Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:33.925927+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Texas | Big 12 | 10-0 | 1 | 26.24 | 35.8 | 12.9 | 9.51 | 0.49 |
| 2 | USC | Pac-10 | 10-0 | 1 | 25.71 | 28.9 | 11.16 | 8.96 | 1.04 |
| 3 | Penn State | Big Ten | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.67 | 19.7 | 14.15 | 8.71 | 0.29 |
| 4 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.49 | 22.33 | 13.85 | 8.38 | -0.38 |
| 5 | Miami | ACC | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.11 | 20.78 | 12.19 | 8.32 | -0.32 |
| 6 | Alabama | SEC | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.98 | 14.2 | 11.2 | 9.04 | -0.04 |
| 7 | TCU | Mountain West | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.88 | 15.64 | 9.63 | 8.95 | 1.05 |
| 8 | LSU | SEC | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.61 | 16.22 | 10.53 | 7.77 | 0.23 |
| 9 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.55 | 9.7 | 10.93 | 6.87 | 2.13 |
| 10 | West Virginia | Big East | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.47 | 13.44 | 10.46 | 7.19 | 0.81 |
| 11 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.28 | 25.44 | 6.89 | 8.23 | -0.23 |
| 12 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.19 | 9.4 | 9.04 | 6.54 | 2.46 |
| 13 | UTEP | Conference USA | 8-1 | 0.89 | 21.68 | 14.22 | 5.81 | 6.94 | 1.06 |
| 14 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 8-2 | 0.8 | 21.4 | 19.1 | 14.95 | 8.83 | -0.83 |
| 15 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.54 | 24.8 | 7.77 | 8.77 | -0.77 |
| 16 | Auburn | SEC | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.53 | 20.4 | 9.42 | 8.9 | -0.9 |
| 17 | Louisville | Big East | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.47 | 23.67 | 11.26 | 7.54 | -0.54 |
| 18 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.35 | 14.33 | 12.78 | 6.75 | 0.25 |
| 19 | Georgia | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.29 | 12.78 | 12.04 | 7.24 | -0.24 |
| 20 | Toledo | Mid-American | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.43 | 16.78 | 6.1 | 7.35 | -0.35 |
| 21 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.86 | 9.64 | 11.83 | 7.53 | 0.47 |
| 22 | Michigan | Big Ten | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.7 | 10.9 | 15.71 | 7.48 | -0.48 |
| 23 | Colorado | Big 12 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.46 | 10.1 | 13.49 | 7.35 | -0.35 |
| 24 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.46 | 10.8 | 14.1 | 6.94 | 0.06 |
| 25 | Florida | SEC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.34 | 8.3 | 13.66 | 6.99 | 0.01 |
| 26 | Boston College | ACC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.22 | 9.8 | 12.89 | 7.63 | -0.63 |
| 27 | Florida State | ACC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.99 | 11.5 | 9.58 | 7.43 | -0.43 |
| 28 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.86 | 11.5 | 9.59 | 7.64 | -0.64 |
| 29 | Boise State | Western Athletic | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.7 | 10.6 | 8.1 | 7.03 | -0.03 |
| 30 | South Carolina | SEC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.18 | 1.6 | 13.83 | 5.4 | 1.6 |
| 31 | Virginia | ACC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.1 | 9.33 | 10.31 | 6.48 | -0.48 |
| 32 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.96 | 12.22 | 7.46 | 6.58 | -0.58 |
| 33 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.86 | 1.89 | 16.21 | 4.89 | 1.11 |
| 34 | UCF | Conference USA | 7-3 | 0.7 | 16.82 | 1.5 | 11.37 | 5.34 | 1.66 |
| 35 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 7-3 | 0.7 | 16.71 | 4.7 | 5.85 | 5.85 | 1.15 |
| 36 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.45 | 1.33 | 13.19 | 4.85 | 1.15 |
| 37 | South Florida | Big East | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.31 | 9.88 | 12.69 | 5.91 | -0.91 |
| 38 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.14 | 4.44 | 6.87 | 5.37 | 0.63 |
| 39 | Clemson | ACC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.76 | 9.2 | 12.39 | 7.17 | -1.17 |
| 40 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 6-3 | 0.67 | 15.66 | 1.89 | 7.33 | 4.82 | 1.18 |
