Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:33.509834+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 12-1 | 0.92 | 23.73 | 30.31 | 12.31 | 12.13 | -0.13 |
| 2 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 12-1 | 0.92 | 23.27 | 23.77 | 10.81 | 11.37 | 0.63 |
| 3 | USC | Pac-10 | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.25 | 23.42 | 10.8 | 10.47 | 0.53 |
| 4 | LSU | SEC | 12-1 | 0.92 | 23.05 | 24.15 | 9.58 | 12.25 | -0.25 |
| 5 | Boise State | Western Athletic | 12-1 | 0.92 | 22.61 | 27.69 | 6.65 | 11.9 | 0.1 |
| 6 | TCU | Conference USA | 11-1 | 0.92 | 22.17 | 8.92 | 8.72 | 8.45 | 2.55 |
| 7 | Michigan | Big Ten | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.39 | 21.25 | 12.19 | 10.58 | -0.58 |
| 8 | Texas | Big 12 | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.38 | 21.75 | 12.05 | 10.12 | -0.12 |
| 9 | Florida State | ACC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.24 | 17 | 12.29 | 10.08 | -0.08 |
| 10 | Miami | Big East | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.14 | 13.58 | 12.72 | 9.84 | 0.16 |
| 11 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.84 | 7.17 | 13.74 | 8.39 | 1.61 |
| 12 | Tennessee | SEC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.8 | 11.58 | 11.35 | 9.21 | 0.79 |
| 13 | Utah | Mountain West | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.32 | 8.91 | 10.96 | 7.69 | 1.31 |
| 14 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 11-3 | 0.79 | 20.18 | 21.5 | 10.34 | 12.68 | -1.68 |
| 15 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 10-2 | 0.83 | 19.91 | 10.67 | 6.33 | 8.67 | 1.33 |
| 16 | Georgia | SEC | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.72 | 12.38 | 12.83 | 10.7 | -0.7 |
| 17 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.3 | 12.46 | 10.15 | 9.71 | 0.29 |
| 18 | Iowa | Big Ten | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.17 | 11.92 | 12.43 | 9.46 | -0.46 |
| 19 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.12 | 18.08 | 10.14 | 9.74 | -0.74 |
| 20 | Ole Miss | SEC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.99 | 12.83 | 10.88 | 9.03 | -0.03 |
| 21 | Maryland | ACC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.97 | 13.83 | 10.43 | 9.7 | -0.7 |
| 22 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.95 | 10 | 11.81 | 9.19 | -0.19 |
| 23 | Purdue | Big Ten | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.87 | 10.83 | 10.9 | 9.28 | -0.28 |
| 24 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.84 | 10.75 | 10.73 | 8.84 | 0.16 |
| 25 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.79 | 12 | 9.91 | 8.63 | 0.37 |
| 26 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.64 | 7 | 11.44 | 8.28 | 0.72 |
| 27 | Louisville | Conference USA | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.38 | 9.17 | 8.44 | 8.06 | 0.94 |
| 28 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.16 | 6.92 | 8.24 | 7.91 | 1.09 |
| 29 | UConn | FBS Independents | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.13 | 9 | 6.88 | 8.09 | 0.91 |
| 30 | Florida | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.38 | 11.58 | 12.91 | 9.01 | -1.01 |
| 31 | Arkansas | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.32 | 9.83 | 13.3 | 8.3 | -0.3 |
| 32 | Virginia Tech | Big East | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.13 | 13.67 | 10.15 | 9.24 | -1.24 |
| 33 | West Virginia | Big East | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.01 | 9.42 | 11.28 | 8.45 | -0.45 |
| 34 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.96 | 11.83 | 9.68 | 9.05 | -1.05 |
| 35 | Memphis | Conference USA | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.81 | 11.08 | 8.92 | 8.94 | -0.94 |
| 36 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.8 | 7 | 11.24 | 7.83 | 0.17 |
| 37 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.8 | 7.08 | 11.16 | 7.78 | 0.22 |
| 38 | Clemson | ACC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.78 | 8.5 | 10.11 | 8.41 | -0.41 |
| 39 | Missouri | Big 12 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.76 | 10.42 | 8.86 | 8.61 | -0.61 |
