Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:33.507431+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 10-0 | 1 | 26.15 | 35.3 | 12.99 | 9.57 | 0.43 |
| 2 | TCU | Conference USA | 9-0 | 1 | 24.28 | 8.78 | 8.94 | 6.34 | 2.66 |
| 3 | USC | Pac-10 | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.04 | 20.78 | 12.24 | 7.64 | 0.36 |
| 4 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.95 | 21.67 | 11.63 | 7.83 | 0.17 |
| 5 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.9 | 9.7 | 13.44 | 7.62 | 1.38 |
| 6 | LSU | SEC | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.46 | 26.11 | 8.1 | 8.62 | -0.62 |
| 7 | Boise State | Western Athletic | 8-1 | 0.89 | 21.99 | 27.33 | 5.39 | 8.26 | -0.26 |
| 8 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 9-1 | 0.9 | 21.88 | 13.3 | 6.47 | 7.83 | 1.17 |
| 9 | Texas | Big 12 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 21 | 22.7 | 12.24 | 8.6 | -0.6 |
| 10 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.88 | 21.36 | 9.03 | 9.37 | -0.37 |
| 11 | Michigan | Big Ten | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.85 | 21 | 11.53 | 8.79 | -0.79 |
| 12 | Florida State | ACC | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.81 | 19.4 | 11.07 | 9.04 | -1.04 |
| 13 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.61 | 14 | 12.04 | 8.56 | -0.56 |
| 14 | Ole Miss | SEC | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.46 | 12.6 | 11.63 | 7.31 | 0.69 |
| 15 | Virginia Tech | Big East | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.44 | 20.44 | 11.4 | 7.78 | -0.78 |
| 16 | Miami | Big East | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.42 | 13.11 | 13.28 | 7.2 | -0.2 |
| 17 | Purdue | Big Ten | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.37 | 12.5 | 11.14 | 7.97 | 0.03 |
| 18 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.2 | 12.2 | 10.16 | 7.63 | 0.37 |
| 19 | Georgia | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.19 | 14 | 12.13 | 7.76 | -0.76 |
| 20 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.96 | 11.78 | 11.75 | 6.65 | 0.35 |
| 21 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.81 | 15.56 | 8.75 | 7.34 | -0.34 |
| 22 | Tennessee | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.71 | 4.44 | 14.62 | 5.53 | 1.47 |
| 23 | Utah | Mountain West | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.71 | 7.22 | 12.23 | 5.88 | 1.12 |
| 24 | Louisville | Conference USA | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.54 | 12.89 | 7.95 | 6.8 | 0.2 |
| 25 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.68 | 21.27 | 7.95 | 9.86 | -1.86 |
| 26 | Florida | SEC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.4 | 14.1 | 12.68 | 8.03 | -1.03 |
| 27 | Iowa | Big Ten | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.32 | 11.9 | 12.29 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.06 | 12 | 11.32 | 6.76 | 0.24 |
| 29 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.05 | 10.4 | 11.08 | 6.93 | 0.07 |
| 30 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.99 | 8.8 | 11.5 | 6.96 | 0.04 |
| 31 | Air Force | Mountain West | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.75 | 11.3 | 9.31 | 7.48 | -0.48 |
| 32 | NC State | ACC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.75 | 8.2 | 10.78 | 6.46 | 0.54 |
| 33 | UConn | FBS Independents | 8-3 | 0.73 | 17.72 | 6.73 | 7.07 | 6.98 | 1.02 |
| 34 | Arkansas | SEC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.66 | 8.33 | 15.52 | 6.06 | -0.06 |
| 35 | Maryland | ACC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.27 | 15.67 | 8.86 | 7.66 | -1.66 |
| 36 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.99 | 9.89 | 9.28 | 6.36 | -0.36 |
| 37 | Missouri | Big 12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.98 | 8.22 | 9.51 | 6.06 | -0.06 |
| 38 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 7-3 | 0.7 | 16.87 | 3.6 | 8.58 | 5.84 | 1.16 |
| 39 | Memphis | Conference USA | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.81 | 11.44 | 7.27 | 6.63 | -0.63 |
