Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:33.715351+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miami | ACC | 6-0 | 1 | 26.51 | 20 | 15.1 | 5.24 | 0.76 |
| 2 | USC | Pac-10 | 7-0 | 1 | 26.47 | 25.29 | 13.92 | 6.63 | 0.37 |
| 3 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 7-0 | 1 | 26.25 | 22.57 | 13.33 | 6.44 | 0.56 |
| 4 | Utah | Mountain West | 7-0 | 1 | 25.51 | 25.57 | 9.2 | 6.29 | 0.71 |
| 5 | Auburn | SEC | 8-0 | 1 | 25.29 | 26.25 | 8.08 | 7.69 | 0.31 |
| 6 | Boise State | Western Athletic | 7-0 | 1 | 24.96 | 18.86 | 7.82 | 5.52 | 1.48 |
| 7 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 8-0 | 1 | 24.78 | 12.62 | 8.18 | 7.17 | 0.83 |
| 8 | Texas | Big 12 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.98 | 20.71 | 14.13 | 6.25 | -0.25 |
| 9 | Florida State | ACC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.94 | 14.57 | 15.45 | 5.96 | 0.04 |
| 10 | Michigan | Big Ten | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.85 | 9.75 | 13.94 | 5.86 | 1.14 |
| 11 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.71 | 10.57 | 15.59 | 5.04 | 0.96 |
| 12 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.71 | 13.43 | 14.49 | 5.53 | 0.47 |
| 13 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.5 | 17.71 | 12.01 | 5.88 | 0.12 |
| 14 | Tennessee | SEC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.3 | 5.86 | 15.77 | 4.53 | 1.47 |
| 15 | Georgia | SEC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.09 | 13.43 | 11.03 | 5.81 | 0.19 |
| 16 | California | Pac-10 | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.01 | 26.67 | 11.49 | 5.54 | -0.54 |
| 17 | Virginia | ACC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.95 | 20.29 | 8.36 | 6.14 | -0.14 |
| 18 | West Virginia | Big East | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.62 | 17.57 | 7.22 | 5.96 | 0.04 |
| 19 | Louisville | Conference USA | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.61 | 29 | 8.81 | 5.65 | -0.65 |
| 20 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 5-1 | 0.83 | 20.61 | 8.67 | 8.38 | 4.23 | 0.77 |
| 21 | Navy | FBS Independents | 6-1 | 0.86 | 20.46 | 5.29 | 5.35 | 4.56 | 1.44 |
| 22 | Purdue | Big Ten | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.45 | 19.71 | 13.28 | 6.19 | -1.19 |
| 23 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.37 | 14.88 | 9.57 | 6.31 | -0.31 |
| 24 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.25 | 21.43 | 12.64 | 6.46 | -1.46 |
| 25 | LSU | SEC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.73 | 11.29 | 12.89 | 5.38 | -0.38 |
| 26 | South Carolina | SEC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.49 | 11.57 | 10.68 | 5.92 | -0.92 |
| 27 | UTEP | Western Athletic | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.49 | 11.43 | 11.17 | 5.09 | -0.09 |
| 28 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.47 | 11.62 | 4.96 | 5.67 | 0.33 |
| 29 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.38 | 21 | 7.41 | 5.9 | -0.9 |
| 30 | UAB | Conference USA | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.26 | 7.29 | 10.2 | 4.42 | 0.58 |
| 31 | Iowa | Big Ten | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.19 | 5.57 | 12.57 | 4.64 | 0.36 |
| 32 | Toledo | Mid-American | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.18 | 4.25 | 7.47 | 4.58 | 1.42 |
| 33 | Boston College | Big East | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.02 | 8.43 | 9.38 | 5.35 | -0.35 |
| 34 | UConn | Big East | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.9 | 10.14 | 7.63 | 5.06 | -0.06 |
| 35 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.71 | 5.29 | 9.75 | 4.39 | 0.61 |
| 36 | Memphis | Conference USA | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.58 | 8 | 5.13 | 4.53 | 0.47 |
| 37 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.68 | 5.88 | 15.75 | 5.21 | -0.21 |
| 38 | Alabama | SEC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.61 | 14.75 | 10.03 | 6.82 | -1.82 |
| 39 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 15.93 | 1.67 | 7.82 | 3.32 | 0.68 |
