Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:33.511728+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 13-1 | 0.93 | 23.45 | 23.57 | 11.19 | 12.15 | 0.85 |
| 2 | LSU | SEC | 13-1 | 0.93 | 23.3 | 22.93 | 10.52 | 13.09 | -0.09 |
| 3 | USC | Pac-10 | 12-1 | 0.92 | 23.29 | 22.69 | 11.71 | 11.32 | 0.68 |
| 4 | Boise State | Western Athletic | 13-1 | 0.93 | 22.87 | 25.93 | 7.72 | 12.59 | 0.41 |
| 5 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 12-2 | 0.86 | 22.33 | 27.64 | 12.9 | 12.89 | -0.89 |
| 6 | Miami | Big East | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.51 | 12.69 | 13.13 | 10.52 | 0.48 |
| 7 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.27 | 7.15 | 14.2 | 8.99 | 2.01 |
| 8 | TCU | Conference USA | 11-2 | 0.85 | 20.6 | 8 | 9.59 | 8.85 | 2.15 |
| 9 | Utah | Mountain West | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.58 | 9.58 | 11.48 | 8.69 | 1.31 |
| 10 | Georgia | SEC | 11-3 | 0.79 | 20.1 | 12 | 13.17 | 11.29 | -0.29 |
| 11 | Michigan | Big Ten | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.96 | 18.54 | 12.83 | 11.09 | -1.09 |
| 12 | Texas | Big 12 | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.94 | 19.46 | 12.49 | 10.68 | -0.68 |
| 13 | Florida State | ACC | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.86 | 15.54 | 13.05 | 10.74 | -0.74 |
| 14 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 10-2 | 0.83 | 19.82 | 10.67 | 6.32 | 8.67 | 1.33 |
| 15 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 11-3 | 0.79 | 19.61 | 11.86 | 10.06 | 10.32 | 0.68 |
| 16 | Iowa | Big Ten | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.61 | 12.54 | 12.76 | 10.35 | -0.35 |
| 17 | Maryland | ACC | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.49 | 15.38 | 11.02 | 10.83 | -0.83 |
| 18 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.46 | 16.77 | 10.44 | 10.32 | -0.32 |
| 19 | Ole Miss | SEC | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.38 | 12.08 | 11.45 | 9.61 | 0.39 |
| 20 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.35 | 10.31 | 11.97 | 10.16 | -0.16 |
| 21 | Tennessee | SEC | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.31 | 9.69 | 11.69 | 9.51 | 0.49 |
| 22 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.28 | 10.54 | 11.46 | 9.54 | 0.46 |
| 23 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 11-4 | 0.73 | 18.79 | 19.6 | 10.88 | 13.2 | -2.2 |
| 24 | UConn | FBS Independents | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.04 | 9 | 6.84 | 8.09 | 0.91 |
| 25 | Arkansas | SEC | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.71 | 10.08 | 13.38 | 9.1 | -0.1 |
| 26 | Purdue | Big Ten | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.45 | 9.46 | 11.47 | 9.58 | -0.58 |
| 27 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.39 | 10.85 | 10.38 | 9.11 | -0.11 |
| 28 | Clemson | ACC | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.29 | 8.85 | 11.01 | 9.23 | -0.23 |
| 29 | Memphis | Conference USA | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.22 | 11 | 9.29 | 9.68 | -0.68 |
| 30 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.1 | 5.15 | 11.96 | 8.44 | 0.56 |
| 31 | Louisville | Conference USA | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.91 | 6.85 | 9.41 | 8.16 | 0.84 |
| 32 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.71 | 5.62 | 8.88 | 8.21 | 0.79 |
| 33 | Toledo | Mid-American | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.53 | 8.67 | 8.71 | 8.12 | -0.12 |
| 34 | Marshall | Mid-American | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.4 | 6 | 9.61 | 7.6 | 0.4 |
| 35 | Florida | SEC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 16.07 | 9.15 | 13.3 | 9.14 | -1.14 |
| 36 | Virginia Tech | Big East | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.9 | 12.38 | 10.45 | 9.56 | -1.56 |
| 37 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.86 | 8.46 | 12.51 | 8.17 | -0.17 |
| 38 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.85 | 10.15 | 11.2 | 9.14 | -1.14 |
| 39 | Auburn | SEC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.84 | 10 | 11.36 | 9.83 | -1.83 |
