Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:33.296029+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 7-0 | 1 | 26.25 | 28 | 13.27 | 6.56 | 0.44 |
| 2 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 8-0 | 1 | 26.07 | 10.5 | 16.11 | 6.37 | 1.63 |
| 3 | Virginia Tech | Big East | 8-0 | 1 | 25.97 | 22 | 12.76 | 7.47 | 0.53 |
| 4 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 9-0 | 1 | 25.67 | 19.22 | 11.84 | 7.98 | 1.02 |
| 5 | Miami | Big East | 7-0 | 1 | 25.64 | 25.43 | 10.73 | 6.24 | 0.76 |
| 6 | Georgia | SEC | 8-0 | 1 | 25.5 | 18 | 11.34 | 6.82 | 1.18 |
| 7 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 7-0 | 1 | 24.39 | 23.14 | 4.86 | 5.8 | 1.2 |
| 8 | NC State | ACC | 9-0 | 1 | 24.31 | 22.78 | 4.62 | 7.86 | 1.14 |
| 9 | Iowa | Big Ten | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.12 | 17.33 | 12.47 | 7.3 | 0.7 |
| 10 | Texas | Big 12 | 7-1 | 0.88 | 23.12 | 17.75 | 13.72 | 7.06 | -0.06 |
| 11 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.18 | 13 | 9.75 | 6.1 | 0.9 |
| 12 | Boise State | Western Athletic | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.05 | 21.88 | 6.93 | 6.55 | 0.45 |
| 13 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 7-1 | 0.88 | 21.58 | 16.5 | 5.24 | 6.66 | 0.34 |
| 14 | Marshall | Mid-American | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.1 | 14.29 | 5.83 | 5.38 | 0.62 |
| 15 | TCU | Conference USA | 6-1 | 0.86 | 20.88 | 12 | 5.14 | 5.18 | 0.82 |
| 16 | USC | Pac-10 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 20.33 | 11.12 | 17.93 | 5.93 | 0.07 |
| 17 | Alabama | SEC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 20.18 | 13.12 | 16.18 | 6.27 | -0.27 |
| 18 | LSU | SEC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.74 | 16 | 11.13 | 6.92 | -0.92 |
| 19 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.64 | 10.89 | 9.06 | 6.35 | 0.65 |
| 20 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.52 | 5.33 | 11.56 | 5.49 | 1.51 |
| 21 | Colorado | Big 12 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.49 | 9.75 | 13.15 | 5.73 | 0.27 |
| 22 | Air Force | Mountain West | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.46 | 16.38 | 9.03 | 6.51 | -0.51 |
| 23 | Maryland | ACC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.45 | 17.5 | 9.99 | 6.87 | -0.87 |
| 24 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.43 | 29 | 7.48 | 7.51 | -1.51 |
| 25 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.33 | 9.25 | 12.29 | 6.02 | -0.02 |
| 26 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.31 | 13.62 | 9.11 | 5.96 | 0.04 |
| 27 | Michigan | Big Ten | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.04 | 2.88 | 14.29 | 4.57 | 1.43 |
| 28 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.5 | 13.75 | 5.08 | 5.82 | 0.18 |
| 29 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.94 | 11.22 | 13.58 | 6.59 | -0.59 |
| 30 | South Florida | FBS Independents | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.93 | 6 | 10.88 | 4.5 | 0.5 |
| 31 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.77 | 12 | 6.38 | 5.7 | -0.7 |
| 32 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.56 | 7.78 | 13.98 | 6.13 | -0.13 |
| 33 | Florida State | ACC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 17.31 | 10.75 | 17.96 | 5.62 | -0.62 |
| 34 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.12 | 7.56 | 10.94 | 6.02 | -0.02 |
| 35 | Penn State | Big Ten | 5-3 | 0.62 | 17.05 | 13 | 14.91 | 6.12 | -1.12 |
| 36 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.98 | 6.67 | 10.67 | 5.75 | 0.25 |
| 37 | Virginia | ACC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.65 | 2.33 | 11.87 | 4.93 | 1.07 |
| 38 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.64 | 12.75 | 11.9 | 6.25 | -1.25 |
| 39 | Florida | SEC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.6 | 6.25 | 16.5 | 5.17 | -0.17 |
| 40 | Kentucky | SEC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.52 | 8.75 | 13.09 | 5.37 | -0.37 |
| 41 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.51 | 4.78 | 8.76 | 5.41 | 0.59 |