| 40 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.66 | 8.86 | 14.58 | 4.61 | -0.61 |
| 41 | Missouri | Big 12 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.62 | 12.43 | 12.2 | 5.58 | -1.58 |
| 42 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.55 | 10.43 | 12.72 | 5.36 | -1.36 |
| 43 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.53 | 10.38 | 5.23 | 5.67 | -0.67 |
| 44 | Florida | SEC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.46 | 13.57 | 10.25 | 5.33 | -1.33 |
| 45 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.95 | 5.71 | 12.56 | 4.42 | -0.42 |
| 46 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.91 | 4.71 | 11.96 | 4.13 | -0.13 |
| 47 | NC State | ACC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.83 | 4.43 | 11.76 | 4.33 | -0.33 |
| 48 | Marshall | Mid-American | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.58 | 5.71 | 10.51 | 4.63 | -0.63 |
| 49 | Colorado | Big 12 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.25 | 1.14 | 13.3 | 3.7 | 0.3 |
| 50 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.23 | 1.86 | 13.25 | 3.82 | 0.18 |
| 51 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.18 | 1.71 | 13.72 | 3.84 | 0.16 |
| 52 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 4-3 | 0.57 | 13.94 | 2.43 | 6.94 | 3.96 | 0.04 |
| 53 | TCU | Conference USA | 4-3 | 0.57 | 13.47 | 0.86 | 9.52 | 3.6 | 0.4 |
| 54 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 13 | -0.57 | 10.1 | 3.42 | 0.58 |
| 55 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.87 | 4.33 | 8.84 | 3.6 | -0.6 |
| 56 | Arkansas | SEC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 12.39 | 7.86 | 16.71 | 4.63 | -1.63 |
| 57 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.27 | 1.5 | 11.49 | 4.36 | -0.36 |
| 58 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.09 | 3 | 6.4 | 3.31 | -0.31 |
| 59 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.81 | 2.12 | 4.79 | 4.32 | -0.32 |
| 60 | Rutgers | Big East | 4-3 | 0.57 | 11.8 | -2.71 | 5.25 | 3.07 | 0.93 |
| 61 | Kansas | Big 12 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11.7 | 4.14 | 14.12 | 4.22 | -1.22 |
| 62 | Maryland | ACC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11.52 | 4.43 | 11.62 | 4.4 | -1.4 |
| 63 | Wake Forest | ACC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11.46 | 4.71 | 10.74 | 4.39 | -1.39 |
| 64 | Troy | Sun Belt | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11.17 | 2.57 | 11.58 | 4.05 | -1.05 |
| 65 | BYU | Mountain West | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.8 | -2.88 | 15.9 | 3.44 | 0.56 |
| 66 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.75 | 1.43 | 10.01 | 3.74 | -0.74 |
| 67 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.63 | 1.29 | 13.28 | 3.68 | -0.68 |
| 68 | Cincinnati | Conference USA | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.46 | 1.14 | 12.31 | 3.68 | -0.68 |
| 69 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.18 | -9.5 | 15.78 | 2.43 | 1.57 |
| 70 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 4-4 | 0.5 | 9.96 | -1.75 | 2.35 | 3.69 | 0.31 |
| 71 | Rice | Western Athletic | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.53 | -0.86 | 10.24 | 3.37 | -0.37 |
| 72 | Akron | Mid-American | 4-4 | 0.5 | 9.26 | -10.12 | 7 | 2.36 | 1.64 |
| 73 | Ole Miss | SEC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.06 | -3.43 | 14.78 | 2.91 | 0.09 |
| 74 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.03 | -0.57 | 5.43 | 3.41 | -0.41 |
| 75 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.98 | -4.86 | 15.61 | 2.79 | 0.21 |
| 76 | Clemson | ACC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.97 | -3.57 | 16.23 | 2.84 | 0.16 |
| 77 | Florida A&M | FBS Independents | 6-6 | 0.5 | 8.87 | -4.33 | -4.24 | 4.88 | 1.12 |
| 78 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.79 | -4.43 | 15.94 | 2.78 | 0.22 |
| 79 | Air Force | Mountain West | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.77 | -4.57 | 11.72 | 2.86 | 0.14 |
| 80 | Syracuse | Big East | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.65 | -7.86 | 15.74 | 2.08 | 0.92 |
