Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:33.296433+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 8-0 | 1 | 26.31 | 26.5 | 14.43 | 7.47 | 0.53 |
| 2 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 10-0 | 1 | 25.76 | 20.4 | 12.74 | 9.05 | 0.95 |
| 3 | Miami | Big East | 8-0 | 1 | 25.07 | 25.38 | 8.36 | 7.14 | 0.86 |
| 4 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 8-0 | 1 | 24.28 | 24.12 | 4.79 | 6.75 | 1.25 |
| 5 | Texas | Big 12 | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.28 | 16.11 | 14.22 | 7.7 | 0.3 |
| 6 | Virginia Tech | Big East | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.2 | 18.78 | 12.36 | 8.07 | -0.07 |
| 7 | Iowa | Big Ten | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.17 | 17.3 | 12 | 8.25 | 0.75 |
| 8 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.1 | 8.56 | 15.01 | 6.85 | 1.15 |
| 9 | Georgia | SEC | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.9 | 15.22 | 11.6 | 7.4 | 0.6 |
| 10 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.52 | 14 | 10.61 | 6.97 | 1.03 |
| 11 | Boise State | Western Athletic | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.35 | 25.56 | 7.25 | 7.74 | 0.26 |
| 12 | NC State | ACC | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.15 | 19.8 | 5.31 | 8.47 | 0.53 |
| 13 | TCU | Conference USA | 7-1 | 0.88 | 21.73 | 14.25 | 7.57 | 6.27 | 0.73 |
| 14 | Alabama | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.64 | 14.11 | 14.6 | 7.27 | -0.27 |
| 15 | USC | Pac-10 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 20.25 | 11.12 | 17.69 | 5.93 | 0.07 |
| 16 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.15 | 6.7 | 12.13 | 6.4 | 1.6 |
| 17 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.11 | 9 | 13.52 | 6.67 | 0.33 |
| 18 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.1 | 32.89 | 7.38 | 8.63 | -1.63 |
| 19 | Maryland | ACC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20 | 21.33 | 8.77 | 8.06 | -1.06 |
| 20 | Michigan | Big Ten | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.97 | 7.67 | 13.38 | 6.13 | 0.87 |
| 21 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.77 | 15.11 | 8.88 | 6.93 | 0.07 |
| 22 | LSU | SEC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.54 | 16 | 11.3 | 6.92 | -0.92 |
| 23 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.43 | 11.22 | 7.31 | 6.76 | 0.24 |
| 24 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.09 | 13.22 | 5.27 | 6.47 | 0.53 |
| 25 | South Florida | FBS Independents | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.84 | 11.5 | 8.69 | 6.01 | -0.01 |
| 26 | Marshall | Mid-American | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.52 | 10.75 | 5.81 | 5.69 | 0.31 |
| 27 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.37 | 10.8 | 13.41 | 7.16 | -0.16 |
| 28 | Florida State | ACC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 18.14 | 11 | 16.84 | 6.38 | -0.38 |
| 29 | Penn State | Big Ten | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.96 | 12.78 | 14.71 | 6.97 | -0.97 |
| 30 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.8 | 7.6 | 10.43 | 6.46 | 0.54 |
| 31 | Florida | SEC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.7 | 6.33 | 16.71 | 5.88 | 0.12 |
| 32 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.69 | 7.8 | 10.38 | 6.6 | 0.4 |
| 33 | Colorado | Big 12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.64 | 6.89 | 14.78 | 5.95 | 0.05 |
| 34 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.54 | 17 | 10.3 | 7.64 | -1.64 |
| 35 | Kentucky | SEC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.47 | 10.11 | 12.5 | 6.23 | -0.23 |
| 36 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.47 | 7.67 | 14.04 | 5.98 | 0.02 |
| 37 | Air Force | Mountain West | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.41 | 12.44 | 9.94 | 6.81 | -0.81 |
| 38 | Auburn | SEC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.32 | 12 | 10.58 | 6.8 | -0.8 |
| 39 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.05 | 6.56 | 11.76 | 6.08 | -0.08 |
