Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:33.093666+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miami | Big East | 11-0 | 1 | 25.6 | 33.82 | 12.33 | 10.71 | 0.29 |
| 2 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.55 | 21.67 | 12.91 | 10.63 | 0.37 |
| 3 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.72 | 12.18 | 11.97 | 8.15 | 1.85 |
| 4 | Maryland | ACC | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.61 | 16.36 | 10.18 | 8.94 | 1.06 |
| 5 | Illinois | Big Ten | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.49 | 10.73 | 11.23 | 7.94 | 2.06 |
| 6 | BYU | Mountain West | 12-1 | 0.92 | 22.44 | 16.31 | 8.03 | 9.54 | 2.46 |
| 7 | Florida | SEC | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.44 | 29.73 | 12.53 | 10.3 | -1.3 |
| 8 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.4 | 17.31 | 10.74 | 10.27 | 0.73 |
| 9 | Texas | Big 12 | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.35 | 25.5 | 11.35 | 11.09 | -1.09 |
| 10 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.16 | 18.08 | 11.79 | 10.83 | -0.83 |
| 11 | Tennessee | SEC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.12 | 10.08 | 14.16 | 8.74 | 1.26 |
| 12 | Colorado | Big 12 | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.05 | 9.67 | 13.93 | 8.33 | 1.67 |
| 13 | Marshall | Mid-American | 11-2 | 0.85 | 20.63 | 11 | 8.18 | 8.9 | 2.1 |
| 14 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.5 | 8.45 | 12.52 | 7.14 | 1.86 |
| 15 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.42 | 13.18 | 10.11 | 8.28 | 0.72 |
| 16 | Louisville | Conference USA | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.38 | 12.75 | 8.61 | 9.4 | 0.6 |
| 17 | Toledo | Mid-American | 9-2 | 0.82 | 19.87 | 9.36 | 8.17 | 7.45 | 1.55 |
| 18 | LSU | SEC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.01 | 8.58 | 13.17 | 8.2 | 0.8 |
| 19 | Virginia Tech | Big East | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.83 | 19.27 | 11.07 | 9.82 | -1.82 |
| 20 | Syracuse | Big East | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.77 | 5.33 | 13.78 | 7.62 | 1.38 |
| 21 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.68 | 13.75 | 8.75 | 8.75 | 0.25 |
| 22 | Michigan | Big Ten | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.68 | 10.09 | 13.24 | 8.21 | -0.21 |
| 23 | Georgia | SEC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.37 | 9.73 | 11.3 | 8.01 | -0.01 |
| 24 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.19 | 10.73 | 9.63 | 8.12 | -0.12 |
| 25 | South Carolina | SEC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.07 | 7 | 10.84 | 7.51 | 0.49 |
| 26 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 8-3 | 0.73 | 17.83 | 11.09 | 6.99 | 7.69 | 0.31 |
| 27 | South Florida | FBS Independents | 8-3 | 0.73 | 17.5 | 14.18 | 3.62 | 8.5 | -0.5 |
| 28 | Boise State | Western Athletic | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.94 | 10.92 | 10.18 | 8.56 | -0.56 |
| 29 | Florida State | ACC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.58 | 7.82 | 14.43 | 7.16 | -0.16 |
| 30 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.51 | 8.36 | 13.47 | 7.62 | -0.62 |
| 31 | Utah | Mountain West | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.46 | 10.45 | 11.9 | 8.17 | -1.17 |
| 32 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.45 | 11.27 | 11.4 | 7.86 | -0.86 |
| 33 | Boston College | Big East | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.3 | 9.64 | 11.13 | 7.96 | -0.96 |
| 34 | Washington | Pac-10 | 8-3 | 0.73 | 16.12 | -1.18 | 13.13 | 5.23 | 2.77 |
| 35 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.04 | 6.45 | 11.29 | 7.31 | -0.31 |
| 36 | Ole Miss | SEC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.85 | 7.36 | 9.04 | 6.98 | 0.02 |
| 37 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.71 | 5.91 | 9.16 | 7.07 | -0.07 |
| 38 | Arkansas | SEC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.49 | 2 | 12.57 | 6.01 | 0.99 |
| 39 | Cincinnati | Conference USA | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.49 | 4.82 | 8.42 | 6.66 | 0.34 |
