Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:33.300304+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 14-0 | 1 | 25.14 | 16.21 | 13.2 | 12.2 | 1.8 |
| 2 | Georgia | SEC | 13-1 | 0.93 | 23.42 | 17 | 12.36 | 11.99 | 1.01 |
| 3 | Miami | Big East | 12-1 | 0.92 | 23.41 | 21.46 | 12.36 | 11.13 | 0.87 |
| 4 | Boise State | Western Athletic | 12-1 | 0.92 | 22.71 | 27.15 | 7.83 | 11.64 | 0.36 |
| 5 | USC | Pac-10 | 11-2 | 0.85 | 22.27 | 17.31 | 16.26 | 10.76 | 0.24 |
| 6 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 12-2 | 0.86 | 22.23 | 23.21 | 13.35 | 12.57 | -0.57 |
| 7 | Texas | Big 12 | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.81 | 17.46 | 13.51 | 11.03 | -0.03 |
| 8 | Iowa | Big Ten | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.58 | 17.54 | 11.88 | 10.65 | 0.35 |
| 9 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.46 | 32.92 | 8.66 | 12.47 | -1.47 |
| 10 | Marshall | Mid-American | 11-2 | 0.85 | 20.53 | 10.92 | 7.88 | 9.19 | 1.81 |
| 11 | TCU | Conference USA | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.39 | 11.58 | 9.49 | 9.12 | 0.88 |
| 12 | South Florida | FBS Independents | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.17 | 12.27 | 9.25 | 8.46 | 0.54 |
| 13 | Maryland | ACC | 11-3 | 0.79 | 19.91 | 15.93 | 10.7 | 11.68 | -0.68 |
| 14 | Alabama | SEC | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.86 | 12.85 | 14.19 | 10.51 | -0.51 |
| 15 | NC State | ACC | 11-3 | 0.79 | 19.63 | 15.86 | 8.97 | 11.57 | -0.57 |
| 16 | Michigan | Big Ten | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.58 | 7.38 | 15.04 | 8.78 | 1.22 |
| 17 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.34 | 10.38 | 11.6 | 9.22 | 0.78 |
| 18 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.16 | 5.62 | 13.18 | 8.65 | 1.35 |
| 19 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.5 | 15.5 | 7.35 | 9.07 | -0.07 |
| 20 | Virginia Tech | Big East | 10-4 | 0.71 | 18.28 | 11.86 | 13.31 | 10.66 | -0.66 |
| 21 | Penn State | Big Ten | 9-4 | 0.69 | 18.1 | 16.85 | 13.13 | 10.82 | -1.82 |
| 22 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 10-4 | 0.71 | 17.64 | 6.14 | 11.75 | 8.86 | 1.14 |
| 23 | Auburn | SEC | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.63 | 12.08 | 11.84 | 10.06 | -1.06 |
| 24 | Boston College | Big East | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.49 | 10.69 | 11.36 | 9.6 | -0.6 |
| 25 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.46 | 7.62 | 12.92 | 9.09 | -0.09 |
| 26 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 10-4 | 0.71 | 17.3 | 8.07 | 8.26 | 9.05 | 0.95 |
| 27 | West Virginia | Big East | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.22 | 7.23 | 11.38 | 8.52 | 0.48 |
| 28 | Florida State | ACC | 9-5 | 0.64 | 16.74 | 9.07 | 15 | 9.76 | -0.76 |
| 29 | Arkansas | SEC | 9-5 | 0.64 | 16.44 | 6.64 | 14.34 | 9.31 | -0.31 |
| 30 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.43 | 6.42 | 9.48 | 7.59 | 0.41 |
| 31 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 9-5 | 0.64 | 16.41 | 7 | 14.08 | 8.64 | 0.36 |
| 32 | Colorado | Big 12 | 9-5 | 0.64 | 16.22 | 5.21 | 14.17 | 8.65 | 0.35 |
| 33 | Toledo | Mid-American | 9-5 | 0.64 | 16.16 | 8.36 | 11.17 | 9.16 | -0.16 |
| 34 | Virginia | ACC | 9-5 | 0.64 | 15.93 | 3.86 | 13.39 | 8.19 | 0.81 |
| 35 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.86 | 11.31 | 10.64 | 9.6 | -1.6 |
| 36 | Florida | SEC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.71 | 4.38 | 14.44 | 7.91 | 0.09 |
| 37 | LSU | SEC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.7 | 6.54 | 12.23 | 8.75 | -0.75 |
| 38 | Air Force | Mountain West | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.67 | 10.54 | 9.36 | 9.2 | -1.2 |
| 39 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.62 | 4.69 | 13.64 | 7.8 | 0.2 |
| 40 | Tennessee | SEC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.56 | 5.31 | 12.2 | 8.48 | -0.48 |
| 41 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.52 | 6.92 | 10.7 | 8.2 | -0.2 |
