Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:33.508387+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 12-0 | 1 | 25.87 | 35.17 | 12.46 | 11.47 | 0.53 |
| 2 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.14 | 22.91 | 10.68 | 9.64 | 0.36 |
| 3 | USC | Pac-10 | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.12 | 23.36 | 10.54 | 9.66 | 0.34 |
| 4 | LSU | SEC | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.82 | 23.82 | 8.86 | 10.48 | -0.48 |
| 5 | Boise State | Western Athletic | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.41 | 26.36 | 6.22 | 10 | 0 |
| 6 | TCU | Conference USA | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.35 | 9.09 | 9.65 | 7.73 | 2.27 |
| 7 | Michigan | Big Ten | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.5 | 21.25 | 12.12 | 10.58 | -0.58 |
| 8 | Texas | Big 12 | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.36 | 20.91 | 12.66 | 9.16 | -0.16 |
| 9 | Florida State | ACC | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.13 | 18.18 | 11.89 | 9.53 | -0.53 |
| 10 | Georgia | SEC | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.08 | 15 | 12.54 | 9.68 | -0.68 |
| 11 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.06 | 7.17 | 13.76 | 8.39 | 1.61 |
| 12 | Miami | Big East | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.05 | 13.55 | 12.87 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 | Tennessee | SEC | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.8 | 11.45 | 12.12 | 8.33 | 0.67 |
| 14 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.48 | 16 | 8.67 | 8.92 | 0.08 |
| 15 | Utah | Mountain West | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.45 | 8.91 | 11.02 | 7.69 | 1.31 |
| 16 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.14 | 10.67 | 6.94 | 8.67 | 1.33 |
| 17 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.62 | 21 | 9.05 | 11.68 | -1.68 |
| 18 | Iowa | Big Ten | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.33 | 11.92 | 12.77 | 9.46 | -0.46 |
| 19 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.26 | 18.08 | 10.2 | 9.74 | -0.74 |
| 20 | Purdue | Big Ten | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.05 | 10.83 | 11.39 | 9.28 | -0.28 |
| 21 | Arkansas | SEC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 19.03 | 13.55 | 13.29 | 8.37 | -0.37 |
| 22 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.02 | 10.75 | 10.77 | 8.84 | 0.16 |
| 23 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.95 | 12 | 10.22 | 8.63 | 0.37 |
| 24 | Florida | SEC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.95 | 13 | 12.82 | 8.64 | -0.64 |
| 25 | Ole Miss | SEC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.87 | 11.18 | 12.62 | 7.88 | 0.12 |
| 26 | Virginia Tech | Big East | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.75 | 16.18 | 9.99 | 8.9 | -0.9 |
| 27 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.66 | 10.09 | 12.08 | 8.51 | -0.51 |
| 28 | Maryland | ACC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.64 | 13.91 | 10.54 | 9.02 | -1.02 |
| 29 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.41 | 6.09 | 13.04 | 7.4 | 0.6 |
| 30 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.34 | 9 | 10.6 | 7.51 | 0.49 |
| 31 | UConn | FBS Independents | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.32 | 9 | 7.34 | 8.09 | 0.91 |
| 32 | Memphis | Conference USA | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.27 | 12.55 | 8.55 | 8.43 | -0.43 |
| 33 | Louisville | Conference USA | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.18 | 9.73 | 9.19 | 7.56 | 0.44 |
| 34 | Toledo | Mid-American | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.08 | 10.18 | 8.24 | 7.74 | 0.26 |
| 35 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 8-3 | 0.73 | 17.95 | 7.27 | 8.85 | 7.26 | 0.74 |
| 36 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.12 | 11.83 | 10.2 | 9.05 | -1.05 |
| 37 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.95 | 7 | 11.78 | 7.83 | 0.17 |
| 38 | Clemson | ACC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.9 | 8.5 | 10.4 | 8.41 | -0.41 |