| 40 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.47 | 3.73 | 9.53 | 6.24 | 0.76 |
| 41 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.17 | 1.45 | 11.3 | 5.99 | 1.01 |
| 42 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.92 | 13.45 | 14.63 | 8.87 | -2.87 |
| 43 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.85 | 9.5 | 10.4 | 8.39 | -1.39 |
| 44 | North Carolina | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.82 | 5.33 | 13.57 | 7.7 | -0.7 |
| 45 | Rice | Western Athletic | 8-4 | 0.67 | 14.68 | -0.17 | 8.42 | 5.96 | 2.04 |
| 46 | NC State | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.52 | 5.17 | 10.8 | 7.5 | -0.5 |
| 47 | Iowa | Big Ten | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.48 | 11.82 | 11.7 | 8.08 | -2.08 |
| 48 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.43 | 4.25 | 11.67 | 7.32 | -0.32 |
| 49 | Alabama | SEC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.32 | 7.73 | 12.95 | 7.54 | -1.54 |
| 50 | USC | Pac-10 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.31 | 8.64 | 12.12 | 7.89 | -1.89 |
| 51 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.11 | 2 | 12.92 | 6.6 | 0.4 |
| 52 | UCF | FBS Independents | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.09 | 11.73 | 8.33 | 8.38 | -2.38 |
| 53 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.02 | 8.36 | 9.77 | 7.94 | -1.94 |
| 54 | Auburn | SEC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 13.92 | -1.91 | 14.02 | 4.96 | 2.04 |
| 55 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.73 | 5.55 | 9.66 | 6.93 | -0.93 |
| 56 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.69 | 0.83 | 12.29 | 6.23 | 0.77 |
| 57 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.69 | 4.91 | 10 | 6.65 | -0.65 |
| 58 | UAB | Conference USA | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.57 | 5.36 | 8.43 | 7.09 | -1.09 |
| 59 | TCU | Conference USA | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.06 | 2.09 | 8.88 | 6.06 | -0.06 |
| 60 | Troy | FBS Independents | 7-4 | 0.64 | 13.01 | -2.09 | 6.04 | 4.92 | 2.08 |
| 61 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 6-5 | 0.55 | 12.92 | 1 | 10.78 | 5.74 | 0.26 |
| 62 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.76 | 5.08 | 11.41 | 7.1 | -1.1 |
| 63 | Clemson | ACC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 12.73 | 0.45 | 11.29 | 5.6 | 0.4 |
| 64 | Purdue | Big Ten | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.74 | -2 | 13.09 | 4.89 | 1.11 |
| 65 | Wake Forest | ACC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.61 | -1.73 | 10.9 | 5.09 | 0.91 |
| 66 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.18 | 2.55 | 11.5 | 6.17 | -1.17 |
| 67 | Kent State | Mid-American | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.1 | -3 | 8.59 | 4.69 | 1.31 |
| 68 | Memphis | Conference USA | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.69 | 1.18 | 10.19 | 5.79 | -0.79 |
| 69 | Indiana | Big Ten | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.66 | 0.64 | 12.55 | 5.65 | -0.65 |
| 70 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.64 | 1 | 10.35 | 5.76 | -0.76 |
| 71 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.32 | -0.09 | 13.92 | 5.47 | -0.47 |
| 72 | Air Force | Mountain West | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.87 | -4.08 | 9.33 | 5.04 | 0.96 |
| 73 | Penn State | Big Ten | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.31 | -3 | 14.47 | 4.69 | 0.31 |
| 74 | Ball State | Mid-American | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.9 | -2.55 | 7.5 | 4.86 | 0.14 |
| 75 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 8.87 | 1.18 | 12.95 | 5.73 | -1.73 |
| 76 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.77 | -1.5 | 10.54 | 5.55 | -0.55 |
| 77 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.76 | -5.18 | 11.52 | 4.44 | 0.56 |
| 78 | UNLV | Mountain West | 4-7 | 0.36 | 8.73 | 1.27 | 10.59 | 5.83 | -1.83 |
