Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:33.298350+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miami | Big East | 12-0 | 1 | 25.27 | 23.83 | 11.58 | 10.56 | 1.44 |
| 2 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 13-0 | 1 | 25.15 | 16.92 | 12.26 | 11.53 | 1.47 |
| 3 | Georgia | SEC | 12-1 | 0.92 | 23.34 | 17.31 | 12.29 | 11.14 | 0.86 |
| 4 | Iowa | Big Ten | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.26 | 20.75 | 11.1 | 10.31 | 0.69 |
| 5 | Boise State | Western Athletic | 11-1 | 0.92 | 22.83 | 27.92 | 7.59 | 10.77 | 0.23 |
| 6 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 11-2 | 0.85 | 22.12 | 23.46 | 13.2 | 11.68 | -0.68 |
| 7 | USC | Pac-10 | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.94 | 17 | 16.24 | 9.88 | 0.12 |
| 8 | Texas | Big 12 | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.43 | 17.67 | 13.06 | 10.24 | -0.24 |
| 9 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.18 | 35.08 | 8.54 | 11.64 | -1.64 |
| 10 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.84 | 12.92 | 10.98 | 9.01 | 0.99 |
| 11 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.76 | 7.92 | 12.55 | 8.69 | 1.31 |
| 12 | South Florida | FBS Independents | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.35 | 12.27 | 9.54 | 8.46 | 0.54 |
| 13 | TCU | Conference USA | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.18 | 11.36 | 8.82 | 8.19 | 0.81 |
| 14 | Marshall | Mid-American | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.13 | 9.92 | 7.81 | 8.26 | 1.74 |
| 15 | Alabama | SEC | 10-3 | 0.77 | 20.02 | 12.85 | 14.39 | 10.51 | -0.51 |
| 16 | Penn State | Big Ten | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.61 | 18.58 | 12.93 | 10.13 | -1.13 |
| 17 | Maryland | ACC | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.55 | 15.08 | 10.58 | 10.6 | -0.6 |
| 18 | Michigan | Big Ten | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.23 | 7.33 | 14.96 | 8.16 | 0.84 |
| 19 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.21 | 7.69 | 11.51 | 8.55 | 1.45 |
| 20 | NC State | ACC | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.19 | 15.38 | 8.19 | 10.58 | -0.58 |
| 21 | West Virginia | Big East | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.88 | 10 | 11.14 | 8.57 | 0.43 |
| 22 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 10-3 | 0.77 | 18.75 | 9.31 | 7.72 | 8.68 | 1.32 |
| 23 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.67 | 15.5 | 7.66 | 9.07 | -0.07 |
| 24 | Florida State | ACC | 9-4 | 0.69 | 18.08 | 10.77 | 14.73 | 9.44 | -0.44 |
| 25 | Virginia Tech | Big East | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.98 | 12.23 | 13.07 | 9.91 | -0.91 |
| 26 | Arkansas | SEC | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.89 | 8.31 | 14.42 | 9.13 | -0.13 |
| 27 | Colorado | Big 12 | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.63 | 5.85 | 14.28 | 8.23 | 0.77 |
| 28 | Toledo | Mid-American | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.57 | 11 | 10.68 | 9.13 | -0.13 |
| 29 | Auburn | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.28 | 12.75 | 11.36 | 9.31 | -1.31 |
| 30 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.2 | 14.33 | 10.17 | 9.49 | -1.49 |
| 31 | Florida | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.04 | 5.42 | 14.12 | 7.65 | 0.35 |
| 32 | LSU | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.03 | 8.33 | 11.76 | 8.65 | -0.65 |
| 33 | Boston College | Big East | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.02 | 9.42 | 11.08 | 8.66 | -0.66 |
| 34 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.01 | 6.17 | 13.2 | 7.99 | 0.01 |
| 35 | Tennessee | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17 | 8 | 11.82 | 8.63 | -0.63 |
| 36 | Air Force | Mountain West | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.87 | 12 | 8.72 | 8.71 | -0.71 |
| 37 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.57 | 6.42 | 9.74 | 7.59 | 0.41 |
| 38 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.8 | 4.46 | 14.53 | 7.48 | 0.52 |