| 42 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.22 | 4.38 | 10.9 | 7.75 | 0.25 |
| 43 | Tulane | Conference USA | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.12 | 6.08 | 8.13 | 8.35 | -0.35 |
| 44 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.1 | 4.38 | 9.71 | 8.44 | -0.44 |
| 45 | California | Pac-10 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.02 | 9.08 | 12.44 | 8.01 | -1.01 |
| 46 | Kentucky | SEC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.65 | 7 | 10.85 | 7.7 | -0.7 |
| 47 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.5 | 4.92 | 11.56 | 7.17 | -0.17 |
| 48 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 8-6 | 0.57 | 14.36 | 3.57 | 14.16 | 8.19 | -0.19 |
| 49 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 9-5 | 0.64 | 14.33 | -0.07 | 11.12 | 6.98 | 2.02 |
| 50 | UCF | Mid-American | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.31 | 6.33 | 8.5 | 7.5 | -0.5 |
| 51 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 8-6 | 0.57 | 13.97 | 3.21 | 11.27 | 7.87 | 0.13 |
| 52 | Purdue | Big Ten | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.84 | 7.54 | 11.42 | 8.67 | -1.67 |
| 53 | Washington | Pac-10 | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.68 | 4.31 | 12.91 | 7.66 | -0.66 |
| 54 | Louisville | Conference USA | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.46 | 4.23 | 11.24 | 7.71 | -0.71 |
| 55 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.37 | 4.23 | 10.12 | 7.58 | -0.58 |
| 56 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.24 | 3.38 | 10.45 | 7.79 | -0.79 |
| 57 | Wake Forest | ACC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.12 | 2.23 | 11.95 | 7.15 | -0.15 |
| 58 | Ole Miss | SEC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.03 | 1.54 | 12.51 | 6.95 | 0.05 |
| 59 | Cincinnati | Conference USA | 7-7 | 0.5 | 12.94 | 5.71 | 13.08 | 8.77 | -1.77 |
| 60 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 12.85 | 1 | 12.34 | 6.87 | 0.13 |
| 61 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.82 | 5.42 | 12.24 | 7.45 | -1.45 |
| 62 | New Mexico State | Sun Belt | 7-5 | 0.58 | 12.73 | -0.08 | 8.58 | 5.98 | 1.02 |
| 63 | UConn | FBS Independents | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.63 | 8.58 | 7.3 | 8.19 | -2.19 |
| 64 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 7-7 | 0.5 | 12.46 | 3.43 | 11.49 | 8.1 | -1.1 |
| 65 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 7-7 | 0.5 | 11.9 | 0.57 | 13.85 | 7.17 | -0.17 |
| 66 | Clemson | ACC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 11.61 | -1.46 | 12.86 | 6.07 | 0.93 |
| 67 | Utah | Mountain West | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.87 | 2.09 | 9.45 | 6.13 | -1.13 |
| 68 | Illinois | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 10.72 | 3.25 | 12.68 | 6.84 | -1.84 |
| 69 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 7-7 | 0.5 | 10.5 | -1.21 | 9.5 | 6.6 | 0.4 |
| 70 | Missouri | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 10.04 | 0.67 | 13.44 | 6.16 | -1.16 |
| 71 | Ball State | Mid-American | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.76 | -4.58 | 9.23 | 4.74 | 1.26 |
| 72 | San José State | Western Athletic | 6-7 | 0.46 | 8.66 | -7 | 10.21 | 4.87 | 1.13 |
| 73 | South Carolina | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.49 | -3.08 | 13.17 | 4.93 | 0.07 |
| 74 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.32 | -3.33 | 11.25 | 5.19 | -0.19 |
| 75 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 6-7 | 0.46 | 8.27 | -7.85 | 5.59 | 4.07 | 1.93 |
| 76 | BYU | Mountain West | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.99 | -5.08 | 10.35 | 4.59 | 0.41 |
| 77 | Houston | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.91 | -6.08 | 10.94 | 4.57 | 0.43 |
| 78 | UNLV | Mountain West | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.89 | -6.17 | 10.72 | 4.43 | 0.57 |
| 79 | UAB | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.61 | -8.5 | 9.75 | 3.81 | 1.19 |
