Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:33.925527+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Texas | Big 12 | 9-0 | 1 | 26.38 | 34 | 13.15 | 8.52 | 0.48 |
| 2 | USC | Pac-10 | 9-0 | 1 | 25.74 | 29.33 | 10.6 | 8.02 | 0.98 |
| 3 | Alabama | SEC | 9-0 | 1 | 25.16 | 16.11 | 9.91 | 8.36 | 0.64 |
| 4 | Penn State | Big Ten | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.75 | 19.7 | 14.03 | 8.71 | 0.29 |
| 5 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.72 | 22.33 | 13.81 | 8.38 | -0.38 |
| 6 | Miami | ACC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 23 | 19.62 | 12.62 | 7.4 | -0.4 |
| 7 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.78 | 28.33 | 8.51 | 8.09 | -0.09 |
| 8 | TCU | Mountain West | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.67 | 12.4 | 10.08 | 7.62 | 1.38 |
| 9 | Georgia | SEC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.63 | 14.5 | 11.62 | 6.77 | 0.23 |
| 10 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.55 | 10.44 | 11.37 | 6.32 | 1.68 |
| 11 | LSU | SEC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.33 | 17.88 | 9.12 | 7.01 | -0.01 |
| 12 | West Virginia | Big East | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.27 | 10.38 | 11.25 | 5.89 | 1.11 |
| 13 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.14 | 9.33 | 8.56 | 5.89 | 2.11 |
| 14 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 7-1 | 0.88 | 21.94 | 26.12 | 5.53 | 7.28 | -0.28 |
| 15 | UTEP | Conference USA | 7-1 | 0.88 | 21.81 | 10.38 | 8.6 | 5.61 | 1.39 |
| 16 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.95 | 16.67 | 15.11 | 7.69 | -0.69 |
| 17 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.63 | 11.6 | 11.11 | 7.09 | 0.91 |
| 18 | Colorado | Big 12 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.53 | 12.78 | 13.9 | 7.07 | -0.07 |
| 19 | Florida | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.42 | 10.11 | 14.25 | 6.65 | 0.35 |
| 20 | Florida State | ACC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.04 | 15.11 | 9.03 | 7.22 | -0.22 |
| 21 | Auburn | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.98 | 22.56 | 7.79 | 8.27 | -1.27 |
| 22 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.67 | 13.5 | 12.71 | 5.9 | 0.1 |
| 23 | Louisville | Big East | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.6 | 20.25 | 10.26 | 6.37 | -0.37 |
| 24 | Toledo | Mid-American | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.5 | 16.78 | 6.17 | 7.35 | -0.35 |
| 25 | Boise State | Western Athletic | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.42 | 14 | 6.46 | 6.74 | 0.26 |
| 26 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.59 | 2.75 | 12.9 | 4.64 | 1.36 |
| 27 | Michigan | Big Ten | 6-3 | 0.67 | 18.12 | 9.11 | 16.76 | 6.43 | -0.43 |
| 28 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.8 | 9.44 | 14.67 | 6.03 | -0.03 |
| 29 | Boston College | ACC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.58 | 8.67 | 12.39 | 6.63 | -0.63 |
| 30 | California | Pac-10 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.23 | 15 | 7.11 | 7.05 | -1.05 |
| 31 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.23 | 11.22 | 9.72 | 6.82 | -0.82 |
| 32 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.02 | 12.22 | 7.75 | 6.58 | -0.58 |
| 33 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.83 | 1.89 | 15.37 | 4.81 | 1.19 |
| 34 | Rutgers | Big East | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.73 | 6.44 | 7.72 | 5.83 | 0.17 |
| 35 | South Carolina | SEC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.23 | 0.89 | 13.47 | 4.7 | 1.3 |
| 36 | UCF | Conference USA | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16 | 1 | 11.34 | 4.7 | 1.3 |
| 37 | Virginia | ACC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.92 | 9.25 | 9.55 | 5.74 | -0.74 |
| 38 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 6-3 | 0.67 | 15.91 | 4.44 | 4.63 | 5.22 | 0.78 |
| 39 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.82 | 1.38 | 17.79 | 4.26 | 0.74 |
| 40 | Navy | FBS Independents | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.39 | 7.12 | 6.75 | 5.15 | -0.15 |
