Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:33.296817+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 11-0 | 1 | 25.55 | 18.91 | 12.41 | 9.92 | 1.08 |
| 2 | Miami | Big East | 9-0 | 1 | 25.23 | 25.11 | 9.87 | 8.13 | 0.87 |
| 3 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.6 | 23.11 | 14.25 | 8.13 | -0.13 |
| 4 | Texas | Big 12 | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.47 | 18.6 | 13.83 | 8.91 | 0.09 |
| 5 | Iowa | Big Ten | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.31 | 20.45 | 11.34 | 9.45 | 0.55 |
| 6 | Georgia | SEC | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.01 | 15.1 | 12.18 | 8.2 | 0.8 |
| 7 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.82 | 8.4 | 13.44 | 7.47 | 1.53 |
| 8 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.75 | 13.7 | 11.18 | 7.7 | 1.3 |
| 9 | Boise State | Western Athletic | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.56 | 27.2 | 7.37 | 8.8 | 0.2 |
| 10 | TCU | Conference USA | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.11 | 13.44 | 9.02 | 7.05 | 0.95 |
| 11 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 8-1 | 0.89 | 21.96 | 20.44 | 5.84 | 7.33 | 0.67 |
| 12 | Alabama | SEC | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.88 | 14.1 | 13.62 | 8.1 | -0.1 |
| 13 | USC | Pac-10 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.77 | 13.44 | 16.16 | 6.98 | 0.02 |
| 14 | Virginia Tech | Big East | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.74 | 16.1 | 11.44 | 8.35 | -0.35 |
| 15 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.65 | 34.7 | 8.21 | 9.65 | -1.65 |
| 16 | Maryland | ACC | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.53 | 19.5 | 10.11 | 8.77 | -0.77 |
| 17 | NC State | ACC | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.44 | 17.73 | 6.71 | 9.08 | -0.08 |
| 18 | Michigan | Big Ten | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.43 | 8.6 | 13.17 | 6.95 | 1.05 |
| 19 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.3 | 8.8 | 12.17 | 7.32 | 0.68 |
| 20 | LSU | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.15 | 14.56 | 11.92 | 7.47 | -0.47 |
| 21 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.1 | 6.7 | 12.09 | 6.4 | 1.6 |
| 22 | South Florida | FBS Independents | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.35 | 10.56 | 8.36 | 6.56 | 0.44 |
| 23 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.07 | 13.22 | 5.46 | 6.47 | 0.53 |
| 24 | Florida State | ACC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.73 | 10.7 | 16.48 | 7.12 | -0.12 |
| 25 | Penn State | Big Ten | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.63 | 13.6 | 14.56 | 7.9 | -0.9 |
| 26 | Marshall | Mid-American | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.3 | 10.75 | 5.55 | 5.69 | 0.31 |
| 27 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.17 | 9.9 | 13.02 | 7.12 | -0.12 |
| 28 | Colorado | Big 12 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.13 | 6.9 | 14.54 | 6.53 | 0.47 |
| 29 | Florida | SEC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.12 | 6.1 | 15.05 | 6.51 | 0.49 |
| 30 | Arkansas | SEC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 18.12 | 13.33 | 16.22 | 7.09 | -1.09 |
| 31 | Auburn | SEC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18 | 14.6 | 9.81 | 7.93 | -0.93 |
| 32 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.97 | 12.5 | 9.68 | 7.32 | -0.32 |
| 33 | Air Force | Mountain West | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.77 | 13.1 | 8.71 | 7.57 | -0.57 |
| 34 | West Virginia | Big East | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.75 | 11 | 9.53 | 7.24 | -0.24 |
| 35 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.64 | 7.8 | 10.28 | 6.6 | 0.4 |
| 36 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.54 | 8.4 | 8.64 | 6.89 | 0.11 |
| 37 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.36 | 5.2 | 10.52 | 6.13 | 0.87 |
| 38 | Toledo | Mid-American | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.1 | 11.67 | 9.54 | 6.56 | -0.56 |
