Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:33.506100+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 7-0 | 1 | 26.52 | 31.29 | 13.4 | 6.57 | 0.43 |
| 2 | Miami | Big East | 7-0 | 1 | 25.65 | 20.86 | 10.68 | 6.19 | 0.81 |
| 3 | Virginia Tech | Big East | 6-0 | 1 | 25.45 | 30.67 | 8.21 | 5.61 | 0.39 |
| 4 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 7-0 | 1 | 24.59 | 13.29 | 7.25 | 5.58 | 1.42 |
| 5 | TCU | Conference USA | 7-0 | 1 | 24.47 | 9.86 | 7.59 | 5.48 | 1.52 |
| 6 | Florida State | ACC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.85 | 21.29 | 13.31 | 6.53 | -0.53 |
| 7 | Georgia | SEC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.62 | 18 | 12.66 | 6.34 | -0.34 |
| 8 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.61 | 8.14 | 16.12 | 5.17 | 0.83 |
| 9 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.59 | 23.43 | 11.52 | 6.2 | -0.2 |
| 10 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.56 | 13.12 | 11.14 | 6.23 | 0.77 |
| 11 | USC | Pac-10 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.51 | 20 | 11.66 | 5.9 | 0.1 |
| 12 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.42 | 16.43 | 11.96 | 6.12 | -0.12 |
| 13 | Purdue | Big Ten | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.15 | 17.14 | 10.36 | 6.05 | -0.05 |
| 14 | Utah | Mountain West | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.04 | 10.71 | 11.75 | 5.3 | 0.7 |
| 15 | LSU | SEC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.93 | 24.57 | 7.64 | 6.66 | -0.66 |
| 16 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.8 | 17.86 | 8.16 | 6.06 | -0.06 |
| 17 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.78 | 22.57 | 7.17 | 6.03 | -0.03 |
| 18 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.57 | 21 | 6.07 | 6.17 | -0.17 |
| 19 | Louisville | Conference USA | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.55 | 14.71 | 7.49 | 5.52 | 0.48 |
| 20 | Boise State | Western Athletic | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.46 | 20.71 | 5.63 | 6.13 | -0.13 |
| 21 | Michigan | Big Ten | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.99 | 21.88 | 11.55 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.91 | 19.75 | 10.37 | 6.66 | -0.66 |
| 23 | Air Force | Mountain West | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.29 | 10.88 | 9.33 | 6.01 | -0.01 |
| 24 | Iowa | Big Ten | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.27 | 12.71 | 14.45 | 5.74 | -0.74 |
| 25 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.2 | 5.75 | 11.69 | 5.07 | 0.93 |
| 26 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.96 | 14 | 12.02 | 4.88 | 0.12 |
| 27 | Texas | Big 12 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.88 | 15.43 | 12.01 | 5.31 | -0.31 |
| 28 | Ole Miss | SEC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.58 | 15.29 | 10.32 | 5.31 | -0.31 |
| 29 | Maryland | ACC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.57 | 15.29 | 9.85 | 5.92 | -0.92 |
| 30 | Auburn | SEC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.47 | 13.14 | 10.31 | 5.93 | -0.93 |
| 31 | Kansas | Big 12 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.18 | 11.57 | 8.95 | 4.96 | 0.04 |
| 32 | Arkansas | SEC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.17 | 9.5 | 14.69 | 4.28 | -0.28 |
| 33 | Missouri | Big 12 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.16 | 6.86 | 10.02 | 4.58 | 0.42 |
| 34 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.14 | 9.43 | 8.29 | 5.01 | -0.01 |
| 35 | Toledo | Mid-American | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.99 | 10.43 | 8.14 | 5.11 | -0.11 |
| 36 | Navy | FBS Independents | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.84 | 9.86 | 7.53 | 5.05 | -0.05 |
| 37 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.6 | 12 | 11.4 | 4.39 | -0.39 |
| 38 | Syracuse | Big East | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.22 | 4 | 14.9 | 3.48 | 0.52 |
| 39 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.18 | 1.71 | 10.6 | 3.83 | 1.17 |
