Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:33.715722+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | USC | Pac-10 | 8-0 | 1 | 26.31 | 25.88 | 13.84 | 7.58 | 0.42 |
| 2 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 8-0 | 1 | 26.27 | 20.12 | 14.65 | 7.03 | 0.97 |
| 3 | Utah | Mountain West | 8-0 | 1 | 25.2 | 25.25 | 8.48 | 7.09 | 0.91 |
| 4 | Auburn | SEC | 9-0 | 1 | 25.19 | 25.67 | 8.43 | 8.6 | 0.4 |
| 5 | Boise State | Western Athletic | 8-0 | 1 | 25.18 | 24.75 | 8.58 | 6.82 | 1.18 |
| 6 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 8-0 | 1 | 24.44 | 12.62 | 7.24 | 7.17 | 0.83 |
| 7 | Texas | Big 12 | 7-1 | 0.88 | 23.18 | 21.12 | 13.22 | 7.23 | -0.23 |
| 8 | Michigan | Big Ten | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.84 | 9.56 | 13.27 | 6.41 | 1.59 |
| 9 | Miami | ACC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.8 | 16.71 | 13.56 | 5.78 | 0.22 |
| 10 | California | Pac-10 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.74 | 26.71 | 12.48 | 6.57 | -0.57 |
| 11 | Tennessee | SEC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.67 | 6.88 | 15.17 | 5.29 | 1.71 |
| 12 | Georgia | SEC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.58 | 12.62 | 12.14 | 6.44 | 0.56 |
| 13 | West Virginia | Big East | 7-1 | 0.88 | 21.89 | 16 | 7.25 | 6.56 | 0.44 |
| 14 | Virginia | ACC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.87 | 20.29 | 8.54 | 6.14 | -0.14 |
| 15 | Louisville | Conference USA | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.4 | 29 | 8.15 | 5.65 | -0.65 |
| 16 | Navy | FBS Independents | 7-1 | 0.88 | 20.48 | 6.38 | 2.85 | 5.39 | 1.61 |
| 17 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 5-1 | 0.83 | 20.37 | 8.67 | 7.31 | 4.23 | 0.77 |
| 18 | Florida State | ACC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 20.07 | 12.38 | 14.45 | 6.52 | -0.52 |
| 19 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.99 | 15.12 | 13.04 | 6.33 | -0.33 |
| 20 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.99 | 20.5 | 12.68 | 7.26 | -1.26 |
| 21 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.89 | 11.62 | 13.61 | 5.97 | 0.03 |
| 22 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.83 | 5.88 | 16.51 | 5.08 | 0.92 |
| 23 | LSU | SEC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.48 | 12 | 12.01 | 6.33 | -0.33 |
| 24 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.24 | 12.25 | 10.32 | 5.92 | 0.08 |
| 25 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.12 | 21 | 7.02 | 6.74 | -0.74 |
| 26 | Iowa | Big Ten | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.01 | 6.12 | 12.12 | 5.44 | 0.56 |
| 27 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 7-2 | 0.78 | 18.95 | 11.11 | 4.56 | 6.28 | 0.72 |
| 28 | UAB | Conference USA | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.14 | 7.29 | 11.35 | 4.42 | 0.58 |
| 29 | Toledo | Mid-American | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.01 | 4.25 | 6.7 | 4.58 | 1.42 |
| 30 | Boston College | Big East | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.88 | 8.43 | 8.87 | 5.35 | -0.35 |
| 31 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.51 | 5.29 | 8.47 | 4.39 | 0.61 |
| 32 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.36 | 12.22 | 9.01 | 6.72 | -0.72 |
| 33 | Memphis | Conference USA | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.36 | 8 | 5.48 | 4.53 | 0.47 |
| 34 | Purdue | Big Ten | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.86 | 16.88 | 11.81 | 6.9 | -1.9 |
| 35 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.48 | 9 | 13.87 | 5.3 | -0.3 |
| 36 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.42 | 5.88 | 15.39 | 5.21 | -0.21 |
| 37 | Alabama | SEC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.37 | 14.75 | 9.8 | 6.82 | -1.82 |
| 38 | South Carolina | SEC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.3 | 8.38 | 11.67 | 5.93 | -0.93 |
| 39 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.01 | 6.75 | 11.91 | 5.11 | -0.11 |
| 40 | UConn | Big East | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.73 | 7.38 | 7.92 | 5.27 | -0.27 |
