Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:33.297200+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 12-0 | 1 | 25.35 | 17.92 | 12.04 | 10.7 | 1.3 |
| 2 | Miami | Big East | 9-0 | 1 | 25.17 | 25.11 | 9.9 | 8.13 | 0.87 |
| 3 | Iowa | Big Ten | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.54 | 20.75 | 11.73 | 10.31 | 0.69 |
| 4 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.49 | 24.8 | 13.13 | 9.16 | -0.16 |
| 5 | Georgia | SEC | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.08 | 14 | 12.01 | 8.85 | 1.15 |
| 6 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.74 | 8.4 | 13.49 | 7.47 | 1.53 |
| 7 | Boise State | Western Athletic | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.72 | 27.09 | 7.43 | 9.74 | 0.26 |
| 8 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.64 | 13.7 | 10.89 | 7.7 | 1.3 |
| 9 | TCU | Conference USA | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.04 | 13.44 | 8.9 | 7.05 | 0.95 |
| 10 | Texas | Big 12 | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.44 | 16.55 | 13.36 | 9.32 | -0.32 |
| 11 | Alabama | SEC | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.38 | 15.64 | 13.84 | 9.27 | -0.27 |
| 12 | USC | Pac-10 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 21.22 | 14.2 | 16.14 | 7.91 | 0.09 |
| 13 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.09 | 34.82 | 8.52 | 10.61 | -1.61 |
| 14 | Maryland | ACC | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.93 | 19.36 | 10.19 | 9.67 | -0.67 |
| 15 | Michigan | Big Ten | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.93 | 8.45 | 13.87 | 7.67 | 1.33 |
| 16 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.61 | 8.64 | 11.83 | 7.41 | 1.59 |
| 17 | Virginia Tech | Big East | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.61 | 16.1 | 11.69 | 8.35 | -0.35 |
| 18 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.23 | 8.8 | 12.13 | 7.32 | 0.68 |
| 19 | South Florida | FBS Independents | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.08 | 11.7 | 10.07 | 7.57 | 0.43 |
| 20 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 8-2 | 0.8 | 19.96 | 16.2 | 7.25 | 7.72 | 0.28 |
| 21 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 8-2 | 0.8 | 19.51 | 12.4 | 6.22 | 7.08 | 0.92 |
| 22 | Penn State | Big Ten | 8-3 | 0.73 | 19.23 | 15.36 | 13.6 | 8.85 | -0.85 |
| 23 | Florida State | ACC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 19.21 | 12.09 | 14.7 | 8.11 | -0.11 |
| 24 | Marshall | Mid-American | 7-2 | 0.78 | 18.97 | 9.78 | 6.73 | 6.2 | 0.8 |
| 25 | NC State | ACC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.86 | 15.83 | 7.48 | 9.72 | -0.72 |
| 26 | Colorado | Big 12 | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.82 | 7.55 | 14.42 | 7.29 | 0.71 |
| 27 | Florida | SEC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.8 | 7.45 | 14.38 | 7.55 | 0.45 |
| 28 | Arkansas | SEC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.53 | 12.7 | 14.58 | 7.81 | -0.81 |
| 29 | Air Force | Mountain West | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.44 | 13.45 | 9 | 8.29 | -0.29 |
| 30 | LSU | SEC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.13 | 10 | 12.32 | 7.51 | -0.51 |
| 31 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.09 | 7.27 | 9.61 | 7.17 | 0.83 |
| 32 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.06 | 9.9 | 12.45 | 7.12 | -0.12 |
| 33 | West Virginia | Big East | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.76 | 11 | 9.8 | 7.24 | -0.24 |
| 34 | Toledo | Mid-American | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.71 | 12.6 | 8.93 | 7.42 | -0.42 |
| 35 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.44 | 8.58 | 13.96 | 7.72 | 0.28 |
| 36 | Auburn | SEC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.75 | 13 | 11.09 | 8.47 | -1.47 |
| 37 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.5 | 13.73 | 9.54 | 8.66 | -1.66 |
| 38 | Kentucky | SEC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.49 | 9.82 | 11.27 | 7.54 | -0.54 |
