Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:33.506954+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 9-0 | 1 | 26.26 | 30.67 | 13.65 | 8.43 | 0.57 |
| 2 | TCU | Conference USA | 8-0 | 1 | 24.09 | 9.5 | 7.09 | 5.79 | 2.21 |
| 3 | USC | Pac-10 | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.1 | 20.78 | 12.16 | 7.64 | 0.36 |
| 4 | Florida State | ACC | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.06 | 23.33 | 11.38 | 8.45 | -0.45 |
| 5 | Miami | Big East | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.86 | 15.25 | 12.64 | 6.54 | 0.46 |
| 6 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.75 | 21.5 | 11.28 | 6.88 | 0.12 |
| 7 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.64 | 9.67 | 12.73 | 6.94 | 1.06 |
| 8 | Virginia Tech | Big East | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.63 | 23.38 | 10.44 | 7.19 | -0.19 |
| 9 | LSU | SEC | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.62 | 26.11 | 8.56 | 8.62 | -0.62 |
| 10 | Boise State | Western Athletic | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.06 | 27.33 | 5.35 | 8.26 | -0.26 |
| 11 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 7-1 | 0.88 | 21.93 | 20.38 | 6.94 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 8-1 | 0.89 | 21.78 | 11.33 | 7.27 | 6.72 | 1.28 |
| 13 | Louisville | Conference USA | 7-1 | 0.88 | 21.59 | 14.88 | 6.29 | 6.32 | 0.68 |
| 14 | Michigan | Big Ten | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.98 | 21 | 11.93 | 8.79 | -0.79 |
| 15 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.53 | 23.2 | 8.78 | 8.76 | -0.76 |
| 16 | Texas | Big 12 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.42 | 20.89 | 11.49 | 7.6 | -0.6 |
| 17 | Georgia | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.38 | 14 | 12.19 | 7.76 | -0.76 |
| 18 | Iowa | Big Ten | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.26 | 14.67 | 12.09 | 7.64 | -0.64 |
| 19 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.22 | 13.22 | 11.49 | 7.5 | -0.5 |
| 20 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.09 | 15.89 | 9.83 | 7.05 | -0.05 |
| 21 | Ole Miss | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.97 | 13.56 | 10.65 | 6.66 | 0.34 |
| 22 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.95 | 10.89 | 10.69 | 6.66 | 0.34 |
| 23 | Purdue | Big Ten | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.87 | 12.44 | 10.39 | 7.15 | -0.15 |
| 24 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.86 | 11.56 | 9.87 | 6.74 | 0.26 |
| 25 | Utah | Mountain West | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.78 | 7.22 | 12.34 | 5.88 | 1.12 |
| 26 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.24 | 12.88 | 10.67 | 6.08 | -0.08 |
| 27 | Missouri | Big 12 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.09 | 9.88 | 10.69 | 5.59 | 0.41 |
| 28 | Tennessee | SEC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.92 | 4.5 | 13.54 | 4.86 | 1.14 |
| 29 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.11 | 18.9 | 8.8 | 8.66 | -1.66 |
| 30 | Florida | SEC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.97 | 13.67 | 14.52 | 7.18 | -1.18 |
| 31 | NC State | ACC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.81 | 8.2 | 10.95 | 6.46 | 0.54 |
| 32 | Auburn | SEC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.38 | 14.89 | 9.85 | 7.64 | -1.64 |
| 33 | Maryland | ACC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.32 | 15.67 | 9.09 | 7.66 | -1.66 |
| 34 | Air Force | Mountain West | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.27 | 9.44 | 10.43 | 6.35 | -0.35 |
| 35 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.27 | 8 | 12.25 | 5.58 | 0.42 |
| 36 | UConn | FBS Independents | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.11 | 6.7 | 7.02 | 6.36 | 0.64 |
| 37 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.02 | 9.89 | 9.35 | 6.36 | -0.36 |
| 38 | Memphis | Conference USA | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.76 | 11.44 | 6.71 | 6.63 | -0.63 |
| 39 | Marshall | Mid-American | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.74 | 7.67 | 8.68 | 5.88 | 0.12 |
