Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:33.926329+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Texas | Big 12 | 10-0 | 1 | 26.13 | 35.8 | 12.86 | 9.51 | 0.49 |
| 2 | USC | Pac-10 | 11-0 | 1 | 25.81 | 27 | 12.43 | 9.6 | 1.4 |
| 3 | Penn State | Big Ten | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.69 | 18.73 | 13.73 | 9.44 | 0.56 |
| 4 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.66 | 23.9 | 13.8 | 9.36 | -0.36 |
| 5 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.86 | 12.64 | 10.87 | 8.07 | 1.93 |
| 6 | TCU | Mountain West | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.82 | 15.64 | 9.72 | 8.95 | 1.05 |
| 7 | LSU | SEC | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.66 | 17.9 | 9.53 | 8.85 | 0.15 |
| 8 | West Virginia | Big East | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.28 | 13.44 | 9.82 | 7.19 | 0.81 |
| 9 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.16 | 9.4 | 9.34 | 6.54 | 2.46 |
| 10 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.75 | 17.73 | 14.99 | 9.52 | -0.52 |
| 11 | Auburn | SEC | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.09 | 19.45 | 10.73 | 9.68 | -0.68 |
| 12 | Alabama | SEC | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.04 | 12 | 11.94 | 9.41 | -0.41 |
| 13 | Miami | ACC | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.93 | 18.3 | 12.12 | 9.06 | -1.06 |
| 14 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.77 | 22.73 | 8.06 | 9.49 | -0.49 |
| 15 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.69 | 15.3 | 12.15 | 7.71 | 0.29 |
| 16 | Georgia | SEC | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.56 | 14.7 | 11.52 | 8.3 | -0.3 |
| 17 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.48 | 22.1 | 8.63 | 8.67 | -0.67 |
| 18 | Louisville | Big East | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.43 | 23.67 | 11.24 | 7.54 | -0.54 |
| 19 | UTEP | Conference USA | 8-2 | 0.8 | 19.68 | 11.6 | 6.53 | 7.27 | 0.73 |
| 20 | Boston College | ACC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.88 | 10.27 | 12.93 | 8.47 | -0.47 |
| 21 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.69 | 9.64 | 11.66 | 7.53 | 0.47 |
| 22 | Boise State | Western Athletic | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.25 | 12.82 | 7.59 | 7.99 | 0.01 |
| 23 | Colorado | Big 12 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.23 | 10.1 | 13.01 | 7.35 | -0.35 |
| 24 | Florida | SEC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.14 | 8.3 | 13.46 | 6.99 | 0.01 |
| 25 | Florida State | ACC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.82 | 11.5 | 9.58 | 7.43 | -0.43 |
| 26 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.82 | 11.5 | 9.6 | 7.64 | -0.64 |
| 27 | Toledo | Mid-American | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.65 | 13.3 | 7.16 | 7.64 | -0.64 |
| 28 | South Florida | Big East | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.38 | 10.44 | 12.2 | 6.75 | -0.75 |
| 29 | UCF | Conference USA | 8-3 | 0.73 | 17.33 | 1.64 | 10.14 | 5.91 | 2.09 |
| 30 | Michigan | Big Ten | 7-4 | 0.64 | 17.19 | 9.55 | 15.64 | 7.94 | -0.94 |
| 31 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.11 | 1.6 | 13.75 | 5.48 | 1.52 |
| 32 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.85 | 7.64 | 14.22 | 7.01 | -0.01 |
| 33 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 7-3 | 0.7 | 16.72 | 4.7 | 6.09 | 5.85 | 1.15 |
| 34 | Iowa | Big Ten | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.65 | 11.55 | 11.29 | 8.3 | -1.3 |
| 35 | Clemson | ACC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.56 | 8.73 | 12.12 | 7.88 | -0.88 |
| 36 | California | Pac-10 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.38 | 12.18 | 8.95 | 8.26 | -1.26 |
| 37 | Tulsa | Conference USA | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.36 | 9.18 | 10.37 | 7.57 | -0.57 |
| 38 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 7-3 | 0.7 | 16.33 | 2.3 | 6.57 | 5.44 | 1.56 |
| 39 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.08 | 4.44 | 6.48 | 5.37 | 0.63 |
| 40 | South Carolina | SEC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.64 | 1.09 | 13.84 | 5.82 | 1.18 |
