8.71 | 9.4 | 0.6 |
| 15 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.63 | 13.18 | 10.33 | 8.28 | 0.72 |
| 16 | Virginia Tech | Big East | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.38 | 21.4 | 9.37 | 9.18 | -1.18 |
| 17 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.22 | 6.6 | 13.77 | 6.15 | 1.85 |
| 18 | Toledo | Mid-American | 8-2 | 0.8 | 19.48 | 9.8 | 6.86 | 6.89 | 1.11 |
| 19 | Michigan | Big Ten | 8-3 | 0.73 | 19.02 | 10.09 | 14.11 | 8.21 | -0.21 |
| 20 | Syracuse | Big East | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.99 | 5.33 | 14.31 | 7.62 | 1.38 |
| 21 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.39 | 10.73 | 10.21 | 8.12 | -0.12 |
| 22 | South Carolina | SEC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.22 | 7 | 10.89 | 7.51 | 0.49 |
| 23 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.14 | 12.55 | 7.72 | 7.98 | 0.02 |
| 24 | Utah | Mountain West | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.07 | 11.6 | 12.02 | 7.78 | -0.78 |
| 25 | Georgia | SEC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.04 | 7.9 | 14.01 | 6.87 | 0.13 |
| 26 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.03 | 11.09 | 7.38 | 7.69 | 0.31 |
| 27 | LSU | SEC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.9 | 7.9 | 12.98 | 6.66 | 0.34 |
| 28 | South Florida | FBS Independents | 8-3 | 0.73 | 17.69 | 14.18 | 4.13 | 8.5 | -0.5 |
| 29 | Boise State | Western Athletic | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.07 | 10.92 | 10.28 | 8.56 | -0.56 |
| 30 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.99 | 11.89 | 9.45 | 7.1 | -1.1 |
| 31 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.56 | 11.27 | 11.47 | 7.86 | -0.86 |
| 32 | Boston College | Big East | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.43 | 9.64 | 10.71 | 7.96 | -0.96 |
| 33 | Washington | Pac-10 | 8-3 | 0.73 | 16.39 | -1.18 | 13.26 | 5.23 | 2.77 |
| 34 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.35 | 11.36 | 9.21 | 8.04 | -1.04 |
| 35 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.14 | 6.45 | 11.27 | 7.31 | -0.31 |
| 36 | NC State | ACC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.03 | 7 | 9.93 | 7.36 | -0.36 |
| 37 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.82 | 5.91 | 9.25 | 7.07 | -0.07 |
| 38 | Auburn | SEC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 15.77 | -0.8 | 13.55 | 4.8 | 2.2 |
| 39 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.74 | 8.2 | 13.81 | 7.06 | -1.06 |
| 40 | Florida State | ACC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.72 | 7.5 | 14.16 | 6.41 | -0.41 |
| 41 | Arkansas | SEC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.65 | 2 | 12.44 | 6.01 | 0.99 |
| 42 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.56 | 3.73 | 9.53 | 6.24 | 0.76 |
| 43 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.32 | 1.45 | 11.03 | 5.99 | 1.01 |
| 44 | Ole Miss | SEC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.2 | 7 | 9.71 | 6.28 | -0.28 |
| 45 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 15.04 | 13.45 | 15.04 | 8.87 | -2.87 |
| 46 | UAB | Conference USA | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.91 | 7.7 | 7.39 | 6.98 | -0.98 |
| 47 | Rice | Western Athletic | 8-4 | 0.67 | 14.85 | -0.17 | 8.15 | 5.96 | 2.04 |
| 48 | Iowa | Big Ten | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.66 | 11.82 | 11.82 | 8.08 | -2.08 |
| 49 | USC | Pac-10 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.45 | 8.64 | 12.35 | 7.89 | -1.89 |
| 50 | Cincinnati | Conference USA | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.4 | 2.1 | 10.09 | 5.46 | 0.54 |
| 51 | North Carolina | ACC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.3 | 5 | 14.42 | 6.92 | -0.92 |
| 52 | UCF | FBS Independents | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.21 | 11.73 | 8.72 | 8.38 | -2.38 |
| 53 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.99 | 5.82 | 10.31 | 6.75 | -0.75 |
| 54 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.86 | 0.83 | 12.24 | 6.23 | 0.77 |
| 55 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.8 | 5.55 | 9.97 | 6.93 | -0.93 |
| 56 | Alabama | SEC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 13.26 | 7.2 | 13.24 | 6.72 | -1.72 |
| 57 | Purdue | Big Ten | 6-4 | 0.6 | 13.14 | -1.6 | 12.85 | 4.56 | 1.44 |
| 58 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.1 | 1 | 11.01 | 5.74 | 0.26 |
| 59 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 6-5 | 0.55 | 12.66 | -0.09 | 13.27 | 5.47 | 0.53 |
| 60 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.45 | 3.1 | 10.65 | 5.71 | -0.71 |
| 61 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.15 | 1.8 | 11.18 | 5.46 | -0.46 |
| 62 | Troy | FBS Independents | 6-4 | 0.6 | 12.12 | -2.5 | 5.73 | 4.39 | 1.61 |
| 63 | TCU | Conference USA | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.99 | 2.1 | 8.9 | 5.49 | -0.49 |
| 64 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.8 | 0.9 | 10.19 | 5.23 | -0.23 |
| 65 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.78 | 0.6 | 10.71 | 5.13 | -0.13 |
| 66 | Wake Forest | ACC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.67 | -1.73 | 10.94 | 5.09 | 0.91 |
| 67 | Kent State | Mid-American | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.18 | -3 | 8.99 | 4.69 | 1.31 |
