Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:33.510301+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 12-1 | 0.92 | 23.68 | 30.31 | 12.27 | 12.13 | -0.13 |
| 2 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 13-1 | 0.93 | 23.54 | 23.57 | 11.33 | 12.15 | 0.85 |
| 3 | USC | Pac-10 | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.21 | 23.42 | 10.76 | 10.47 | 0.53 |
| 4 | LSU | SEC | 12-1 | 0.92 | 23.01 | 24.15 | 9.55 | 12.25 | -0.25 |
| 5 | Boise State | Western Athletic | 12-1 | 0.92 | 22.56 | 27.69 | 6.63 | 11.9 | 0.1 |
| 6 | TCU | Conference USA | 11-1 | 0.92 | 22.13 | 8.92 | 8.71 | 8.45 | 2.55 |
| 7 | Michigan | Big Ten | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.34 | 21.25 | 12.16 | 10.58 | -0.58 |
| 8 | Texas | Big 12 | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.34 | 21.75 | 12.02 | 10.12 | -0.12 |
| 9 | Florida State | ACC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.19 | 17 | 12.26 | 10.08 | -0.08 |
| 10 | Miami | Big East | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.1 | 13.58 | 12.7 | 9.84 | 0.16 |
| 11 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.8 | 7.17 | 13.71 | 8.39 | 1.61 |
| 12 | Tennessee | SEC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.75 | 11.58 | 11.31 | 9.21 | 0.79 |
| 13 | Utah | Mountain West | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.28 | 8.91 | 10.93 | 7.69 | 1.31 |
| 14 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 11-3 | 0.79 | 20.14 | 21.5 | 10.31 | 12.68 | -1.68 |
| 15 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 10-2 | 0.83 | 19.87 | 10.67 | 6.31 | 8.67 | 1.33 |
| 16 | Georgia | SEC | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.67 | 12.38 | 12.78 | 10.7 | -0.7 |
| 17 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.27 | 12.46 | 10.12 | 9.71 | 0.29 |
| 18 | Iowa | Big Ten | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.13 | 11.92 | 12.39 | 9.46 | -0.46 |
| 19 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.09 | 18.08 | 10.12 | 9.74 | -0.74 |
| 20 | Ole Miss | SEC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.95 | 12.83 | 10.84 | 9.03 | -0.03 |
| 21 | Maryland | ACC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.94 | 13.83 | 10.41 | 9.7 | -0.7 |
| 22 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.91 | 10 | 11.78 | 9.19 | -0.19 |
| 23 | Purdue | Big Ten | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.83 | 10.83 | 10.87 | 9.28 | -0.28 |
| 24 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.8 | 10.75 | 10.7 | 8.84 | 0.16 |
| 25 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.75 | 12 | 9.88 | 8.63 | 0.37 |
| 26 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.6 | 7 | 11.41 | 8.28 | 0.72 |
| 27 | UConn | FBS Independents | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.1 | 9 | 6.87 | 8.09 | 0.91 |
| 28 | Florida | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.35 | 11.58 | 12.87 | 9.01 | -1.01 |
| 29 | Memphis | Conference USA | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.3 | 11 | 9.61 | 9.68 | -0.68 |
| 30 | Arkansas | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.28 | 9.83 | 13.26 | 8.3 | -0.3 |
| 31 | Virginia Tech | Big East | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.1 | 13.67 | 10.14 | 9.24 | -1.24 |
| 32 | Louisville | Conference USA | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.02 | 6.85 | 9.56 | 8.16 | 0.84 |
| 33 | West Virginia | Big East | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.98 | 9.42 | 11.27 | 8.45 | -0.45 |
| 34 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.93 | 11.83 | 9.66 | 9.05 | -1.05 |
| 35 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.79 | 5.62 | 8.88 | 8.21 | 0.79 |
| 36 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.77 | 7 | 11.21 | 7.83 | 0.17 |
| 37 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.77 | 7.08 | 11.15 | 7.78 | 0.22 |
| 38 | Clemson | ACC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.75 | 8.5 | 10.08 | 8.41 | -0.41 |
| 39 | Missouri | Big 12 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.72 | 10.42 | 8.83 | 8.61 | -0.61 |
