Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:33.714964+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | USC | Pac-10 | 6-0 | 1 | 26.83 | 23.17 | 15.12 | 5.54 | 0.46 |
| 2 | Miami | ACC | 5-0 | 1 | 26.59 | 21.2 | 14.32 | 4.55 | 0.45 |
| 3 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 6-0 | 1 | 26.3 | 21.17 | 12.79 | 5.45 | 0.55 |
| 4 | Utah | Mountain West | 6-0 | 1 | 25.81 | 24 | 9.97 | 5.43 | 0.57 |
| 5 | Auburn | SEC | 7-0 | 1 | 25.56 | 25.43 | 8.67 | 6.72 | 0.28 |
| 6 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 7-0 | 1 | 25.2 | 12.71 | 9.47 | 6.34 | 0.66 |
| 7 | Boise State | Western Athletic | 6-0 | 1 | 24.64 | 19.17 | 5.09 | 4.69 | 1.31 |
| 8 | Texas | Big 12 | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.59 | 19.17 | 15.37 | 5.36 | -0.36 |
| 9 | Florida State | ACC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.56 | 16.5 | 16.12 | 5.26 | -0.26 |
| 10 | Michigan | Big Ten | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.46 | 10.86 | 13.01 | 5.21 | 0.79 |
| 11 | Purdue | Big Ten | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.44 | 23.33 | 12 | 5.45 | -0.45 |
| 12 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.4 | 15.17 | 15.45 | 4.94 | 0.06 |
| 13 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.3 | 20.17 | 11.75 | 5.16 | -0.16 |
| 14 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.12 | 11.33 | 13.5 | 4.56 | 0.44 |
| 15 | Virginia | ACC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.74 | 20.17 | 8.74 | 5.26 | -0.26 |
| 16 | Tennessee | SEC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.7 | 6.17 | 15.14 | 3.88 | 1.12 |
| 17 | California | Pac-10 | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21.66 | 24.4 | 13.28 | 4.45 | -0.45 |
| 18 | Georgia | SEC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.49 | 14.67 | 10.18 | 5.06 | -0.06 |
| 19 | UAB | Conference USA | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.43 | 9.17 | 12.03 | 4.11 | 0.89 |
| 20 | Louisville | Conference USA | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21.29 | 28.4 | 8.73 | 4.67 | -0.67 |
| 21 | West Virginia | Big East | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.07 | 17 | 7.35 | 4.98 | 0.02 |
| 22 | Memphis | Conference USA | 5-1 | 0.83 | 20.61 | 15.83 | 4.9 | 4.63 | 0.37 |
| 23 | Navy | FBS Independents | 5-1 | 0.83 | 20.15 | 6 | 4.59 | 3.97 | 1.03 |
| 24 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 4-1 | 0.8 | 19.81 | 2.2 | 9.63 | 2.79 | 1.21 |
| 25 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.35 | 21.43 | 12.77 | 6.46 | -1.46 |
| 26 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.88 | 6.86 | 15.71 | 4.73 | 0.27 |
| 27 | South Carolina | SEC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.76 | 11.57 | 11.74 | 5.92 | -0.92 |
| 28 | Alabama | SEC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.74 | 17.43 | 9.96 | 6.18 | -1.18 |
| 29 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.53 | 10.57 | 9.1 | 4.98 | 0.02 |
| 30 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.25 | 15.33 | 13.06 | 4.59 | -0.59 |
| 31 | Florida | SEC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.13 | 17 | 12.36 | 4.93 | -0.93 |
| 32 | Missouri | Big 12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.08 | 15 | 10.69 | 5.02 | -1.02 |
| 33 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.95 | 12.67 | 12.7 | 4.79 | -0.79 |
| 34 | LSU | SEC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.89 | 12.5 | 11.62 | 4.74 | -0.74 |
| 35 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.72 | 10.29 | 5.75 | 4.9 | 0.1 |
| 36 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.71 | 10.5 | 12.31 | 4.32 | -0.32 |
| 37 | Iowa | Big Ten | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.61 | 6.17 | 14.44 | 3.96 | 0.04 |
| 38 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.61 | 6.5 | 11.67 | 3.8 | 0.2 |
| 39 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.52 | 20.33 | 7.31 | 4.99 | -0.99 |
| 40 | Toledo | Mid-American | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.48 | 4.14 | 8.49 | 3.98 | 1.02 |