| 40 | Virginia | ACC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.76 | 7.62 | 12.07 | 8.84 | -0.84 |
| 41 | NC State | ACC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.75 | 8 | 11.75 | 8.29 | -0.29 |
| 42 | West Virginia | Big East | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.58 | 6.08 | 11.64 | 8.27 | -0.27 |
| 43 | Missouri | Big 12 | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.53 | 8.62 | 9.29 | 8.92 | -0.92 |
| 44 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.53 | 7.77 | 10.1 | 8.71 | -0.71 |
| 45 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.52 | 5.38 | 11.77 | 8.12 | -0.12 |
| 46 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.51 | 6 | 11.38 | 8.18 | -0.18 |
| 47 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 9-5 | 0.64 | 15.42 | 4.21 | 8.87 | 8.07 | 0.93 |
| 48 | South Florida | Conference USA | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.23 | 4.73 | 6.8 | 6.83 | 0.17 |
| 49 | Boston College | Big East | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.07 | 3 | 11.58 | 7.35 | 0.65 |
| 50 | Navy | FBS Independents | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.04 | 8.69 | 5.35 | 8.96 | -0.96 |
| 51 | California | Pac-10 | 8-6 | 0.57 | 14.85 | 9.07 | 12.92 | 9.71 | -1.71 |
| 52 | Tulsa | Western Athletic | 8-5 | 0.62 | 14.77 | 3 | 8.52 | 7.29 | 0.71 |
| 53 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 9-5 | 0.64 | 14.51 | 0.36 | 10.14 | 7.13 | 1.87 |
| 54 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 8-5 | 0.62 | 14.48 | 0.62 | 12.19 | 6.68 | 1.32 |
| 55 | Air Force | Mountain West | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.46 | 6.67 | 9.52 | 7.96 | -0.96 |
| 56 | Akron | Mid-American | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.07 | 6.83 | 6.03 | 7.46 | -0.46 |
| 57 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.6 | 4.85 | 11.43 | 7.87 | -0.87 |
| 58 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.59 | 3.77 | 12.83 | 7.63 | -0.63 |
| 59 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 12.61 | 0.62 | 12.56 | 6.73 | 0.27 |
| 60 | Syracuse | Big East | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.04 | 1.58 | 11.59 | 6.43 | -0.43 |
| 61 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.67 | 1.42 | 8.28 | 6.56 | -0.56 |
| 62 | Houston | Conference USA | 7-6 | 0.54 | 11.38 | -1.54 | 10.65 | 6.16 | 0.84 |
| 63 | Washington | Pac-10 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.09 | -0.33 | 11.83 | 5.91 | 0.09 |
| 64 | UNLV | Mountain West | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.74 | -1.33 | 12.88 | 5.57 | 0.43 |
| 65 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.77 | -4.67 | 9.47 | 4.73 | 1.27 |
| 66 | Kansas | Big 12 | 6-7 | 0.46 | 9.72 | -0.92 | 9.56 | 6.26 | -0.26 |
| 67 | Troy | FBS Independents | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.42 | -7.25 | 8.76 | 3.44 | 2.56 |
| 68 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 6-7 | 0.46 | 9.13 | -4.85 | 13.35 | 4.88 | 1.12 |
| 69 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 6-7 | 0.46 | 9.13 | -4.38 | 12.01 | 4.94 | 1.06 |
| 70 | Wake Forest | ACC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.05 | -1 | 13.03 | 5.75 | -0.75 |
| 71 | Cincinnati | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.74 | -1.33 | 10.36 | 5.63 | -0.63 |
| 72 | Rutgers | Big East | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.63 | -2.08 | 11.94 | 5.48 | -0.48 |
| 73 | South Carolina | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.44 | -3.83 | 14.38 | 4.89 | 0.11 |
| 74 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.4 | -2.5 | 10.09 | 5.32 | -0.32 |
| 75 | Rice | Western Athletic | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.31 | -2.92 | 10.03 | 5.31 | -0.31 |
| 76 | UAB | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.3 | -3.5 | 11.5 | 4.89 | 0.11 |
| 77 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.29 | -3.25 | 10.63 | 5.21 | -0.21 |
| 78 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.23 | -6 | 15.8 | 4.21 | 0.79 |