| 42 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.46 | 14.75 | 10.96 | 6.48 | -1.48 |
| 43 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.37 | 7.38 | 14.15 | 5.28 | -0.28 |
| 44 | Tulane | Conference USA | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.32 | 6.78 | 5.62 | 5.8 | 0.2 |
| 45 | Louisville | Conference USA | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.29 | 10.25 | 11.67 | 5.59 | -0.59 |
| 46 | Auburn | SEC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.12 | 12.62 | 9.3 | 6.15 | -1.15 |
| 47 | Toledo | Mid-American | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.11 | 9.75 | 9.41 | 5.57 | -0.57 |
| 48 | West Virginia | Big East | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.94 | 9.25 | 8.35 | 5.52 | -0.52 |
| 49 | Arkansas | SEC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.92 | 10.57 | 18.31 | 4.96 | -0.96 |
| 50 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.83 | 6.5 | 10.64 | 5.38 | -0.38 |
| 51 | South Carolina | SEC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.8 | 2.75 | 14.49 | 4.59 | 0.41 |
| 52 | Ole Miss | SEC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.54 | 3.25 | 10.46 | 4.53 | 0.47 |
| 53 | California | Pac-10 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 15.41 | 8.89 | 15.71 | 6.08 | -1.08 |
| 54 | Boston College | Big East | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.08 | 6.14 | 12.95 | 4.52 | -0.52 |
| 55 | Tennessee | SEC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.99 | 6.43 | 11.78 | 4.59 | -0.59 |
| 56 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.62 | 2.56 | 16.12 | 4.9 | 0.1 |
| 57 | New Mexico State | Sun Belt | 5-3 | 0.62 | 14.5 | 0.62 | 9.93 | 4.11 | 0.89 |
| 58 | Wake Forest | ACC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.32 | 4 | 12.8 | 5.31 | -0.31 |
| 59 | Missouri | Big 12 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.35 | 6.75 | 13.36 | 5.09 | -1.09 |
| 60 | Washington | Pac-10 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.09 | 4.12 | 12.36 | 4.7 | -0.7 |
| 61 | Clemson | ACC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.06 | -0.12 | 16.02 | 3.98 | 0.02 |
| 62 | Purdue | Big Ten | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.91 | 7.22 | 12.44 | 5.94 | -1.94 |
| 63 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.89 | 2.86 | 9.72 | 3.92 | -0.92 |
| 64 | Illinois | Big Ten | 3-5 | 0.38 | 10.15 | 4.12 | 13.76 | 4.65 | -1.65 |
| 65 | UCF | Mid-American | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.94 | 0.29 | 10.57 | 3.54 | -0.54 |
| 66 | Cincinnati | Conference USA | 3-5 | 0.38 | 9.93 | 2.38 | 16.07 | 4.41 | -1.41 |
| 67 | UAB | Conference USA | 4-4 | 0.5 | 9.41 | -9.25 | 8.57 | 2.42 | 1.58 |
| 68 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.77 | -3.89 | 10.49 | 3.75 | 0.25 |
| 69 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.64 | -8 | 13.56 | 3.02 | 0.98 |
| 70 | Mississippi State | SEC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.39 | -5.71 | 10.92 | 2.49 | 0.51 |
| 71 | Houston | Conference USA | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.37 | -5.43 | 10.09 | 2.76 | 0.24 |
| 72 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 3-5 | 0.38 | 8.34 | -1.75 | 14.96 | 3.69 | -0.69 |
| 73 | San José State | Western Athletic | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.21 | -11.33 | 10.75 | 2.7 | 1.3 |
| 74 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.97 | -1.88 | 10.49 | 3.54 | -0.54 |
| 75 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.9 | -2.38 | 11.84 | 3.65 | -0.65 |
| 76 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.69 | -2.25 | 11.13 | 3.27 | -0.27 |
| 77 | Rice | Western Athletic | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.64 | -1.38 | 6.04 | 3.73 | -0.73 |
| 78 | UNLV | Mountain West | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.21 | -6.25 | 10.43 | 2.74 | 0.26 |
| 79 | Temple | Big East | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.13 | -7.12 | 10.78 | 2.66 | 0.34 |
