Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:33.927188+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Texas | Big 12 | 12-0 | 1 | 25.97 | 36.33 | 12.85 | 11.41 | 0.59 |
| 2 | USC | Pac-10 | 12-0 | 1 | 25.83 | 28.67 | 13.04 | 10.59 | 1.41 |
| 3 | Penn State | Big Ten | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.51 | 18.73 | 13.49 | 9.44 | 0.56 |
| 4 | West Virginia | Big East | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.78 | 15.27 | 10.43 | 9.1 | 0.9 |
| 5 | TCU | Mountain West | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.76 | 15.64 | 10.18 | 8.95 | 1.05 |
| 6 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.63 | 12.64 | 10.28 | 8.07 | 1.93 |
| 7 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.72 | 21.75 | 12.78 | 11.05 | -1.05 |
| 8 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.57 | 17.73 | 14.67 | 9.52 | -0.52 |
| 9 | Georgia | SEC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.38 | 14.5 | 13.15 | 10.04 | -0.04 |
| 10 | Miami | ACC | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.1 | 17.36 | 11.88 | 9.83 | -0.83 |
| 11 | LSU | SEC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.95 | 13.42 | 10.44 | 9.81 | 0.19 |
| 12 | Auburn | SEC | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.92 | 19.45 | 10.31 | 9.68 | -0.68 |
| 13 | Louisville | Big East | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.92 | 22.45 | 9.77 | 9.2 | -0.2 |
| 14 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.91 | 14.55 | 11.6 | 8.33 | 0.67 |
| 15 | Alabama | SEC | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.86 | 12 | 12.14 | 9.41 | -0.41 |
| 16 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.71 | 22.73 | 8.43 | 9.49 | -0.49 |
| 17 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 9-2 | 0.82 | 19.98 | 4.27 | 10.69 | 6.27 | 2.73 |
| 18 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19 | 10.25 | 11.21 | 8.32 | 0.68 |
| 19 | Florida | SEC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.83 | 10 | 13.29 | 8.11 | -0.11 |
| 20 | Boston College | ACC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.74 | 10.27 | 12.52 | 8.47 | -0.47 |
| 21 | Boise State | Western Athletic | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.72 | 13.17 | 8.18 | 8.84 | 0.16 |
| 22 | Toledo | Mid-American | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.13 | 12.36 | 7.48 | 8.12 | -0.12 |
| 23 | UTEP | Conference USA | 8-3 | 0.73 | 17.79 | 9.36 | 6.55 | 7.53 | 0.47 |
| 24 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.45 | 17.17 | 10.08 | 9.59 | -1.59 |
| 25 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 8-3 | 0.73 | 17.15 | 2.36 | 8.07 | 5.99 | 2.01 |
| 26 | Tulsa | Conference USA | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.07 | 9.83 | 10.9 | 8.36 | -0.36 |
| 27 | Michigan | Big Ten | 7-4 | 0.64 | 17.05 | 9.55 | 15.87 | 7.94 | -0.94 |
| 28 | Florida State | ACC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.94 | 7.75 | 11.12 | 8.08 | -0.08 |
| 29 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.68 | 7.64 | 14.3 | 7.01 | -0.01 |
| 30 | Iowa | Big Ten | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.55 | 11.55 | 10.99 | 8.3 | -1.3 |
| 31 | Clemson | ACC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.41 | 8.73 | 11.44 | 7.88 | -0.88 |
| 32 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.38 | 3.91 | 15.56 | 6.48 | 0.52 |
| 33 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.3 | 10.18 | 9.77 | 8.13 | -1.13 |
| 34 | California | Pac-10 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.26 | 12.18 | 8.53 | 8.26 | -1.26 |
| 35 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.12 | 10.27 | 8.39 | 7.73 | -0.73 |
| 36 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.78 | 3.64 | 11.1 | 6.56 | 0.44 |
| 37 | Navy | FBS Independents | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.54 | 6.91 | 6.29 | 7.01 | -0.01 |
| 38 | South Carolina | SEC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.51 | 1.09 | 14.07 | 5.82 | 1.18 |
| 39 | Rutgers | Big East | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.5 | 3.82 | 8.63 | 6.46 | 0.54 |
| 40 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.44 | 0.82 | 14.47 | 5.78 | 1.22 |