| 41 | South Florida | Big East | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.18 | 7.43 | 14.46 | 4.73 | -0.73 |
| 42 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.16 | 4.62 | 7.21 | 4.85 | 0.15 |
| 43 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.99 | 9.44 | 13.06 | 5.98 | -0.98 |
| 44 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.93 | 9.78 | 11.07 | 6.07 | -1.07 |
| 45 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.87 | 7.71 | 10.76 | 4.6 | -0.6 |
| 46 | Iowa | Big Ten | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.72 | 10.33 | 9.16 | 6.63 | -1.63 |
| 47 | Clemson | ACC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.7 | 7.89 | 11.81 | 6.2 | -1.2 |
| 48 | Tulsa | Conference USA | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.5 | 5 | 11.52 | 5.45 | -0.45 |
| 49 | BYU | Mountain West | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.22 | 5 | 10.84 | 5.36 | -0.36 |
| 50 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.22 | 7 | 8.37 | 5.81 | -0.81 |
| 51 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.1 | 2.89 | 10.84 | 4.99 | 0.01 |
| 52 | Utah | Mountain West | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.01 | 4.44 | 9.49 | 5.4 | -0.4 |
| 53 | Kansas | Big 12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.97 | 2.78 | 11.94 | 5.25 | -0.25 |
| 54 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.94 | 4.67 | 8.25 | 5.33 | -0.33 |
| 55 | Missouri | Big 12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.8 | 0.56 | 14.64 | 4.6 | 0.4 |
| 56 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.79 | 1.22 | 12 | 4.79 | 0.21 |
| 57 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.77 | 1.44 | 12.08 | 4.76 | 0.24 |
| 58 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 5-3 | 0.62 | 13.54 | -0.88 | 9.22 | 3.87 | 1.13 |
| 59 | UConn | Big East | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.22 | 11.25 | 7.15 | 6.05 | -2.05 |
| 60 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.12 | 0 | 12.12 | 4.5 | 0.5 |
| 61 | Houston | Conference USA | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.82 | 3.38 | 11.04 | 4.57 | -0.57 |
| 62 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 5-4 | 0.56 | 12.76 | -1.22 | 14.31 | 4.27 | 0.73 |
| 63 | Maryland | ACC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.71 | 1.62 | 14.96 | 4.31 | -0.31 |
| 64 | Memphis | Conference USA | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.64 | 2.75 | 10.32 | 4.49 | -0.49 |
| 65 | NC State | ACC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.51 | 2 | 12.89 | 4.44 | -0.44 |
| 66 | UAB | Conference USA | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.45 | 5.62 | 6.03 | 5.02 | -1.02 |
| 67 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.96 | 2.25 | 4.54 | 4.39 | -0.39 |
| 68 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 11.76 | -3 | 11.2 | 3.98 | 1.02 |
| 69 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.43 | 3.56 | 10.67 | 5.29 | -1.29 |
| 70 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.77 | 3.14 | 10.22 | 4.27 | -1.27 |
| 71 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.47 | 0.11 | 12.19 | 4.52 | -0.52 |
| 72 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.4 | -5 | 13.24 | 3.2 | 0.8 |
| 73 | North Carolina | ACC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.2 | -7.88 | 17.32 | 2.35 | 1.65 |
| 74 | Marshall | Conference USA | 4-4 | 0.5 | 9.92 | -6.25 | 10.58 | 2.67 | 1.33 |
| 75 | Cincinnati | Big East | 4-4 | 0.5 | 9.73 | -8.12 | 10.52 | 2.52 | 1.48 |
| 76 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.47 | -2.44 | 13.1 | 4.01 | -0.01 |
| 77 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.28 | -2.33 | 11.13 | 4.03 | -0.03 |
| 78 | Baylor | Big 12 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.9 | -5.56 | 12.04 | 3.2 | 0.8 |
| 79 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 3-6 | 0.33 | 8.76 | 2.33 | 12.51 | 4.87 | -1.87 |
| 80 | Indiana | Big Ten | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.67 | -6.56 | 11.76 | 3.27 | 0.73 |
| 81 | Wake Forest | ACC | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.65 | -1.7 | 13.09 | 4.61 | -0.61 |
