Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:33.507897+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 11-0 | 1 | 25.87 | 35.55 | 12 | 10.59 | 0.41 |
| 2 | TCU | Conference USA | 10-0 | 1 | 24.41 | 11.2 | 9.15 | 7.51 | 2.49 |
| 3 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.22 | 23.4 | 11.96 | 8.9 | 0.1 |
| 4 | USC | Pac-10 | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.06 | 23.2 | 11.08 | 8.81 | 0.19 |
| 5 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.05 | 9.09 | 13.62 | 8.29 | 1.71 |
| 6 | LSU | SEC | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.62 | 25.9 | 8.29 | 9.62 | -0.62 |
| 7 | Boise State | Western Athletic | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.15 | 27.6 | 5.5 | 9.15 | -0.15 |
| 8 | Texas | Big 12 | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.45 | 20.91 | 12.9 | 9.16 | -0.16 |
| 9 | Michigan | Big Ten | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.22 | 21.91 | 11.35 | 9.79 | -0.79 |
| 10 | Florida State | ACC | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.17 | 18.18 | 11.85 | 9.53 | -0.53 |
| 11 | Georgia | SEC | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.69 | 14.5 | 12.81 | 8.74 | -0.74 |
| 12 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.66 | 12.45 | 10.53 | 8.43 | 0.57 |
| 13 | Miami | Big East | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.66 | 12.5 | 13.27 | 7.99 | 0.01 |
| 14 | Ole Miss | SEC | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.45 | 12.6 | 11.89 | 7.31 | 0.69 |
| 15 | Virginia Tech | Big East | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.44 | 18.5 | 10.08 | 8.44 | -0.44 |
| 16 | Tennessee | SEC | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.33 | 7.8 | 13.46 | 6.82 | 1.18 |
| 17 | Utah | Mountain West | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.19 | 9.5 | 11.66 | 6.95 | 1.05 |
| 18 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.1 | 14.9 | 9.02 | 7.94 | 0.06 |
| 19 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.09 | 10.36 | 7.3 | 7.91 | 1.09 |
| 20 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.31 | 18.08 | 9.78 | 9.74 | -0.74 |
| 21 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.18 | 21.92 | 8.54 | 10.85 | -1.85 |
| 22 | Florida | SEC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.97 | 13 | 12.74 | 8.64 | -0.64 |
| 23 | Iowa | Big Ten | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.93 | 12.45 | 12.69 | 8.8 | -0.8 |
| 24 | Purdue | Big Ten | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.82 | 11.09 | 11.94 | 8.55 | -0.55 |
| 25 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.75 | 10.09 | 11.85 | 8.51 | -0.51 |
| 26 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.68 | 11.55 | 11.37 | 7.83 | 0.17 |
| 27 | UConn | FBS Independents | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.38 | 9 | 7.57 | 8.09 | 0.91 |
| 28 | Arkansas | SEC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.38 | 10.3 | 14.66 | 7.06 | -0.06 |
| 29 | Maryland | ACC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.97 | 15.1 | 9.84 | 8.42 | -1.42 |
| 30 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 8-3 | 0.73 | 17.96 | 7.27 | 8.84 | 7.26 | 0.74 |
| 31 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.93 | 8.5 | 11.73 | 6.7 | 0.3 |
| 32 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.8 | 12.9 | 9.52 | 7.64 | -0.64 |
| 33 | Memphis | Conference USA | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.69 | 13.3 | 8.59 | 7.73 | -0.73 |
| 34 | Missouri | Big 12 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.59 | 9.7 | 9.46 | 6.98 | 0.02 |
| 35 | Louisville | Conference USA | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.57 | 8.6 | 9.16 | 6.82 | 0.18 |
| 36 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.57 | 5.5 | 12.1 | 6.68 | 0.32 |
| 37 | Toledo | Mid-American | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.49 | 9.5 | 8.89 | 6.9 | 0.1 |
| 38 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.69 | 10.64 | 11.78 | 7.22 | -0.22 |
| 39 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.5 | 10.82 | 10.88 | 8 | -1 |
