Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:33.717275+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 11-0 | 1 | 25.57 | 20.91 | 12.93 | 9.8 | 1.2 |
| 2 | USC | Pac-10 | 11-0 | 1 | 25.51 | 26 | 11.84 | 10.37 | 0.63 |
| 3 | Auburn | SEC | 11-0 | 1 | 25.03 | 23.36 | 9.85 | 10.44 | 0.56 |
| 4 | Boise State | Western Athletic | 11-0 | 1 | 24.99 | 25.73 | 9.31 | 9.34 | 1.66 |
| 5 | Utah | Mountain West | 11-0 | 1 | 24.94 | 25.64 | 9.09 | 9.59 | 1.41 |
| 6 | Texas | Big 12 | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.49 | 18.82 | 13.43 | 9.48 | 0.52 |
| 7 | California | Pac-10 | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.13 | 25.3 | 11.42 | 9.27 | -0.27 |
| 8 | Louisville | Conference USA | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.93 | 30.9 | 9.62 | 9.09 | -0.09 |
| 9 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.14 | 20.91 | 11.44 | 9.99 | -0.99 |
| 10 | LSU | SEC | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.95 | 13.09 | 12.41 | 8.86 | 0.14 |
| 11 | Georgia | SEC | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.83 | 12.18 | 12 | 8.71 | 0.29 |
| 12 | Iowa | Big Ten | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.82 | 6.91 | 14.33 | 7.62 | 1.38 |
| 13 | Miami | ACC | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.81 | 16.5 | 13.18 | 8.26 | -0.26 |
| 14 | Michigan | Big Ten | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.71 | 8.36 | 12.82 | 7.51 | 1.49 |
| 15 | Tennessee | SEC | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.22 | 5.64 | 11.52 | 6.91 | 2.09 |
| 16 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20 | 6.09 | 9.79 | 7.65 | 1.35 |
| 17 | Virginia | ACC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.96 | 14 | 12.06 | 8.99 | -0.99 |
| 18 | Florida State | ACC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.81 | 11 | 12.62 | 8.81 | -0.81 |
| 19 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.66 | 5.45 | 14.62 | 6.78 | 1.22 |
| 20 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.63 | 21.18 | 7.87 | 9.11 | -1.11 |
| 21 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.48 | 21.18 | 7.41 | 9.38 | -1.38 |
| 22 | Navy | FBS Independents | 8-2 | 0.8 | 18.47 | 5.2 | 3.6 | 6.3 | 1.7 |
| 23 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.36 | 12.09 | 8.76 | 7.94 | 0.06 |
| 24 | West Virginia | Big East | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.23 | 11.55 | 8.16 | 8.24 | -0.24 |
| 25 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.06 | 11 | 7.64 | 7.93 | 0.07 |
| 26 | Boston College | Big East | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18 | 7.27 | 8.7 | 7.76 | 0.24 |
| 27 | Memphis | Conference USA | 8-3 | 0.73 | 17.78 | 6.55 | 8.3 | 6.79 | 1.21 |
| 28 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 8-3 | 0.73 | 17.78 | 9.45 | 6.4 | 7.45 | 0.55 |
| 29 | Toledo | Mid-American | 8-3 | 0.73 | 17.66 | 4.45 | 9.28 | 6.37 | 1.63 |
| 30 | Purdue | Big Ten | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.98 | 16.27 | 12.32 | 9.22 | -2.22 |
| 31 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 7-3 | 0.7 | 16.92 | 3.6 | 9.71 | 5.82 | 1.18 |
| 32 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.89 | 7.27 | 15.72 | 7.22 | -0.22 |
| 33 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.84 | 10.18 | 13.45 | 7.65 | -0.65 |
| 34 | Florida | SEC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.78 | 13.27 | 11.98 | 8.42 | -1.42 |
| 35 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.7 | 9.64 | 13.45 | 7.48 | -0.48 |
| 36 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.22 | 4.09 | 14.04 | 6.73 | 0.27 |
| 37 | Troy | Sun Belt | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.93 | 9 | 7.61 | 8.27 | -1.27 |
| 38 | UConn | Big East | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.73 | 6.73 | 7.85 | 7.14 | -0.14 |
| 39 | UAB | Conference USA | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.68 | 3.64 | 9.88 | 6.33 | 0.67 |
| 40 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.67 | 3.18 | 10.87 | 6.59 | 0.41 |
