Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:33.924720+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Texas | Big 12 | 7-0 | 1 | 26.66 | 32.14 | 13.12 | 6.59 | 0.41 |
| 2 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 7-0 | 1 | 26.37 | 28.71 | 12.02 | 6.77 | 0.23 |
| 3 | USC | Pac-10 | 7-0 | 1 | 26.01 | 27.43 | 10.33 | 6.12 | 0.88 |
| 4 | Alabama | SEC | 7-0 | 1 | 25.82 | 13.71 | 12.14 | 6.19 | 0.81 |
| 5 | Georgia | SEC | 7-0 | 1 | 25.79 | 17.14 | 11.09 | 6.11 | 0.89 |
| 6 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 7-0 | 1 | 25.51 | 17 | 9.9 | 5.31 | 1.69 |
| 7 | Penn State | Big Ten | 7-1 | 0.88 | 23.63 | 19.75 | 14.2 | 6.95 | 0.05 |
| 8 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 7-1 | 0.88 | 23.05 | 15 | 12.23 | 6.05 | 0.95 |
| 9 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.59 | 26.86 | 8.64 | 6.1 | -0.1 |
| 10 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.46 | 10.88 | 10.28 | 5.64 | 1.36 |
| 11 | TCU | Mountain West | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.36 | 11.75 | 9.64 | 5.92 | 1.08 |
| 12 | Boston College | ACC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.14 | 14.29 | 9.88 | 5.89 | 0.11 |
| 13 | Florida State | ACC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.13 | 19 | 8.7 | 5.96 | 0.04 |
| 14 | LSU | SEC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.09 | 11 | 15.01 | 4.54 | 0.46 |
| 15 | West Virginia | Big East | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.96 | 7.29 | 11.69 | 4.73 | 1.27 |
| 16 | Miami | ACC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.89 | 19.83 | 10.91 | 5.58 | -0.58 |
| 17 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.3 | 26.17 | 6.62 | 5.38 | -0.38 |
| 18 | Toledo | Mid-American | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.25 | 20.86 | 3.52 | 5.99 | 0.01 |
| 19 | UTEP | Conference USA | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.16 | 12.17 | 9.26 | 4.51 | 0.49 |
| 20 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.82 | 14 | 18.21 | 5.82 | -0.82 |
| 21 | California | Pac-10 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.17 | 17.75 | 6.52 | 6.54 | -0.54 |
| 22 | Colorado | Big 12 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.12 | 11.86 | 14.19 | 5.38 | -0.38 |
| 23 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.11 | 11.14 | 13.98 | 4.92 | 0.08 |
| 24 | Florida | SEC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.09 | 11.43 | 13.69 | 5.46 | -0.46 |
| 25 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.06 | 12.57 | 13.5 | 5.06 | -0.06 |
| 26 | Louisville | Big East | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.95 | 20 | 10.36 | 5.52 | -0.52 |
| 27 | Auburn | SEC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.84 | 22.43 | 7.8 | 6.47 | -1.47 |
| 28 | Missouri | Big 12 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.69 | 6.29 | 14.76 | 4.27 | 0.73 |
| 29 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.59 | 13.29 | 10.15 | 5.17 | -0.17 |
| 30 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.49 | 6.14 | 11.54 | 4.68 | 0.32 |
| 31 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.41 | 4.57 | 15.03 | 4.04 | 0.96 |
| 32 | Boise State | Western Athletic | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.79 | 5.86 | 9.07 | 4.28 | 0.72 |
| 33 | Rutgers | Big East | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.76 | 8.86 | 6.66 | 5 | 0 |
| 34 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.47 | 9.67 | 10.85 | 4.11 | -0.11 |
| 35 | Michigan | Big Ten | 5-3 | 0.62 | 17.15 | 8.25 | 17.89 | 5.58 | -0.58 |
| 36 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.77 | 1.33 | 14.1 | 3.22 | 0.78 |
| 37 | Navy | FBS Independents | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.59 | 6.5 | 6.89 | 3.81 | 0.19 |
| 38 | Iowa | Big Ten | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.41 | 11.75 | 8.68 | 6.14 | -1.14 |
| 39 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.29 | 3 | 7.15 | 3.35 | 0.65 |
| 40 | Tulsa | Conference USA | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.92 | 6 | 10.34 | 5.06 | -0.06 |
