Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:33.923946+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penn State | Big Ten | 6-0 | 1 | 27.32 | 17.83 | 15.25 | 5.16 | 0.84 |
| 2 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 6-0 | 1 | 27.16 | 30.33 | 12.42 | 5.82 | 0.18 |
| 3 | USC | Pac-10 | 5-0 | 1 | 26.85 | 32.4 | 10.58 | 4.56 | 0.44 |
| 4 | Texas | Big 12 | 5-0 | 1 | 26.7 | 33 | 10.06 | 4.75 | 0.25 |
| 5 | Alabama | SEC | 5-0 | 1 | 26.52 | 18 | 11.53 | 4.51 | 0.49 |
| 6 | Georgia | SEC | 5-0 | 1 | 26.5 | 20 | 11.2 | 4.56 | 0.44 |
| 7 | Florida State | ACC | 5-0 | 1 | 26.26 | 21.4 | 9.54 | 4.48 | 0.52 |
| 8 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 5-0 | 1 | 26.05 | 18.6 | 9.7 | 3.96 | 1.04 |
| 9 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 5-0 | 1 | 25.72 | 36.8 | 5.58 | 4.73 | 0.27 |
| 10 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.81 | 17.5 | 11.95 | 4.73 | 0.27 |
| 11 | Florida | SEC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.72 | 14 | 14.54 | 4.94 | 0.06 |
| 12 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.52 | 13.67 | 13.39 | 4.49 | 0.51 |
| 13 | Miami | ACC | 4-1 | 0.8 | 22.27 | 17.6 | 15.46 | 4.51 | -0.51 |
| 14 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.97 | 9.33 | 12.33 | 4.06 | 0.94 |
| 15 | Boston College | ACC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.9 | 15.83 | 9.48 | 5.33 | -0.33 |
| 16 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21.86 | 22 | 11.15 | 4.14 | -0.14 |
| 17 | Colorado | Big 12 | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21.84 | 15.4 | 13.94 | 4.25 | -0.25 |
| 18 | California | Pac-10 | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.77 | 23.5 | 4.92 | 5.34 | -0.34 |
| 19 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21.69 | 13 | 12.78 | 3.68 | 0.32 |
| 20 | TCU | Mountain West | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.68 | 5.83 | 12.7 | 3.76 | 1.24 |
| 21 | West Virginia | Big East | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.61 | 8.17 | 10.54 | 4.36 | 0.64 |
| 22 | Louisville | Big East | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21.36 | 23.6 | 9.06 | 4.18 | -0.18 |
| 23 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21.33 | 10.2 | 9.79 | 3.93 | 0.07 |
| 24 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 4-1 | 0.8 | 20.99 | 10 | 10.66 | 3.67 | 0.33 |
| 25 | LSU | SEC | 3-1 | 0.75 | 20.99 | 14.75 | 16.82 | 3.2 | -0.2 |
| 26 | Auburn | SEC | 4-1 | 0.8 | 20.87 | 28.6 | 4.51 | 4.82 | -0.82 |
| 27 | Toledo | Mid-American | 4-1 | 0.8 | 20.77 | 20.6 | 6.08 | 4.21 | -0.21 |
| 28 | Indiana | Big Ten | 4-1 | 0.8 | 20.34 | 8.2 | 7.54 | 3.38 | 0.62 |
| 29 | Baylor | Big 12 | 4-1 | 0.8 | 20.3 | 11.2 | 6 | 3.94 | 0.06 |
| 30 | UConn | Big East | 4-1 | 0.8 | 20.22 | 27 | 1.78 | 4.8 | -0.8 |
| 31 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 3-1 | 0.75 | 19.86 | 23.75 | 7.12 | 3.5 | -0.5 |
| 32 | UTEP | Conference USA | 3-1 | 0.75 | 19.38 | 5.25 | 9.88 | 2.45 | 0.55 |
| 33 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.13 | 7 | 11.39 | 4.03 | -0.03 |
| 34 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 3-2 | 0.6 | 17.76 | 11.2 | 18.83 | 4.03 | -1.03 |
| 35 | Iowa | Big Ten | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.74 | 13.33 | 8.42 | 4.82 | -0.82 |
| 36 | Maryland | ACC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.48 | 6.67 | 10.64 | 3.92 | 0.08 |
| 37 | South Florida | Big East | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.83 | 10.4 | 14.11 | 3.82 | -0.82 |
| 38 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.4 | 1.67 | 5.05 | 3.26 | 0.74 |
| 39 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.38 | 10.4 | 8.5 | 3.52 | -0.52 |
| 40 | Virginia | ACC | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.26 | 4.6 | 11.72 | 3 | 0 |