| 79 | Colorado | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.08 | -6.58 | 14.43 | 4.46 | 0.54 |
| 80 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.92 | -7 | 12.6 | 4.34 | 0.66 |
| 81 | Kent State | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.8 | -6.25 | 9.38 | 4.54 | 0.46 |
| 82 | Tulane | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.73 | -7.25 | 9.94 | 4.41 | 0.59 |
| 83 | Kentucky | SEC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 7.64 | 0.58 | 8.71 | 6.15 | -2.15 |
| 84 | Alabama | SEC | 4-9 | 0.31 | 7.17 | -0.15 | 16.64 | 6.45 | -2.45 |
| 85 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.08 | -13.25 | 6.05 | 2.78 | 2.22 |
| 86 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.12 | -12.55 | 12.34 | 2.33 | 1.67 |
| 87 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.07 | -3.58 | 7.8 | 5.14 | -1.14 |
| 88 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.91 | -6.17 | 11.57 | 4.4 | -0.4 |
| 89 | BYU | Mountain West | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.7 | -9.5 | 13.68 | 3.03 | 0.97 |
| 90 | Ball State | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.54 | -10.42 | 11.58 | 3.4 | 0.6 |
| 91 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.53 | -13.42 | 15.49 | 3.21 | 0.79 |
| 92 | Duke | ACC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.5 | -11 | 11.48 | 2.88 | 1.12 |
| 93 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.29 | -12.42 | 8.7 | 3.1 | 0.9 |
| 94 | Penn State | Big Ten | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.9 | -1.83 | 13.36 | 5.36 | -2.36 |
| 95 | Utah State | Sun Belt | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.28 | -4.25 | 9.65 | 4.76 | -1.76 |
| 96 | San José State | Western Athletic | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.03 | -11.55 | 8.96 | 3.08 | -0.08 |
| 97 | Idaho | Sun Belt | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4 | -5.5 | 6.31 | 4.36 | -1.36 |
| 98 | New Mexico State | Sun Belt | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.96 | -6.58 | 8.58 | 4.18 | -1.18 |
| 99 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.53 | -12.58 | 9.04 | 3.15 | -0.15 |
| 100 | UCF | Mid-American | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.53 | -12.42 | 8.76 | 2.76 | 0.24 |
| 101 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.45 | -13.83 | 8.85 | 2.36 | 0.64 |
| 102 | Baylor | Big 12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.18 | -22 | 11.22 | 1.36 | 1.64 |
| 103 | Ohio | Mid-American | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.99 | -9.08 | 9.25 | 3.66 | -1.66 |
| 104 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.95 | -10.25 | 12.19 | 3.23 | -1.23 |
| 105 | North Carolina | ACC | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.85 | -11.83 | 12.32 | 3.52 | -1.52 |
| 106 | Indiana | Big Ten | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.55 | -17.58 | 11.43 | 1.62 | 0.38 |
| 107 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.47 | -20.67 | 15.11 | 1.37 | 0.63 |
| 108 | Mississippi State | SEC | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.46 | -20.5 | 13.63 | 1.78 | 0.22 |
| 109 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.4 | -22 | 13.69 | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 110 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 2-11 | 0.15 | 1.12 | -16.15 | 7.41 | 2.79 | -0.79 |
| 111 | Temple | Big East | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.27 | -13.17 | 10.92 | 2.74 | -1.74 |
| 112 | Illinois | Big Ten | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.43 | -16.25 | 12.67 | 2.02 | -1.02 |
| 113 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.49 | -17.58 | 11.87 | 2 | -1 |
| 114 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.53 | -19 | 7.3 | 2.04 | -1.04 |
| 115 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.67 | -22.33 | 11.63 | 1.21 | -0.21 |
| 116 | SMU | Western Athletic | 0-12 | 0 | -2.43 | -21 | 11.79 | 0.9 | -0.9 |
| 117 | Army | Conference USA | 0-13 | 0 | -2.43 | -20.77 | 12.43 | 1.57 | -1.57 |