| 40 | Tennessee | SEC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.04 | 1.83 | 15.78 | 3.29 | 0.71 |
| 41 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 5-2 | 0.71 | 16.99 | 3.14 | 6.84 | 4.07 | 0.93 |
| 42 | Florida | SEC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.89 | 15 | 13.47 | 6.46 | -1.46 |
| 43 | South Florida | Conference USA | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.71 | 10.5 | 5.85 | 4.52 | -0.52 |
| 44 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.26 | 8.88 | 11.72 | 5.49 | -0.49 |
| 45 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.2 | 15.62 | 7.98 | 6.54 | -1.54 |
| 46 | NC State | ACC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.15 | 7.62 | 11.62 | 5.11 | -0.11 |
| 47 | Virginia | ACC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.48 | 9.43 | 12.76 | 5.05 | -1.05 |
| 48 | Akron | Mid-American | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.42 | 10.25 | 4.41 | 5.45 | -0.45 |
| 49 | UConn | FBS Independents | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.4 | 6.5 | 6.56 | 5.13 | -0.13 |
| 50 | Houston | Conference USA | 5-2 | 0.71 | 15.32 | -1.86 | 6.49 | 3.24 | 1.76 |
| 51 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.94 | 13.43 | 8.06 | 5.64 | -1.64 |
| 52 | Wake Forest | ACC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.83 | 5.57 | 12.64 | 4.45 | -0.45 |
| 53 | Boston College | Big East | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.77 | 3.43 | 12.42 | 4.03 | -0.03 |
| 54 | Clemson | ACC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.68 | 3.86 | 11.35 | 4.28 | -0.28 |
| 55 | South Carolina | SEC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.66 | 2.29 | 13.66 | 3.97 | 0.03 |
| 56 | Memphis | Conference USA | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.62 | 7.71 | 8.92 | 4.68 | -0.68 |
| 57 | Washington | Pac-10 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.62 | 4 | 12.76 | 4.15 | -0.15 |
| 58 | Marshall | Mid-American | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.15 | 4.43 | 7.88 | 4.15 | -0.15 |
| 59 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.06 | 3.14 | 9.02 | 3.88 | 0.12 |
| 60 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 13.76 | 1.43 | 10.13 | 3.73 | 0.27 |
| 61 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 4-3 | 0.57 | 13.76 | 1.14 | 11.35 | 3.68 | 0.32 |
| 62 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 13.3 | -0.29 | 13.62 | 3.43 | 0.57 |
| 63 | UNLV | Mountain West | 4-3 | 0.57 | 13.29 | -2 | 18.32 | 3.11 | 0.89 |
| 64 | Cincinnati | Conference USA | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.58 | 3.5 | 8.58 | 3.51 | -0.51 |
| 65 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 12.18 | -4.29 | 13.91 | 2.91 | 1.09 |
| 66 | Troy | FBS Independents | 4-3 | 0.57 | 11.31 | -6.86 | 9.06 | 2.12 | 1.88 |
| 67 | Kentucky | SEC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11.09 | 4.86 | 9.14 | 4.31 | -1.31 |
| 68 | Tulsa | Western Athletic | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.19 | -0.14 | 13.09 | 3.48 | -0.48 |
| 69 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.09 | -7.67 | 13.61 | 1.54 | 1.46 |
| 70 | California | Pac-10 | 3-5 | 0.38 | 10.01 | 1.62 | 15.32 | 4.33 | -1.33 |
| 71 | Alabama | SEC | 3-5 | 0.38 | 9.87 | 0.62 | 18.34 | 4.12 | -1.12 |
| 72 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.8 | -2 | 17.73 | 3.24 | -0.24 |
| 73 | UAB | Conference USA | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.36 | -2.14 | 13.91 | 3.06 | -0.06 |
| 74 | Rutgers | Big East | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.19 | -2.43 | 12.09 | 3.18 | -0.18 |
| 75 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.17 | -2.71 | 11.86 | 3.11 | -0.11 |
| 76 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.08 | -1.71 | 11.68 | 3.24 | -0.24 |
| 77 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.05 | -3.29 | 13.12 | 3.02 | -0.02 |
| 78 | West Virginia | Big East | 2-4 | 0.33 | 9.02 | 3 | 14.59 | 3.49 | -1.49 |
| 79 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.72 | -6.29 | 16.11 | 2.44 | 0.56 |