| 41 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.64 | 2.88 | 12.48 | 4.46 | 0.54 |
| 42 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.52 | 9.14 | 11.89 | 4.61 | -0.61 |
| 43 | Clemson | ACC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.06 | 6.14 | 13.26 | 4.53 | -0.53 |
| 44 | UConn | Big East | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.02 | 17.43 | 4.41 | 6.06 | -2.06 |
| 45 | Maryland | ACC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.93 | 3 | 13.69 | 4.01 | -0.01 |
| 46 | Virginia | ACC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.86 | 3.71 | 11.84 | 4.15 | -0.15 |
| 47 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.84 | 10.57 | 7.99 | 4.98 | -0.98 |
| 48 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.78 | 6.43 | 10.39 | 4.67 | -0.67 |
| 49 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.78 | 6 | 10.8 | 4.34 | -0.34 |
| 50 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 14.72 | -1.17 | 9.57 | 2.85 | 1.15 |
| 51 | Baylor | Big 12 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.72 | 5.71 | 8.15 | 4.54 | -0.54 |
| 52 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.63 | 6 | 7.2 | 4.25 | -0.25 |
| 53 | Memphis | Conference USA | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.59 | 5.57 | 9.54 | 4.37 | -0.37 |
| 54 | Houston | Conference USA | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.53 | 4.14 | 10.72 | 4.11 | -0.11 |
| 55 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.47 | 0.57 | 19.45 | 3.6 | 0.4 |
| 56 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.36 | 1.29 | 12.62 | 3.7 | 0.3 |
| 57 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.23 | 8 | 4.38 | 4.68 | -0.68 |
| 58 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.12 | 0.86 | 14.82 | 3.62 | 0.38 |
| 59 | South Carolina | SEC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 13.93 | 0.43 | 15.12 | 3.57 | 0.43 |
| 60 | South Florida | Big East | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.54 | 6.33 | 12.83 | 4 | -1 |
| 61 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.25 | 3.88 | 12.24 | 4.73 | -0.73 |
| 62 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 4-3 | 0.57 | 13.2 | -0.14 | 10.72 | 3.47 | 0.53 |
| 63 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.13 | 6.75 | 9.85 | 5.35 | -1.35 |
| 64 | Indiana | Big Ten | 4-3 | 0.57 | 12.97 | -1 | 10.3 | 3.35 | 0.65 |
| 65 | UCF | Conference USA | 4-3 | 0.57 | 12.9 | -0.43 | 10.75 | 3.43 | 0.57 |
| 66 | Tennessee | SEC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.87 | 0.33 | 18.92 | 3.07 | -0.07 |
| 67 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 4-3 | 0.57 | 12.78 | 0.29 | 5.9 | 3.54 | 0.46 |
| 68 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 12.46 | 8.29 | 15.87 | 4.48 | -1.48 |
| 69 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 12.37 | -4.71 | 13.91 | 2.92 | 1.08 |
| 70 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.12 | 1.67 | 9.79 | 3.22 | -0.22 |
| 71 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 12.12 | 9.43 | 11.43 | 4.6 | -1.6 |
| 72 | Utah | Mountain West | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.11 | 1.25 | 9.73 | 4.23 | -0.23 |
| 73 | UAB | Conference USA | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11 | 4 | 5.66 | 4.15 | -1.15 |
| 74 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.89 | -1.75 | 9.66 | 3.66 | 0.34 |
| 75 | North Carolina | ACC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.18 | -7.83 | 16.15 | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 76 | Kansas | Big 12 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.53 | -1.43 | 10.39 | 3.21 | -0.21 |
| 77 | BYU | Mountain West | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.37 | -2.43 | 12.63 | 3.13 | -0.13 |
| 78 | Ole Miss | SEC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.27 | -1.14 | 10.83 | 3.2 | -0.2 |
| 79 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.84 | -3 | 8.52 | 3.02 | -0.02 |
| 80 | Marshall | Conference USA | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.52 | -7.29 | 11.84 | 2.12 | 0.88 |
| 81 | NC State | ACC | 2-4 | 0.33 | 8.43 | 1.17 | 9.96 | 3.18 | -1.18 |
