Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:33.929651+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Texas | Big 12 | 13-0 | 1 | 25.76 | 33.77 | 13.34 | 12.14 | 0.86 |
| 2 | USC | Pac-10 | 12-1 | 0.92 | 23.83 | 26.23 | 13.61 | 11.18 | 0.82 |
| 3 | Penn State | Big Ten | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.36 | 17.42 | 13.02 | 10.1 | 0.9 |
| 4 | West Virginia | Big East | 11-1 | 0.92 | 22.77 | 14.25 | 10.63 | 9.61 | 1.39 |
| 5 | TCU | Mountain West | 11-1 | 0.92 | 22.72 | 14.58 | 10.18 | 9.57 | 1.43 |
| 6 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.9 | 20.92 | 13.1 | 11.8 | -0.8 |
| 7 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.55 | 17.42 | 14.52 | 10.31 | -0.31 |
| 8 | LSU | SEC | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.33 | 15.23 | 11.07 | 11.03 | -0.03 |
| 9 | Alabama | SEC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.88 | 11.25 | 12.46 | 10.16 | -0.16 |
| 10 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.57 | 11.33 | 10.48 | 8.64 | 1.36 |
| 11 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.05 | 4.92 | 10.81 | 6.95 | 3.05 |
| 12 | Georgia | SEC | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.79 | 13.15 | 13.21 | 10.42 | -0.42 |
| 13 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.33 | 10.54 | 11.57 | 9.16 | 0.84 |
| 14 | Louisville | Big East | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.18 | 19.67 | 10.21 | 9.68 | -0.68 |
| 15 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.13 | 12.17 | 12.21 | 8.67 | 0.33 |
| 16 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.13 | 20.58 | 9.72 | 10.22 | -1.22 |
| 17 | Auburn | SEC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.1 | 16.67 | 10.48 | 10.19 | -1.19 |
| 18 | Florida | SEC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.09 | 9.75 | 13.38 | 8.75 | 0.25 |
| 19 | Miami | ACC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.06 | 12.83 | 11.76 | 9.85 | -0.85 |
| 20 | Boston College | ACC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19 | 9.92 | 12.65 | 9.11 | -0.11 |
| 21 | Toledo | Mid-American | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.52 | 14 | 7.79 | 9.17 | -0.17 |
| 22 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 9-3 | 0.75 | 17.42 | 2.25 | 8.28 | 6.48 | 2.52 |
| 23 | Tulsa | Conference USA | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.35 | 9.62 | 10.77 | 9.01 | -0.01 |
| 24 | Boise State | Western Athletic | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.25 | 11.69 | 9.01 | 9.32 | -0.32 |
| 25 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.97 | 3.83 | 16.02 | 7.08 | 0.92 |
| 26 | Clemson | ACC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.87 | 8.75 | 11.03 | 8.67 | -0.67 |
| 27 | California | Pac-10 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.73 | 11.75 | 8.47 | 8.88 | -0.88 |
| 28 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.31 | 3.67 | 11.17 | 7.13 | 0.87 |
| 29 | Navy | FBS Independents | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.19 | 8.08 | 6.33 | 7.86 | 0.14 |
| 30 | UTEP | Conference USA | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.13 | 5.92 | 7.48 | 7.43 | 0.57 |
| 31 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 8-5 | 0.62 | 16.1 | 15.31 | 10.6 | 10.06 | -2.06 |
| 32 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.93 | 10.27 | 8.14 | 7.73 | -0.73 |
| 33 | Florida State | ACC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.71 | 6.92 | 11.82 | 8.54 | -0.54 |
| 34 | Michigan | Big Ten | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.33 | 8.42 | 15.35 | 8.33 | -1.33 |
| 35 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.3 | 3.18 | 9.13 | 6.26 | 0.74 |
| 36 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.01 | 6.75 | 14 | 7.46 | -0.46 |
| 37 | Iowa | Big Ten | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.98 | 10 | 11.01 | 8.68 | -1.68 |
| 38 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.82 | 9.08 | 10.6 | 8.58 | -1.58 |
| 39 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.81 | 6.92 | 12.09 | 7.45 | -0.45 |
| 40 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.74 | 9.58 | 9.63 | 8.36 | -1.36 |