| 40 | NC State | ACC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.4 | 6.91 | 11.92 | 6.81 | 0.19 |
| 41 | Air Force | Mountain West | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.31 | 9.18 | 9.6 | 7.83 | -0.83 |
| 42 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.31 | 6.27 | 12.49 | 7.04 | -0.04 |
| 43 | South Florida | Conference USA | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.22 | 5.56 | 6.92 | 5.74 | 0.26 |
| 44 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.21 | 4.82 | 12.18 | 6.67 | 0.33 |
| 45 | Tulsa | Western Athletic | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.96 | 7.18 | 9.06 | 7.09 | -0.09 |
| 46 | Clemson | ACC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.94 | 5.09 | 10.75 | 6.95 | 0.05 |
| 47 | West Virginia | Big East | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.71 | 8.5 | 13.3 | 6.95 | -0.95 |
| 48 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 7-4 | 0.64 | 14.81 | 0.73 | 9.93 | 5.7 | 1.3 |
| 49 | Marshall | Mid-American | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.78 | 3 | 10.34 | 5.62 | 0.38 |
| 50 | Navy | FBS Independents | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.69 | 8 | 5.04 | 6.86 | -0.86 |
| 51 | Auburn | SEC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.58 | 10.09 | 11.73 | 8.38 | -2.38 |
| 52 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.55 | 3.1 | 8.32 | 5.63 | 0.37 |
| 53 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 14.36 | -0.45 | 12.07 | 5.39 | 1.61 |
| 54 | Akron | Mid-American | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.26 | 6.83 | 6.2 | 7.46 | -0.46 |
| 55 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.2 | 6.91 | 11.54 | 7.12 | -1.12 |
| 56 | Syracuse | Big East | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14 | 2.33 | 12.97 | 4.96 | 0.04 |
| 57 | California | Pac-10 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 13.42 | 9.33 | 13.11 | 8.52 | -2.52 |
| 58 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 13.36 | -0.5 | 11.47 | 4.84 | 1.16 |
| 59 | Boston College | Big East | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.33 | 1.64 | 11.64 | 5.9 | 0.1 |
| 60 | Virginia | ACC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 13.15 | 6.6 | 11.77 | 6.56 | -1.56 |
| 61 | Houston | Conference USA | 6-4 | 0.6 | 12.57 | -2.1 | 9.33 | 4.6 | 1.4 |
| 62 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.98 | -0.27 | 7.88 | 5.43 | 0.57 |
| 63 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.71 | -2.18 | 11.22 | 4.82 | 1.18 |
| 64 | Cincinnati | Conference USA | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.87 | -0.8 | 9.13 | 4.81 | 0.19 |
| 65 | UNLV | Mountain West | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.66 | -2.6 | 14.27 | 4.27 | 0.73 |
| 66 | South Carolina | SEC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.59 | 0 | 14.34 | 5.5 | -0.5 |
| 67 | Wake Forest | ACC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.54 | 0.09 | 12.5 | 5.52 | -0.52 |
| 68 | Kentucky | SEC | 4-6 | 0.4 | 10.17 | 4 | 7.73 | 5.81 | -1.81 |
| 69 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.9 | -0.36 | 8.62 | 5.37 | -0.37 |
| 70 | Washington | Pac-10 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.83 | -1.09 | 11.53 | 5.23 | -0.23 |
| 71 | Kansas | Big 12 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.76 | -1 | 10.4 | 5.28 | -0.28 |
| 72 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.3 | -2 | 10.61 | 5.06 | -0.06 |
| 73 | Alabama | SEC | 4-7 | 0.36 | 9.29 | 1 | 17.79 | 5.76 | -1.76 |
| 74 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.11 | -4.45 | 12.8 | 4.51 | 0.49 |
| 75 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.94 | -6.91 | 14.86 | 3.51 | 1.49 |
| 76 | Colorado | Big 12 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.91 | -6.36 | 15.15 | 4.15 | 0.85 |
| 77 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.48 | -8.44 | 13.35 | 2.59 | 1.41 |
| 78 | UAB | Conference USA | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.4 | -1.7 | 12 | 4.51 | -0.51 |