| 81 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.59 | -4 | 12.14 | 2.8 | 0.2 |
| 82 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.45 | -5.86 | 13.2 | 2.41 | 0.59 |
| 83 | North Carolina | ACC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.3 | -11.43 | 16.37 | 2 | 1 |
| 84 | Ohio | Mid-American | 3-5 | 0.38 | 8.06 | -1.62 | 8.89 | 3.65 | -0.65 |
| 85 | Penn State | Big Ten | 2-5 | 0.29 | 8.05 | 2.43 | 15.19 | 4.13 | -2.13 |
| 86 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 3-4 | 0.43 | 7.99 | -6 | 4.78 | 2.77 | 0.23 |
| 87 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 3-4 | 0.43 | 7.58 | -10.57 | 6.47 | 1.62 | 1.38 |
| 88 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 3-4 | 0.43 | 7.43 | -14.14 | 7.28 | 1.58 | 1.42 |
| 89 | Tulane | Conference USA | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.86 | -7 | 12.05 | 2.22 | -0.22 |
| 90 | South Florida | Conference USA | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.83 | -10.33 | 11.21 | 1.73 | 0.27 |
| 91 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.83 | -2.29 | 10.45 | 3.03 | -1.03 |
| 92 | Army | Conference USA | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.72 | -10 | 11.06 | 1.87 | 0.13 |
| 93 | San José State | Western Athletic | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.45 | -11.67 | 5.18 | 1.82 | 0.18 |
| 94 | Indiana | Big Ten | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.24 | -6.14 | 11.38 | 2.58 | -0.58 |
| 95 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.14 | -4.86 | 10.9 | 2.63 | -0.63 |
| 96 | Baylor | Big 12 | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.65 | -13.57 | 11.48 | 1.67 | 0.33 |
| 97 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.61 | -12.71 | 9.39 | 1.58 | 0.42 |
| 98 | Mississippi State | SEC | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.49 | -12.29 | 11.18 | 1.45 | 0.55 |
| 99 | Utah State | Sun Belt | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.4 | -17.29 | 11.26 | 1.11 | 0.89 |
| 100 | New Mexico State | Sun Belt | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.29 | -22.86 | 12.94 | 0.77 | 1.23 |
| 101 | Illinois | Big Ten | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.23 | -8.75 | 16.18 | 2.52 | -0.52 |
| 102 | UNLV | Mountain West | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.19 | -8.38 | 14.64 | 2.51 | -0.51 |
| 103 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.64 | -15.12 | 12.37 | 1.68 | 0.32 |
| 104 | Idaho | Sun Belt | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.43 | -18.62 | 10.34 | 1.24 | 0.76 |
| 105 | Kent State | Mid-American | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.54 | -7.14 | 8.9 | 2.35 | -1.35 |
| 106 | Tulsa | Western Athletic | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.5 | -8.43 | 12.89 | 2.36 | -1.36 |
| 107 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.43 | -23.83 | 14.05 | 0.68 | 0.32 |
| 108 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.39 | -10.57 | 15.13 | 1.28 | -0.28 |
| 109 | Duke | ACC | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.16 | -13.57 | 14 | 1.41 | -0.41 |
| 110 | Kentucky | SEC | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.13 | -14.71 | 17.09 | 1.15 | -0.15 |
| 111 | Houston | Conference USA | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.11 | -14.86 | 17.42 | 1.46 | -0.46 |
| 112 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.06 | -14.57 | 8.44 | 1.83 | -0.83 |
| 113 | Washington | Pac-10 | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.05 | -16 | 15.64 | 0.99 | 0.01 |
| 114 | SMU | Western Athletic | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.67 | -24.29 | 15.29 | 0.57 | 0.43 |
| 115 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.52 | -16.12 | 8.87 | 1.53 | -0.53 |
| 116 | Temple | Big East | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.52 | -16.62 | 15.69 | 1.59 | -0.59 |
| 117 | Ball State | Mid-American | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.29 | -22 | 13.77 | 0.96 | 0.04 |
| 118 | UCF | Mid-American | 0-7 | 0 | -2.55 | -21.14 | 13.75 | 0.86 | -0.86 |