| 40 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.8 | 4.56 | 12.32 | 5.78 | 0.22 |
| 41 | Marshall | Mid-American | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.7 | 7.67 | 8.46 | 5.88 | 0.12 |
| 42 | Toledo | Mid-American | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.61 | 8.44 | 7.35 | 6.1 | -0.1 |
| 43 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.25 | 4.56 | 7.72 | 5.29 | 0.71 |
| 44 | South Florida | Conference USA | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.18 | 5.56 | 6.51 | 5.74 | 0.26 |
| 45 | Auburn | SEC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.89 | 13 | 11.04 | 8.16 | -2.16 |
| 46 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.54 | 10.7 | 10.13 | 7.19 | -1.19 |
| 47 | Syracuse | Big East | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.5 | 3.5 | 12.56 | 4.58 | 0.42 |
| 48 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.03 | 3.4 | 11.49 | 5.81 | 0.19 |
| 49 | Tulsa | Western Athletic | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.85 | 4.9 | 8.93 | 6.01 | -0.01 |
| 50 | Navy | FBS Independents | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.76 | 8 | 4.67 | 6.86 | -0.86 |
| 51 | West Virginia | Big East | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.72 | 7.11 | 13.62 | 6.1 | -1.1 |
| 52 | Clemson | ACC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.69 | 2.3 | 11.65 | 5.61 | 0.39 |
| 53 | Virginia | ACC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.63 | 8.44 | 11.19 | 6.25 | -1.25 |
| 54 | Akron | Mid-American | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.65 | 6.82 | 6.35 | 6.83 | -0.83 |
| 55 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 13.44 | -0.6 | 10.75 | 4.83 | 1.17 |
| 56 | Cincinnati | Conference USA | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.4 | 2.78 | 7.22 | 5.09 | -0.09 |
| 57 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 5-5 | 0.5 | 13.08 | 6.1 | 11.22 | 6.25 | -1.25 |
| 58 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 12.87 | -2.3 | 12.24 | 4.5 | 1.5 |
| 59 | Wake Forest | ACC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.82 | 3.5 | 12.09 | 5.76 | -0.76 |
| 60 | Washington | Pac-10 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.73 | 3.5 | 11.26 | 5.79 | -0.79 |
| 61 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 6-4 | 0.6 | 12.61 | -2.6 | 10.56 | 4.35 | 1.65 |
| 62 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 12.11 | -2.44 | 12.76 | 3.76 | 1.24 |
| 63 | California | Pac-10 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 12.09 | 5.91 | 13.19 | 7.04 | -2.04 |
| 64 | Boston College | Big East | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.06 | 0.8 | 11.82 | 5.18 | -0.18 |
| 65 | Kansas | Big 12 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.04 | 1.2 | 9.86 | 5.24 | -0.24 |
| 66 | South Carolina | SEC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.94 | 0.2 | 13.75 | 5.05 | -0.05 |
| 67 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.73 | 1.1 | 8.55 | 5.35 | -0.35 |
| 68 | Houston | Conference USA | 5-4 | 0.56 | 11.45 | -4.56 | 10.26 | 3.74 | 1.26 |
| 69 | Kentucky | SEC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.34 | 5.67 | 8.44 | 5.5 | -1.5 |
| 70 | UNLV | Mountain West | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.79 | -2.6 | 14.57 | 4.27 | 0.73 |
| 71 | Alabama | SEC | 4-6 | 0.4 | 10.71 | 3.5 | 16.94 | 5.8 | -1.8 |
| 72 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.69 | -1.9 | 13.03 | 4.61 | 0.39 |
| 73 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.51 | -1.3 | 6.74 | 4.71 | 0.29 |
| 74 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.27 | -4.5 | 14.09 | 3.78 | 1.22 |
| 75 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.18 | -4.5 | 13.2 | 3.06 | 0.94 |
| 76 | Rutgers | Big East | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.7 | -0.89 | 11.86 | 4.34 | -0.34 |
| 77 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.5 | -1.11 | 11.34 | 4.28 | -0.28 |
| 78 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 5-5 | 0.5 | 8.99 | -10.5 | 5.03 | 2.8 | 2.2 |