| 41 | Marshall | Mid-American | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.65 | 7.12 | 8.82 | 5.66 | -0.66 |
| 42 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.61 | 4.75 | 10.8 | 4.94 | 0.06 |
| 43 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.58 | 2.88 | 13.14 | 4.68 | 0.32 |
| 44 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.57 | 10.38 | 5.68 | 5.67 | -0.67 |
| 45 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.19 | 4.25 | 7.92 | 4.85 | 0.15 |
| 46 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.09 | 2.12 | 10.82 | 4.37 | 0.63 |
| 47 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.6 | 9.71 | 8 | 5.04 | -1.04 |
| 48 | Florida | SEC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.76 | 11 | 12.27 | 5.74 | -1.74 |
| 49 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.73 | 2.33 | 10.26 | 5.13 | -0.13 |
| 50 | Missouri | Big 12 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.49 | 8.25 | 11.56 | 5.76 | -1.76 |
| 51 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.43 | 6.5 | 12.54 | 5.48 | -1.48 |
| 52 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.12 | 4 | 12.87 | 4.69 | -0.69 |
| 53 | Troy | Sun Belt | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.07 | 7.25 | 10.4 | 5.62 | -1.62 |
| 54 | Maryland | ACC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13 | 4.25 | 13.05 | 5 | -1 |
| 55 | NC State | ACC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.81 | 3.12 | 11.27 | 4.67 | -0.67 |
| 56 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 12.79 | -0.57 | 9.39 | 3.38 | 0.62 |
| 57 | Wake Forest | ACC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.68 | 4.38 | 9.57 | 4.94 | -0.94 |
| 58 | Cincinnati | Conference USA | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.49 | 2.38 | 11.85 | 4.45 | -0.45 |
| 59 | Arkansas | SEC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 12.18 | 7.86 | 16.33 | 4.63 | -1.63 |
| 60 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.78 | 2.12 | 4.23 | 4.32 | -0.32 |
| 61 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.76 | 2.12 | 5.45 | 4.41 | -0.41 |
| 62 | Colorado | Big 12 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.15 | -2 | 14.88 | 3.58 | 0.42 |
| 63 | TCU | Conference USA | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.04 | -0.62 | 8.34 | 3.91 | 0.09 |
| 64 | Clemson | ACC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.86 | -2.38 | 15.72 | 3.5 | 0.5 |
| 65 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.79 | -2.12 | 14.23 | 3.59 | 0.41 |
| 66 | BYU | Mountain West | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.78 | -2.88 | 14.89 | 3.44 | 0.56 |
| 67 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.62 | -3.88 | 16.36 | 3.3 | 0.7 |
| 68 | Syracuse | Big East | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.35 | -5.38 | 15.83 | 2.95 | 1.05 |
| 69 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.24 | -4.38 | 12.81 | 2.99 | 1.01 |
| 70 | Rutgers | Big East | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.22 | -3 | 7.52 | 3.47 | 0.53 |
| 71 | Kansas | Big 12 | 3-5 | 0.38 | 10.08 | 2.88 | 12.83 | 4.62 | -1.62 |
| 72 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.05 | -9.5 | 15.99 | 2.43 | 1.57 |
| 73 | North Carolina | ACC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.05 | -9.62 | 17.41 | 2.53 | 1.47 |
| 74 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.01 | -1.75 | 2.65 | 3.69 | 0.31 |
| 75 | Akron | Mid-American | 4-4 | 0.5 | 9.31 | -10.12 | 7.16 | 2.36 | 1.64 |
| 76 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 4-4 | 0.5 | 9.19 | -10.5 | 7.15 | 2.37 | 1.63 |
| 77 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 3-5 | 0.38 | 8.89 | -0.12 | 12.77 | 3.98 | -0.98 |
| 78 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.33 | -6.86 | 8.82 | 2.69 | 0.31 |
| 79 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.98 | -2.5 | 12.05 | 3.52 | -0.52 |
| 80 | Rice | Western Athletic | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.69 | -2.88 | 9.51 | 3.52 | -0.52 |
| 81 | Ole Miss | SEC | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.58 | -5.62 | 15.37 | 2.9 | 0.1 |