| 41 | Boston College | Big East | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.41 | 9.67 | 8.2 | 4.86 | -0.86 |
| 42 | UConn | Big East | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.39 | 9.5 | 8.4 | 4.36 | -0.36 |
| 43 | NC State | ACC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.28 | 7.5 | 10.69 | 4.32 | -0.32 |
| 44 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.93 | 6.67 | 6.7 | 4.03 | -0.03 |
| 45 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.75 | 3.33 | 11.65 | 3.42 | 0.58 |
| 46 | Colorado | Big 12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.73 | 1.83 | 13.24 | 3.29 | 0.71 |
| 47 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.34 | 2.17 | 9.79 | 3.33 | 0.67 |
| 48 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 15.9 | 1.67 | 8.09 | 3.32 | 0.68 |
| 49 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 3-2 | 0.6 | 15.2 | 8.6 | 5.53 | 3.46 | -0.46 |
| 50 | Rutgers | Big East | 4-2 | 0.67 | 15.03 | 0.83 | 3.46 | 3.12 | 0.88 |
| 51 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.9 | 5.71 | 12.69 | 4.42 | -0.42 |
| 52 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.33 | 6.71 | 6.38 | 4.46 | -0.46 |
| 53 | Arkansas | SEC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 14.24 | 10.17 | 14.88 | 4.16 | -1.16 |
| 54 | Kansas | Big 12 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.73 | 10 | 11.84 | 4.42 | -1.42 |
| 55 | Maryland | ACC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.5 | 5.67 | 11.75 | 3.89 | -0.89 |
| 56 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.11 | 4.83 | 9.04 | 3.71 | -0.71 |
| 57 | Troy | Sun Belt | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.04 | 3.67 | 10.18 | 3.68 | -0.68 |
| 58 | Wake Forest | ACC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.01 | 6 | 8.33 | 3.94 | -0.94 |
| 59 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.5 | 1.67 | 13.34 | 3.23 | -0.23 |
| 60 | Marshall | Mid-American | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.28 | 1 | 13.43 | 3.19 | -0.19 |
| 61 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 4-3 | 0.57 | 11.82 | -8.43 | 15.45 | 2.22 | 1.78 |
| 62 | TCU | Conference USA | 3-3 | 0.5 | 11.75 | -0.17 | 10.74 | 2.98 | 0.02 |
| 63 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 3-3 | 0.5 | 11.4 | -1.83 | 13.87 | 2.69 | 0.31 |
| 64 | Rice | Western Athletic | 3-3 | 0.5 | 11.24 | -0.83 | 8.65 | 2.9 | 0.1 |
| 65 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.9 | -3.67 | 16.45 | 2.56 | 0.44 |
| 66 | Air Force | Mountain West | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.8 | -2.5 | 12.45 | 2.7 | 0.3 |
| 67 | Ohio | Mid-American | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.64 | 1.71 | 6.74 | 3.84 | -0.84 |
| 68 | Syracuse | Big East | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.55 | -5.67 | 15.72 | 2.14 | 0.86 |
| 69 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.2 | 1.57 | 6.49 | 3.73 | -0.73 |
| 70 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.2 | 0.29 | 12.21 | 3.56 | -0.56 |
| 71 | Penn State | Big Ten | 2-4 | 0.33 | 9.25 | 3.17 | 16.07 | 3.63 | -1.63 |
| 72 | Ole Miss | SEC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.2 | -3.43 | 14.71 | 2.91 | 0.09 |
| 73 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 2-3 | 0.4 | 9.2 | 0 | 6.07 | 2.5 | -0.5 |
| 74 | BYU | Mountain West | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.72 | -5.71 | 16.44 | 2.5 | 0.5 |
| 75 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.56 | -2.43 | 2.18 | 3.12 | -0.12 |
| 76 | North Carolina | ACC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.49 | -11.43 | 16.73 | 2 | 1 |
| 77 | South Florida | Conference USA | 2-3 | 0.4 | 7.89 | -6 | 10.2 | 1.87 | 0.13 |
| 78 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 3-4 | 0.43 | 7.86 | -6 | 4.3 | 2.77 | 0.23 |
| 79 | Akron | Mid-American | 3-4 | 0.43 | 7.6 | -13.29 | 8.92 | 1.67 | 1.33 |
| 80 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 2-4 | 0.33 | 7.27 | -1 | 10.41 | 2.83 | -0.83 |