| 79 | Rutgers | Big East | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.39 | -1.8 | 11.51 | 4.65 | -0.65 |
| 80 | Troy | FBS Independents | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.37 | -8.27 | 9.8 | 2.78 | 2.22 |
| 81 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.95 | -4 | 11.75 | 4.16 | -0.16 |
| 82 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 5-6 | 0.45 | 7.87 | -13.55 | 6.15 | 2.56 | 2.44 |
| 83 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.57 | -9.6 | 17.76 | 2.61 | 1.39 |
| 84 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.9 | -4.64 | 11.39 | 4.39 | -0.39 |
| 85 | Penn State | Big Ten | 3-8 | 0.27 | 6.65 | 0.82 | 13.67 | 5.77 | -2.77 |
| 86 | Kent State | Mid-American | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.52 | -7.73 | 10.91 | 3.86 | 0.14 |
| 87 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.52 | -11.82 | 16.85 | 3.22 | 0.78 |
| 88 | BYU | Mountain West | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.48 | -10.09 | 13.77 | 2.82 | 1.18 |
| 89 | Tulane | Conference USA | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.45 | -8.82 | 11.24 | 3.78 | 0.22 |
| 90 | Ball State | Mid-American | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.44 | -8.91 | 11.14 | 3.43 | 0.57 |
| 91 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.32 | -12.42 | 8.95 | 3.1 | 0.9 |
| 92 | Utah State | Sun Belt | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.9 | -4 | 10.62 | 4.46 | -1.46 |
| 93 | Rice | Western Athletic | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.85 | -10.1 | 10.92 | 3.09 | -0.09 |
| 94 | UCF | Mid-American | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.79 | -10 | 7.15 | 2.73 | 0.27 |
| 95 | San José State | Western Athletic | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.7 | -12.5 | 8.27 | 2.61 | 0.39 |
| 96 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.65 | -4.82 | 7.4 | 4.48 | -1.48 |
| 97 | New Mexico State | Sun Belt | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.43 | -6.91 | 7.75 | 3.84 | -0.84 |
| 98 | Duke | ACC | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.15 | -12.73 | 12.09 | 2.25 | 0.75 |
| 99 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.13 | -11.09 | 8.64 | 3.04 | -0.04 |
| 100 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.85 | -13.82 | 7.92 | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| 101 | Baylor | Big 12 | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.69 | -22.45 | 11.26 | 1.17 | 1.83 |
| 102 | Ohio | Mid-American | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.93 | -6.3 | 8 | 3.61 | -1.61 |
| 103 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.44 | -6.82 | 12.93 | 3.76 | -1.76 |
| 104 | Mississippi State | SEC | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.33 | -16.9 | 12.91 | 2.05 | -0.05 |
| 105 | Idaho | Sun Belt | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.33 | -6.64 | 6.82 | 3.75 | -1.75 |
| 106 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.24 | -19.7 | 14.56 | 1.29 | 0.71 |
| 107 | North Carolina | ACC | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.12 | -12.18 | 13.5 | 3.21 | -1.21 |
| 108 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.82 | -16 | 7.29 | 2.45 | -0.45 |
| 109 | Indiana | Big Ten | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.78 | -18.45 | 11.63 | 1.39 | 0.61 |
| 110 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.76 | -20.64 | 16.43 | 1.34 | 0.66 |
| 111 | Temple | Big East | 1-9 | 0.1 | 0.21 | -12.7 | 10.98 | 2.3 | -1.3 |
| 112 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.07 | -18.4 | 12.54 | 1.57 | -0.57 |
| 113 | Illinois | Big Ten | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.2 | -16.18 | 13.47 | 1.83 | -0.83 |
| 114 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.35 | -20.36 | 7.25 | 1.71 | -0.71 |
| 115 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.49 | -23.45 | 12.34 | 0.96 | 0.04 |
| 116 | Army | Conference USA | 0-11 | 0 | -2.42 | -19.18 | 13.25 | 1.43 | -1.43 |
| 117 | SMU | Western Athletic | 0-11 | 0 | -2.5 | -22.27 | 11.08 | 0.74 | -0.74 |