| 41 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.11 | 6 | 10.45 | 6.22 | -0.22 |
| 42 | Colorado | Big 12 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.06 | 0.55 | 12.74 | 5.65 | 1.35 |
| 43 | Alabama | SEC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.3 | 10 | 10.14 | 8.43 | -2.43 |
| 44 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.17 | 7.64 | 10.62 | 7.28 | -1.28 |
| 45 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.76 | 1.55 | 15.24 | 5.93 | 0.07 |
| 46 | Marshall | Mid-American | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.73 | 3.91 | 10.74 | 6.59 | -0.59 |
| 47 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 6-4 | 0.6 | 13.6 | 0 | 11.01 | 5 | 1 |
| 48 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.36 | 0.82 | 14.67 | 5.71 | 0.29 |
| 49 | South Carolina | SEC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.27 | 1.27 | 12.11 | 5.89 | 0.11 |
| 50 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 7-4 | 0.64 | 13.1 | -2.55 | 6.83 | 4.92 | 2.08 |
| 51 | Cincinnati | Conference USA | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.1 | 0.55 | 12.6 | 5.63 | 0.37 |
| 52 | Clemson | ACC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.06 | 0.64 | 12.62 | 5.7 | 0.3 |
| 53 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.05 | 1.64 | 8.84 | 5.91 | 0.09 |
| 54 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 12.66 | 0 | 12.02 | 5.5 | 0.5 |
| 55 | Arkansas | SEC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 12.07 | 5.27 | 14.62 | 6.75 | -1.75 |
| 56 | Syracuse | Big East | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.91 | -1.82 | 14.01 | 5.04 | 0.96 |
| 57 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.81 | -1.55 | 11.05 | 5.03 | 0.97 |
| 58 | NC State | ACC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.49 | 4.18 | 11.32 | 6.73 | -1.73 |
| 59 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.43 | 2.73 | 12.7 | 6.15 | -1.15 |
| 60 | Missouri | Big 12 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.43 | 3.73 | 11.1 | 6.62 | -1.62 |
| 61 | Kent State | Mid-American | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.42 | 6.45 | 7.22 | 7.01 | -2.01 |
| 62 | North Carolina | ACC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.41 | -4.55 | 13.92 | 4.49 | 1.51 |
| 63 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 6-5 | 0.55 | 10.87 | -4.91 | 8.9 | 4.61 | 1.39 |
| 64 | Akron | Mid-American | 6-5 | 0.55 | 10.76 | -6.91 | 9.75 | 3.93 | 2.07 |
| 65 | Tulane | Conference USA | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.54 | -1.3 | 9.66 | 4.74 | 0.26 |
| 66 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.32 | -3.92 | 13.11 | 4.96 | 1.04 |
| 67 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.28 | 0 | 11.49 | 5.5 | -0.5 |
| 68 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10 | -6.17 | 14.03 | 4.5 | 1.5 |
| 69 | TCU | Conference USA | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.75 | -1 | 11.22 | 5.3 | -0.3 |
| 70 | Air Force | Mountain West | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.47 | -1.45 | 10.32 | 5.19 | -0.19 |
| 71 | BYU | Mountain West | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.46 | -2.55 | 14 | 4.85 | 0.15 |
| 72 | Maryland | ACC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.43 | -2.27 | 13.4 | 4.72 | 0.28 |
| 73 | Kansas | Big 12 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 9.38 | 2.45 | 13.94 | 6.2 | -2.2 |
| 74 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.37 | -2.09 | 10.77 | 4.98 | 0.02 |
| 75 | Penn State | Big Ten | 4-7 | 0.36 | 9.32 | 2.45 | 13.12 | 6.46 | -2.46 |
| 76 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.21 | -2.91 | 11.74 | 4.79 | 0.21 |
| 77 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.05 | -2.18 | 7.42 | 4.94 | 0.06 |
| 78 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 8.81 | 0.82 | 13.16 | 5.75 | -1.75 |
| 79 | New Mexico State | Sun Belt | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.43 | -7.45 | 9.23 | 3.84 | 1.16 |
| 80 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.16 | -8.36 | 6.56 | 3.28 | 1.72 |