| 41 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.42 | 3.18 | 9.21 | 6.26 | 0.74 |
| 42 | UCF | Conference USA | 8-4 | 0.67 | 15.33 | 0.08 | 10.72 | 6.02 | 1.98 |
| 43 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.98 | 9.58 | 10.01 | 8.36 | -1.36 |
| 44 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 7-4 | 0.64 | 14.63 | 1.09 | 6.78 | 5.72 | 1.28 |
| 45 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 7-4 | 0.64 | 14.56 | -0.64 | 14.52 | 5.37 | 1.63 |
| 46 | South Florida | Big East | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.37 | 6.73 | 12.82 | 7.45 | -1.45 |
| 47 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.34 | 7.09 | 12.64 | 6.89 | -0.89 |
| 48 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.02 | 6.45 | 10.36 | 7.07 | -1.07 |
| 49 | Colorado | Big 12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.96 | 0.58 | 13.88 | 6.17 | 0.83 |
| 50 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.92 | 6.09 | 9.8 | 6.77 | -0.77 |
| 51 | BYU | Mountain West | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.85 | 4.73 | 10.72 | 6.48 | -0.48 |
| 52 | Virginia | ACC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.74 | 3.45 | 11.47 | 6.42 | -0.42 |
| 53 | Memphis | Conference USA | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.66 | 3.91 | 10.05 | 6.54 | -0.54 |
| 54 | Utah | Mountain West | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.62 | 3.91 | 9.65 | 6.43 | -0.43 |
| 55 | Houston | Conference USA | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.6 | 3.82 | 9.71 | 6.4 | -0.4 |
| 56 | NC State | ACC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.49 | 2.09 | 11.86 | 6.17 | -0.17 |
| 57 | Missouri | Big 12 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.29 | 1.09 | 12.94 | 5.74 | 0.26 |
| 58 | Akron | Mid-American | 7-5 | 0.58 | 12.79 | -0.33 | 9.63 | 5.9 | 1.1 |
| 59 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 6-5 | 0.55 | 12.62 | 0 | 12.18 | 5.5 | 0.5 |
| 60 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 6-5 | 0.55 | 12.41 | -0.09 | 10.75 | 5.48 | 0.52 |
| 61 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 6-5 | 0.55 | 12.16 | 0.27 | 5.76 | 5.57 | 0.43 |
| 62 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.83 | 5.09 | 12.78 | 6.55 | -1.55 |
| 63 | Kansas | Big 12 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.76 | -2.18 | 12.81 | 4.85 | 1.15 |
| 64 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.69 | -2.45 | 12.79 | 4.92 | 1.08 |
| 65 | UConn | Big East | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.62 | 5.55 | 9.51 | 7.11 | -2.11 |
| 66 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.45 | -1.64 | 7.88 | 5.1 | 0.9 |
| 67 | Purdue | Big Ten | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.3 | 1.91 | 13.5 | 5.93 | -0.93 |
| 68 | UAB | Conference USA | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.26 | 3.91 | 8.51 | 6.47 | -1.47 |
| 69 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.19 | 2.18 | 11.47 | 6.11 | -1.11 |
| 70 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.83 | 0.82 | 12.39 | 5.67 | -0.67 |
| 71 | Tennessee | SEC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.54 | 0 | 14.79 | 5.5 | -0.5 |
| 72 | Maryland | ACC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.17 | -0.45 | 13.89 | 5.38 | -0.38 |
| 73 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.64 | -1.45 | 12.48 | 5.15 | -0.15 |
| 74 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.56 | -0.17 | 12.13 | 5.96 | -0.96 |
| 75 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.31 | -2 | 10.22 | 5.04 | -0.04 |
| 76 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 9.11 | 2 | 11.84 | 5.9 | -1.9 |
| 77 | Arkansas | SEC | 4-7 | 0.36 | 8.91 | 1.09 | 13 | 5.78 | -1.78 |
| 78 | Baylor | Big 12 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.89 | -5 | 12.03 | 4.16 | 0.84 |
| 79 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.86 | -6.18 | 13.62 | 4.07 | 0.93 |
| 80 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.85 | -4.55 | 10.61 | 4.4 | 0.6 |
| 81 | SMU | Conference USA | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.85 | -4.64 | 10.81 | 4.21 | 0.79 |