| 79 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 4-7 | 0.36 | 8.62 | 0.82 | 11.5 | 5.69 | -1.69 |
| 80 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.57 | -2.75 | 13.02 | 5.29 | -0.29 |
| 81 | Virginia | ACC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.87 | -6.83 | 11.13 | 4.05 | 0.95 |
| 82 | New Mexico State | Sun Belt | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.55 | -9.5 | 9.75 | 3.73 | 1.27 |
| 83 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.03 | -3.55 | 12.83 | 4.54 | -0.54 |
| 84 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.73 | -5.27 | 11.96 | 4.43 | -0.43 |
| 85 | SMU | Western Athletic | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.58 | -6.27 | 11.23 | 3.82 | 0.18 |
| 86 | Akron | Mid-American | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.48 | -7.18 | 11.1 | 3.93 | 0.07 |
| 87 | Missouri | Big 12 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.44 | -8.18 | 12.14 | 3.52 | 0.48 |
| 88 | Temple | Big East | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.3 | -10.27 | 12.5 | 2.81 | 1.19 |
| 89 | Utah State | FBS Independents | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.26 | -9.55 | 10.7 | 3.7 | 0.3 |
| 90 | West Virginia | Big East | 3-8 | 0.27 | 5.09 | -3 | 13.2 | 4.65 | -1.65 |
| 91 | Mississippi State | SEC | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.48 | -8.36 | 15.17 | 3.15 | -0.15 |
| 92 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.3 | -7.36 | 7.56 | 3.44 | -0.44 |
| 93 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.25 | -8.64 | 9.05 | 3.5 | -0.5 |
| 94 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.2 | -9.64 | 9.97 | 2.79 | 0.21 |
| 95 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.08 | -13.18 | 13.01 | 3.02 | -0.02 |
| 96 | Baylor | Big 12 | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.01 | -13.82 | 12.05 | 2.33 | 0.67 |
| 97 | Army | Conference USA | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.98 | -12.36 | 8.75 | 2.74 | 0.26 |
| 98 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.95 | -11.91 | 6.8 | 2.84 | 0.16 |
| 99 | Kansas | Big 12 | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.79 | -19.64 | 13.58 | 1.49 | 1.51 |
| 100 | Tulane | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.61 | -12.58 | 11.5 | 3.56 | -0.56 |
| 101 | San José State | Western Athletic | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.57 | -13.83 | 12.47 | 3.09 | -0.09 |
| 102 | Kentucky | SEC | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.26 | -9.82 | 14.59 | 3.35 | -1.35 |
| 103 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.99 | -12.64 | 9.4 | 2.7 | -0.7 |
| 104 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.85 | -14.45 | 6.54 | 2.17 | -0.17 |
| 105 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.85 | -16 | 11.9 | 2.24 | -0.24 |
| 106 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.8 | -16.27 | 8.91 | 2.28 | -0.28 |
| 107 | UConn | FBS Independents | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.79 | -16.18 | 8.08 | 1.92 | 0.08 |
| 108 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.74 | -16.36 | 5.43 | 1.75 | 0.25 |
| 109 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.7 | -18.45 | 8.69 | 1.26 | 0.74 |
| 110 | Rutgers | Big East | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.48 | -25.27 | 9.83 | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 111 | Ohio | Mid-American | 1-10 | 0.09 | 0.06 | -11.36 | 12.28 | 2.63 | -1.63 |
| 112 | Idaho | Sun Belt | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.21 | -16.55 | 8.7 | 2.78 | -1.78 |
| 113 | Tulsa | Western Athletic | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.27 | -17.82 | 10.73 | 1.74 | -0.74 |
| 114 | California | Pac-10 | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.41 | -20.91 | 16.11 | 1.55 | -0.55 |
| 115 | Navy | FBS Independents | 0-10 | 0 | -2.21 | -16.1 | 10.15 | 1.83 | -1.83 |
| 116 | Houston | Conference USA | 0-11 | 0 | -2.53 | -22 | 14.85 | 1.37 | -1.37 |
| 117 | Duke | ACC | 0-11 | 0 | -2.6 | -25.36 | 12.78 | 1.32 | -1.32 |