| 40 | Toledo | Mid-American | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.62 | 8.67 | 8.83 | 8.12 | -0.12 |
| 41 | Marshall | Mid-American | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.48 | 6 | 9.65 | 7.6 | 0.4 |
| 42 | Tulsa | Western Athletic | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.39 | 6.75 | 8.36 | 7.61 | 0.39 |
| 43 | Navy | FBS Independents | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.25 | 11.42 | 4.71 | 8.9 | -0.9 |
| 44 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 15.64 | 0.75 | 11.54 | 6.2 | 1.8 |
| 45 | South Florida | Conference USA | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.33 | 4.73 | 7.06 | 6.83 | 0.17 |
| 46 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15 | 4.08 | 8.72 | 7.5 | 0.5 |
| 47 | Auburn | SEC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.98 | 9.67 | 11.17 | 8.99 | -1.99 |
| 48 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.9 | 7.17 | 12.3 | 7.28 | -0.28 |
| 49 | Virginia | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.9 | 7.67 | 11.86 | 8.14 | -1.14 |
| 50 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.77 | 7.58 | 10.83 | 7.89 | -0.89 |
| 51 | NC State | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.76 | 6.17 | 11.92 | 7.31 | -0.31 |
| 52 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.75 | 5.25 | 12.79 | 7.42 | -0.42 |
| 53 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.71 | 6.42 | 11.32 | 7.67 | -0.67 |
| 54 | Air Force | Mountain West | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.57 | 6.67 | 9.88 | 7.96 | -0.96 |
| 55 | California | Pac-10 | 7-6 | 0.54 | 14.24 | 9.54 | 12.68 | 9.31 | -2.31 |
| 56 | Akron | Mid-American | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.14 | 6.83 | 6.05 | 7.46 | -0.46 |
| 57 | Boston College | Big East | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.05 | 2.08 | 11.56 | 6.55 | 0.45 |
| 58 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 8-5 | 0.62 | 13.74 | -0.23 | 10.07 | 6.42 | 1.58 |
| 59 | Houston | Conference USA | 7-5 | 0.58 | 12.45 | -1.17 | 10.5 | 5.76 | 1.24 |
| 60 | Syracuse | Big East | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.13 | 1.58 | 11.95 | 6.43 | -0.43 |
| 61 | Kansas | Big 12 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.84 | 1.5 | 9.18 | 6.37 | -0.37 |
| 62 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.74 | 1.42 | 8.45 | 6.56 | -0.56 |
| 63 | Washington | Pac-10 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.14 | -0.33 | 11.76 | 5.91 | 0.09 |
| 64 | UNLV | Mountain West | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.82 | -1.33 | 13.2 | 5.57 | 0.43 |
| 65 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.34 | -2.83 | 12.16 | 5 | 1 |
| 66 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.09 | -4.08 | 11.9 | 4.7 | 1.3 |
| 67 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.06 | -4.92 | 13.05 | 4.47 | 1.53 |
| 68 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.81 | -4.67 | 9.47 | 4.73 | 1.27 |
| 69 | Troy | FBS Independents | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.47 | -7.25 | 8.86 | 3.44 | 2.56 |
| 70 | Wake Forest | ACC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.08 | -1 | 12.94 | 5.75 | -0.75 |
| 71 | Cincinnati | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.79 | -1.33 | 10.59 | 5.63 | -0.63 |
| 72 | Rutgers | Big East | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.68 | -2.08 | 12.18 | 5.48 | -0.48 |
| 73 | South Carolina | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.48 | -3.83 | 14.4 | 4.89 | 0.11 |
| 74 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.44 | -2.5 | 10.02 | 5.32 | -0.32 |
| 75 | Rice | Western Athletic | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.36 | -2.92 | 10.13 | 5.31 | -0.31 |
| 76 | UAB | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.36 | -3.5 | 11.73 | 4.89 | 0.11 |
| 77 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.33 | -3.25 | 10.59 | 5.21 | -0.21 |
| 78 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.28 | -6 | 15.99 | 4.21 | 0.79 |