| 40 | West Virginia | Big East | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.04 | 11.11 | 8.95 | 6.47 | -0.47 |
| 41 | Arkansas | SEC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.92 | 12.12 | 16.19 | 6.02 | -1.02 |
| 42 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.53 | 4.78 | 9.1 | 5.41 | 0.59 |
| 43 | Virginia | ACC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.41 | 2.33 | 11.4 | 4.93 | 1.07 |
| 44 | Tulane | Conference USA | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.35 | 6.78 | 6.04 | 5.8 | 0.2 |
| 45 | Boston College | Big East | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.18 | 6.25 | 14.23 | 5.27 | -0.27 |
| 46 | Louisville | Conference USA | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.13 | 10.25 | 10.6 | 5.59 | -0.59 |
| 47 | Tennessee | SEC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.03 | 6.62 | 12.76 | 5.35 | -0.35 |
| 48 | Toledo | Mid-American | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.98 | 9.75 | 9.74 | 5.57 | -0.57 |
| 49 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.89 | 7.4 | 14.83 | 6.27 | -0.27 |
| 50 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.7 | 6.75 | 8.88 | 5.52 | -0.52 |
| 51 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.67 | 5.3 | 13.73 | 6.33 | -0.33 |
| 52 | New Mexico State | Sun Belt | 6-3 | 0.67 | 15.62 | 0.89 | 9.26 | 4.68 | 1.32 |
| 53 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.57 | 6.5 | 11.84 | 6.47 | -0.47 |
| 54 | California | Pac-10 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 15.2 | 8.89 | 15.24 | 6.08 | -1.08 |
| 55 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.99 | 10.78 | 11.66 | 6.69 | -1.69 |
| 56 | South Carolina | SEC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.04 | 1.56 | 14.13 | 4.89 | 0.11 |
| 57 | Ole Miss | SEC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.88 | 2.11 | 11.31 | 4.89 | 0.11 |
| 58 | Clemson | ACC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.33 | 0.22 | 14.55 | 4.55 | 0.45 |
| 59 | Wake Forest | ACC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.68 | 2.3 | 12.71 | 5.52 | -0.52 |
| 60 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.56 | 3.12 | 11.23 | 4.53 | -0.53 |
| 61 | Missouri | Big 12 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.92 | 5.22 | 14.06 | 5.42 | -1.42 |
| 62 | Purdue | Big Ten | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.92 | 7.22 | 12.43 | 5.94 | -1.94 |
| 63 | Washington | Pac-10 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.35 | 2.56 | 12.66 | 4.99 | -0.99 |
| 64 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.84 | 2.33 | 10.09 | 5.31 | -1.31 |
| 65 | Cincinnati | Conference USA | 3-5 | 0.38 | 10.05 | 2.38 | 15.64 | 4.41 | -1.41 |
| 66 | Houston | Conference USA | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.02 | -4.12 | 9.99 | 3.34 | 0.66 |
| 67 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.91 | -0.11 | 10.82 | 4.48 | -0.48 |
| 68 | Rice | Western Athletic | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.79 | 0.44 | 4.92 | 4.6 | -0.6 |
| 69 | UAB | Conference USA | 4-4 | 0.5 | 9.45 | -9.25 | 8.67 | 2.42 | 1.58 |
| 70 | Illinois | Big Ten | 3-6 | 0.33 | 8.81 | 2.44 | 13.64 | 4.97 | -1.97 |
| 71 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.74 | -3.89 | 9.56 | 3.75 | 0.25 |
| 72 | UCF | Mid-American | 3-5 | 0.38 | 8.58 | -0.12 | 9.29 | 3.98 | -0.98 |
| 73 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.57 | -8 | 14.25 | 3.02 | 0.98 |
| 74 | BYU | Mountain West | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.52 | -6 | 11.56 | 3.33 | 0.67 |
| 75 | UNLV | Mountain West | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.47 | -5.44 | 9.71 | 3.39 | 0.61 |
| 76 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.45 | -5.33 | 9.35 | 3.46 | 0.54 |
| 77 | Ball State | Mid-American | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.24 | -7.56 | 9.72 | 2.9 | 1.1 |
| 78 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.07 | -9.82 | 6.33 | 3 | 2 |