| 41 | Virginia | ACC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.21 | 4.6 | 11.3 | 6.09 | -0.09 |
| 42 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.2 | 8.1 | 9.06 | 6.68 | -0.68 |
| 43 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.19 | 8.2 | 7.96 | 6.61 | -0.61 |
| 44 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.12 | 1.5 | 16.11 | 5.35 | 0.65 |
| 45 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.09 | 7 | 9.07 | 6.38 | -0.38 |
| 46 | Navy | FBS Independents | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.67 | 5.7 | 6.59 | 6.15 | -0.15 |
| 47 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 7-4 | 0.64 | 14.59 | -0.64 | 14.42 | 5.37 | 1.63 |
| 48 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.36 | 1.3 | 10.72 | 5.34 | 0.66 |
| 49 | BYU | Mountain West | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.96 | 4.73 | 10.45 | 6.48 | -0.48 |
| 50 | Rutgers | Big East | 6-4 | 0.6 | 13.93 | 0.7 | 9.01 | 5.16 | 0.84 |
| 51 | Utah | Mountain West | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.66 | 3.91 | 9.68 | 6.43 | -0.43 |
| 52 | Missouri | Big 12 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.48 | 1.09 | 13.39 | 5.74 | 0.26 |
| 53 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 13.42 | 7.5 | 13.62 | 6.3 | -1.3 |
| 54 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.92 | 5.2 | 10.6 | 6.12 | -1.12 |
| 55 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.88 | 5.6 | 10.43 | 6.43 | -1.43 |
| 56 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 6-5 | 0.55 | 12.63 | 0 | 12.07 | 5.5 | 0.5 |
| 57 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 6-5 | 0.55 | 12.6 | -0.09 | 10.99 | 5.48 | 0.52 |
| 58 | UAB | Conference USA | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.56 | 5.1 | 8.54 | 6.15 | -1.15 |
| 59 | Houston | Conference USA | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.44 | 2.5 | 10.42 | 5.53 | -0.53 |
| 60 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.32 | 2 | 10.97 | 5.38 | -0.38 |
| 61 | NC State | ACC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.25 | 1.7 | 12.2 | 5.49 | -0.49 |
| 62 | Memphis | Conference USA | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.21 | 2 | 10.54 | 5.47 | -0.47 |
| 63 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.97 | 5.09 | 12.96 | 6.55 | -1.55 |
| 64 | Maryland | ACC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.9 | 0.1 | 14.19 | 5.02 | -0.02 |
| 65 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.74 | -2.45 | 13.04 | 4.92 | 1.08 |
| 66 | UConn | Big East | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.46 | 7.33 | 7.79 | 6.16 | -2.16 |
| 67 | Purdue | Big Ten | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.26 | 1.91 | 13.4 | 5.93 | -0.93 |
| 68 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.82 | -0.4 | 5.93 | 4.9 | 0.1 |
| 69 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.81 | 0.82 | 12.41 | 5.71 | -0.71 |
| 70 | Kansas | Big 12 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.56 | -2.7 | 12.84 | 4.27 | 0.73 |
| 71 | North Carolina | ACC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.13 | -6.3 | 15.07 | 3.4 | 1.6 |
| 72 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.09 | -6.1 | 12.75 | 3.68 | 1.32 |
| 73 | Akron | Mid-American | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.02 | -3.7 | 9.55 | 4.05 | 0.95 |
| 74 | Arkansas | SEC | 4-6 | 0.4 | 9.81 | 1.4 | 12.22 | 5.32 | -1.32 |
| 75 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 5-5 | 0.5 | 9.74 | -5.1 | 7.69 | 3.84 | 1.16 |
| 76 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.67 | -1.45 | 12.83 | 5.15 | -0.15 |
| 77 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 5-5 | 0.5 | 9.4 | -6.7 | 6.42 | 3.46 | 1.54 |
| 78 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.32 | -2 | 10.31 | 5.04 | -0.04 |
| 79 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 9.13 | 2 | 12.08 | 5.9 | -1.9 |
| 80 | Baylor | Big 12 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.9 | -5 | 12.1 | 4.16 | 0.84 |
| 81 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.82 | -6.55 | 11.83 | 4.1 | 0.9 |