| 39 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.27 | 4 | 10.75 | 7.5 | 0.5 |
| 40 | Virginia | ACC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.24 | 2.15 | 13.53 | 7.13 | 0.87 |
| 41 | California | Pac-10 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.16 | 9.08 | 12.77 | 8.01 | -1.01 |
| 42 | Washington | Pac-10 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.86 | 5.5 | 13.24 | 7.36 | -0.36 |
| 43 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.81 | 3.92 | 14.28 | 6.99 | 0.01 |
| 44 | Kentucky | SEC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.78 | 7 | 11.17 | 7.7 | -0.7 |
| 45 | Louisville | Conference USA | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.69 | 6.5 | 10.76 | 7.69 | -0.69 |
| 46 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.69 | 6.67 | 10.66 | 7.5 | -0.5 |
| 47 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.62 | 4.92 | 11.81 | 7.17 | -0.17 |
| 48 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.6 | 6.33 | 10.17 | 7.47 | -0.47 |
| 49 | UCF | Mid-American | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.44 | 6.33 | 8.82 | 7.5 | -0.5 |
| 50 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.38 | 4.5 | 10.23 | 7.62 | -0.62 |
| 51 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.27 | 4.33 | 9.52 | 7.81 | -0.81 |
| 52 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.26 | 3.5 | 10.58 | 6.91 | 0.09 |
| 53 | Tulane | Conference USA | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.23 | 5.92 | 7.44 | 7.7 | -0.7 |
| 54 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.12 | 1.83 | 12.5 | 6.63 | 0.37 |
| 55 | Clemson | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.11 | 1.75 | 12.7 | 6.49 | 0.51 |
| 56 | Cincinnati | Conference USA | 7-6 | 0.54 | 14.04 | 6.54 | 13.39 | 8.34 | -1.34 |
| 57 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.76 | 3.62 | 14.12 | 7.63 | -0.63 |
| 58 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 8-5 | 0.62 | 13.56 | -0.77 | 11.2 | 6.28 | 1.72 |
| 59 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.56 | 4 | 11.68 | 7.69 | -0.69 |
| 60 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.34 | 2 | 13.47 | 7.03 | -0.03 |
| 61 | Purdue | Big Ten | 6-6 | 0.5 | 13.01 | 7.33 | 11.26 | 7.97 | -1.97 |
| 62 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.92 | 5.42 | 12.4 | 7.45 | -1.45 |
| 63 | New Mexico State | Sun Belt | 7-5 | 0.58 | 12.82 | -0.08 | 8.66 | 5.98 | 1.02 |
| 64 | UConn | FBS Independents | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.69 | 8.58 | 7.16 | 8.19 | -2.19 |
| 65 | Ole Miss | SEC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.14 | 1.33 | 12.69 | 6.36 | -0.36 |
| 66 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 7-6 | 0.54 | 11.87 | -0.23 | 9.08 | 6.43 | 0.57 |
| 67 | Wake Forest | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.8 | 0.67 | 11.89 | 6.18 | -0.18 |
| 68 | Utah | Mountain West | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.96 | 2.09 | 9.69 | 6.13 | -1.13 |
| 69 | Illinois | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 10.8 | 3.25 | 12.82 | 6.84 | -1.84 |
| 70 | Missouri | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 10.13 | 0.67 | 13.75 | 6.16 | -1.16 |
| 71 | Ball State | Mid-American | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.86 | -4.58 | 9.67 | 4.74 | 1.26 |
| 72 | San José State | Western Athletic | 6-7 | 0.46 | 8.73 | -7 | 10.31 | 4.87 | 1.13 |
| 73 | South Carolina | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.57 | -3.08 | 13.56 | 4.93 | 0.07 |
| 74 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.38 | -3.33 | 11.35 | 5.19 | -0.19 |
| 75 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 6-7 | 0.46 | 8.32 | -7.85 | 5.6 | 4.07 | 1.93 |
| 76 | BYU | Mountain West | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.07 | -5.08 | 10.66 | 4.59 | 0.41 |
| 77 | Houston | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.97 | -6.08 | 11.15 | 4.57 | 0.43 |
| 78 | UNLV | Mountain West | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.97 | -6.17 | 11.2 | 4.43 | 0.57 |
