Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:33.719387+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 12-0 | 1 | 25.26 | 22.42 | 12.38 | 10.91 | 1.09 |
| 2 | USC | Pac-10 | 12-0 | 1 | 25.18 | 24.25 | 11.67 | 11.14 | 0.86 |
| 3 | Auburn | SEC | 12-0 | 1 | 24.87 | 22.25 | 10.44 | 11.17 | 0.83 |
| 4 | Utah | Mountain West | 12-0 | 1 | 24.84 | 25.83 | 9.77 | 10.57 | 1.43 |
| 5 | Texas | Big 12 | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.41 | 17.33 | 13.33 | 9.99 | 1.01 |
| 6 | Louisville | Conference USA | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.21 | 30.08 | 9.99 | 10.8 | 0.2 |
| 7 | Boise State | Western Athletic | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.18 | 23.25 | 10.62 | 9.86 | 1.14 |
| 8 | California | Pac-10 | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.27 | 20.75 | 11.7 | 10.53 | -0.53 |
| 9 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.19 | 19.67 | 11.81 | 10.84 | -0.84 |
| 10 | Georgia | SEC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.85 | 11.42 | 12.2 | 9.32 | 0.68 |
| 11 | Iowa | Big Ten | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.84 | 6.75 | 14.45 | 8.2 | 1.8 |
| 12 | Miami | ACC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.5 | 14.67 | 14.1 | 9.76 | -0.76 |
| 13 | Navy | FBS Independents | 10-2 | 0.83 | 19.29 | 8 | 4.21 | 8.29 | 1.71 |
| 14 | LSU | SEC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.2 | 11.58 | 12.93 | 9.28 | -0.28 |
| 15 | Tennessee | SEC | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.17 | 6.38 | 12.89 | 8.36 | 1.64 |
| 16 | Florida State | ACC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.06 | 11.08 | 12.54 | 9.58 | -0.58 |
| 17 | Michigan | Big Ten | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.92 | 7.58 | 13.09 | 7.94 | 1.06 |
| 18 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.91 | 20.83 | 8.46 | 9.82 | -0.82 |
| 19 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.83 | 19.67 | 8.3 | 9.97 | -0.97 |
| 20 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.81 | 5.33 | 14.36 | 7.38 | 1.62 |
| 21 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.31 | 5.33 | 10.54 | 8.03 | 0.97 |
| 22 | Boston College | Big East | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.21 | 7.75 | 8.58 | 8.52 | 0.48 |
| 23 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.15 | 9.75 | 7.14 | 8.21 | 0.79 |
| 24 | Virginia | ACC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.37 | 12.58 | 12.48 | 9.38 | -1.38 |
| 25 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.3 | 10 | 13.65 | 8.19 | -0.19 |
| 26 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.95 | 5.92 | 13.85 | 7.93 | 0.07 |
| 27 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.8 | 10.67 | 9.23 | 8.38 | -0.38 |
| 28 | West Virginia | Big East | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.7 | 9.58 | 9.02 | 8.55 | -0.55 |
| 29 | UConn | Big East | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.48 | 8.58 | 8.37 | 8.26 | -0.26 |
| 30 | Toledo | Mid-American | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.36 | 2.15 | 10.07 | 7.02 | 1.98 |
| 31 | Memphis | Conference USA | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.14 | 4.58 | 8.74 | 6.96 | 1.04 |
| 32 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.11 | 3.08 | 10.05 | 6.85 | 1.15 |
| 33 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.45 | 8.38 | 8.65 | 8.8 | -0.8 |
| 34 | Purdue | Big Ten | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.42 | 14.58 | 12.42 | 9.73 | -2.73 |
| 35 | Florida | SEC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.17 | 10.75 | 12.17 | 8.72 | -1.72 |
| 36 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.01 | 7.17 | 13.27 | 7.74 | -0.74 |
| 37 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.9 | 4.08 | 15.56 | 7.09 | -0.09 |
| 38 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.67 | 7.33 | 10.71 | 7.92 | -0.92 |
| 39 | Troy | Sun Belt | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.43 | 7.17 | 8.35 | 8.4 | -1.4 |
| 40 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.32 | 2.17 | 14.45 | 6.6 | 0.4 |