| 39 | West Virginia | Big East | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.6 | 8.73 | 13.15 | 7.67 | -0.67 |
| 40 | Tulsa | Western Athletic | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.5 | 6.75 | 8.52 | 7.61 | 0.39 |
| 41 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.36 | 10.45 | 9.71 | 7.92 | -0.92 |
| 42 | Missouri | Big 12 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.16 | 7.91 | 9.69 | 7.35 | -0.35 |
| 43 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 15.77 | 0.75 | 12.19 | 6.2 | 1.8 |
| 44 | Marshall | Mid-American | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.7 | 4 | 10.27 | 6.45 | 0.55 |
| 45 | Navy | FBS Independents | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.66 | 9.91 | 5.31 | 7.8 | -0.8 |
| 46 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.58 | 5.64 | 7.68 | 6.69 | 0.31 |
| 47 | Auburn | SEC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.14 | 9.67 | 11.88 | 8.99 | -1.99 |
| 48 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.14 | 7.17 | 12.98 | 7.28 | -0.28 |
| 49 | NC State | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.94 | 6.17 | 12.21 | 7.31 | -0.31 |
| 50 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.91 | 5.25 | 12.87 | 7.42 | -0.42 |
| 51 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.81 | 6.42 | 11.53 | 7.67 | -0.67 |
| 52 | Air Force | Mountain West | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.69 | 6.67 | 9.59 | 7.96 | -0.96 |
| 53 | South Florida | Conference USA | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.55 | 4.7 | 6.56 | 6.18 | -0.18 |
| 54 | California | Pac-10 | 7-6 | 0.54 | 14.3 | 9.54 | 12.68 | 9.31 | -2.31 |
| 55 | Akron | Mid-American | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.25 | 6.83 | 6.2 | 7.46 | -0.46 |
| 56 | Virginia | ACC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.21 | 7.09 | 11.81 | 7.34 | -1.34 |
| 57 | Boston College | Big East | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.18 | 2.08 | 12.24 | 6.55 | 0.45 |
| 58 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 7-5 | 0.58 | 12.95 | -0.5 | 11.09 | 5.85 | 1.15 |
| 59 | Syracuse | Big East | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.18 | 1 | 13.03 | 5.22 | -0.22 |
| 60 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 6-5 | 0.55 | 12 | -0.27 | 7.85 | 5.43 | 0.57 |
| 61 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.86 | -1.55 | 11.36 | 4.98 | 1.02 |
| 62 | Kansas | Big 12 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.86 | 1.5 | 9.43 | 6.37 | -0.37 |
| 63 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.81 | 1.42 | 9.07 | 6.56 | -0.56 |
| 64 | Houston | Conference USA | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.26 | -3.82 | 10.45 | 4.75 | 1.25 |
| 65 | Washington | Pac-10 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.23 | -0.33 | 12.53 | 5.91 | 0.09 |
| 66 | Wake Forest | ACC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.42 | 0.09 | 12.43 | 5.52 | -0.52 |
| 67 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.21 | -4.08 | 11.91 | 4.7 | 1.3 |
| 68 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.11 | -4.92 | 13.37 | 4.47 | 1.53 |
| 69 | UAB | Conference USA | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.63 | -1.27 | 12.19 | 5.09 | -0.09 |
| 70 | Cincinnati | Conference USA | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.59 | -1.18 | 10.09 | 5.19 | -0.19 |
| 71 | UNLV | Mountain West | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.51 | -2.45 | 13.97 | 4.75 | 0.25 |
| 72 | Troy | FBS Independents | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.46 | -7.25 | 8.39 | 3.44 | 2.56 |
| 73 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.04 | -4.45 | 13.05 | 4.51 | 0.49 |
| 74 | Colorado | Big 12 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.92 | -6.36 | 14.8 | 4.15 | 0.85 |
| 75 | Kentucky | SEC | 4-7 | 0.36 | 8.88 | 1.82 | 8.63 | 5.92 | -1.92 |
| 76 | South Carolina | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.63 | -3.83 | 14.74 | 4.89 | 0.11 |
| 77 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.41 | -3.25 | 10.63 | 5.21 | -0.21 |
