Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:33.295168+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Virginia Tech | Big East | 6-0 | 1 | 27.02 | 24.17 | 15.87 | 5.67 | 0.33 |
| 2 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 6-0 | 1 | 26.42 | 11.17 | 15.86 | 4.98 | 1.02 |
| 3 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 6-0 | 1 | 26.35 | 25 | 12.52 | 5.47 | 0.53 |
| 4 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 7-0 | 1 | 26.26 | 23.14 | 12.32 | 6.32 | 0.68 |
| 5 | Miami | Big East | 6-0 | 1 | 25.93 | 26.83 | 10.2 | 5.43 | 0.57 |
| 6 | Air Force | Mountain West | 6-0 | 1 | 25.81 | 24.33 | 10.01 | 5.39 | 0.61 |
| 7 | Georgia | SEC | 6-0 | 1 | 25.77 | 14.17 | 11.86 | 4.97 | 1.03 |
| 8 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 6-0 | 1 | 25.02 | 20.5 | 6.87 | 5.2 | 0.8 |
| 9 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 5-0 | 1 | 24.96 | 28.2 | 5.33 | 4.4 | 0.6 |
| 10 | NC State | ACC | 7-0 | 1 | 24.5 | 24.43 | 3.66 | 6.12 | 0.88 |
| 11 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.78 | 22.57 | 11.81 | 6.15 | -0.15 |
| 12 | Iowa | Big Ten | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.7 | 16.43 | 12.73 | 5.43 | 0.57 |
| 13 | Texas | Big 12 | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.21 | 21.33 | 11.21 | 5.42 | -0.42 |
| 14 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.04 | 13.71 | 9.66 | 5.35 | 0.65 |
| 15 | Michigan | Big Ten | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.77 | 7.67 | 14.76 | 4.07 | 0.93 |
| 16 | LSU | SEC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.63 | 21.33 | 9.57 | 5.6 | -0.6 |
| 17 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.31 | 15.86 | 4.94 | 5.69 | 0.31 |
| 18 | Ole Miss | SEC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.31 | 13.5 | 9.71 | 4.55 | 0.45 |
| 19 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 5-1 | 0.83 | 20.91 | 33.5 | 3.39 | 5.71 | -0.71 |
| 20 | Boise State | Western Athletic | 5-1 | 0.83 | 20.72 | 15.33 | 5.55 | 4.43 | 0.57 |
| 21 | TCU | Conference USA | 5-1 | 0.83 | 20.2 | 11.67 | 3.63 | 4.49 | 0.51 |
| 22 | Marshall | Mid-American | 4-1 | 0.8 | 20.08 | 15.6 | 6.04 | 3.78 | 0.22 |
| 23 | Florida State | ACC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.96 | 13.71 | 17.51 | 5.26 | -0.26 |
| 24 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.87 | 8.14 | 12.65 | 4.83 | 0.17 |
| 25 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.71 | 10.14 | 10.74 | 5.38 | -0.38 |
| 26 | USC | Pac-10 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.64 | 9.67 | 18.95 | 4.44 | -0.44 |
| 27 | Penn State | Big Ten | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.5 | 10.17 | 15.68 | 4.16 | -0.16 |
| 28 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.4 | 9.14 | 10.81 | 4.95 | 0.05 |
| 29 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.29 | 14 | 14.58 | 5.04 | -1.04 |
| 30 | South Carolina | SEC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.24 | 6.57 | 11.45 | 4.72 | 0.28 |
| 31 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.14 | 9 | 13.84 | 4.06 | -0.06 |
| 32 | Alabama | SEC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.02 | 8.33 | 14.62 | 4.14 | -0.14 |
| 33 | Kentucky | SEC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.94 | 14.33 | 9.9 | 4.61 | -0.61 |
| 34 | Louisville | Conference USA | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.89 | 12 | 12.49 | 4.46 | -0.46 |
| 35 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.86 | 12 | 5.79 | 5.1 | -0.1 |
| 36 | Virginia | ACC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.83 | 2.71 | 12.63 | 3.88 | 1.12 |
| 37 | Washington | Pac-10 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.78 | 10.67 | 12.42 | 4.28 | -0.28 |
| 38 | Tennessee | SEC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.77 | 10.83 | 10.38 | 4.5 | -0.5 |
| 39 | Maryland | ACC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.75 | 13.83 | 10.22 | 4.83 | -0.83 |
