Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:33.506496+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 8-0 | 1 | 26.12 | 29.12 | 12.43 | 7.42 | 0.58 |
| 2 | Miami | Big East | 7-0 | 1 | 25.48 | 20.86 | 10.62 | 6.19 | 0.81 |
| 3 | TCU | Conference USA | 8-0 | 1 | 24.45 | 9.5 | 8.4 | 5.79 | 2.21 |
| 4 | Florida State | ACC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 23.11 | 21.62 | 12.75 | 7.35 | -0.35 |
| 5 | USC | Pac-10 | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.84 | 20 | 11.59 | 6.71 | 0.29 |
| 6 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.75 | 10.75 | 13.67 | 6.38 | 0.62 |
| 7 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.72 | 21.5 | 10.59 | 6.88 | 0.12 |
| 8 | Georgia | SEC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.71 | 16.12 | 11.73 | 7.11 | -0.11 |
| 9 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.55 | 17.88 | 10.41 | 7.23 | -0.23 |
| 10 | LSU | SEC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.45 | 24.5 | 8.68 | 7.63 | -0.63 |
| 11 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.29 | 23.25 | 8.01 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.18 | 20.38 | 7.94 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.16 | 16.38 | 8.7 | 6.66 | 0.34 |
| 14 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.15 | 13.12 | 9.3 | 6.23 | 0.77 |
| 15 | Virginia Tech | Big East | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.03 | 23.29 | 7.88 | 6.21 | -0.21 |
| 16 | Boise State | Western Athletic | 7-1 | 0.88 | 21.83 | 26 | 5.01 | 7.27 | -0.27 |
| 17 | Louisville | Conference USA | 7-1 | 0.88 | 21.82 | 14.88 | 7.14 | 6.32 | 0.68 |
| 18 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 7-1 | 0.88 | 21.81 | 9.62 | 7.97 | 5.79 | 1.21 |
| 19 | Michigan | Big Ten | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.55 | 22.56 | 11.25 | 8.04 | -1.04 |
| 20 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.19 | 20.44 | 9.44 | 7.62 | -0.62 |
| 21 | Iowa | Big Ten | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.8 | 12.62 | 13.73 | 6.56 | -0.56 |
| 22 | Texas | Big 12 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.67 | 20.5 | 10.62 | 6.63 | -0.63 |
| 23 | Purdue | Big Ten | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.5 | 11.5 | 11.16 | 6.22 | -0.22 |
| 24 | Ole Miss | SEC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.48 | 14.88 | 11.04 | 6.15 | -0.15 |
| 25 | Missouri | Big 12 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.21 | 9.88 | 11.26 | 5.59 | 0.41 |
| 26 | Utah | Mountain West | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.18 | 7.88 | 10.78 | 5.44 | 0.56 |
| 27 | Air Force | Mountain West | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.08 | 10.88 | 9.54 | 6.01 | -0.01 |
| 28 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.43 | 13.14 | 10.77 | 5.29 | -0.29 |
| 29 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.15 | 2.38 | 10.43 | 4.54 | 1.46 |
| 30 | Tennessee | SEC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.95 | 2.71 | 15.01 | 3.93 | 1.07 |
| 31 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.49 | 17.89 | 9.18 | 7.66 | -1.66 |
| 32 | NC State | ACC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.08 | 7.56 | 10.62 | 5.77 | 0.23 |
| 33 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.9 | 4.11 | 11.03 | 5.42 | 0.58 |
| 34 | Florida | SEC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.86 | 15 | 13.5 | 6.46 | -1.46 |
| 35 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.45 | 8.38 | 12.71 | 4.95 | 0.05 |
| 36 | UConn | FBS Independents | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.44 | 5.89 | 7.18 | 5.6 | 0.4 |
| 37 | Maryland | ACC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.39 | 12.88 | 9.92 | 6.63 | -1.63 |
| 38 | Virginia | ACC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.36 | 11.25 | 11.66 | 6.18 | -1.18 |
| 39 | Auburn | SEC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.25 | 8.5 | 11.14 | 5.97 | -0.97 |
| 40 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.15 | 8.88 | 11 | 5.49 | -0.49 |