| 78 | Alabama | SEC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 8.26 | 0.5 | 17.44 | 6.14 | -2.14 |
| 79 | Kent State | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.87 | -6.25 | 9.92 | 4.54 | 0.46 |
| 80 | Tulane | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.79 | -7.25 | 10.35 | 4.41 | 0.59 |
| 81 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.6 | -9.6 | 17.36 | 2.61 | 1.39 |
| 82 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.44 | -8.8 | 12.89 | 2.79 | 1.21 |
| 83 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.19 | -13.25 | 6.21 | 2.78 | 2.22 |
| 84 | Rutgers | Big East | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.06 | -3.82 | 12.24 | 4.67 | -0.67 |
| 85 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.84 | -4.64 | 11.4 | 4.39 | -0.39 |
| 86 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.76 | -5.73 | 11.73 | 4.13 | -0.13 |
| 87 | Rice | Western Athletic | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.51 | -6.36 | 10.38 | 4.14 | -0.14 |
| 88 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.43 | -11.82 | 16.13 | 3.22 | 0.78 |
| 89 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.09 | -3.58 | 7.97 | 5.14 | -1.14 |
| 90 | BYU | Mountain West | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.81 | -9.5 | 14.19 | 3.03 | 0.97 |
| 91 | Ball State | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.65 | -10.42 | 11.96 | 3.4 | 0.6 |
| 92 | Duke | ACC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.5 | -11 | 11.23 | 2.88 | 1.12 |
| 93 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.36 | -12.42 | 8.9 | 3.1 | 0.9 |
| 94 | Penn State | Big Ten | 3-9 | 0.25 | 5.02 | -1.83 | 13.51 | 5.36 | -2.36 |
| 95 | New Mexico State | Sun Belt | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.4 | -6.91 | 8.08 | 3.84 | -0.84 |
| 96 | Utah State | Sun Belt | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.35 | -4.25 | 9.63 | 4.76 | -1.76 |
| 97 | UCF | Mid-American | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.14 | -10.36 | 7.83 | 2.84 | 0.16 |
| 98 | San José State | Western Athletic | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.1 | -11.55 | 9.19 | 3.08 | -0.08 |
| 99 | Idaho | Sun Belt | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.99 | -5.5 | 6.45 | 4.36 | -1.36 |
| 100 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.6 | -12.58 | 9.35 | 3.15 | -0.15 |
| 101 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.51 | -13.83 | 9.11 | 2.36 | 0.64 |
| 102 | Baylor | Big 12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.24 | -22 | 11.74 | 1.36 | 1.64 |
| 103 | Ohio | Mid-American | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.4 | -7.36 | 9.04 | 3.81 | -1.81 |
| 104 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-10 | 0.17 | 2.01 | -10.25 | 13.38 | 3.23 | -1.23 |
| 105 | North Carolina | ACC | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.88 | -11.83 | 12.48 | 3.52 | -1.52 |
| 106 | Mississippi State | SEC | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.76 | -19.55 | 13.53 | 1.86 | 0.14 |
| 107 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.73 | -20.64 | 16.23 | 1.34 | 0.66 |
| 108 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.72 | -20.55 | 13.87 | 1.27 | 0.73 |
| 109 | Indiana | Big Ten | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.58 | -17.58 | 11.87 | 1.62 | 0.38 |
| 110 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.53 | -17.25 | 6.5 | 2.46 | -0.46 |
| 111 | Temple | Big East | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.02 | -12.82 | 11.32 | 2.49 | -1.49 |
| 112 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.26 | -17.64 | 11.63 | 1.8 | -0.8 |
| 113 | Illinois | Big Ten | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.43 | -16.25 | 12.85 | 2.02 | -1.02 |
| 114 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.53 | -19 | 7.4 | 2.04 | -1.04 |
| 115 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.67 | -22.33 | 11.65 | 1.21 | -0.21 |
| 116 | Army | Conference USA | 0-12 | 0 | -2.45 | -20.17 | 12.84 | 1.59 | -1.59 |
| 117 | SMU | Western Athletic | 0-11 | 0 | -2.49 | -22.27 | 11.31 | 0.74 | -0.74 |