| 40 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.65 | 1.86 | 12.76 | 3.76 | 1.24 |
| 41 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.61 | 11.33 | 10.13 | 4.67 | -0.67 |
| 42 | Toledo | Mid-American | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.58 | 14.83 | 9.34 | 4.61 | -0.61 |
| 43 | Auburn | SEC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.29 | 14 | 5.42 | 4.71 | -0.71 |
| 44 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.27 | 12.5 | 5.94 | 4.93 | -0.93 |
| 45 | West Virginia | Big East | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.27 | 10.67 | 8.88 | 4.27 | -0.27 |
| 46 | Arkansas | SEC | 3-2 | 0.6 | 17.1 | 13.2 | 19.06 | 3.8 | -0.8 |
| 47 | Colorado | Big 12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.98 | 3.33 | 13.31 | 3.44 | 0.56 |
| 48 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.92 | 12.83 | 5.45 | 4.2 | -0.2 |
| 49 | South Florida | FBS Independents | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.89 | 4.33 | 10.74 | 3.69 | 0.31 |
| 50 | California | Pac-10 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 16.32 | 12.29 | 16.88 | 4.98 | -0.98 |
| 51 | Boston College | Big East | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.16 | 4.2 | 15.41 | 3.01 | -0.01 |
| 52 | Florida | SEC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.82 | 6.14 | 16.81 | 4.52 | -0.52 |
| 53 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.57 | 15.29 | 9.48 | 5.67 | -1.67 |
| 54 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.55 | 4.71 | 16.29 | 4.08 | -0.08 |
| 55 | Wake Forest | ACC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.33 | 1.86 | 14.2 | 3.78 | 0.22 |
| 56 | Missouri | Big 12 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.97 | 7.33 | 14.42 | 3.94 | -0.94 |
| 57 | Tulane | Conference USA | 4-3 | 0.57 | 13.82 | 2.71 | 7.42 | 3.94 | 0.06 |
| 58 | Clemson | ACC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.72 | 3.83 | 16.18 | 3.53 | -0.53 |
| 59 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.53 | 4.17 | 14.13 | 3.54 | -0.54 |
| 60 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 4-3 | 0.57 | 13.21 | -0.43 | 10.79 | 3.44 | 0.56 |
| 61 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 4-3 | 0.57 | 12.35 | -1.43 | 9.73 | 3.29 | 0.71 |
| 62 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 4-3 | 0.57 | 12.27 | -2.29 | 11.42 | 3.13 | 0.87 |
| 63 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.25 | 0.5 | 11.26 | 3.09 | -0.09 |
| 64 | San José State | Western Athletic | 4-3 | 0.57 | 11.87 | -5.29 | 8.65 | 2.82 | 1.18 |
| 65 | Purdue | Big Ten | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11.79 | 5.43 | 11.85 | 4.34 | -1.34 |
| 66 | New Mexico State | Sun Belt | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.67 | -2.17 | 11.93 | 2.71 | 0.29 |
| 67 | BYU | Mountain West | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.65 | -5 | 12.26 | 2.42 | 0.58 |
| 68 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.31 | -3.33 | 7.02 | 2.57 | 0.43 |
| 69 | Indiana | Big Ten | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.05 | -7.33 | 13.96 | 2.08 | 0.92 |
| 70 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 2-3 | 0.4 | 9.83 | 1.4 | 8.32 | 2.65 | -0.65 |
| 71 | UAB | Conference USA | 3-3 | 0.5 | 9.66 | -9.33 | 11.27 | 1.81 | 1.19 |
| 72 | Baylor | Big 12 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 9.52 | -9.83 | 5.84 | 1.84 | 1.16 |
| 73 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 4-4 | 0.5 | 9.16 | -15.25 | 6.2 | 1.5 | 2.5 |
| 74 | Utah | Mountain West | 2-4 | 0.33 | 8.95 | 2.5 | 11.56 | 3.43 | -1.43 |
| 75 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 2-4 | 0.33 | 8.91 | 2.83 | 10.17 | 3.35 | -1.35 |
| 76 | Memphis | Conference USA | 2-4 | 0.33 | 8.77 | 2.17 | 11 | 3.28 | -1.28 |
| 77 | UCF | Mid-American | 2-3 | 0.4 | 8.49 | -1.2 | 11.19 | 2.37 | -0.37 |
| 78 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.42 | -5.86 | 12.33 | 2.49 | 0.51 |
| 79 | Cincinnati | Conference USA | 2-4 | 0.33 | 7.39 | -1.67 | 15.37 | 2.79 | -0.79 |