| 40 | Toledo | Mid-American | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.59 | 8.67 | 8.81 | 8.12 | -0.12 |
| 41 | Marshall | Mid-American | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.45 | 6 | 9.63 | 7.6 | 0.4 |
| 42 | Tulsa | Western Athletic | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.36 | 6.75 | 8.34 | 7.61 | 0.39 |
| 43 | Navy | FBS Independents | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.22 | 11.42 | 4.7 | 8.9 | -0.9 |
| 44 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 15.61 | 0.75 | 11.51 | 6.2 | 1.8 |
| 45 | South Florida | Conference USA | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.3 | 4.73 | 7.04 | 6.83 | 0.17 |
| 46 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 8-5 | 0.62 | 14.97 | 4.08 | 8.68 | 7.5 | 0.5 |
| 47 | Auburn | SEC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.95 | 9.67 | 11.13 | 8.99 | -1.99 |
| 48 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.87 | 7.17 | 12.27 | 7.28 | -0.28 |
| 49 | Virginia | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.87 | 7.67 | 11.83 | 8.14 | -1.14 |
| 50 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.74 | 7.58 | 10.79 | 7.89 | -0.89 |
| 51 | NC State | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.73 | 6.17 | 11.88 | 7.31 | -0.31 |
| 52 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.72 | 5.25 | 12.77 | 7.42 | -0.42 |
| 53 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.68 | 6.42 | 11.29 | 7.67 | -0.67 |
| 54 | Air Force | Mountain West | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.54 | 6.67 | 9.86 | 7.96 | -0.96 |
| 55 | California | Pac-10 | 7-6 | 0.54 | 14.21 | 9.54 | 12.64 | 9.31 | -2.31 |
| 56 | Akron | Mid-American | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.11 | 6.83 | 6.03 | 7.46 | -0.46 |
| 57 | Boston College | Big East | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.02 | 2.08 | 11.55 | 6.55 | 0.45 |
| 58 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 8-5 | 0.62 | 13.71 | -0.23 | 10.04 | 6.42 | 1.58 |
| 59 | Houston | Conference USA | 7-5 | 0.58 | 12.42 | -1.17 | 10.48 | 5.76 | 1.24 |
| 60 | Syracuse | Big East | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.11 | 1.58 | 11.94 | 6.43 | -0.43 |
| 61 | Kansas | Big 12 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.82 | 1.5 | 9.15 | 6.37 | -0.37 |
| 62 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.72 | 1.42 | 8.43 | 6.56 | -0.56 |
| 63 | Washington | Pac-10 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.11 | -0.33 | 11.72 | 5.91 | 0.09 |
| 64 | UNLV | Mountain West | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.8 | -1.33 | 13.17 | 5.57 | 0.43 |
| 65 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.32 | -2.83 | 12.13 | 5 | 1 |
| 66 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.07 | -4.08 | 11.86 | 4.7 | 1.3 |
| 67 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.04 | -4.92 | 13.02 | 4.47 | 1.53 |
| 68 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.79 | -4.67 | 9.44 | 4.73 | 1.27 |
| 69 | Troy | FBS Independents | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.46 | -7.25 | 8.84 | 3.44 | 2.56 |
| 70 | Wake Forest | ACC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.06 | -1 | 12.91 | 5.75 | -0.75 |
| 71 | Cincinnati | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.78 | -1.33 | 10.56 | 5.63 | -0.63 |
| 72 | Rutgers | Big East | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.67 | -2.08 | 12.17 | 5.48 | -0.48 |
| 73 | South Carolina | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.46 | -3.83 | 14.36 | 4.89 | 0.11 |
| 74 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.42 | -2.5 | 9.98 | 5.32 | -0.32 |
| 75 | Rice | Western Athletic | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.34 | -2.92 | 10.1 | 5.31 | -0.31 |
| 76 | UAB | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.34 | -3.5 | 11.7 | 4.89 | 0.11 |
| 77 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.31 | -3.25 | 10.56 | 5.21 | -0.21 |