| 82 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.48 | -4.62 | 11.62 | 3.07 | -0.07 |
| 83 | Indiana | Big Ten | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.42 | -4.25 | 12.54 | 3.26 | -0.26 |
| 84 | Air Force | Mountain West | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.35 | -6.12 | 12.4 | 3.05 | -0.05 |
| 85 | Florida A&M | FBS Independents | 6-8 | 0.43 | 7.21 | -8 | -5.01 | 4.59 | 1.41 |
| 86 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.8 | -7.88 | 5.92 | 2.9 | 0.1 |
| 87 | Mississippi State | SEC | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.76 | -8.88 | 9.98 | 2.15 | 0.85 |
| 88 | Baylor | Big 12 | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.69 | -11.75 | 12.31 | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| 89 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.56 | -10.75 | 8.48 | 2.08 | 0.92 |
| 90 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.54 | -11.12 | 5.76 | 1.92 | 1.08 |
| 91 | Penn State | Big Ten | 2-6 | 0.25 | 6.5 | 0.75 | 15.09 | 4.23 | -2.23 |
| 92 | New Mexico State | Sun Belt | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.32 | -16.88 | 10.46 | 1.59 | 1.41 |
| 93 | Ohio | Mid-American | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.25 | -4.33 | 8.62 | 3.5 | -0.5 |
| 94 | South Florida | Conference USA | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.71 | -10.33 | 11.65 | 1.73 | 0.27 |
| 95 | Tulane | Conference USA | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.87 | -9 | 10.34 | 2.26 | -0.26 |
| 96 | Army | Conference USA | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.79 | -10 | 10.26 | 2.2 | -0.2 |
| 97 | San José State | Western Athletic | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.5 | -12.57 | 6.77 | 2 | 0 |
| 98 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.47 | -4.88 | 12.48 | 2.99 | -0.99 |
| 99 | Kent State | Mid-American | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.43 | -3 | 9 | 3.45 | -1.45 |
| 100 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.24 | -19 | 13.91 | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 101 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.24 | -6.38 | 11.89 | 2.66 | -0.66 |
| 102 | Tulsa | Western Athletic | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.22 | -5.25 | 12.88 | 3.18 | -1.18 |
| 103 | UNLV | Mountain West | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.11 | -8.38 | 15.08 | 2.51 | -0.51 |
| 104 | Houston | Conference USA | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.82 | -10.38 | 15.69 | 2.18 | -0.18 |
| 105 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.58 | -15.12 | 12.34 | 1.68 | 0.32 |
| 106 | Utah State | Sun Belt | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.46 | -17.75 | 10.79 | 1.07 | 0.93 |
| 107 | Illinois | Big Ten | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.41 | -8.89 | 16.05 | 2.75 | -0.75 |
| 108 | Idaho | Sun Belt | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.64 | -21 | 11.12 | 1.14 | 0.86 |
| 109 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.82 | -11 | 13.87 | 1.44 | -0.44 |
| 110 | Duke | ACC | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.74 | -12.12 | 13.56 | 1.81 | -0.81 |
| 111 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.65 | -13.12 | 7.88 | 2.19 | -1.19 |
| 112 | Kentucky | SEC | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.6 | -14.75 | 14.41 | 1.22 | -0.22 |
| 113 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.49 | -16.12 | 9.17 | 1.53 | -0.53 |
| 114 | Temple | Big East | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.49 | -16.62 | 15.79 | 1.59 | -0.59 |
| 115 | Washington | Pac-10 | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.49 | -17.12 | 14.37 | 0.96 | 0.04 |
| 116 | SMU | Western Athletic | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.14 | -26.5 | 14.33 | 0.47 | 0.53 |
| 117 | Ball State | Mid-American | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.1 | -20.33 | 14.05 | 1.3 | -0.3 |
| 118 | UCF | Mid-American | 0-8 | 0 | -2.53 | -20.62 | 14.1 | 0.89 | -0.89 |