| 81 | San José State | Western Athletic | 2-3 | 0.4 | 7.04 | -10.4 | 5.13 | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| 82 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.95 | -2.5 | 13.08 | 2.7 | -0.7 |
| 83 | Florida A&M | FBS Independents | 4-6 | 0.4 | 6.53 | -12.4 | -2.8 | 2.43 | 1.57 |
| 84 | Indiana | Big Ten | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.53 | -3.33 | 10.76 | 2.59 | -0.59 |
| 85 | Clemson | ACC | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.37 | -4.67 | 16.8 | 2.34 | -0.34 |
| 86 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.31 | -7 | 14.32 | 1.86 | 0.14 |
| 87 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.3 | -4 | 4.9 | 2.48 | -0.48 |
| 88 | Cincinnati | Conference USA | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.24 | -5.17 | 10.73 | 2.29 | -0.29 |
| 89 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.96 | -8.33 | 16.66 | 1.84 | 0.16 |
| 90 | Illinois | Big Ten | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.89 | -3.57 | 16.74 | 2.96 | -0.96 |
| 91 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.72 | -8.5 | 11.66 | 1.82 | 0.18 |
| 92 | Army | Conference USA | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.64 | -10 | 13.04 | 1.87 | 0.13 |
| 93 | Baylor | Big 12 | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.61 | -15.67 | 12.16 | 1.26 | 0.74 |
| 94 | UNLV | Mountain West | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.48 | -4.57 | 12.01 | 2.68 | -0.68 |
| 95 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.47 | -14 | 7.33 | 1.23 | 0.77 |
| 96 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.28 | -13 | 9.18 | 1.17 | 0.83 |
| 97 | New Mexico State | Sun Belt | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.21 | -25 | 14.59 | 0.51 | 1.49 |
| 98 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.2 | -18.17 | 8.37 | 0.97 | 1.03 |
| 99 | Utah State | Sun Belt | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.49 | -17.29 | 10.73 | 1.11 | 0.89 |
| 100 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.36 | -16.86 | 13.86 | 1.31 | 0.69 |
| 101 | Idaho | Sun Belt | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.17 | -18.43 | 10.56 | 1.13 | 0.87 |
| 102 | Tulane | Conference USA | 1-4 | 0.2 | 2.9 | -9.2 | 11.38 | 1.51 | -0.51 |
| 103 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.54 | -6 | 14.53 | 1.8 | -0.8 |
| 104 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.37 | -7.67 | 14.78 | 1.92 | -0.92 |
| 105 | Tulsa | Western Athletic | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.23 | -8.83 | 15.23 | 1.85 | -0.85 |
| 106 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 1-4 | 0.2 | 2.22 | -20.4 | 13.81 | 0.74 | 0.26 |
| 107 | Kentucky | SEC | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.03 | -11.83 | 16.19 | 1.25 | -0.25 |
| 108 | Duke | ACC | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.96 | -12.33 | 13.61 | 1.32 | -0.32 |
| 109 | Washington | Pac-10 | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.94 | -12.33 | 13.45 | 1.25 | -0.25 |
| 110 | Houston | Conference USA | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.78 | -16.17 | 19.3 | 1.1 | -0.1 |
| 111 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.78 | -13.5 | 6.49 | 1.57 | -0.57 |
| 112 | Mississippi State | SEC | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.7 | -15.5 | 10.45 | 0.77 | 0.23 |
| 113 | Kent State | Mid-American | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.58 | -7.14 | 7.5 | 2.35 | -1.35 |
| 114 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.11 | -13.57 | 7.29 | 1.59 | -0.59 |
| 115 | Temple | Big East | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.01 | -17 | 15.58 | 1.28 | -0.28 |
| 116 | Ball State | Mid-American | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.76 | -23.43 | 15.44 | 0.72 | 0.28 |
| 117 | SMU | Western Athletic | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.73 | -24.29 | 16.78 | 0.57 | 0.43 |
| 118 | UCF | Mid-American | 0-6 | 0 | -2.47 | -18.67 | 13.1 | 0.94 | -0.94 |