| 39 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.33 | 6.91 | 11.35 | 7.04 | -0.04 |
| 40 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.31 | 8.82 | 9.75 | 7.37 | -0.37 |
| 41 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.2 | 6 | 11.74 | 7.4 | -0.4 |
| 42 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.06 | 5.45 | 10.44 | 6.84 | 0.16 |
| 43 | Boston College | Big East | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.52 | 6.1 | 13.7 | 6.53 | -0.53 |
| 44 | Louisville | Conference USA | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.41 | 7.5 | 11.58 | 6.6 | -0.6 |
| 45 | Tennessee | SEC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.26 | 4.8 | 12.88 | 6.26 | -0.26 |
| 46 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.11 | 5.8 | 9.8 | 6.7 | -0.7 |
| 47 | Virginia | ACC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.05 | 0.45 | 12.72 | 5.61 | 1.39 |
| 48 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.87 | 3.58 | 14.2 | 6.88 | 0.12 |
| 49 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.82 | 5.58 | 11.34 | 7.49 | -0.49 |
| 50 | California | Pac-10 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.68 | 7.82 | 14.17 | 7.05 | -1.05 |
| 51 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.54 | 8.64 | 12.33 | 7.64 | -1.64 |
| 52 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.44 | 3.17 | 11.16 | 6.72 | 0.28 |
| 53 | Washington | Pac-10 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.23 | 5.73 | 13.09 | 6.79 | -0.79 |
| 54 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.64 | 3.82 | 10.15 | 7.04 | -1.04 |
| 55 | Tulane | Conference USA | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.48 | 4.55 | 6.78 | 6.7 | -0.7 |
| 56 | Clemson | ACC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.47 | 1.27 | 13.08 | 5.82 | 0.18 |
| 57 | Cincinnati | Conference USA | 5-5 | 0.5 | 13.27 | 6.2 | 14.62 | 6.35 | -1.35 |
| 58 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.73 | 2.42 | 14.12 | 6.74 | -0.74 |
| 59 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.49 | 3.5 | 10.89 | 5.7 | -0.7 |
| 60 | Wake Forest | ACC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.49 | 2.3 | 12.44 | 5.52 | -0.52 |
| 61 | UCF | Mid-American | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.46 | 4.9 | 8.23 | 6.04 | -1.04 |
| 62 | New Mexico State | Sun Belt | 6-5 | 0.55 | 12.11 | -0.45 | 8.9 | 5.39 | 0.61 |
| 63 | Ole Miss | SEC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.92 | 0.5 | 13.04 | 5.1 | -0.1 |
| 64 | Purdue | Big Ten | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.91 | 5.82 | 12.78 | 6.93 | -1.93 |
| 65 | Missouri | Big 12 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.82 | 4.18 | 14.24 | 6.38 | -1.38 |
| 66 | UConn | FBS Independents | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.52 | 7.82 | 6.69 | 7.35 | -2.35 |
| 67 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.39 | -2.18 | 9.03 | 4.94 | 1.06 |
| 68 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.31 | -4.09 | 12.18 | 4.55 | 1.45 |
| 69 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.08 | -0.27 | 10.31 | 5.44 | -0.44 |
| 70 | Ball State | Mid-American | 5-5 | 0.5 | 9.82 | -5.1 | 9.97 | 3.8 | 1.2 |
| 71 | Utah | Mountain West | 4-6 | 0.4 | 9.73 | 1.6 | 9.91 | 5.42 | -1.42 |
| 72 | San José State | Western Athletic | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.6 | -7.33 | 10.04 | 4.48 | 1.52 |
| 73 | UAB | Conference USA | 5-5 | 0.5 | 9.57 | -7.4 | 9.84 | 3.37 | 1.63 |
| 74 | Illinois | Big Ten | 4-7 | 0.36 | 9.56 | 2.91 | 14.11 | 6.19 | -2.19 |
| 75 | South Carolina | SEC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.49 | -2.73 | 13.74 | 4.62 | 0.38 |
| 76 | BYU | Mountain West | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.91 | -4.91 | 11.27 | 4.31 | 0.69 |
| 77 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 6-7 | 0.46 | 8.34 | -7.85 | 5.43 | 4.07 | 1.93 |
| 78 | Syracuse | Big East | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.48 | -1.55 | 9.99 | 5.18 | -1.18 |