| 80 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.07 | -5.75 | 10.1 | 3 | 0 |
| 81 | BYU | Mountain West | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7 | -9.75 | 12.14 | 2.4 | 0.6 |
| 82 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.99 | -6.25 | 9.51 | 3.08 | -0.08 |
| 83 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 4-6 | 0.4 | 6.95 | -13 | 7.24 | 2.09 | 1.91 |
| 84 | Ball State | Mid-American | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.91 | -9.75 | 10.79 | 2.31 | 0.69 |
| 85 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.9 | -9.25 | 9.84 | 2.4 | 0.6 |
| 86 | Indiana | Big Ten | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.89 | -11.38 | 12.09 | 2.09 | 0.91 |
| 87 | Ohio | Mid-American | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.89 | -7.62 | 8.28 | 2.77 | 0.23 |
| 88 | Kent State | Mid-American | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.54 | -10.62 | 8.12 | 2.06 | 0.94 |
| 89 | Baylor | Big 12 | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.46 | -15.88 | 8.96 | 1.55 | 1.45 |
| 90 | Troy | FBS Independents | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.2 | -2.78 | 6.12 | 3.8 | -0.8 |
| 91 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 3-5 | 0.38 | 5.96 | -22.75 | 5.44 | 1.37 | 1.63 |
| 92 | Utah | Mountain West | 2-6 | 0.25 | 5.91 | 0 | 12.21 | 4 | -2 |
| 93 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.4 | -4.71 | 11.49 | 2.84 | -0.84 |
| 94 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.16 | -8.57 | 17.01 | 2.27 | -0.27 |
| 95 | Syracuse | Big East | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.97 | -0.88 | 8.03 | 3.86 | -1.86 |
| 96 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.78 | -2.88 | 12.06 | 3.5 | -1.5 |
| 97 | Memphis | Conference USA | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.47 | -4.62 | 9.87 | 3.19 | -1.19 |
| 98 | UConn | FBS Independents | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.34 | -5.12 | 10.29 | 3.02 | -1.02 |
| 99 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.02 | -6.88 | 7.08 | 2.7 | -0.7 |
| 100 | North Carolina | ACC | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.96 | -11.5 | 16.16 | 2.09 | -0.09 |
| 101 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.75 | -9.62 | 11.17 | 2.37 | -0.37 |
| 102 | Utah State | FBS Independents | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.57 | -14.38 | 9.32 | 2.19 | -0.19 |
| 103 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.55 | -13.12 | 12.28 | 1.95 | 0.05 |
| 104 | Idaho | Sun Belt | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.41 | -14.62 | 10.09 | 1.99 | 0.01 |
| 105 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.2 | -18.25 | 8.52 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 106 | Duke | ACC | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.14 | -11.78 | 13.42 | 2.19 | -0.19 |
| 107 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.13 | -26.12 | 9.78 | 0.83 | 1.17 |
| 108 | Kansas | Big 12 | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.97 | -13.56 | 10.8 | 2.35 | -0.35 |
| 109 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.83 | -18.44 | 15.2 | 1.71 | 0.29 |
| 110 | Akron | Mid-American | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.7 | -12.5 | 10.88 | 2.29 | -1.29 |
| 111 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.56 | -15.5 | 12.75 | 1.38 | -0.38 |
| 112 | Rutgers | Big East | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.51 | -16.25 | 8.75 | 1.18 | -0.18 |
| 113 | Navy | FBS Independents | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.44 | -18 | 11.62 | 1.61 | -0.61 |
| 114 | Tulsa | Western Athletic | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.3 | -17 | 11.71 | 1.37 | -0.37 |
| 115 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.26 | -16.33 | 7.97 | 1.6 | -0.6 |
| 116 | SMU | Western Athletic | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.17 | -18.11 | 10.79 | 1.2 | -0.2 |
| 117 | Army | Conference USA | 0-8 | 0 | -2.47 | -22 | 8.57 | 1.18 | -1.18 |