Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:33.924336+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | USC | Pac-10 | 6-0 | 1 | 26.62 | 27.5 | 12.16 | 5.27 | 0.73 |
| 2 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 6-0 | 1 | 26.53 | 30.33 | 11.19 | 5.82 | 0.18 |
| 3 | Texas | Big 12 | 6-0 | 1 | 26.44 | 31.67 | 10.77 | 5.66 | 0.34 |
| 4 | Georgia | SEC | 6-0 | 1 | 26.25 | 19.5 | 11.69 | 5.41 | 0.59 |
| 5 | Alabama | SEC | 6-0 | 1 | 26.07 | 15.5 | 11.59 | 5.31 | 0.69 |
| 6 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 6-0 | 1 | 25.73 | 37.17 | 6.93 | 5.65 | 0.35 |
| 7 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 6-0 | 1 | 25.58 | 16 | 9.13 | 4.49 | 1.51 |
| 8 | Penn State | Big Ten | 6-1 | 0.86 | 23.58 | 15 | 14.93 | 5.71 | 0.29 |
| 9 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 6-1 | 0.86 | 23.01 | 15.57 | 13.29 | 5.31 | 0.69 |
| 10 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.43 | 11.43 | 11.5 | 4.97 | 1.03 |
| 11 | Miami | ACC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.28 | 19.83 | 12.12 | 5.58 | -0.58 |
| 12 | Boston College | ACC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.24 | 14.29 | 9.48 | 5.89 | 0.11 |
| 13 | West Virginia | Big East | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.15 | 7.29 | 11.86 | 4.73 | 1.27 |
| 14 | Florida State | ACC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.13 | 17 | 10.12 | 5.07 | -0.07 |
| 15 | TCU | Mountain West | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.79 | 8 | 9.24 | 4.69 | 1.31 |
| 16 | LSU | SEC | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21.7 | 12.6 | 15.29 | 3.88 | 0.12 |
| 17 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.59 | 10 | 11.26 | 4.69 | 0.31 |
| 18 | Auburn | SEC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.3 | 26.67 | 5.43 | 5.71 | -0.71 |
| 19 | Toledo | Mid-American | 5-1 | 0.83 | 20.99 | 20.5 | 4.75 | 5.09 | -0.09 |
| 20 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 4-1 | 0.8 | 20.96 | 25.4 | 7.91 | 4.4 | -0.4 |
| 21 | UTEP | Conference USA | 4-1 | 0.8 | 20.45 | 9 | 9.49 | 3.41 | 0.59 |
| 22 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.63 | 11.14 | 14.94 | 4.92 | 0.08 |
| 23 | Florida | SEC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.6 | 11.43 | 14.52 | 5.46 | -0.46 |
| 24 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.87 | 11.17 | 18.64 | 4.71 | -0.71 |
| 25 | California | Pac-10 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.66 | 19.71 | 5.59 | 5.99 | -0.99 |
| 26 | Iowa | Big Ten | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.57 | 13.86 | 8.71 | 5.62 | -0.62 |
| 27 | Colorado | Big 12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.54 | 8.67 | 15.27 | 4.26 | -0.26 |
| 28 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.51 | 10.33 | 14.22 | 4.14 | -0.14 |
| 29 | Louisville | Big East | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.47 | 19.33 | 10.71 | 4.67 | -0.67 |
| 30 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.44 | 16.5 | 11.03 | 4.6 | -0.6 |
| 31 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.86 | 15.17 | 10.14 | 4.59 | -0.59 |
| 32 | Missouri | Big 12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.58 | 4.5 | 14.4 | 3.47 | 0.53 |
| 33 | Virginia | ACC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.5 | 4.67 | 13.54 | 3.62 | 0.38 |
| 34 | Maryland | ACC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.41 | 6.67 | 10.39 | 3.92 | 0.08 |
| 35 | Baylor | Big 12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.38 | 7.83 | 7.8 | 4.29 | -0.29 |
| 36 | UConn | Big East | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.22 | 20.67 | 1.74 | 5.45 | -1.45 |
| 37 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.2 | 12.17 | 6.65 | 4.24 | -0.24 |
| 38 | Indiana | Big Ten | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.03 | 4 | 8.32 | 3.52 | 0.48 |
| 39 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.99 | 1.83 | 11.03 | 3.25 | 0.75 |