| 40 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.65 | 4.11 | 10.64 | 5.42 | 0.58 |
| 41 | Toledo | Mid-American | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.59 | 8.44 | 7 | 6.1 | -0.1 |
| 42 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.41 | 3.78 | 9.81 | 5.3 | 0.7 |
| 43 | Navy | FBS Independents | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.36 | 9.22 | 4.88 | 6.41 | -0.41 |
| 44 | Arkansas | SEC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.33 | 6.62 | 15.03 | 5.07 | -0.07 |
| 45 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.22 | 4.56 | 7.32 | 5.29 | 0.71 |
| 46 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 15.98 | 1.33 | 9.56 | 4.85 | 1.15 |
| 47 | South Florida | Conference USA | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.28 | 6.12 | 7.21 | 5.3 | -0.3 |
| 48 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.23 | 2.5 | 12.12 | 4.64 | 0.36 |
| 49 | Virginia | ACC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.82 | 8.44 | 11.75 | 6.25 | -1.25 |
| 50 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.77 | 11.56 | 9.53 | 6.67 | -1.67 |
| 51 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 14.75 | 0.25 | 13.84 | 4.07 | 0.93 |
| 52 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.57 | 7.11 | 10.7 | 5.84 | -0.84 |
| 53 | Wake Forest | ACC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.52 | 4.78 | 13.98 | 5.47 | -0.47 |
| 54 | Washington | Pac-10 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.34 | 4.44 | 12.94 | 5.39 | -0.39 |
| 55 | South Carolina | SEC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.26 | 2.67 | 13.72 | 5.1 | -0.1 |
| 56 | Tulsa | Western Athletic | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.04 | 5.11 | 9.41 | 5.45 | -0.45 |
| 57 | Kansas | Big 12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.91 | 3.67 | 8.62 | 5.12 | -0.12 |
| 58 | Boston College | Big East | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.83 | 1.67 | 11.99 | 4.85 | 0.15 |
| 59 | Syracuse | Big East | 4-3 | 0.57 | 13.83 | 0.57 | 14.41 | 3.58 | 0.42 |
| 60 | West Virginia | Big East | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.4 | 7.12 | 14.12 | 5.49 | -1.49 |
| 61 | Clemson | ACC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.38 | 0.78 | 10.59 | 4.68 | 0.32 |
| 62 | California | Pac-10 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 13.31 | 6.9 | 13.44 | 6.59 | -1.59 |
| 63 | Houston | Conference USA | 5-3 | 0.62 | 13.08 | -2.5 | 9.44 | 3.64 | 1.36 |
| 64 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 5-4 | 0.56 | 12.73 | 0.44 | 6.03 | 4.59 | 0.41 |
| 65 | Akron | Mid-American | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.66 | 6.3 | 6.42 | 6.12 | -1.12 |
| 66 | UNLV | Mountain West | 5-4 | 0.56 | 12.35 | -2.11 | 15.69 | 4.01 | 0.99 |
| 67 | Cincinnati | Conference USA | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.25 | 2.25 | 8.44 | 4.43 | -0.43 |
| 68 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 12.02 | -3 | 12.35 | 3.93 | 1.07 |
| 69 | Kentucky | SEC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.45 | 5.67 | 8.47 | 5.5 | -1.5 |
| 70 | Rutgers | Big East | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.39 | -0.12 | 10.98 | 3.98 | 0.02 |
| 71 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 5-4 | 0.56 | 11.31 | -4.78 | 10.07 | 3.47 | 1.53 |
| 72 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.19 | 0.44 | 8.49 | 4.62 | -0.62 |
| 73 | UAB | Conference USA | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.96 | -0.33 | 13.13 | 4.41 | -0.41 |
| 74 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.51 | -1.11 | 12 | 4.28 | -0.28 |
| 75 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.27 | -3.33 | 16.6 | 3.94 | 0.06 |
| 76 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.17 | -2.78 | 10.92 | 3.94 | 0.06 |
| 77 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.94 | -6 | 15.33 | 3.43 | 0.57 |
| 78 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.93 | -6.11 | 15.68 | 3.09 | 0.91 |