| 41 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.57 | 6.92 | 10.09 | 7.83 | -0.83 |
| 42 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 7-4 | 0.64 | 14.47 | 1.09 | 6.67 | 5.72 | 1.28 |
| 43 | Utah | Mountain West | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.4 | 5.92 | 9.47 | 7.53 | -0.53 |
| 44 | Virginia | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.24 | 3.42 | 11.17 | 6.97 | 0.03 |
| 45 | NC State | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.22 | 3.08 | 11.52 | 7.13 | -0.13 |
| 46 | Memphis | Conference USA | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.2 | 4.17 | 9.7 | 7.17 | -0.17 |
| 47 | Missouri | Big 12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.97 | 1.58 | 12.5 | 6.38 | 0.62 |
| 48 | UCF | Conference USA | 8-5 | 0.62 | 13.95 | 0 | 10.87 | 6.5 | 1.5 |
| 49 | Rutgers | Big East | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.93 | 3.08 | 8.92 | 6.8 | 0.2 |
| 50 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.76 | 6.09 | 9.59 | 6.77 | -0.77 |
| 51 | South Carolina | SEC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.63 | 0.42 | 13.74 | 6.13 | 0.87 |
| 52 | Kansas | Big 12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.49 | 0.42 | 12.44 | 6.13 | 0.87 |
| 53 | South Florida | Big East | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.78 | 5 | 12.2 | 7.7 | -1.7 |
| 54 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 7-5 | 0.58 | 12.68 | -1.58 | 14.64 | 5.66 | 1.34 |
| 55 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 12.62 | -1.58 | 14.09 | 5.42 | 1.58 |
| 56 | BYU | Mountain West | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.48 | 3.75 | 10.98 | 6.85 | -0.85 |
| 57 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 6-5 | 0.55 | 12.47 | 0 | 11.84 | 5.5 | 0.5 |
| 58 | Colorado | Big 12 | 7-6 | 0.54 | 12.32 | -0.15 | 13.87 | 6.45 | 0.55 |
| 59 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 6-5 | 0.55 | 12.25 | -0.09 | 10.29 | 5.48 | 0.52 |
| 60 | Houston | Conference USA | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.7 | 1.08 | 9.61 | 6.28 | -0.28 |
| 61 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.67 | 5.09 | 12.34 | 6.55 | -1.55 |
| 62 | Akron | Mid-American | 7-6 | 0.54 | 11.54 | -0.85 | 9.52 | 6.23 | 0.77 |
| 63 | UConn | Big East | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.39 | 5.55 | 8.73 | 7.11 | -2.11 |
| 64 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.29 | -1.64 | 7.38 | 5.1 | 0.9 |
| 65 | Purdue | Big Ten | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.15 | 1.91 | 13.02 | 5.93 | -0.93 |
| 66 | UAB | Conference USA | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.12 | 3.91 | 8.11 | 6.47 | -1.47 |
| 67 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.04 | 2.18 | 10.97 | 6.11 | -1.11 |
| 68 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.68 | 0.82 | 11.89 | 5.67 | -0.67 |
| 69 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.43 | -0.75 | 6.42 | 5.79 | 0.21 |
| 70 | Tennessee | SEC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.41 | 0 | 14.47 | 5.5 | -0.5 |
| 71 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.11 | -4 | 12.4 | 5.02 | 0.98 |
| 72 | Maryland | ACC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.08 | -0.45 | 14.02 | 5.38 | -0.38 |
| 73 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.53 | -1.45 | 12.35 | 5.15 | -0.15 |
| 74 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.4 | -0.17 | 11.83 | 5.96 | -0.96 |
| 75 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.18 | -2 | 9.79 | 5.04 | -0.04 |
| 76 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 9 | 2 | 11.54 | 5.9 | -1.9 |
| 77 | Arkansas | SEC | 4-7 | 0.36 | 8.8 | 1.09 | 12.63 | 5.78 | -1.78 |
| 78 | Baylor | Big 12 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.79 | -5 | 11.88 | 4.16 | 0.84 |
| 79 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.76 | -4.55 | 10.47 | 4.4 | 0.6 |
| 80 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.76 | -6.18 | 13.41 | 4.07 | 0.93 |
| 81 | SMU | Conference USA | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.75 | -4.64 | 10.51 | 4.21 | 0.79 |
| 82 | North Carolina | ACC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.66 | -8.18 | 14.96 | 3.21 | 1.79 |