| 40 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.89 | 1.33 | 15.36 | 3.22 | 0.78 |
| 41 | Rutgers | Big East | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.79 | 10 | 4.65 | 4.45 | -0.45 |
| 42 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.49 | 3 | 8.77 | 3.35 | 0.65 |
| 43 | Boise State | Western Athletic | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.39 | 2.83 | 8.48 | 3.33 | 0.67 |
| 44 | Michigan | Big Ten | 4-3 | 0.57 | 16.31 | 9 | 19.58 | 4.98 | -0.98 |
| 45 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 4-2 | 0.67 | 15.89 | -0.5 | 15.38 | 2.95 | 1.05 |
| 46 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 3-2 | 0.6 | 15.88 | 9.8 | 10.46 | 3.45 | -0.45 |
| 47 | Tennessee | SEC | 3-2 | 0.6 | 15.69 | 1 | 18.8 | 2.66 | 0.34 |
| 48 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.33 | 5.57 | 11.94 | 4.46 | -0.46 |
| 49 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 15.12 | -1.67 | 12.98 | 2.82 | 1.18 |
| 50 | Tulsa | Conference USA | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.85 | 5.86 | 10.39 | 4.36 | -0.36 |
| 51 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 14.41 | 11.33 | 15.68 | 4.16 | -1.16 |
| 52 | Navy | FBS Independents | 3-2 | 0.6 | 14.33 | 1.4 | 7.89 | 2.64 | 0.36 |
| 53 | South Florida | Big East | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.99 | 6.33 | 14.13 | 4 | -1 |
| 54 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.87 | 11.67 | 9.25 | 4.18 | -1.18 |
| 55 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 4-3 | 0.57 | 13.5 | 0 | 12.53 | 3.5 | 0.5 |
| 56 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 4-3 | 0.57 | 13.27 | -0.14 | 12.28 | 3.47 | 0.53 |
| 57 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.23 | 6.83 | 10.32 | 3.8 | -0.8 |
| 58 | Memphis | Conference USA | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.15 | 6 | 10.3 | 3.8 | -0.8 |
| 59 | Houston | Conference USA | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.14 | 2.83 | 11.2 | 3.35 | -0.35 |
| 60 | Kansas | Big 12 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.12 | 3.5 | 9.66 | 3.65 | -0.65 |
| 61 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.11 | 3 | 10.5 | 3.48 | -0.48 |
| 62 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.1 | 7.17 | 8.78 | 3.84 | -0.84 |
| 63 | Clemson | ACC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.01 | 2.17 | 16.38 | 3.31 | -0.31 |
| 64 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 12.98 | -1 | 9.34 | 3.32 | 0.68 |
| 65 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.92 | 8.83 | 5.21 | 3.97 | -0.97 |
| 66 | UAB | Conference USA | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.87 | 6.17 | 4.05 | 3.89 | -0.89 |
| 67 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 3-2 | 0.6 | 12.51 | -3.4 | 8.63 | 2.12 | 0.88 |
| 68 | BYU | Mountain West | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.35 | 1.5 | 11.4 | 3.21 | -0.21 |
| 69 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.17 | -0.33 | 14.71 | 2.96 | 0.04 |
| 70 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.15 | -0.5 | 20.79 | 2.92 | 0.08 |
| 71 | South Carolina | SEC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 11.87 | -0.67 | 16.4 | 2.91 | 0.09 |
| 72 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11.52 | 5.29 | 11.51 | 4.45 | -1.45 |
| 73 | UCF | Conference USA | 3-3 | 0.5 | 11.11 | -2.17 | 10.67 | 2.7 | 0.3 |
| 74 | Air Force | Mountain West | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11.09 | 3.57 | 10.73 | 4.01 | -1.01 |
| 75 | NC State | ACC | 2-3 | 0.4 | 10.71 | 3 | 9.83 | 2.89 | -0.89 |
| 76 | Marshall | Conference USA | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.47 | -3.83 | 12.35 | 2.38 | 0.62 |
| 77 | Utah | Mountain West | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.32 | 0 | 10.46 | 3.5 | -0.5 |
| 78 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.2 | -3 | 7.73 | 2.59 | 0.41 |
| 79 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.2 | 0.29 | 11.72 | 3.55 | -0.55 |