| 81 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.92 | -4.75 | 6.52 | 4.95 | 0.05 |
| 82 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.7 | -1 | 11.99 | 5.28 | -1.28 |
| 83 | South Florida | Conference USA | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.67 | -5.1 | 10.39 | 3.94 | 0.06 |
| 84 | Wake Forest | ACC | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.32 | -2.09 | 10.67 | 4.88 | -0.88 |
| 85 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.84 | -4.36 | 10.62 | 4.3 | -0.3 |
| 86 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.82 | -2.73 | 5.33 | 4.74 | -0.74 |
| 87 | Ole Miss | SEC | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.76 | -5.73 | 13.52 | 3.88 | 0.12 |
| 88 | Ohio | Mid-American | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.72 | -4.55 | 8.92 | 4.2 | -0.2 |
| 89 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.69 | -5.82 | 11.41 | 4.1 | -0.1 |
| 90 | Rutgers | Big East | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.58 | -6.73 | 10.53 | 3.96 | 0.04 |
| 91 | Tulsa | Western Athletic | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.07 | -4.42 | 10.01 | 4.99 | -0.99 |
| 92 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.06 | -10.73 | 7.35 | 3.21 | 0.79 |
| 93 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.01 | -11.82 | 7.72 | 3.43 | 0.57 |
| 94 | Florida A&M | FBS Independents | 6-11 | 0.35 | 5.41 | -8.29 | -5.5 | 5.82 | 0.18 |
| 95 | Illinois | Big Ten | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.51 | -7.55 | 12.88 | 3.64 | -0.64 |
| 96 | Indiana | Big Ten | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.47 | -7.36 | 11.27 | 3.8 | -0.8 |
| 97 | Rice | Western Athletic | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.32 | -9.55 | 11.11 | 3.47 | -0.47 |
| 98 | Mississippi State | SEC | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.28 | -9.73 | 10.61 | 2.66 | 0.34 |
| 99 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.27 | -10.09 | 13.84 | 2.5 | 0.5 |
| 100 | Houston | Conference USA | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.24 | -11.27 | 13.29 | 2.91 | 0.09 |
| 101 | Utah State | Sun Belt | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.01 | -13.55 | 10.62 | 2.17 | 0.83 |
| 102 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4 | -13.64 | 10.34 | 2.44 | 0.56 |
| 103 | Baylor | Big 12 | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.97 | -16.55 | 14.15 | 2.16 | 0.84 |
| 104 | SMU | Western Athletic | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.79 | -19.82 | 12.56 | 1.65 | 1.35 |
| 105 | Idaho | Sun Belt | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.3 | -19 | 10.13 | 2.09 | 0.91 |
| 106 | Army | Conference USA | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.67 | -9.9 | 11.48 | 3.1 | -1.1 |
| 107 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.48 | -6.73 | 10.89 | 3.63 | -1.63 |
| 108 | UNLV | Mountain West | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.12 | -11.64 | 12.69 | 2.85 | -0.85 |
| 109 | Duke | ACC | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.06 | -12.64 | 12.64 | 2.28 | -0.28 |
| 110 | Temple | Big East | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.98 | -14.64 | 14.58 | 2.5 | -0.5 |
| 111 | Kentucky | SEC | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.95 | -15.27 | 13.78 | 1.84 | 0.16 |
| 112 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.93 | -14 | 9.43 | 2.23 | -0.23 |
| 113 | San José State | Western Athletic | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.92 | -14.27 | 8.55 | 3.03 | -1.03 |
| 114 | Ball State | Mid-American | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.84 | -16.36 | 11.13 | 2.19 | -0.19 |
| 115 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.76 | -18.91 | 11.84 | 1.97 | 0.03 |
| 116 | Washington | Pac-10 | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.21 | -16.36 | 13.12 | 1.51 | -0.51 |
| 117 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.24 | -17.09 | 10.54 | 2.29 | -1.29 |
| 118 | UCF | Mid-American | 0-11 | 0 | -2.3 | -17 | 11.87 | 1.67 | -1.67 |