| 39 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.79 | 9 | 13.74 | 7.17 | -0.17 |
| 40 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.64 | 6.78 | 8.97 | 6.25 | -0.25 |
| 41 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.53 | 5.18 | 13.82 | 6.67 | 0.33 |
| 42 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.43 | 9.36 | 10.73 | 7.76 | -0.76 |
| 43 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.1 | 5.36 | 10.31 | 6.59 | 0.41 |
| 44 | California | Pac-10 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 16.09 | 9.7 | 15.14 | 6.8 | -0.8 |
| 45 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.86 | 10.1 | 13.09 | 7.27 | -1.27 |
| 46 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.85 | 14.1 | 10.11 | 7.94 | -1.94 |
| 47 | Kentucky | SEC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.81 | 8.8 | 12.57 | 6.68 | -0.68 |
| 48 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.42 | 5.1 | 12.5 | 6.41 | -0.41 |
| 49 | Clemson | ACC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.03 | 3.2 | 13.03 | 5.73 | 0.27 |
| 50 | Tulane | Conference USA | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.86 | 5.4 | 7.65 | 6.22 | -0.22 |
| 51 | Boston College | Big East | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.6 | 4.44 | 14.34 | 5.55 | -0.55 |
| 52 | Louisville | Conference USA | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.6 | 8 | 10.75 | 5.98 | -0.98 |
| 53 | Tennessee | SEC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.36 | 3.33 | 13.77 | 5.31 | -0.31 |
| 54 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.04 | 3.27 | 13.13 | 6.4 | -0.4 |
| 55 | Virginia | ACC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 13.97 | 0 | 12.21 | 5 | 1 |
| 56 | New Mexico State | Sun Belt | 6-4 | 0.6 | 13.88 | 0.6 | 8.37 | 5.14 | 0.86 |
| 57 | Washington | Pac-10 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.75 | 3.5 | 12.76 | 5.72 | -0.72 |
| 58 | Wake Forest | ACC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.56 | 2.3 | 12.65 | 5.52 | -0.52 |
| 59 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.36 | 3.1 | 9.7 | 6.27 | -1.27 |
| 60 | Ole Miss | SEC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.02 | 0.5 | 12.88 | 5.1 | -0.1 |
| 61 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.64 | 0.5 | 10.52 | 5.1 | -0.1 |
| 62 | Cincinnati | Conference USA | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.55 | 3.22 | 15.55 | 5.15 | -1.15 |
| 63 | South Carolina | SEC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.32 | -0.9 | 14.09 | 4.74 | 0.26 |
| 64 | Purdue | Big Ten | 4-6 | 0.4 | 10.93 | 6.1 | 13.14 | 6.46 | -2.46 |
| 65 | Missouri | Big 12 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 10.75 | 4 | 14.27 | 5.77 | -1.77 |
| 66 | UCF | Mid-American | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.74 | 2.56 | 8.28 | 4.97 | -0.97 |
| 67 | Illinois | Big Ten | 4-6 | 0.4 | 10.54 | 3.9 | 13.36 | 5.82 | -1.82 |
| 68 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.22 | 0 | 11.59 | 4.5 | -0.5 |
| 69 | UConn | FBS Independents | 4-6 | 0.4 | 10.16 | 4.8 | 7.7 | 6.03 | -2.03 |
| 70 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.15 | -2.8 | 8.99 | 4.36 | 0.64 |
| 71 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.07 | -5.3 | 13.04 | 3.86 | 1.14 |
| 72 | BYU | Mountain West | 5-5 | 0.5 | 9.96 | -5 | 11.15 | 3.94 | 1.06 |
| 73 | Syracuse | Big East | 4-6 | 0.4 | 9.2 | 0.4 | 9.38 | 5.07 | -1.07 |
| 74 | Houston | Conference USA | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.72 | -4.33 | 10 | 3.77 | 0.23 |
| 75 | San José State | Western Athletic | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.4 | -9 | 10.79 | 3.76 | 1.24 |
| 76 | Ball State | Mid-American | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.28 | -7.56 | 9.82 | 2.9 | 1.1 |
| 77 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.27 | -2.5 | 14.15 | 4.47 | -0.47 |
| 78 | UAB | Conference USA | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.22 | -9 | 9.92 | 2.7 | 1.3 |