| 79 | UAB | Conference USA | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.49 | -1.7 | 11.97 | 4.51 | -0.51 |
| 80 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.97 | -3.6 | 10.68 | 4.21 | -0.21 |
| 81 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.76 | -4.5 | 11.5 | 4.1 | -0.1 |
| 82 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.62 | -10.7 | 17.22 | 3.1 | 0.9 |
| 83 | Ball State | Mid-American | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.57 | -7.4 | 12.07 | 3.42 | 0.58 |
| 84 | BYU | Mountain West | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.52 | -9.2 | 14.69 | 2.75 | 1.25 |
| 85 | Colorado | Big 12 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.51 | -10.4 | 17.33 | 3.07 | 0.93 |
| 86 | Tulane | Conference USA | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.33 | -8.3 | 11.36 | 3.57 | 0.43 |
| 87 | Kent State | Mid-American | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.32 | -7.6 | 10.08 | 3.5 | 0.5 |
| 88 | Troy | FBS Independents | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.23 | -10 | 10.03 | 2.11 | 1.89 |
| 89 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.76 | -12.78 | 19.58 | 1.76 | 1.24 |
| 90 | Utah State | Sun Belt | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.67 | -3.5 | 10.44 | 4.19 | -1.19 |
| 91 | San José State | Western Athletic | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.41 | -10.11 | 7.9 | 2.75 | 0.25 |
| 92 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.26 | -4.7 | 7.83 | 4.02 | -1.02 |
| 93 | New Mexico State | Sun Belt | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.18 | -4.8 | 6.24 | 3.9 | -0.9 |
| 94 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.9 | -9.9 | 8.82 | 2.94 | 0.06 |
| 95 | Duke | ACC | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.88 | -10.7 | 12.36 | 2.43 | 0.57 |
| 96 | UCF | Mid-American | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.82 | -10 | 6.77 | 2.73 | 0.27 |
| 97 | Baylor | Big 12 | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.4 | -20.9 | 9.87 | 1.27 | 1.73 |
| 98 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.89 | -14.09 | 9.32 | 2.33 | 0.67 |
| 99 | Penn State | Big Ten | 2-8 | 0.2 | 3.5 | -3.6 | 14.93 | 3.89 | -1.89 |
| 100 | Ohio | Mid-American | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.38 | -6.22 | 7.18 | 3.24 | -1.24 |
| 101 | Rice | Western Athletic | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.96 | -13.56 | 12.28 | 2.26 | -0.26 |
| 102 | Mississippi State | SEC | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.91 | -14.56 | 11.95 | 2.08 | -0.08 |
| 103 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.82 | -18.11 | 15.37 | 1.33 | 0.67 |
| 104 | North Carolina | ACC | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.53 | -11.7 | 14.07 | 2.99 | -0.99 |
| 105 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.3 | -14.6 | 5.21 | 2.4 | -0.4 |
| 106 | Indiana | Big Ten | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.27 | -15.8 | 12.59 | 1.58 | 0.42 |
| 107 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.23 | -18.2 | 16.2 | 1.55 | 0.45 |
| 108 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.11 | -17.6 | 8.2 | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| 109 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 1-9 | 0.1 | 0.51 | -8.6 | 13.89 | 3.05 | -2.05 |
| 110 | Temple | Big East | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.38 | -14 | 10.37 | 1.89 | -0.89 |
| 111 | Idaho | Sun Belt | 1-9 | 0.1 | 0.3 | -11.1 | 6.94 | 2.33 | -1.33 |
| 112 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.06 | -18.4 | 12.77 | 1.57 | -0.57 |
| 113 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.07 | -18.6 | 7.6 | 1.7 | -0.7 |
| 114 | Illinois | Big Ten | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.2 | -16.18 | 14.26 | 1.83 | -0.83 |
| 115 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.48 | -23.45 | 12.62 | 0.96 | 0.04 |
| 116 | Army | Conference USA | 0-10 | 0 | -2.43 | -19.1 | 13.47 | 1.33 | -1.33 |
| 117 | SMU | Western Athletic | 0-10 | 0 | -2.52 | -22.4 | 11.8 | 0.59 | -0.59 |