| 82 | North Carolina | ACC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.78 | -8.18 | 15.45 | 3.21 | 1.79 |
| 83 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.69 | -6.55 | 11.85 | 4.1 | 0.9 |
| 84 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 4-7 | 0.36 | 8.37 | 0.36 | 9.49 | 5.63 | -1.63 |
| 85 | Florida International | Sun Belt | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.27 | -6 | 5.59 | 4.05 | 0.95 |
| 86 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.15 | -5 | 12 | 4.94 | 0.06 |
| 87 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.14 | -9.09 | 7.02 | 3.34 | 1.66 |
| 88 | Air Force | Mountain West | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.38 | -1.73 | 10.83 | 5.14 | -1.14 |
| 89 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.25 | -2.36 | 11.46 | 4.91 | -0.91 |
| 90 | Wake Forest | ACC | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7 | -4.27 | 13.25 | 4.46 | -0.46 |
| 91 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.76 | -5 | 10.76 | 4.18 | -0.18 |
| 92 | Army | FBS Independents | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.64 | -6.73 | 11.68 | 3.68 | 0.32 |
| 93 | Marshall | Conference USA | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.49 | -7.36 | 10.66 | 3.43 | 0.57 |
| 94 | Troy | Sun Belt | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.33 | -7.27 | 7.45 | 3.2 | 0.8 |
| 95 | Indiana | Big Ten | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.28 | -10.27 | 11.16 | 3.2 | 0.8 |
| 96 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.27 | -11.09 | 12.1 | 2.88 | 1.12 |
| 97 | Ohio | Mid-American | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.13 | -13.09 | 11.65 | 2.31 | 1.69 |
| 98 | Cincinnati | Big East | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.11 | -13.91 | 12.26 | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| 99 | Ball State | Mid-American | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.07 | -16.64 | 14.3 | 2.22 | 1.78 |
| 100 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 3-8 | 0.27 | 5.02 | -3.45 | 12.38 | 4.59 | -1.59 |
| 101 | Ole Miss | SEC | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.31 | -8.82 | 10.24 | 2.56 | 0.44 |
| 102 | Mississippi State | SEC | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.29 | -9.64 | 11.6 | 2.45 | 0.55 |
| 103 | San José State | Western Athletic | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.13 | -9.91 | 7.42 | 3.26 | -0.26 |
| 104 | Kentucky | SEC | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.09 | -12.36 | 11.07 | 2.81 | 0.19 |
| 105 | Utah State | Western Athletic | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.99 | -13.82 | 10.51 | 2.36 | 0.64 |
| 106 | Washington | Pac-10 | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.32 | -9.09 | 14.04 | 3.33 | -1.33 |
| 107 | Tulane | Conference USA | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.15 | -10.36 | 9.36 | 3.09 | -1.09 |
| 108 | UNLV | Mountain West | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.87 | -15.82 | 11.19 | 2.1 | -0.1 |
| 109 | Idaho | Western Athletic | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.82 | -16 | 8.61 | 2.37 | -0.37 |
| 110 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.8 | -17.18 | 10.84 | 1.47 | 0.53 |
| 111 | Florida Atlantic | Sun Belt | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.78 | -17.36 | 10.16 | 1.35 | 0.65 |
| 112 | Illinois | Big Ten | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.64 | -22.55 | 14.63 | 1.31 | 0.69 |
| 113 | Syracuse | Big East | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.04 | -13 | 14.12 | 1.89 | -0.89 |
| 114 | Kent State | Mid-American | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.08 | -13.73 | 9.3 | 2.1 | -1.1 |
| 115 | Rice | Conference USA | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.32 | -18.73 | 14.44 | 2.07 | -1.07 |
| 116 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.35 | -19.73 | 10.56 | 0.77 | 0.23 |
| 117 | Duke | ACC | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.4 | -21 | 12.41 | 1.34 | -0.34 |
| 118 | New Mexico State | Western Athletic | 0-12 | 0 | -2.51 | -22.25 | 12.41 | 1.4 | -1.4 |
| 119 | Temple | FBS Independents | 0-11 | 0 | -2.95 | -35.45 | 15.74 | 0.28 | -0.28 |