| 41 | Missouri | Big 12 | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.23 | 4.8 | 15.34 | 2.9 | 0.1 |
| 42 | Tennessee | SEC | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.2 | 1 | 18.39 | 2.66 | 0.34 |
| 43 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.09 | 14.6 | 4.37 | 3.76 | -0.76 |
| 44 | Kansas | Big 12 | 3-2 | 0.6 | 15.98 | 7.4 | 7.48 | 3.53 | -0.53 |
| 45 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 3-2 | 0.6 | 15.94 | 4.2 | 9.75 | 3.08 | -0.08 |
| 46 | Houston | Conference USA | 3-2 | 0.6 | 15.86 | 6.4 | 11.75 | 3.14 | -0.14 |
| 47 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 3-2 | 0.6 | 15.76 | 10.6 | 8.23 | 3.33 | -0.33 |
| 48 | Rutgers | Big East | 3-2 | 0.6 | 15.6 | 7.6 | 4.57 | 3.42 | -0.42 |
| 49 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 3-2 | 0.6 | 15.46 | 1.6 | 15.76 | 2.66 | 0.34 |
| 50 | UAB | Conference USA | 3-2 | 0.6 | 15.38 | 7.6 | 2.75 | 3.37 | -0.37 |
| 51 | Michigan | Big Ten | 3-3 | 0.5 | 15.11 | 10.17 | 19.15 | 4.43 | -1.43 |
| 52 | UCF | Conference USA | 3-2 | 0.6 | 14.78 | 1.6 | 11.15 | 2.72 | 0.28 |
| 53 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 14.78 | 11.33 | 15.04 | 4.16 | -1.16 |
| 54 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 3-2 | 0.6 | 14.4 | 1.6 | 8.38 | 2.66 | 0.34 |
| 55 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 3-2 | 0.6 | 14.26 | -3.4 | 18.41 | 2.04 | 0.96 |
| 56 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 3-2 | 0.6 | 14.1 | -1.6 | 18.03 | 2.37 | 0.63 |
| 57 | Boise State | Western Athletic | 3-2 | 0.6 | 13.9 | 0 | 9.39 | 2.5 | 0.5 |
| 58 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 2-2 | 0.5 | 13.74 | 7 | 8.03 | 2.62 | -0.62 |
| 59 | NC State | ACC | 2-2 | 0.5 | 13.68 | 9 | 12.35 | 2.87 | -0.87 |
| 60 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 3-2 | 0.6 | 13.66 | -1.2 | 6.8 | 2.31 | 0.69 |
| 61 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 3-2 | 0.6 | 13.38 | -2.6 | 11.77 | 2.28 | 0.72 |
| 62 | Tulsa | Conference USA | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.33 | 3.5 | 14.43 | 3.46 | -0.46 |
| 63 | Utah | Mountain West | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.04 | 1.5 | 11.28 | 3.22 | -0.22 |
| 64 | Akron | Mid-American | 3-2 | 0.6 | 12.45 | -3.4 | 6.12 | 2.11 | 0.89 |
| 65 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 3-3 | 0.5 | 11.9 | -0.5 | 10.4 | 2.94 | 0.06 |
| 66 | Navy | FBS Independents | 2-2 | 0.5 | 11.87 | 1 | 8.55 | 2.09 | -0.09 |
| 67 | South Carolina | SEC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 11.71 | -0.67 | 15.61 | 2.91 | 0.09 |
| 68 | Tulane | Conference USA | 2-2 | 0.5 | 11.68 | 0 | 3.63 | 2 | 0 |
| 69 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 2-3 | 0.4 | 11.19 | 10 | 6.57 | 3.44 | -1.44 |
| 70 | Memphis | Conference USA | 2-3 | 0.4 | 10.87 | 4.2 | 7.29 | 2.98 | -0.98 |
| 71 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 2-3 | 0.4 | 10.77 | 2.6 | 10.03 | 2.77 | -0.77 |
| 72 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 2-2 | 0.5 | 10.68 | -1.5 | 10.82 | 1.86 | 0.14 |
| 73 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 2-3 | 0.4 | 10.61 | 5.4 | 8.69 | 2.99 | -0.99 |
| 74 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.51 | -4.67 | 13.58 | 2.26 | 0.74 |
| 75 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.24 | -8.83 | 10.56 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| 76 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.08 | -4.83 | 3.52 | 2.48 | 0.52 |
| 77 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 2-2 | 0.5 | 9.99 | -5.25 | 9.6 | 1.56 | 0.44 |
| 78 | Utah State | Western Athletic | 2-2 | 0.5 | 9.65 | -6 | 6.43 | 1.36 | 0.64 |
| 79 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 2-3 | 0.4 | 9.33 | -3.8 | 20.88 | 2.07 | -0.07 |