| 79 | Colorado | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.13 | -6.58 | 14.7 | 4.46 | 0.54 |
| 80 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.96 | -7 | 12.62 | 4.34 | 0.66 |
| 81 | Kent State | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.84 | -6.25 | 9.48 | 4.54 | 0.46 |
| 82 | Tulane | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.79 | -7.25 | 10.27 | 4.41 | 0.59 |
| 83 | Kentucky | SEC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 7.68 | 0.58 | 8.88 | 6.15 | -2.15 |
| 84 | Alabama | SEC | 4-9 | 0.31 | 7.21 | -0.15 | 16.72 | 6.45 | -2.45 |
| 85 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.12 | -13.25 | 6.17 | 2.78 | 2.22 |
| 86 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.15 | -12.55 | 12.26 | 2.33 | 1.67 |
| 87 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.11 | -3.58 | 7.98 | 5.14 | -1.14 |
| 88 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.95 | -6.17 | 11.9 | 4.4 | -0.4 |
| 89 | BYU | Mountain West | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.74 | -9.5 | 13.84 | 3.03 | 0.97 |
| 90 | Ball State | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.57 | -10.42 | 11.69 | 3.4 | 0.6 |
| 91 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.57 | -13.42 | 15.95 | 3.21 | 0.79 |
| 92 | Duke | ACC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.52 | -11 | 11.46 | 2.88 | 1.12 |
| 93 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.33 | -12.42 | 8.96 | 3.1 | 0.9 |
| 94 | Penn State | Big Ten | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.93 | -1.83 | 13.51 | 5.36 | -2.36 |
| 95 | Utah State | Sun Belt | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.31 | -4.25 | 9.94 | 4.76 | -1.76 |
| 96 | San José State | Western Athletic | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.05 | -11.55 | 8.96 | 3.08 | -0.08 |
| 97 | Idaho | Sun Belt | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.03 | -5.5 | 6.45 | 4.36 | -1.36 |
| 98 | New Mexico State | Sun Belt | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.99 | -6.58 | 8.77 | 4.18 | -1.18 |
| 99 | UCF | Mid-American | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.55 | -12.42 | 8.88 | 2.76 | 0.24 |
| 100 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.54 | -12.58 | 9.07 | 3.15 | -0.15 |
| 101 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.47 | -13.83 | 8.87 | 2.36 | 0.64 |
| 102 | Baylor | Big 12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.2 | -22 | 11.59 | 1.36 | 1.64 |
| 103 | Ohio | Mid-American | 2-10 | 0.17 | 2 | -9.08 | 9.28 | 3.66 | -1.66 |
| 104 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.96 | -10.25 | 12.39 | 3.23 | -1.23 |
| 105 | North Carolina | ACC | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.86 | -11.83 | 12.23 | 3.52 | -1.52 |
| 106 | Indiana | Big Ten | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.55 | -17.58 | 11.58 | 1.62 | 0.38 |
| 107 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.47 | -20.67 | 15.18 | 1.37 | 0.63 |
| 108 | Mississippi State | SEC | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.46 | -20.5 | 13.76 | 1.78 | 0.22 |
| 109 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.41 | -22 | 13.95 | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 110 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 2-11 | 0.15 | 1.13 | -16.15 | 7.51 | 2.79 | -0.79 |
| 111 | Temple | Big East | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.27 | -13.17 | 11.27 | 2.74 | -1.74 |
| 112 | Illinois | Big Ten | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.43 | -16.25 | 12.77 | 2.02 | -1.02 |
| 113 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.49 | -17.58 | 12.09 | 2 | -1 |
| 114 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.53 | -19 | 7.48 | 2.04 | -1.04 |
| 115 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.67 | -22.33 | 11.68 | 1.21 | -0.21 |
| 116 | SMU | Western Athletic | 0-12 | 0 | -2.44 | -21 | 11.96 | 0.9 | -0.9 |
| 117 | Army | Conference USA | 0-13 | 0 | -2.45 | -20.77 | 12.75 | 1.57 | -1.57 |