| 80 | Rice | Western Athletic | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.69 | -3.91 | 7.96 | 4.49 | -0.49 |
| 81 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.46 | -2.25 | 10.28 | 5.4 | -1.4 |
| 82 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.19 | -2.92 | 7.85 | 5.21 | -1.21 |
| 83 | Utah State | FBS Independents | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.05 | -11.55 | 9.64 | 3.35 | 0.65 |
| 84 | Syracuse | Big East | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.04 | -4.92 | 11.11 | 4.9 | -0.9 |
| 85 | Troy | FBS Independents | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.03 | -2.83 | 4.3 | 4.98 | -0.98 |
| 86 | Akron | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.02 | -4.5 | 9.6 | 4.92 | -0.92 |
| 87 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.01 | -5.33 | 11.75 | 4.77 | -0.77 |
| 88 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.9 | -6.83 | 12.96 | 4.4 | -0.4 |
| 89 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.85 | -6.92 | 11.92 | 3.88 | 0.12 |
| 90 | Ohio | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.81 | -6.25 | 9.75 | 4.44 | -0.44 |
| 91 | Temple | Big East | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.65 | -9.08 | 11.73 | 3.51 | 0.49 |
| 92 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.6 | -8.83 | 10.32 | 4.04 | -0.04 |
| 93 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.48 | -9.75 | 9.16 | 3.56 | 0.44 |
| 94 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 4-9 | 0.31 | 5.3 | -7.85 | 11.82 | 4.38 | -0.38 |
| 95 | Memphis | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.72 | -2 | 9.74 | 5.46 | -2.46 |
| 96 | Mississippi State | SEC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.82 | -9.33 | 11.67 | 3.35 | -0.35 |
| 97 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.58 | -12.42 | 10.38 | 2.56 | 0.44 |
| 98 | North Carolina | ACC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.47 | -16.5 | 13.98 | 2.18 | 0.82 |
| 99 | SMU | Western Athletic | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.45 | -14.25 | 9.58 | 2.32 | 0.68 |
| 100 | Indiana | Big Ten | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.44 | -15.58 | 11.33 | 2.59 | 0.41 |
| 101 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.36 | -18.42 | 12.95 | 2.36 | 0.64 |
| 102 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.28 | -17.92 | 9.22 | 2.13 | 0.87 |
| 103 | Kent State | Mid-American | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.26 | -18.5 | 9.46 | 1.77 | 1.23 |
| 104 | Baylor | Big 12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.11 | -24.5 | 11.87 | 1.28 | 1.72 |
| 105 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.04 | -23.33 | 7.51 | 1.99 | 1.01 |
| 106 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.01 | -13.82 | 15.49 | 2.5 | -0.5 |
| 107 | Duke | ACC | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.92 | -10.5 | 11.51 | 3.12 | -1.12 |
| 108 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.83 | -12.25 | 12.76 | 2.76 | -0.76 |
| 109 | Idaho | Sun Belt | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.81 | -11.92 | 9.77 | 3.31 | -1.31 |
| 110 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.81 | -12 | 10.7 | 3.32 | -1.32 |
| 111 | Navy | FBS Independents | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.8 | -12.17 | 10.7 | 3.31 | -1.31 |
| 112 | Kansas | Big 12 | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.38 | -21.58 | 10.1 | 1.86 | 0.14 |
| 113 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.28 | -24.25 | 9.32 | 1.43 | 0.57 |
| 114 | Tulsa | Western Athletic | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.38 | -15.33 | 9.5 | 2.41 | -1.41 |
| 115 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.44 | -16.83 | 8.09 | 2.06 | -1.06 |
| 116 | Rutgers | Big East | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.55 | -19.17 | 11.12 | 1.37 | -0.37 |
| 117 | Army | Conference USA | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.64 | -22.08 | 8.02 | 1.65 | -0.65 |