| 79 | UConn | FBS Independents | 3-6 | 0.33 | 7.64 | 0.67 | 7.94 | 4.64 | -1.64 |
| 80 | San José State | Western Athletic | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.26 | -11.1 | 11.28 | 3.06 | 0.94 |
| 81 | Mississippi State | SEC | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.07 | -7.62 | 11.02 | 2.57 | 0.43 |
| 82 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.04 | -6.25 | 9.08 | 3.08 | -0.08 |
| 83 | Syracuse | Big East | 3-6 | 0.33 | 7 | -0.44 | 7.77 | 4.42 | -1.42 |
| 84 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.27 | -6.67 | 15.47 | 3.2 | -0.2 |
| 85 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.16 | -5.56 | 10.82 | 3.01 | -0.01 |
| 86 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.86 | -7.78 | 10.14 | 2.98 | 0.02 |
| 87 | Temple | Big East | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.84 | -9.22 | 12.12 | 2.65 | 0.35 |
| 88 | Utah | Mountain West | 2-6 | 0.25 | 5.77 | 0 | 11.54 | 4 | -2 |
| 89 | Ohio | Mid-American | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.74 | -8.78 | 9.38 | 2.93 | 0.07 |
| 90 | Indiana | Big Ten | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.68 | -10.56 | 10.96 | 2.58 | 0.42 |
| 91 | Kent State | Mid-American | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.49 | -12.89 | 10.2 | 1.99 | 1.01 |
| 92 | Troy | FBS Independents | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.37 | -4.8 | 7.32 | 3.62 | -0.62 |
| 93 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.3 | -4.71 | 11.64 | 2.84 | -0.84 |
| 94 | Baylor | Big 12 | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.17 | -19.78 | 9.74 | 1.35 | 1.65 |
| 95 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 3-6 | 0.33 | 4.85 | -23.11 | 5.03 | 1.49 | 1.51 |
| 96 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.63 | -16.2 | 13.54 | 2.26 | 0.74 |
| 97 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4 | -10.88 | 16.85 | 2.26 | -0.26 |
| 98 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.89 | -3.67 | 11.66 | 3.74 | -1.74 |
| 99 | Memphis | Conference USA | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.68 | -4.67 | 10.22 | 3.57 | -1.57 |
| 100 | Utah State | FBS Independents | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.53 | -14.38 | 9.65 | 2.19 | -0.19 |
| 101 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.39 | -6.44 | 7.87 | 3.11 | -1.11 |
| 102 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.12 | -11 | 11.93 | 2.38 | -0.38 |
| 103 | Akron | Mid-American | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.09 | -9.56 | 12.23 | 2.97 | -0.97 |
| 104 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.05 | -11.78 | 11.14 | 2.54 | -0.54 |
| 105 | North Carolina | ACC | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.98 | -16 | 17.25 | 1.74 | 0.26 |
| 106 | Idaho | Sun Belt | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.91 | -13.33 | 9.05 | 2.4 | -0.4 |
| 107 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.83 | -13.44 | 11.71 | 1.9 | 0.1 |
| 108 | Duke | ACC | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.68 | -10.9 | 12.91 | 2.66 | -0.66 |
| 109 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.58 | -20.56 | 8.6 | 1.25 | 0.75 |
| 110 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.38 | -29.33 | 11.55 | 0.7 | 1.3 |
| 111 | Kansas | Big 12 | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.26 | -18.6 | 11.52 | 1.9 | 0.1 |
| 112 | Navy | FBS Independents | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.41 | -18 | 11.12 | 1.61 | -0.61 |
| 113 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.25 | -16.33 | 8.08 | 1.6 | -0.6 |
| 114 | Tulsa | Western Athletic | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.23 | -16.78 | 11.22 | 1.56 | -0.56 |
| 115 | Rutgers | Big East | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.22 | -17.22 | 10.51 | 1.27 | -0.27 |
| 116 | SMU | Western Athletic | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.05 | -18.1 | 10.47 | 1.24 | -0.24 |
| 117 | Army | Conference USA | 0-8 | 0 | -2.45 | -22 | 8.58 | 1.18 | -1.18 |