| 79 | Utah | Mountain West | 3-6 | 0.33 | 8.06 | 1.22 | 10.66 | 4.78 | -1.78 |
| 80 | Rice | Western Athletic | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.72 | -3.8 | 6.71 | 4.09 | -0.09 |
| 81 | UNLV | Mountain West | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.54 | -6 | 9.33 | 3.63 | 0.37 |
| 82 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.46 | -9.25 | 5.72 | 3.31 | 1.69 |
| 83 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.45 | -3.38 | 11.41 | 3.5 | -0.5 |
| 84 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.42 | -7.5 | 9.82 | 3.42 | 0.58 |
| 85 | Ohio | Mid-American | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.4 | -6.2 | 9.11 | 3.7 | 0.3 |
| 86 | Troy | FBS Independents | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.78 | -2.82 | 5.26 | 4.58 | -0.58 |
| 87 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.89 | -6.89 | 9.55 | 3.38 | -0.38 |
| 88 | Mississippi State | SEC | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.87 | -8.33 | 11.98 | 2.73 | 0.27 |
| 89 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.65 | -3.1 | 10.78 | 4.3 | -1.3 |
| 90 | Utah State | FBS Independents | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.37 | -12.56 | 10.26 | 2.67 | 0.33 |
| 91 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.18 | -8 | 11.49 | 2.72 | 0.28 |
| 92 | Temple | Big East | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.15 | -9 | 13.17 | 2.99 | 0.01 |
| 93 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.13 | -7.7 | 9.89 | 3.23 | -0.23 |
| 94 | Indiana | Big Ten | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.79 | -13 | 10.6 | 2.52 | 0.48 |
| 95 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.77 | -11.8 | 11.43 | 2.29 | 0.71 |
| 96 | Kent State | Mid-American | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.61 | -15.8 | 9.64 | 1.89 | 1.11 |
| 97 | Baylor | Big 12 | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.4 | -21.9 | 10.83 | 1.19 | 1.81 |
| 98 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.23 | -21 | 5.17 | 1.87 | 1.13 |
| 99 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.9 | -19.45 | 13.86 | 2.05 | 0.95 |
| 100 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.37 | -6.44 | 8.52 | 3.11 | -1.11 |
| 101 | Memphis | Conference USA | 2-8 | 0.2 | 3.23 | -4.5 | 10.75 | 4.01 | -2.01 |
| 102 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.1 | -13.22 | 16.72 | 2.21 | -0.21 |
| 103 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.7 | -10.3 | 12.46 | 2.72 | -0.72 |
| 104 | Akron | Mid-American | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.67 | -10.3 | 11.34 | 3.1 | -1.1 |
| 105 | Duke | ACC | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.65 | -10.9 | 12.92 | 2.66 | -0.66 |
| 106 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.62 | -11 | 10.86 | 2.96 | -0.96 |
| 107 | Idaho | Sun Belt | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.46 | -13 | 9.15 | 2.53 | -0.53 |
| 108 | North Carolina | ACC | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.39 | -17.4 | 16.74 | 1.73 | 0.27 |
| 109 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.08 | -22.3 | 9.86 | 1.24 | 0.76 |
| 110 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 2-8 | 0.2 | 1.96 | -27 | 11.8 | 0.88 | 1.12 |
| 111 | Kansas | Big 12 | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.72 | -20.36 | 11.52 | 1.81 | 0.19 |
| 112 | Navy | FBS Independents | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.24 | -16.78 | 12.47 | 1.92 | -0.92 |
| 113 | Rutgers | Big East | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.21 | -17.22 | 10.69 | 1.27 | -0.27 |
| 114 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0 | -17.1 | 7.72 | 1.73 | -0.73 |
| 115 | Tulsa | Western Athletic | 1-9 | 0.1 | 0 | -17 | 11.1 | 1.66 | -0.66 |
| 116 | SMU | Western Athletic | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.06 | -18.1 | 11.22 | 1.24 | -0.24 |
| 117 | Army | Conference USA | 0-9 | 0 | -2.45 | -21.67 | 9.55 | 1.42 | -1.42 |