| 79 | Houston | Conference USA | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.45 | -7.2 | 10.09 | 3.67 | 0.33 |
| 80 | Ohio | Mid-American | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.43 | -6.2 | 8.97 | 3.7 | 0.3 |
| 81 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.37 | -2.55 | 13.25 | 4.94 | -0.94 |
| 82 | Utah State | FBS Independents | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.05 | -11 | 10.32 | 3.12 | 0.88 |
| 83 | Rice | Western Athletic | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.82 | -3.91 | 8.03 | 4.49 | -0.49 |
| 84 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.63 | -6.27 | 11.92 | 3.69 | 0.31 |
| 85 | UNLV | Mountain West | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.57 | -7 | 10.37 | 3.84 | 0.16 |
| 86 | Temple | Big East | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.48 | -7.91 | 12.03 | 3.49 | 0.51 |
| 87 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.39 | -8.36 | 9.26 | 3.59 | 0.41 |
| 88 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.32 | -3.78 | 10.7 | 3.87 | -0.87 |
| 89 | Troy | FBS Independents | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.17 | -2.83 | 4.97 | 4.98 | -0.98 |
| 90 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.3 | -4.2 | 7.44 | 4.03 | -1.03 |
| 91 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.07 | -8.8 | 11 | 3.38 | -0.38 |
| 92 | Mississippi State | SEC | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.06 | -9.3 | 11.85 | 2.85 | 0.15 |
| 93 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.81 | -4.73 | 11.07 | 4.36 | -1.36 |
| 94 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.33 | -9.55 | 11.21 | 3.21 | -0.21 |
| 95 | Akron | Mid-American | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.3 | -8.36 | 10.32 | 3.7 | -0.7 |
| 96 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.21 | -11.36 | 11.65 | 2.58 | 0.42 |
| 97 | Indiana | Big Ten | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.01 | -14.82 | 11.41 | 2.55 | 0.45 |
| 98 | Kent State | Mid-American | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.87 | -16.73 | 9.92 | 1.86 | 1.14 |
| 99 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.85 | -19.45 | 13.8 | 2.05 | 0.95 |
| 100 | Baylor | Big 12 | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.69 | -23.55 | 12.41 | 1.14 | 1.86 |
| 101 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.59 | -21.64 | 6.79 | 1.98 | 1.02 |
| 102 | Memphis | Conference USA | 2-8 | 0.2 | 3.19 | -4.5 | 10.18 | 4.01 | -2.01 |
| 103 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.6 | -12.9 | 16.26 | 2.49 | -0.49 |
| 104 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.18 | -10.45 | 10.51 | 3.3 | -1.3 |
| 105 | Duke | ACC | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.17 | -11.27 | 12.99 | 2.71 | -0.71 |
| 106 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.17 | -11.18 | 12.56 | 2.85 | -0.85 |
| 107 | Idaho | Sun Belt | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.02 | -12.64 | 9.2 | 2.88 | -0.88 |
| 108 | North Carolina | ACC | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.86 | -18.18 | 16.64 | 1.78 | 0.22 |
| 109 | SMU | Western Athletic | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.79 | -15.82 | 10.37 | 1.87 | 0.13 |
| 110 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.62 | -21.73 | 9.13 | 1.49 | 0.51 |
| 111 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.53 | -25.18 | 10.24 | 1.21 | 0.79 |
| 112 | Kansas | Big 12 | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.42 | -21.58 | 11.04 | 1.86 | 0.14 |
| 113 | Rutgers | Big East | 1-9 | 0.1 | 0.05 | -15.8 | 10.03 | 1.57 | -0.57 |
| 114 | Navy | FBS Independents | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.08 | -18.9 | 11.49 | 1.75 | -0.75 |
| 115 | Army | Conference USA | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.19 | -19.1 | 10.06 | 1.73 | -0.73 |
| 116 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.2 | -16.55 | 7.72 | 1.89 | -0.89 |
| 117 | Tulsa | Western Athletic | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.2 | -16.45 | 10.26 | 2.07 | -1.07 |