| 82 | Akron | Mid-American | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.35 | -6.78 | 7.69 | 3.02 | 0.98 |
| 83 | Tennessee | SEC | 3-5 | 0.38 | 8.35 | -2.38 | 17.9 | 3.38 | -0.38 |
| 84 | Ohio | Mid-American | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.33 | -9.89 | 11.45 | 2.52 | 1.48 |
| 85 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.1 | -8 | 7.82 | 2.95 | 1.05 |
| 86 | Troy | Sun Belt | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.06 | -7.11 | 5.88 | 2.84 | 1.16 |
| 87 | Ole Miss | SEC | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.49 | -4 | 11.11 | 2.83 | 0.17 |
| 88 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.43 | -3.88 | 9.67 | 3.29 | -0.29 |
| 89 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.97 | -1.22 | 13.56 | 4.24 | -1.24 |
| 90 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.84 | -11.38 | 12.45 | 1.96 | 1.04 |
| 91 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.72 | -9.38 | 6.83 | 2.29 | 0.71 |
| 92 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.69 | -2.67 | 13.02 | 3.95 | -0.95 |
| 93 | Purdue | Big Ten | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.41 | -4.44 | 16.06 | 3.72 | -0.72 |
| 94 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.93 | -8.67 | 12.51 | 2.67 | 0.33 |
| 95 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.89 | -9 | 12.32 | 3.03 | -0.03 |
| 96 | SMU | Conference USA | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.78 | -7.67 | 10.85 | 2.7 | 0.3 |
| 97 | Air Force | Mountain West | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.69 | -3.7 | 10.18 | 4.29 | -1.29 |
| 98 | Ball State | Mid-American | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.24 | -19.67 | 14.87 | 1.51 | 1.49 |
| 99 | Arkansas | SEC | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.68 | -3.88 | 14.68 | 3.3 | -1.3 |
| 100 | Florida International | Sun Belt | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.28 | -14 | 8.27 | 1.42 | 0.58 |
| 101 | Tulane | Conference USA | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.02 | -7.88 | 9.1 | 2.63 | -0.63 |
| 102 | Kentucky | SEC | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.79 | -11.25 | 10.64 | 2.14 | -0.14 |
| 103 | Army | FBS Independents | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.73 | -11.25 | 14.54 | 1.73 | 0.27 |
| 104 | Utah State | Western Athletic | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.63 | -15.25 | 12.54 | 1.45 | 0.55 |
| 105 | Idaho | Western Athletic | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.38 | -16.25 | 7.22 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| 106 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.31 | -21.75 | 10.79 | 0.59 | 1.41 |
| 107 | Mississippi State | SEC | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.24 | -10.33 | 13.86 | 1.68 | 0.32 |
| 108 | UNLV | Mountain West | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.94 | -13.56 | 9.38 | 2.02 | -0.02 |
| 109 | Illinois | Big Ten | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.72 | -21.89 | 16.48 | 1.19 | 0.81 |
| 110 | Syracuse | Big East | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.99 | -8.5 | 14.07 | 2.11 | -1.11 |
| 111 | Kent State | Mid-American | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.45 | -12.78 | 10.43 | 2.05 | -1.05 |
| 112 | Washington | Pac-10 | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.43 | -13.33 | 16.14 | 2.04 | -1.04 |
| 113 | San José State | Western Athletic | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.34 | -14.89 | 8.78 | 2.02 | -1.02 |
| 114 | Florida Atlantic | Sun Belt | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.26 | -16.44 | 10.67 | 1.12 | -0.12 |
| 115 | Duke | ACC | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.23 | -22.8 | 13.84 | 1.06 | -0.06 |
| 116 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 0-9 | 0 | -2.54 | -21.89 | 12.89 | 0.5 | -0.5 |
| 117 | Rice | Conference USA | 0-8 | 0 | -2.69 | -24.25 | 15.69 | 1 | -1 |
| 118 | New Mexico State | Western Athletic | 0-9 | 0 | -2.69 | -24.78 | 15.46 | 0.88 | -0.88 |
| 119 | Temple | FBS Independents | 0-10 | 0 | -3.04 | -36.9 | 16.24 | 0.21 | -0.21 |