| 82 | Tennessee | SEC | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.67 | -1.9 | 15.82 | 4.4 | -0.4 |
| 83 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.7 | -5.4 | 11.4 | 4.02 | -0.02 |
| 84 | Marshall | Conference USA | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.62 | -5.8 | 10.11 | 3.54 | 0.46 |
| 85 | Army | FBS Independents | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.56 | -5.5 | 10.67 | 3.58 | 0.42 |
| 86 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.51 | -5.8 | 10.15 | 3.73 | 0.27 |
| 87 | SMU | Conference USA | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.44 | -6.4 | 10.14 | 3.34 | 0.66 |
| 88 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.41 | -9.4 | 12.38 | 2.92 | 1.08 |
| 89 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 3-6 | 0.33 | 7.4 | -0.22 | 9.5 | 4.43 | -1.43 |
| 90 | Air Force | Mountain West | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.35 | -1.73 | 10.73 | 5.14 | -1.14 |
| 91 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.35 | -2.36 | 11.4 | 4.91 | -0.91 |
| 92 | Troy | Sun Belt | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.28 | -7 | 7.27 | 3.05 | 0.95 |
| 93 | Cincinnati | Big East | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.23 | -11.8 | 12.02 | 2.35 | 1.65 |
| 94 | Ohio | Mid-American | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.2 | -11.3 | 10.98 | 2.44 | 1.56 |
| 95 | Wake Forest | ACC | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.04 | -4.27 | 13.09 | 4.46 | -0.46 |
| 96 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.75 | -5 | 11.11 | 4.18 | -0.18 |
| 97 | Indiana | Big Ten | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.37 | -10.27 | 11.3 | 3.2 | 0.8 |
| 98 | Ball State | Mid-American | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.12 | -16.64 | 13.79 | 2.22 | 1.78 |
| 99 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.73 | -3.5 | 12.24 | 4.18 | -1.18 |
| 100 | Ole Miss | SEC | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.18 | -7.6 | 10.6 | 2.56 | 0.44 |
| 101 | Florida International | Sun Belt | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.15 | -12.89 | 5.54 | 2.03 | 0.97 |
| 102 | Kentucky | SEC | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.88 | -11.7 | 11.18 | 2.75 | 0.25 |
| 103 | Tulane | Conference USA | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.69 | -9.5 | 8.93 | 3.04 | -1.04 |
| 104 | Mississippi State | SEC | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.55 | -12.7 | 12.43 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| 105 | San José State | Western Athletic | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.4 | -11.7 | 8.07 | 2.68 | -0.68 |
| 106 | Florida Atlantic | Sun Belt | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.39 | -14.5 | 10.85 | 1.59 | 0.41 |
| 107 | Utah State | Western Athletic | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.39 | -15.5 | 12.05 | 1.9 | 0.1 |
| 108 | Washington | Pac-10 | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.35 | -9.09 | 13.86 | 3.33 | -1.33 |
| 109 | Idaho | Western Athletic | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.28 | -16.8 | 9.25 | 2.11 | -0.11 |
| 110 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.23 | -18.2 | 10.31 | 1.15 | 0.85 |
| 111 | UNLV | Mountain West | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.89 | -15.82 | 10.96 | 2.1 | -0.1 |
| 112 | Illinois | Big Ten | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.66 | -22.55 | 13.88 | 1.31 | 0.69 |
| 113 | Syracuse | Big East | 1-9 | 0.1 | 0.28 | -11.9 | 14.07 | 1.83 | -0.83 |
| 114 | Kent State | Mid-American | 1-9 | 0.1 | 0.25 | -11.9 | 9.21 | 2.28 | -1.28 |
| 115 | Rice | Conference USA | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.09 | -18.9 | 14.24 | 1.89 | -0.89 |
| 116 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.34 | -19.73 | 10.49 | 0.77 | 0.23 |
| 117 | Duke | ACC | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.4 | -21 | 12.7 | 1.34 | -0.34 |
| 118 | New Mexico State | Western Athletic | 0-11 | 0 | -2.62 | -24 | 13.9 | 1.13 | -1.13 |
| 119 | Temple | FBS Independents | 0-11 | 0 | -2.99 | -35.45 | 16.65 | 0.28 | -0.28 |