| 79 | Ball State | Mid-American | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.59 | -7.33 | 12.53 | 3.11 | 0.89 |
| 80 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.38 | -6.71 | 14.79 | 2.21 | 0.79 |
| 81 | Troy | FBS Independents | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.21 | -10.33 | 10.57 | 1.76 | 2.24 |
| 82 | Alabama | SEC | 3-6 | 0.33 | 7.77 | -0.33 | 18.08 | 4.43 | -1.43 |
| 83 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 4-5 | 0.44 | 7.62 | -11.78 | 4.89 | 2.33 | 1.67 |
| 84 | BYU | Mountain West | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.6 | -9.2 | 14.6 | 2.75 | 1.25 |
| 85 | Utah State | Sun Belt | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.33 | -3.33 | 11.53 | 3.81 | -0.81 |
| 86 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.16 | -5.89 | 12.1 | 3.46 | -0.46 |
| 87 | Colorado | Big 12 | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.89 | -12.11 | 17.97 | 2.58 | 0.42 |
| 88 | Kent State | Mid-American | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.75 | -8.89 | 10.97 | 2.9 | 0.1 |
| 89 | Tulane | Conference USA | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.68 | -10.78 | 11.31 | 2.87 | 0.13 |
| 90 | UCF | Mid-American | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.52 | -10.44 | 7.27 | 2.45 | 0.55 |
| 91 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.49 | -9.67 | 8.58 | 2.64 | 0.36 |
| 92 | Baylor | Big 12 | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.2 | -17.89 | 8.69 | 1.39 | 1.61 |
| 93 | Penn State | Big Ten | 2-7 | 0.22 | 4.16 | -2.89 | 15.97 | 3.72 | -1.72 |
| 94 | Ohio | Mid-American | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.03 | -6.5 | 7.82 | 2.78 | -0.78 |
| 95 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.87 | -14.75 | 20.53 | 1.25 | 0.75 |
| 96 | Mississippi State | SEC | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.78 | -11.62 | 12.91 | 2.29 | -0.29 |
| 97 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.66 | -14.75 | 15.06 | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| 98 | San José State | Western Athletic | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.49 | -14.88 | 7.87 | 1.61 | 0.39 |
| 99 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.46 | -6 | 7.94 | 3.4 | -1.4 |
| 100 | Rice | Western Athletic | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.44 | -14.88 | 12.01 | 1.85 | 0.15 |
| 101 | New Mexico State | Sun Belt | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.4 | -5.89 | 6.25 | 3.31 | -1.31 |
| 102 | Duke | ACC | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.91 | -14.56 | 11.67 | 1.48 | 0.52 |
| 103 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.84 | -13.11 | 5.36 | 2.19 | -0.19 |
| 104 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.24 | -18.8 | 11.41 | 1.42 | 0.58 |
| 105 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.83 | -7.56 | 13.61 | 2.94 | -1.94 |
| 106 | Temple | Big East | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.67 | -12.75 | 10.91 | 1.82 | -0.82 |
| 107 | Idaho | Sun Belt | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.45 | -12.22 | 6.92 | 1.89 | -0.89 |
| 108 | North Carolina | ACC | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.4 | -13.89 | 14.62 | 2.36 | -1.36 |
| 109 | Indiana | Big Ten | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.21 | -17.89 | 14.21 | 1.23 | -0.23 |
| 110 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.1 | -20.33 | 12.57 | 1.1 | -0.1 |
| 111 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.1 | -20.22 | 8.31 | 0.95 | 0.05 |
| 112 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.1 | -20.44 | 6.13 | 1.34 | -0.34 |
| 113 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.09 | -20.78 | 16.99 | 1.13 | -0.13 |
| 114 | Illinois | Big Ten | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.02 | -17.5 | 15.82 | 1.57 | -0.57 |
| 115 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.23 | -22.7 | 11.63 | 0.96 | 0.04 |
| 116 | Army | Conference USA | 0-9 | 0 | -2.4 | -18.11 | 13.06 | 1.39 | -1.39 |
| 117 | SMU | Western Athletic | 0-9 | 0 | -2.5 | -21 | 12.43 | 0.62 | -0.62 |