| 41 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.26 | 3.08 | 11.86 | 7.06 | -0.06 |
| 42 | Cincinnati | Conference USA | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14 | 2 | 11.76 | 6.51 | 0.49 |
| 43 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.93 | 1.67 | 11.56 | 6.61 | 0.39 |
| 44 | UAB | Conference USA | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.69 | 1.75 | 9.53 | 6.41 | 0.59 |
| 45 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.64 | 1.75 | 9.05 | 6.48 | 0.52 |
| 46 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.57 | 0.92 | 11.04 | 6.26 | 0.74 |
| 47 | Colorado | Big 12 | 8-5 | 0.62 | 13.3 | -2.15 | 13.55 | 5.82 | 2.18 |
| 48 | South Carolina | SEC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.09 | 1.27 | 11.63 | 5.89 | 0.11 |
| 49 | Alabama | SEC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 13.01 | 8.83 | 10.3 | 8.9 | -2.9 |
| 50 | Clemson | ACC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 12.89 | 0.64 | 12.22 | 5.7 | 0.3 |
| 51 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 8-5 | 0.62 | 12.8 | -2.46 | 9.15 | 5.99 | 2.01 |
| 52 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.64 | 4.33 | 11.69 | 7.09 | -1.09 |
| 53 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 12.46 | -1.08 | 10.97 | 5.63 | 1.37 |
| 54 | Marshall | Mid-American | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.13 | 2.08 | 10.84 | 6.64 | -0.64 |
| 55 | Arkansas | SEC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.9 | 5.27 | 14.61 | 6.75 | -1.75 |
| 56 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.65 | 0 | 14.74 | 6 | 0 |
| 57 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 7-5 | 0.58 | 11.43 | -4.08 | 7.19 | 4.96 | 2.04 |
| 58 | NC State | ACC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.42 | 4.18 | 11.05 | 6.73 | -1.73 |
| 59 | Kent State | Mid-American | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.31 | 6.45 | 6.8 | 7.01 | -2.01 |
| 60 | Missouri | Big 12 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.3 | 3.73 | 10.48 | 6.62 | -1.62 |
| 61 | Akron | Mid-American | 6-5 | 0.55 | 10.62 | -6.91 | 9.34 | 3.93 | 2.07 |
| 62 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 10.49 | 2.25 | 12.32 | 6.56 | -1.56 |
| 63 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.17 | -3.92 | 12.94 | 4.96 | 1.04 |
| 64 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.14 | 0 | 11.12 | 5.5 | -0.5 |
| 65 | North Carolina | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.09 | -5.25 | 13.98 | 4.74 | 1.26 |
| 66 | Syracuse | Big East | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.09 | -4.75 | 13.49 | 4.73 | 1.27 |
| 67 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.93 | -6.17 | 13.76 | 4.5 | 1.5 |
| 68 | TCU | Conference USA | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.56 | -1 | 10.55 | 5.3 | -0.3 |
| 69 | Air Force | Mountain West | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.37 | -1.45 | 10.26 | 5.19 | -0.19 |
| 70 | Maryland | ACC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.36 | -2.27 | 13.09 | 4.72 | 0.28 |
| 71 | BYU | Mountain West | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.34 | -2.55 | 13.73 | 4.85 | 0.15 |
| 72 | Kansas | Big 12 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 9.28 | 2.45 | 13.76 | 6.2 | -2.2 |
| 73 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.24 | -2.09 | 10.83 | 4.98 | 0.02 |
| 74 | Penn State | Big Ten | 4-7 | 0.36 | 9.19 | 2.45 | 12.59 | 6.46 | -2.46 |
| 75 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.08 | -2.91 | 11.23 | 4.79 | 0.21 |
| 76 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.95 | -2.18 | 7.17 | 4.94 | 0.06 |
| 77 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 8.67 | 0.82 | 12.41 | 5.75 | -1.75 |
| 78 | Tulane | Conference USA | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.61 | -5.55 | 10.22 | 4.31 | 0.69 |
| 79 | New Mexico State | Sun Belt | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.31 | -7.45 | 8.7 | 3.84 | 1.16 |
| 80 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.07 | -8.36 | 6.26 | 3.28 | 1.72 |