| 41 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.1 | 13.25 | 8.92 | 6.25 | -1.25 |
| 42 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.03 | 7.5 | 10.19 | 5.34 | -0.34 |
| 43 | Memphis | Conference USA | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.84 | 10.75 | 8.07 | 5.84 | -0.84 |
| 44 | Kansas | Big 12 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.7 | 5.62 | 8.95 | 4.87 | 0.13 |
| 45 | Toledo | Mid-American | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.65 | 6.12 | 8.19 | 5.12 | -0.12 |
| 46 | South Carolina | SEC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.61 | 3.38 | 12.36 | 4.75 | 0.25 |
| 47 | Boston College | Big East | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.53 | 3.25 | 11.85 | 4.58 | 0.42 |
| 48 | Clemson | ACC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.53 | 4.38 | 10.31 | 4.94 | 0.06 |
| 49 | Marshall | Mid-American | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.49 | 6.38 | 8.24 | 5.04 | -0.04 |
| 50 | Arkansas | SEC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.41 | 6.43 | 15.23 | 4.61 | -0.61 |
| 51 | Navy | FBS Independents | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.38 | 8.12 | 4.5 | 5.53 | -0.53 |
| 52 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.2 | 4.75 | 7.42 | 4.68 | 0.32 |
| 53 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 5-3 | 0.62 | 14.89 | 1.62 | 9.86 | 4.29 | 0.71 |
| 54 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 14.86 | 0.62 | 13.61 | 4.1 | 0.9 |
| 55 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 14.79 | 0.25 | 14.26 | 4.07 | 0.93 |
| 56 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 5-3 | 0.62 | 14.7 | 1.75 | 6.53 | 4.34 | 0.66 |
| 57 | South Florida | Conference USA | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.28 | 6 | 6.21 | 4.61 | -0.61 |
| 58 | Akron | Mid-American | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.15 | 9 | 5.15 | 5.92 | -0.92 |
| 59 | Syracuse | Big East | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.09 | 0.57 | 14.74 | 3.58 | 0.42 |
| 60 | Cincinnati | Conference USA | 4-3 | 0.57 | 13.87 | 3.57 | 7.18 | 4.08 | -0.08 |
| 61 | Houston | Conference USA | 5-3 | 0.62 | 13.24 | -2.5 | 9.35 | 3.64 | 1.36 |
| 62 | Kentucky | SEC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.84 | 7.38 | 8.04 | 5.34 | -1.34 |
| 63 | Wake Forest | ACC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.76 | 1.88 | 13.72 | 4.35 | -0.35 |
| 64 | Washington | Pac-10 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.45 | 1 | 13.46 | 4.18 | -0.18 |
| 65 | Tulsa | Western Athletic | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.34 | 2.25 | 10.72 | 4.4 | -0.4 |
| 66 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 4-3 | 0.57 | 12.08 | -3.57 | 13.65 | 2.65 | 1.35 |
| 67 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.82 | 0.38 | 10.21 | 4.07 | -0.07 |
| 68 | West Virginia | Big East | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11.74 | 5.57 | 15.88 | 4.57 | -1.57 |
| 69 | California | Pac-10 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.7 | 4.56 | 13.77 | 5.51 | -1.51 |
| 70 | Rutgers | Big East | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.34 | -0.12 | 11.06 | 3.98 | 0.02 |
| 71 | UNLV | Mountain West | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.11 | -2.62 | 16.89 | 3.42 | 0.58 |
| 72 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.87 | -1.88 | 14.22 | 3.7 | 0.3 |
| 73 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.5 | -4.38 | 15.94 | 3.08 | 0.92 |
| 74 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.17 | 0.44 | 8.63 | 4.62 | -0.62 |
| 75 | Ball State | Mid-American | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.04 | -5.12 | 11.58 | 3.09 | 0.91 |
| 76 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 4-4 | 0.5 | 9.89 | -6.5 | 11.57 | 2.82 | 1.18 |
| 77 | Troy | FBS Independents | 4-4 | 0.5 | 9.68 | -9 | 9.69 | 1.91 | 2.09 |
| 78 | BYU | Mountain West | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.73 | -6 | 13.97 | 3.08 | 0.92 |