| 80 | Purdue | Big Ten | 2-3 | 0.4 | 9.26 | -2.6 | 15.5 | 2.27 | -0.27 |
| 81 | Clemson | ACC | 2-3 | 0.4 | 9.25 | -1.6 | 17.38 | 2.31 | -0.31 |
| 82 | BYU | Mountain West | 2-3 | 0.4 | 9.15 | -0.2 | 11.44 | 2.48 | -0.48 |
| 83 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 2-4 | 0.33 | 9.03 | 3.83 | 12.89 | 3.61 | -1.61 |
| 84 | Arkansas | SEC | 2-3 | 0.4 | 8.7 | -1.4 | 14.45 | 2.36 | -0.36 |
| 85 | North Carolina | ACC | 2-3 | 0.4 | 8.46 | -9.8 | 18.33 | 1.41 | 0.59 |
| 86 | Ole Miss | SEC | 2-3 | 0.4 | 8.43 | -2.2 | 13.25 | 2.14 | -0.14 |
| 87 | Marshall | Conference USA | 2-3 | 0.4 | 8.38 | -4.8 | 10.29 | 1.87 | 0.13 |
| 88 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 2-3 | 0.4 | 7.69 | -5 | 9.42 | 1.95 | 0.05 |
| 89 | Cincinnati | Big East | 2-3 | 0.4 | 7.66 | -11.6 | 9.92 | 1.22 | 0.78 |
| 90 | Ohio | Mid-American | 2-3 | 0.4 | 7.47 | -16.8 | 12.26 | 0.76 | 1.24 |
| 91 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 2-4 | 0.33 | 7.43 | -1.17 | 11.52 | 2.84 | -0.84 |
| 92 | Air Force | Mountain West | 2-4 | 0.33 | 7.32 | -1.67 | 11.7 | 2.8 | -0.8 |
| 93 | Troy | Sun Belt | 2-3 | 0.4 | 6.99 | -11.2 | 7.56 | 1.19 | 0.81 |
| 94 | Wake Forest | ACC | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.56 | -7.5 | 17.09 | 2.01 | -0.01 |
| 95 | Mississippi State | SEC | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.37 | -9.67 | 16.03 | 1.35 | 0.65 |
| 96 | Illinois | Big Ten | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.12 | -14.83 | 17.9 | 1.33 | 0.67 |
| 97 | UNLV | Mountain West | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.01 | -6 | 10.75 | 2.12 | -0.12 |
| 98 | SMU | Conference USA | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.78 | -12.5 | 17.96 | 1.29 | 0.71 |
| 99 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.55 | -16.17 | 8.56 | 1.04 | 0.96 |
| 100 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 1-3 | 0.25 | 4.22 | -8.5 | 15.82 | 0.72 | 0.28 |
| 101 | Syracuse | Big East | 1-4 | 0.2 | 3.75 | -4.6 | 17.16 | 1.8 | -0.8 |
| 102 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 1-3 | 0.25 | 3.44 | -23.75 | 9.57 | 0.15 | 0.85 |
| 103 | Florida International | Sun Belt | 1-3 | 0.25 | 3.31 | -23 | 11.72 | 0.49 | 0.51 |
| 104 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 1-4 | 0.2 | 3.23 | -8 | 14.81 | 1.55 | -0.55 |
| 105 | Washington | Pac-10 | 1-4 | 0.2 | 3.18 | -7.4 | 17.03 | 1.62 | -0.62 |
| 106 | Kent State | Mid-American | 1-4 | 0.2 | 2.93 | -8.2 | 9.76 | 1.6 | -0.6 |
| 107 | Kentucky | SEC | 1-4 | 0.2 | 2.72 | -13.6 | 12.31 | 1.3 | -0.3 |
| 108 | San José State | Western Athletic | 1-4 | 0.2 | 2.69 | -11 | 4.67 | 1.42 | -0.42 |
| 109 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 1-4 | 0.2 | 2.57 | -17 | 13.85 | 1.02 | -0.02 |
| 110 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 1-4 | 0.2 | 2.5 | -15.6 | 7.5 | 0.96 | 0.04 |
| 111 | Duke | ACC | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.75 | -17.5 | 12 | 0.89 | 0.11 |
| 112 | Idaho | Western Athletic | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.68 | -16.83 | 7.74 | 1 | 0 |
| 113 | Ball State | Mid-American | 1-4 | 0.2 | 1.53 | -32 | 16.94 | 0.43 | 0.57 |
| 114 | Florida Atlantic | Sun Belt | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.27 | -18.33 | 15.26 | 0.77 | 0.23 |
| 115 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 0-5 | 0 | -2.59 | -19.8 | 13.54 | 0.16 | -0.16 |
| 116 | Army | FBS Independents | 0-5 | 0 | -2.62 | -18.4 | 17.75 | 0.51 | -0.51 |
| 117 | New Mexico State | Western Athletic | 0-6 | 0 | -2.86 | -25.17 | 17.66 | 0.39 | -0.39 |
| 118 | Rice | Conference USA | 0-4 | 0 | -3.03 | -28.75 | 19 | 0.47 | -0.47 |
| 119 | Temple | FBS Independents | 0-6 | 0 | -3.23 | -38.83 | 17.56 | 0.15 | -0.15 |