| 83 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.58 | -6.55 | 11.4 | 4.1 | 0.9 |
| 84 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 4-7 | 0.36 | 8.24 | 0.36 | 9.41 | 5.63 | -1.63 |
| 85 | Florida International | Sun Belt | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.22 | -6 | 5.27 | 4.05 | 0.95 |
| 86 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.09 | -5 | 11.6 | 4.94 | 0.06 |
| 87 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.05 | -9.09 | 6.84 | 3.34 | 1.66 |
| 88 | Air Force | Mountain West | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.29 | -1.73 | 10.5 | 5.14 | -1.14 |
| 89 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.16 | -2.36 | 11.05 | 4.91 | -0.91 |
| 90 | Wake Forest | ACC | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.91 | -4.27 | 12.99 | 4.46 | -0.46 |
| 91 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.67 | -5 | 10.43 | 4.18 | -0.18 |
| 92 | Army | FBS Independents | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.53 | -6.73 | 11.36 | 3.68 | 0.32 |
| 93 | Marshall | Conference USA | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.4 | -7.36 | 10.06 | 3.43 | 0.57 |
| 94 | Troy | Sun Belt | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.26 | -7.27 | 7.15 | 3.2 | 0.8 |
| 95 | Indiana | Big Ten | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.2 | -10.27 | 10.75 | 3.2 | 0.8 |
| 96 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.18 | -11.09 | 11.47 | 2.88 | 1.12 |
| 97 | Ohio | Mid-American | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.05 | -13.09 | 11.21 | 2.31 | 1.69 |
| 98 | Cincinnati | Big East | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.03 | -13.91 | 11.68 | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| 99 | Ball State | Mid-American | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6 | -16.64 | 14.06 | 2.22 | 1.78 |
| 100 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.95 | -3.45 | 12.11 | 4.59 | -1.59 |
| 101 | Ole Miss | SEC | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.26 | -8.82 | 10.08 | 2.56 | 0.44 |
| 102 | Mississippi State | SEC | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.24 | -9.64 | 11.23 | 2.45 | 0.55 |
| 103 | San José State | Western Athletic | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.08 | -9.91 | 7.16 | 3.26 | -0.26 |
| 104 | Kentucky | SEC | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.05 | -12.36 | 10.84 | 2.81 | 0.19 |
| 105 | Utah State | Western Athletic | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.95 | -13.82 | 10.43 | 2.36 | 0.64 |
| 106 | Washington | Pac-10 | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.29 | -9.09 | 13.67 | 3.33 | -1.33 |
| 107 | Tulane | Conference USA | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.12 | -10.36 | 9.01 | 3.09 | -1.09 |
| 108 | UNLV | Mountain West | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.84 | -15.82 | 10.83 | 2.1 | -0.1 |
| 109 | Idaho | Western Athletic | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.8 | -16 | 8.47 | 2.37 | -0.37 |
| 110 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.78 | -17.18 | 10.73 | 1.47 | 0.53 |
| 111 | Florida Atlantic | Sun Belt | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.76 | -17.36 | 9.98 | 1.35 | 0.65 |
| 112 | Illinois | Big Ten | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.62 | -22.55 | 14.24 | 1.31 | 0.69 |
| 113 | Syracuse | Big East | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.04 | -13 | 13.65 | 1.89 | -0.89 |
| 114 | Kent State | Mid-American | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.08 | -13.73 | 9.19 | 2.1 | -1.1 |
| 115 | Rice | Conference USA | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.31 | -18.73 | 13.82 | 2.07 | -1.07 |
| 116 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.34 | -19.73 | 10.23 | 0.77 | 0.23 |
| 117 | Duke | ACC | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.39 | -21 | 12 | 1.34 | -0.34 |
| 118 | New Mexico State | Western Athletic | 0-12 | 0 | -2.48 | -22.25 | 11.82 | 1.4 | -1.4 |
| 119 | Temple | FBS Independents | 0-11 | 0 | -2.92 | -35.45 | 15.75 | 0.28 | -0.28 |