| 80 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 3-5 | 0.38 | 8.68 | -0.12 | 8.32 | 3.97 | -0.97 |
| 81 | Tulane | Conference USA | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.45 | -6.71 | 11.08 | 2.74 | 0.26 |
| 82 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.38 | -7.86 | 13.27 | 2.23 | 0.77 |
| 83 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 2-3 | 0.4 | 8.38 | -3.8 | 14.02 | 2 | 0 |
| 84 | Colorado | Big 12 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.33 | -12.86 | 16.71 | 2 | 1 |
| 85 | Ball State | Mid-American | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.27 | -9.29 | 11.49 | 2.11 | 0.89 |
| 86 | Baylor | Big 12 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 7.82 | -11 | 7.28 | 1.85 | 1.15 |
| 87 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 3-4 | 0.43 | 7.79 | -8.71 | 5.31 | 2.23 | 0.77 |
| 88 | BYU | Mountain West | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.35 | -7.62 | 14.29 | 2.41 | 0.59 |
| 89 | Kent State | Mid-American | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.91 | -9 | 8.79 | 2.53 | 0.47 |
| 90 | Penn State | Big Ten | 2-5 | 0.29 | 6.16 | -1.86 | 16.53 | 3.11 | -1.11 |
| 91 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.04 | -13.17 | 20.42 | 1.09 | 0.91 |
| 92 | San José State | Western Athletic | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.55 | -8.83 | 5.49 | 1.83 | 0.17 |
| 93 | Ohio | Mid-American | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.17 | -6.14 | 9.92 | 2.51 | -0.51 |
| 94 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.12 | -4 | 7.92 | 2.91 | -0.91 |
| 95 | Mississippi State | SEC | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.99 | -9.71 | 13.65 | 2.24 | -0.24 |
| 96 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.85 | -12.86 | 15.62 | 1.72 | 0.28 |
| 97 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.59 | -13.86 | 10.46 | 1.59 | 0.41 |
| 98 | Duke | ACC | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.53 | -15.29 | 10.41 | 1.12 | 0.88 |
| 99 | UCF | Mid-American | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.53 | -13.43 | 8.05 | 1.55 | 0.45 |
| 100 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.46 | -10.57 | 3.05 | 1.94 | 0.06 |
| 101 | Rice | Western Athletic | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.52 | -21 | 13.11 | 0.76 | 0.24 |
| 102 | New Mexico State | Sun Belt | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.46 | -8 | 6.24 | 2.31 | -1.31 |
| 103 | North Carolina | ACC | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.28 | -11.29 | 14.44 | 2.08 | -1.08 |
| 104 | Temple | Big East | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.22 | -12.29 | 10.87 | 1.68 | -0.68 |
| 105 | Indiana | Big Ten | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.18 | -12 | 10.89 | 1.59 | -0.59 |
| 106 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 1-7 | 0.12 | 1.16 | -7.12 | 13.6 | 2.66 | -1.66 |
| 107 | Utah State | Sun Belt | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.1 | -14.29 | 12.56 | 1.4 | -0.4 |
| 108 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.9 | -18.57 | 17.43 | 0.95 | 0.05 |
| 109 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.9 | -15.86 | 3.71 | 1.47 | -0.47 |
| 110 | Idaho | Sun Belt | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.69 | -12.38 | 6.34 | 1.63 | -0.63 |
| 111 | Illinois | Big Ten | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.63 | -14.75 | 15.43 | 1.6 | -0.6 |
| 112 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.55 | -21.43 | 11.27 | 0.69 | 0.31 |
| 113 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.38 | -19.25 | 10.16 | 0.93 | 0.07 |
| 114 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.2 | -19.25 | 13.19 | 1.1 | -0.1 |
| 115 | Army | Conference USA | 0-7 | 0 | -2.54 | -20.57 | 13.5 | 0.91 | -0.91 |
| 116 | SMU | Western Athletic | 0-7 | 0 | -2.62 | -23 | 14.1 | 0.37 | -0.37 |
| 117 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 0-8 | 0 | -2.68 | -26.12 | 11.55 | 0.43 | -0.43 |