| 80 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.19 | -7.5 | 9.48 | 1.86 | 1.14 |
| 81 | Akron | Mid-American | 3-3 | 0.5 | 9.93 | -7.5 | 7.13 | 2.05 | 0.95 |
| 82 | Cincinnati | Big East | 3-3 | 0.5 | 9.87 | -7.83 | 11.26 | 1.9 | 1.1 |
| 83 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 3-3 | 0.5 | 9.79 | -4.83 | 3.79 | 2.48 | 0.52 |
| 84 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 2-3 | 0.4 | 8.41 | -3.2 | 10.56 | 2.14 | -0.14 |
| 85 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.28 | -9.86 | 10.01 | 1.76 | 1.24 |
| 86 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 2-3 | 0.4 | 8.16 | -2.6 | 12.02 | 2.02 | -0.02 |
| 87 | Tulane | Conference USA | 2-3 | 0.4 | 8.06 | -4.8 | 7.48 | 1.92 | 0.08 |
| 88 | North Carolina | ACC | 2-3 | 0.4 | 7.9 | -9.8 | 17.03 | 1.41 | 0.59 |
| 89 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 3-4 | 0.43 | 7.85 | -10.43 | 8.97 | 1.81 | 1.19 |
| 90 | Utah State | Western Athletic | 2-3 | 0.4 | 7.43 | -11.2 | 8.66 | 1.26 | 0.74 |
| 91 | Purdue | Big Ten | 2-4 | 0.33 | 7.05 | -3 | 15.29 | 2.68 | -0.68 |
| 92 | Ole Miss | SEC | 2-4 | 0.33 | 7.02 | -2.33 | 13.02 | 2.51 | -0.51 |
| 93 | Arkansas | SEC | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.79 | -4 | 14.37 | 2.52 | -0.52 |
| 94 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 2-3 | 0.4 | 6.69 | -18.4 | 9.77 | 0.34 | 1.66 |
| 95 | Mississippi State | SEC | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.08 | -9.67 | 15.46 | 1.35 | 0.65 |
| 96 | Illinois | Big Ten | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.8 | -14.83 | 16.67 | 1.33 | 0.67 |
| 97 | Ohio | Mid-American | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.6 | -18.5 | 13.25 | 0.77 | 1.23 |
| 98 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.59 | -10.67 | 12.02 | 1.86 | 0.14 |
| 99 | Troy | Sun Belt | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.54 | -13.33 | 7.05 | 1.1 | 0.9 |
| 100 | Wake Forest | ACC | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.46 | -7.14 | 17.19 | 2.43 | -0.43 |
| 101 | SMU | Conference USA | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.96 | -11.71 | 14.5 | 1.58 | 0.42 |
| 102 | UNLV | Mountain West | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.92 | -10.14 | 10.07 | 1.85 | 0.15 |
| 103 | Kentucky | SEC | 1-4 | 0.2 | 2.58 | -13.6 | 13.23 | 1.3 | -0.3 |
| 104 | Syracuse | Big East | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.45 | -7.5 | 16.23 | 1.68 | -0.68 |
| 105 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.36 | -7.33 | 11.82 | 1.91 | -0.91 |
| 106 | Florida International | Sun Belt | 1-4 | 0.2 | 2.33 | -19 | 10.27 | 0.69 | 0.31 |
| 107 | Kent State | Mid-American | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.28 | -7.33 | 8.7 | 2.06 | -1.06 |
| 108 | Washington | Pac-10 | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.2 | -10.17 | 16.75 | 1.67 | -0.67 |
| 109 | San José State | Western Athletic | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.91 | -12 | 6.92 | 1.61 | -0.61 |
| 110 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.84 | -13.5 | 9.03 | 1.44 | -0.44 |
| 111 | Idaho | Western Athletic | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.62 | -16.83 | 8.65 | 1 | 0 |
| 112 | Ball State | Mid-American | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.28 | -30 | 17.85 | 0.53 | 0.47 |
| 113 | Duke | ACC | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.94 | -18.57 | 12.79 | 0.91 | 0.09 |
| 114 | Florida Atlantic | Sun Belt | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.9 | -18.71 | 12.26 | 0.87 | 0.13 |
| 115 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 0-6 | 0 | -2.53 | -19.83 | 12.98 | 0.2 | -0.2 |
| 116 | Army | FBS Independents | 0-6 | 0 | -2.6 | -18.83 | 18.43 | 0.64 | -0.64 |
| 117 | New Mexico State | Western Athletic | 0-7 | 0 | -2.76 | -24.57 | 15.43 | 0.6 | -0.6 |
| 118 | Rice | Conference USA | 0-5 | 0 | -2.89 | -27 | 17.83 | 0.62 | -0.62 |
| 119 | Temple | FBS Independents | 0-7 | 0 | -3.16 | -37.71 | 17.71 | 0.15 | -0.15 |