| 79 | UAB | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.67 | -8.5 | 9.99 | 3.81 | 1.19 |
| 80 | Rice | Western Athletic | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.72 | -3.91 | 7.86 | 4.49 | -0.49 |
| 81 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.53 | -2.25 | 10.72 | 5.4 | -1.4 |
| 82 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.23 | -2.92 | 7.84 | 5.21 | -1.21 |
| 83 | Utah State | FBS Independents | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.11 | -11.55 | 9.93 | 3.35 | 0.65 |
| 84 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.1 | -5.33 | 12.11 | 4.77 | -0.77 |
| 85 | Syracuse | Big East | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.09 | -4.92 | 11.36 | 4.9 | -0.9 |
| 86 | Troy | FBS Independents | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.08 | -2.83 | 4.51 | 4.98 | -0.98 |
| 87 | Akron | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.06 | -4.5 | 9.55 | 4.92 | -0.92 |
| 88 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.95 | -6.83 | 13.02 | 4.4 | -0.4 |
| 89 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.89 | -6.92 | 12.11 | 3.88 | 0.12 |
| 90 | Ohio | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.85 | -6.25 | 9.73 | 4.44 | -0.44 |
| 91 | Temple | Big East | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.7 | -9.08 | 12.09 | 3.51 | 0.49 |
| 92 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.67 | -8.83 | 10.41 | 4.04 | -0.04 |
| 93 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.53 | -9.75 | 9.35 | 3.56 | 0.44 |
| 94 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 4-9 | 0.31 | 5.37 | -7.85 | 12.32 | 4.38 | -0.38 |
| 95 | Memphis | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.75 | -2 | 9.88 | 5.46 | -2.46 |
| 96 | Mississippi State | SEC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.85 | -9.33 | 11.84 | 3.35 | -0.35 |
| 97 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.6 | -12.42 | 10.52 | 2.56 | 0.44 |
| 98 | North Carolina | ACC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.5 | -16.5 | 14.36 | 2.18 | 0.82 |
| 99 | SMU | Western Athletic | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.47 | -14.25 | 9.37 | 2.32 | 0.68 |
| 100 | Indiana | Big Ten | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.46 | -15.58 | 11.39 | 2.59 | 0.41 |
| 101 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.38 | -18.42 | 12.89 | 2.36 | 0.64 |
| 102 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.29 | -17.92 | 9.01 | 2.13 | 0.87 |
| 103 | Kent State | Mid-American | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.28 | -18.5 | 9.48 | 1.77 | 1.23 |
| 104 | Baylor | Big 12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.14 | -24.5 | 12.11 | 1.28 | 1.72 |
| 105 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.07 | -23.33 | 7.83 | 1.99 | 1.01 |
| 106 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.03 | -13.82 | 15.81 | 2.5 | -0.5 |
| 107 | Duke | ACC | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.94 | -10.5 | 11.76 | 3.12 | -1.12 |
| 108 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.84 | -12.25 | 12.81 | 2.76 | -0.76 |
| 109 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.83 | -12 | 10.94 | 3.32 | -1.32 |
| 110 | Idaho | Sun Belt | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.82 | -11.92 | 9.77 | 3.31 | -1.31 |
| 111 | Navy | FBS Independents | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.75 | -12.17 | 10.69 | 3.31 | -1.31 |
| 112 | Kansas | Big 12 | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.39 | -21.58 | 10.41 | 1.86 | 0.14 |
| 113 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.29 | -24.25 | 9.53 | 1.43 | 0.57 |
| 114 | Tulsa | Western Athletic | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.38 | -15.33 | 9.57 | 2.41 | -1.41 |
| 115 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.44 | -16.83 | 8.1 | 2.06 | -1.06 |
| 116 | Rutgers | Big East | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.55 | -19.17 | 11.4 | 1.37 | -0.37 |
| 117 | Army | Conference USA | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.63 | -22.08 | 8.1 | 1.65 | -0.65 |