| 78 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.26 | -6 | 15.96 | 4.21 | 0.79 |
| 79 | Colorado | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.11 | -6.58 | 14.65 | 4.46 | 0.54 |
| 80 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.94 | -7 | 12.58 | 4.34 | 0.66 |
| 81 | Kent State | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.82 | -6.25 | 9.46 | 4.54 | 0.46 |
| 82 | Tulane | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.77 | -7.25 | 10.25 | 4.41 | 0.59 |
| 83 | Kentucky | SEC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 7.67 | 0.58 | 8.86 | 6.15 | -2.15 |
| 84 | Alabama | SEC | 4-9 | 0.31 | 7.19 | -0.15 | 16.66 | 6.45 | -2.45 |
| 85 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.1 | -13.25 | 6.15 | 2.78 | 2.22 |
| 86 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.14 | -12.55 | 12.23 | 2.33 | 1.67 |
| 87 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.1 | -3.58 | 7.95 | 5.14 | -1.14 |
| 88 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.94 | -6.17 | 11.87 | 4.4 | -0.4 |
| 89 | BYU | Mountain West | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.73 | -9.5 | 13.81 | 3.03 | 0.97 |
| 90 | Ball State | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.56 | -10.42 | 11.66 | 3.4 | 0.6 |
| 91 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.56 | -13.42 | 15.91 | 3.21 | 0.79 |
| 92 | Duke | ACC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.51 | -11 | 11.43 | 2.88 | 1.12 |
| 93 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.32 | -12.42 | 8.93 | 3.1 | 0.9 |
| 94 | Penn State | Big Ten | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.92 | -1.83 | 13.48 | 5.36 | -2.36 |
| 95 | Utah State | Sun Belt | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.3 | -4.25 | 9.91 | 4.76 | -1.76 |
| 96 | San José State | Western Athletic | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.04 | -11.55 | 8.92 | 3.08 | -0.08 |
| 97 | Idaho | Sun Belt | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.02 | -5.5 | 6.42 | 4.36 | -1.36 |
| 98 | New Mexico State | Sun Belt | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.98 | -6.58 | 8.75 | 4.18 | -1.18 |
| 99 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.54 | -12.58 | 9.04 | 3.15 | -0.15 |
| 100 | UCF | Mid-American | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.54 | -12.42 | 8.86 | 2.76 | 0.24 |
| 101 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.46 | -13.83 | 8.85 | 2.36 | 0.64 |
| 102 | Baylor | Big 12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.2 | -22 | 11.55 | 1.36 | 1.64 |
| 103 | Ohio | Mid-American | 2-10 | 0.17 | 2 | -9.08 | 9.26 | 3.66 | -1.66 |
| 104 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.96 | -10.25 | 12.35 | 3.23 | -1.23 |
| 105 | North Carolina | ACC | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.85 | -11.83 | 12.2 | 3.52 | -1.52 |
| 106 | Indiana | Big Ten | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.55 | -17.58 | 11.54 | 1.62 | 0.38 |
| 107 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.47 | -20.67 | 15.14 | 1.37 | 0.63 |
| 108 | Mississippi State | SEC | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.46 | -20.5 | 13.72 | 1.78 | 0.22 |
| 109 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.41 | -22 | 13.91 | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 110 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 2-11 | 0.15 | 1.12 | -16.15 | 7.48 | 2.79 | -0.79 |
| 111 | Temple | Big East | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.27 | -13.17 | 11.26 | 2.74 | -1.74 |
| 112 | Illinois | Big Ten | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.43 | -16.25 | 12.73 | 2.02 | -1.02 |
| 113 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.49 | -17.58 | 12.07 | 2 | -1 |
| 114 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.53 | -19 | 7.45 | 2.04 | -1.04 |
| 115 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.67 | -22.33 | 11.65 | 1.21 | -0.21 |
| 116 | SMU | Western Athletic | 0-12 | 0 | -2.44 | -21 | 11.93 | 0.9 | -0.9 |
| 117 | Army | Conference USA | 0-13 | 0 | -2.45 | -20.77 | 12.72 | 1.57 | -1.57 |