| 68 | Memphis | Conference USA | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.84 | 1.18 | 10.41 | 5.79 | -0.79 |
| 69 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.82 | 1 | 10.92 | 5.76 | -0.76 |
| 70 | Penn State | Big Ten | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.64 | -2.7 | 15.39 | 4.36 | 0.64 |
| 71 | Clemson | ACC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.55 | -2.3 | 12.46 | 4.5 | 0.5 |
| 72 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 10.26 | 2.3 | 13.14 | 5.42 | -1.42 |
| 73 | Ball State | Mid-American | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.99 | -2.55 | 8.35 | 4.86 | 0.14 |
| 74 | Indiana | Big Ten | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.99 | -0.4 | 14.21 | 4.92 | -0.92 |
| 75 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.95 | -0.7 | 14.5 | 4.79 | -0.79 |
| 76 | UNLV | Mountain West | 4-7 | 0.36 | 8.82 | 1.27 | 10.78 | 5.83 | -1.83 |
| 77 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.81 | -5.18 | 11.99 | 4.44 | 0.56 |
| 78 | Air Force | Mountain West | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.76 | -4.55 | 8.67 | 4.5 | 0.5 |
| 79 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 4-7 | 0.36 | 8.69 | 0.82 | 12.42 | 5.69 | -1.69 |
| 80 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.65 | -2.75 | 12.64 | 5.29 | -0.29 |
| 81 | Missouri | Big 12 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.87 | -4.2 | 11.48 | 4.03 | -0.03 |
| 82 | New Mexico State | Sun Belt | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.68 | -9.5 | 10.2 | 3.73 | 1.27 |
| 83 | Utah State | FBS Independents | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.57 | -5.6 | 9.78 | 3.98 | 0.02 |
| 84 | SMU | Western Athletic | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.46 | -6 | 10.48 | 3.59 | 0.41 |
| 85 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.06 | -3.55 | 13.25 | 4.54 | -0.54 |
| 86 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.81 | -5.27 | 11.73 | 4.43 | -0.43 |
| 87 | Akron | Mid-American | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.5 | -7.18 | 11.58 | 3.93 | 0.07 |
| 88 | Virginia | ACC | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.47 | -8 | 11.35 | 3.48 | 0.52 |
| 89 | Temple | Big East | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.3 | -10.27 | 12.73 | 2.81 | 1.19 |
| 90 | West Virginia | Big East | 3-8 | 0.27 | 5.15 | -3 | 12.98 | 4.65 | -1.65 |
| 91 | Mississippi State | SEC | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.1 | -8.9 | 14.92 | 2.58 | 0.42 |
| 92 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.34 | -7.36 | 7.68 | 3.44 | -0.44 |
| 93 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.33 | -8.64 | 9.54 | 3.5 | -0.5 |
| 94 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.24 | -9.64 | 10.26 | 2.79 | 0.21 |
| 95 | San José State | Western Athletic | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.12 | -12.64 | 11.45 | 3.06 | -0.06 |
| 96 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.05 | -13.18 | 13.2 | 3.02 | -0.02 |
| 97 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.02 | -11.91 | 7.26 | 2.84 | 0.16 |
| 98 | Baylor | Big 12 | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.99 | -13.82 | 12.54 | 2.33 | 0.67 |
| 99 | Kansas | Big 12 | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.78 | -19.64 | 14 | 1.49 | 1.51 |
| 100 | Tulane | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.64 | -12.58 | 11.41 | 3.56 | -0.56 |
| 101 | Kentucky | SEC | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.77 | -9.7 | 15.23 | 3.11 | -1.11 |
| 102 | Army | Conference USA | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.36 | -14.5 | 9.92 | 2.18 | -0.18 |
| 103 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.32 | -16.5 | 11.91 | 1.93 | 0.07 |
| 104 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.21 | -17.1 | 8.39 | 1.29 | 0.71 |
| 105 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.03 | -12.64 | 9.8 | 2.7 | -0.7 |
| 106 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.88 | -14.45 | 6.88 | 2.17 | -0.17 |
| 107 | UConn | FBS Independents | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.83 | -16.18 | 8.06 | 1.92 | 0.08 |
| 108 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.82 | -16.27 | 8.5 | 2.28 | -0.28 |
| 109 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.77 | -16.36 | 5.63 | 1.75 | 0.25 |
| 110 | Rutgers | Big East | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.51 | -25.27 | 9.59 | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 111 | Ohio | Mid-American | 1-10 | 0.09 | 0.07 | -11.36 | 12.46 | 2.63 | -1.63 |
| 112 | Idaho | Sun Belt | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.21 | -16.55 | 9.26 | 2.78 | -1.78 |
| 113 | Tulsa | Western Athletic | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.26 | -17.82 | 11.02 | 1.74 | -0.74 |
| 114 | California | Pac-10 | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.49 | -20.91 | 16.6 | 1.55 | -0.55 |
| 115 | Navy | FBS Independents | 0-9 | 0 | -2.29 | -16.89 | 11.59 | 1.59 | -1.59 |
| 116 | Houston | Conference USA | 0-10 | 0 | -2.53 | -21.4 | 14.8 | 1.38 | -1.38 |
| 117 | Duke | ACC | 0-10 | 0 | -2.62 | -25.1 | 13.08 | 1.13 | -1.13 |