| 80 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 3-4 | 0.43 | 7.18 | -22.43 | 4.14 | 1.26 | 1.74 |
| 81 | Illinois | Big Ten | 2-5 | 0.29 | 7.11 | 0.29 | 17.1 | 3.54 | -1.54 |
| 82 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.7 | -2.67 | 9.88 | 2.62 | -0.62 |
| 83 | UConn | FBS Independents | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.54 | -3.83 | 12.5 | 2.41 | -0.41 |
| 84 | North Carolina | ACC | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.31 | -8.5 | 17.61 | 1.94 | 0.06 |
| 85 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.25 | -7.33 | 13.3 | 2.1 | -0.1 |
| 86 | Rice | Western Athletic | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.18 | -3.33 | 8.58 | 2.47 | -0.47 |
| 87 | Houston | Conference USA | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.03 | -8.67 | 11.62 | 1.9 | 0.1 |
| 88 | Kent State | Mid-American | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.97 | -6.5 | 8.61 | 2.12 | -0.12 |
| 89 | UNLV | Mountain West | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.94 | -10.17 | 12.78 | 1.59 | 0.41 |
| 90 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.93 | -8.33 | 11.19 | 1.99 | 0.01 |
| 91 | Mississippi State | SEC | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.79 | -8.67 | 13.25 | 1.73 | 0.27 |
| 92 | Ball State | Mid-American | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.56 | -14.17 | 9.51 | 1.19 | 0.81 |
| 93 | Temple | Big East | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.56 | -10.17 | 11.03 | 1.63 | 0.37 |
| 94 | Troy | FBS Independents | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.45 | -3.29 | 6.65 | 2.91 | -0.91 |
| 95 | Duke | ACC | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.95 | -10.14 | 12.19 | 1.91 | 0.09 |
| 96 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.95 | -12.57 | 16.92 | 1.99 | 0.01 |
| 97 | Kansas | Big 12 | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.83 | -10.43 | 9.77 | 2.2 | -0.2 |
| 98 | Ohio | Mid-American | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.28 | -15.86 | 10.45 | 1.48 | 0.52 |
| 99 | Syracuse | Big East | 1-5 | 0.17 | 3.15 | -1.83 | 9.62 | 2.79 | -1.79 |
| 100 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 1-4 | 0.2 | 2.9 | -12 | 20.24 | 1.46 | -0.46 |
| 101 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.25 | -8 | 14.15 | 1.29 | -0.29 |
| 102 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.2 | -8.33 | 10.66 | 1.9 | -0.9 |
| 103 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.86 | -14 | 13.69 | 1.11 | -0.11 |
| 104 | Rutgers | Big East | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.85 | -13 | 7.87 | 1.12 | -0.12 |
| 105 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.78 | -10 | 12.66 | 1.78 | -0.78 |
| 106 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.7 | -10.83 | 10.59 | 1.41 | -0.41 |
| 107 | Navy | FBS Independents | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.7 | -16.33 | 10.47 | 1.26 | -0.26 |
| 108 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.62 | -18.17 | 12.8 | 1.04 | -0.04 |
| 109 | Utah State | FBS Independents | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.57 | -18.83 | 12.8 | 1.13 | -0.13 |
| 110 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.16 | -32 | 12.8 | 0.46 | 0.54 |
| 111 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.14 | -13.43 | 7.06 | 1.68 | -0.68 |
| 112 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.12 | -22.67 | 9.11 | 0.57 | 0.43 |
| 113 | Idaho | Sun Belt | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.96 | -17.14 | 9.78 | 1.58 | -0.58 |
| 114 | Akron | Mid-American | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.92 | -12.71 | 11.95 | 2.04 | -1.04 |
| 115 | Tulsa | Western Athletic | 0-6 | 0 | -2.6 | -22.17 | 13.59 | 0.8 | -0.8 |
| 116 | SMU | Western Athletic | 0-7 | 0 | -2.6 | -22 | 13.36 | 0.54 | -0.54 |
| 117 | Army | Conference USA | 0-6 | 0 | -2.67 | -26.5 | 9.9 | 0.51 | -0.51 |