| 81 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.82 | -4.75 | 6.88 | 4.95 | 0.05 |
| 82 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.6 | -1 | 11.57 | 5.28 | -1.28 |
| 83 | Wake Forest | ACC | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.19 | -2.09 | 10.48 | 4.88 | -0.88 |
| 84 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.75 | -2.73 | 5.22 | 4.74 | -0.74 |
| 85 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.75 | -4.36 | 10.21 | 4.3 | -0.3 |
| 86 | Ole Miss | SEC | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.73 | -5.73 | 13.08 | 3.88 | 0.12 |
| 87 | Ohio | Mid-American | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.65 | -4.55 | 8.82 | 4.2 | -0.2 |
| 88 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.61 | -5.82 | 11.18 | 4.1 | -0.1 |
| 89 | Rutgers | Big East | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.48 | -6.73 | 10.4 | 3.96 | 0.04 |
| 90 | South Florida | Conference USA | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.42 | -7.27 | 10.42 | 3.87 | 0.13 |
| 91 | Tulsa | Western Athletic | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.05 | -4.42 | 9.85 | 4.99 | -0.99 |
| 92 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6 | -10.73 | 7.31 | 3.21 | 0.79 |
| 93 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 4-7 | 0.36 | 5.95 | -11.82 | 7.76 | 3.43 | 0.57 |
| 94 | Florida A&M | FBS Independents | 6-11 | 0.35 | 5.33 | -8.29 | -5.51 | 5.82 | 0.18 |
| 95 | Illinois | Big Ten | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.44 | -7.55 | 12.23 | 3.64 | -0.64 |
| 96 | Indiana | Big Ten | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.41 | -7.36 | 10.89 | 3.8 | -0.8 |
| 97 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.27 | -10.09 | 13.3 | 2.5 | 0.5 |
| 98 | Rice | Western Athletic | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.25 | -9.55 | 11.36 | 3.47 | -0.47 |
| 99 | Mississippi State | SEC | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.2 | -9.73 | 10.17 | 2.66 | 0.34 |
| 100 | Houston | Conference USA | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.17 | -11.27 | 12.45 | 2.91 | 0.09 |
| 101 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.96 | -13.64 | 10.3 | 2.44 | 0.56 |
| 102 | Utah State | Sun Belt | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.96 | -13.55 | 10.34 | 2.17 | 0.83 |
| 103 | Baylor | Big 12 | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.91 | -16.55 | 13.24 | 2.16 | 0.84 |
| 104 | SMU | Western Athletic | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.74 | -19.82 | 12.18 | 1.65 | 1.35 |
| 105 | Idaho | Sun Belt | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.26 | -19 | 10.15 | 2.09 | 0.91 |
| 106 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.45 | -6.73 | 10.71 | 3.63 | -1.63 |
| 107 | UNLV | Mountain West | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.09 | -11.64 | 12.37 | 2.85 | -0.85 |
| 108 | Army | Conference USA | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.07 | -11.64 | 11.37 | 3.07 | -1.07 |
| 109 | Duke | ACC | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.03 | -12.64 | 12.55 | 2.28 | -0.28 |
| 110 | Temple | Big East | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.95 | -14.64 | 14.2 | 2.5 | -0.5 |
| 111 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.91 | -14 | 9.15 | 2.23 | -0.23 |
| 112 | Kentucky | SEC | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.91 | -15.27 | 13.49 | 1.84 | 0.16 |
| 113 | San José State | Western Athletic | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.88 | -14.27 | 8.59 | 3.03 | -1.03 |
| 114 | Ball State | Mid-American | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.82 | -16.36 | 10.97 | 2.19 | -0.19 |
| 115 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.72 | -18.91 | 11.34 | 1.97 | 0.03 |
| 116 | Washington | Pac-10 | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.21 | -16.36 | 12.75 | 1.51 | -0.51 |
| 117 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.24 | -17.09 | 10.26 | 2.29 | -1.29 |
| 118 | UCF | Mid-American | 0-11 | 0 | -2.27 | -17 | 11.44 | 1.67 | -1.67 |