| 41 | Iowa | Big Ten | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.63 | 10.3 | 10.68 | 7.44 | -1.44 |
| 42 | California | Pac-10 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.57 | 11 | 8.84 | 7.21 | -1.21 |
| 43 | Tulsa | Conference USA | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.46 | 7.7 | 10.96 | 6.59 | -0.59 |
| 44 | BYU | Mountain West | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.18 | 5.9 | 10.22 | 6.13 | -0.13 |
| 45 | Missouri | Big 12 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.97 | 2 | 14.14 | 5.4 | 0.6 |
| 46 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.61 | 1.7 | 11.67 | 5.34 | 0.66 |
| 47 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.46 | 6 | 11.2 | 5.64 | -0.64 |
| 48 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.44 | 1.3 | 11.21 | 5.34 | 0.66 |
| 49 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.21 | 7 | 8.34 | 5.81 | -0.81 |
| 50 | Rutgers | Big East | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.08 | 0.7 | 8.83 | 5.16 | 0.84 |
| 51 | Houston | Conference USA | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.98 | 3.33 | 11.07 | 5.14 | -0.14 |
| 52 | Maryland | ACC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.97 | 1.78 | 14.21 | 4.87 | 0.13 |
| 53 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.92 | 4.67 | 8.08 | 5.33 | -0.33 |
| 54 | Navy | FBS Independents | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.82 | 4 | 7.42 | 5.23 | -0.23 |
| 55 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 13.55 | 7.5 | 13.79 | 6.3 | -1.3 |
| 56 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 6-4 | 0.6 | 13.45 | -2.4 | 15.71 | 4.56 | 1.44 |
| 57 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 5-5 | 0.5 | 13.25 | 6.5 | 11.75 | 6.19 | -1.19 |
| 58 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.22 | 2.67 | 5.43 | 5.07 | -0.07 |
| 59 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.89 | 5.6 | 10.72 | 6.43 | -1.43 |
| 60 | Utah | Mountain West | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.62 | 3.6 | 9.58 | 5.81 | -0.81 |
| 61 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.46 | 2 | 11.21 | 5.38 | -0.38 |
| 62 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 11.7 | -4.11 | 13.14 | 3.73 | 1.27 |
| 63 | UConn | Big East | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.58 | 7.33 | 7.88 | 6.16 | -2.16 |
| 64 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.28 | -0.7 | 12.54 | 4.82 | 0.18 |
| 65 | UAB | Conference USA | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.14 | 4.33 | 6.99 | 5.4 | -1.4 |
| 66 | Memphis | Conference USA | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.98 | 2 | 10.09 | 4.92 | -0.92 |
| 67 | Kansas | Big 12 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.74 | -2.7 | 12.8 | 4.27 | 0.73 |
| 68 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.7 | -3.1 | 13.94 | 4.34 | 0.66 |
| 69 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.44 | -3 | 10.99 | 4.4 | 0.6 |
| 70 | NC State | ACC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.1 | -0.44 | 13.15 | 4.39 | -0.39 |
| 71 | Tennessee | SEC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.75 | -1.67 | 17.67 | 4.01 | -0.01 |
| 72 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 5-5 | 0.5 | 9.7 | -5.1 | 7.7 | 3.84 | 1.16 |
| 73 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 3-5 | 0.38 | 9.61 | 2.38 | 9.14 | 4.6 | -1.6 |
| 74 | Purdue | Big Ten | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.95 | -0.6 | 14.64 | 4.88 | -0.88 |
| 75 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.95 | -0.4 | 12.95 | 4.91 | -0.91 |
| 76 | North Carolina | ACC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.89 | -7.33 | 17.17 | 2.84 | 1.16 |
| 77 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.68 | -1.3 | 12.07 | 4.7 | -0.7 |
| 78 | Marshall | Conference USA | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.62 | -5.89 | 10.9 | 3.11 | 0.89 |
| 79 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.43 | -2.4 | 13.57 | 4.47 | -0.47 |
| 80 | Akron | Mid-American | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.34 | -6.78 | 9.1 | 3.02 | 0.98 |