| 79 | UAB | Conference USA | 3-5 | 0.38 | 8.13 | -2.25 | 14.77 | 3.46 | -0.46 |
| 80 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.92 | -2.12 | 10.98 | 3.63 | -0.63 |
| 81 | Alabama | SEC | 3-6 | 0.33 | 7.92 | -0.33 | 18.38 | 4.43 | -1.43 |
| 82 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.81 | -5.25 | 17.98 | 3.19 | -0.19 |
| 83 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.48 | -4.88 | 11.74 | 3.22 | -0.22 |
| 84 | Colorado | Big 12 | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.11 | -13 | 18.35 | 2.23 | 0.77 |
| 85 | Tulane | Conference USA | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.93 | -9.88 | 10.91 | 2.7 | 0.3 |
| 86 | UCF | Mid-American | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.6 | -9.5 | 7.76 | 2.32 | 0.68 |
| 87 | Baylor | Big 12 | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.4 | -16.62 | 8.21 | 1.39 | 1.61 |
| 88 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.34 | -13.75 | 4.4 | 1.81 | 1.19 |
| 89 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.03 | -9 | 14 | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| 90 | Kent State | Mid-American | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.81 | -8.89 | 10.46 | 2.9 | 0.1 |
| 91 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.06 | -11.57 | 20.2 | 1.53 | 0.47 |
| 92 | Penn State | Big Ten | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.88 | -3.12 | 15.73 | 3.25 | -1.25 |
| 93 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.38 | -4.12 | 7.82 | 3.31 | -1.31 |
| 94 | San José State | Western Athletic | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.34 | -16.57 | 7.52 | 1.36 | 0.64 |
| 95 | Ohio | Mid-American | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.1 | -6.5 | 7.68 | 2.78 | -0.78 |
| 96 | Utah State | Sun Belt | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.08 | -6.38 | 13.09 | 2.82 | -0.82 |
| 97 | New Mexico State | Sun Belt | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.9 | -6.12 | 6.11 | 2.9 | -0.9 |
| 98 | Mississippi State | SEC | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.85 | -11.62 | 12.9 | 2.29 | -0.29 |
| 99 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.75 | -14.75 | 15.73 | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| 100 | Duke | ACC | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.63 | -14.25 | 11.02 | 1.44 | 0.56 |
| 101 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.59 | -14.38 | 9.62 | 1.7 | 0.3 |
| 102 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.59 | -11.25 | 3.95 | 2.09 | -0.09 |
| 103 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.68 | -15.89 | 10.84 | 1.65 | 0.35 |
| 104 | Rice | Western Athletic | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.89 | -18.43 | 12.08 | 1.13 | -0.13 |
| 105 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.85 | -7.56 | 13.88 | 2.94 | -1.94 |
| 106 | North Carolina | ACC | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.83 | -10.88 | 14.99 | 2.43 | -1.43 |
| 107 | Temple | Big East | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.69 | -12.75 | 10.63 | 1.82 | -0.82 |
| 108 | Indiana | Big Ten | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.63 | -14.12 | 13.12 | 1.48 | -0.48 |
| 109 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.55 | -14.75 | 3.88 | 1.72 | -0.72 |
| 110 | Idaho | Sun Belt | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.46 | -12.22 | 6.49 | 1.89 | -0.89 |
| 111 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.38 | -19.75 | 16.77 | 1 | 0 |
| 112 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.36 | -19.25 | 10.07 | 0.93 | 0.07 |
| 113 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.32 | -20.75 | 12.21 | 0.88 | 0.12 |
| 114 | Illinois | Big Ten | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.29 | -16 | 15.46 | 1.6 | -0.6 |
| 115 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 1-8 | 0.11 | -0.12 | -22.22 | 10.64 | 0.76 | 0.24 |
| 116 | Army | Conference USA | 0-8 | 0 | -2.44 | -18.5 | 13.61 | 1.28 | -1.28 |
| 117 | SMU | Western Athletic | 0-8 | 0 | -2.58 | -22.5 | 13.4 | 0.5 | -0.5 |