| 82 | Air Force | Mountain West | 3-5 | 0.38 | 8.31 | -1.62 | 11.41 | 3.73 | -0.73 |
| 83 | Cincinnati | Big East | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.25 | -10.14 | 11.76 | 1.96 | 1.04 |
| 84 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.17 | -10.29 | 10.13 | 1.75 | 1.25 |
| 85 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 3-5 | 0.38 | 8.07 | -2.62 | 12.32 | 3.53 | -0.53 |
| 86 | Akron | Mid-American | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.03 | -9.29 | 7.1 | 2.03 | 0.97 |
| 87 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.03 | -8.14 | 10.09 | 2.51 | 0.49 |
| 88 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 3-4 | 0.43 | 7.9 | -10.43 | 8.25 | 1.81 | 1.19 |
| 89 | Ohio | Mid-American | 3-4 | 0.43 | 7.84 | -13.43 | 12.57 | 1.48 | 1.52 |
| 90 | Troy | Sun Belt | 3-4 | 0.43 | 7.66 | -10.71 | 7.03 | 1.57 | 1.43 |
| 91 | Wake Forest | ACC | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.57 | -5.25 | 16.28 | 3.07 | -0.07 |
| 92 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.13 | -8.75 | 11.36 | 2.22 | 0.78 |
| 93 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.69 | -2.67 | 9.74 | 2.38 | -0.38 |
| 94 | Tulane | Conference USA | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.14 | -5.67 | 7.62 | 2.2 | -0.2 |
| 95 | Arkansas | SEC | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.78 | -3.86 | 15.87 | 2.94 | -0.94 |
| 96 | Purdue | Big Ten | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.73 | -4.14 | 15.41 | 2.97 | -0.97 |
| 97 | Utah State | Western Athletic | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.6 | -13.33 | 9.35 | 1.35 | 0.65 |
| 98 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.28 | -19.67 | 9.38 | 0.42 | 1.58 |
| 99 | Mississippi State | SEC | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.03 | -10 | 14.29 | 1.56 | 0.44 |
| 100 | Illinois | Big Ten | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.57 | -20.29 | 16.43 | 1.09 | 0.91 |
| 101 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.47 | -11.14 | 8.26 | 1.83 | 0.17 |
| 102 | SMU | Conference USA | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.98 | -11.12 | 14.18 | 1.83 | 0.17 |
| 103 | UNLV | Mountain West | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.95 | -10.12 | 10.75 | 2.22 | -0.22 |
| 104 | Kentucky | SEC | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.91 | -12.33 | 10.67 | 1.53 | -0.53 |
| 105 | Florida International | Sun Belt | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.67 | -16.67 | 9.64 | 0.91 | 0.09 |
| 106 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.62 | -7.29 | 12.51 | 2.25 | -1.25 |
| 107 | Syracuse | Big East | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.52 | -8.86 | 14.97 | 1.79 | -0.79 |
| 108 | Kent State | Mid-American | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.32 | -10.71 | 9 | 1.88 | -0.88 |
| 109 | Washington | Pac-10 | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.28 | -12.57 | 17.79 | 1.73 | -0.73 |
| 110 | San José State | Western Athletic | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.24 | -11.29 | 7.41 | 2.04 | -1.04 |
| 111 | Army | FBS Independents | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.93 | -13.29 | 16.42 | 1.19 | -0.19 |
| 112 | Idaho | Western Athletic | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.89 | -18.71 | 10.21 | 0.98 | 0.02 |
| 113 | Ball State | Mid-American | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.6 | -28.14 | 16.53 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| 114 | Florida Atlantic | Sun Belt | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.5 | -16.75 | 11.52 | 0.96 | 0.04 |
| 115 | Duke | ACC | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.38 | -20.12 | 14.98 | 1.03 | -0.03 |
| 116 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 0-7 | 0 | -2.53 | -20.29 | 13.48 | 0.31 | -0.31 |
| 117 | New Mexico State | Western Athletic | 0-7 | 0 | -2.72 | -24.57 | 15.16 | 0.6 | -0.6 |
| 118 | Rice | Conference USA | 0-6 | 0 | -2.87 | -27.83 | 17.38 | 0.64 | -0.64 |
| 119 | Temple | FBS Independents | 0-8 | 0 | -3.1 | -36.75 | 17.26 | 0.17 | -0.17 |