| 81 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.3 | -9.33 | 13 | 2.54 | 1.46 |
| 82 | Ohio | Mid-American | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.23 | -9.89 | 11.3 | 2.52 | 1.48 |
| 83 | Cincinnati | Big East | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.2 | -11.44 | 11.58 | 2.18 | 1.82 |
| 84 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.2 | -2.6 | 10.7 | 4.46 | -0.46 |
| 85 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.02 | -8 | 7.01 | 2.89 | 1.11 |
| 86 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 3-7 | 0.3 | 7.89 | 1.8 | 13.17 | 5.32 | -2.32 |
| 87 | Baylor | Big 12 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.72 | -6.5 | 12.34 | 3.34 | 0.66 |
| 88 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.66 | -5.4 | 11.54 | 4.02 | -0.02 |
| 89 | Indiana | Big Ten | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.48 | -8.6 | 11.68 | 3.23 | 0.77 |
| 90 | Troy | Sun Belt | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.31 | -7 | 6.71 | 3.05 | 0.95 |
| 91 | Wake Forest | ACC | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.16 | -4.27 | 13.58 | 4.46 | -0.46 |
| 92 | Ball State | Mid-American | 4-6 | 0.4 | 6.93 | -17.6 | 13.85 | 1.9 | 2.1 |
| 93 | Arkansas | SEC | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.69 | -2.22 | 13.69 | 4.04 | -1.04 |
| 94 | Ole Miss | SEC | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.16 | -4.78 | 9.37 | 3 | 0 |
| 95 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.95 | -7 | 10.2 | 3.1 | -0.1 |
| 96 | SMU | Conference USA | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.81 | -7.67 | 10.14 | 2.7 | 0.3 |
| 97 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.79 | -3.5 | 12.07 | 4.18 | -1.18 |
| 98 | Air Force | Mountain West | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.63 | -3.7 | 10.33 | 4.29 | -1.29 |
| 99 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.62 | -9.22 | 10.75 | 2.43 | 0.57 |
| 100 | Kentucky | SEC | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.6 | -9.44 | 10.55 | 2.83 | 0.17 |
| 101 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.23 | -7.9 | 12.14 | 3.14 | -0.14 |
| 102 | Florida International | Sun Belt | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.48 | -14.88 | 7.55 | 1.43 | 0.57 |
| 103 | Tulane | Conference USA | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.27 | -7.89 | 8.03 | 3.02 | -1.02 |
| 104 | Mississippi State | SEC | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.18 | -10.33 | 13.46 | 1.68 | 0.32 |
| 105 | Utah State | Western Athletic | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.83 | -16.56 | 12.03 | 1.56 | 0.44 |
| 106 | Idaho | Western Athletic | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.8 | -14.78 | 7.73 | 1.99 | 0.01 |
| 107 | Washington | Pac-10 | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.69 | -9.6 | 15.01 | 2.94 | -0.94 |
| 108 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.65 | -19.67 | 10.33 | 0.88 | 1.12 |
| 109 | UNLV | Mountain West | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.31 | -17 | 10.81 | 1.71 | 0.29 |
| 110 | Florida Atlantic | Sun Belt | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.3 | -14.5 | 10.71 | 1.59 | 0.41 |
| 111 | Illinois | Big Ten | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.14 | -23.1 | 14.44 | 1.12 | 0.88 |
| 112 | Syracuse | Big East | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.6 | -10.56 | 13.55 | 1.87 | -0.87 |
| 113 | San José State | Western Athletic | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.32 | -14.89 | 8.78 | 2.02 | -1.02 |
| 114 | Kent State | Mid-American | 1-9 | 0.1 | 0.26 | -11.9 | 9.31 | 2.28 | -1.28 |
| 115 | Rice | Conference USA | 1-8 | 0.11 | -0.05 | -20.67 | 14.43 | 1.53 | -0.53 |
| 116 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.22 | -19.3 | 11.44 | 0.68 | 0.32 |
| 117 | Duke | ACC | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.24 | -22.8 | 13.74 | 1.06 | -0.06 |
| 118 | New Mexico State | Western Athletic | 0-10 | 0 | -2.68 | -24.7 | 15.27 | 1.04 | -1.04 |
| 119 | Temple | FBS Independents | 0-10 | 0 | -3.04 | -36.9 | 16.83 | 0.21 | -0.21 |