Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:33.925129+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Texas | Big 12 | 8-0 | 1 | 26.44 | 30.5 | 13.06 | 7.4 | 0.6 |
| 2 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 8-0 | 1 | 26.26 | 27.62 | 12.62 | 7.72 | 0.28 |
| 3 | USC | Pac-10 | 8-0 | 1 | 25.84 | 29.25 | 10.35 | 7.13 | 0.87 |
| 4 | Alabama | SEC | 8-0 | 1 | 25.58 | 16 | 11.34 | 7.32 | 0.68 |
| 5 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 8-0 | 1 | 25.26 | 15.25 | 9.92 | 5.93 | 2.07 |
| 6 | Penn State | Big Ten | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.53 | 19.56 | 13.31 | 7.81 | 0.19 |
| 7 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.93 | 15.22 | 11.07 | 6.83 | 1.17 |
| 8 | Georgia | SEC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.93 | 14.5 | 11.66 | 6.77 | 0.23 |
| 9 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.6 | 27 | 8.18 | 7.13 | -0.13 |
| 10 | LSU | SEC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.46 | 17 | 12.07 | 5.94 | 0.06 |
| 11 | Florida State | ACC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.43 | 17.62 | 9.16 | 6.63 | 0.37 |
| 12 | TCU | Mountain West | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.39 | 10.78 | 9.57 | 6.54 | 1.46 |
| 13 | Miami | ACC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.38 | 19.57 | 11.04 | 6.44 | -0.44 |
| 14 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.3 | 10.88 | 10.24 | 5.64 | 1.36 |
| 15 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.74 | 24.43 | 6.5 | 6.24 | -0.24 |
| 16 | West Virginia | Big East | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.72 | 7.29 | 11.2 | 4.73 | 1.27 |
| 17 | UTEP | Conference USA | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.4 | 11.43 | 7.69 | 5.11 | 0.89 |
| 18 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 6-2 | 0.75 | 20.51 | 14 | 17.14 | 6.48 | -0.48 |
| 19 | Florida | SEC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.93 | 10.5 | 14.86 | 6.2 | -0.2 |
| 20 | Colorado | Big 12 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.79 | 10.75 | 13.82 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 | Boston College | ACC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.66 | 10 | 12.11 | 6.08 | -0.08 |
| 22 | Auburn | SEC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.44 | 22.62 | 7.93 | 7.48 | -1.48 |
| 23 | Boise State | Western Athletic | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.97 | 9.5 | 9.24 | 5.41 | 0.59 |
| 24 | Toledo | Mid-American | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.95 | 17.75 | 4.92 | 6.62 | -0.62 |
| 25 | California | Pac-10 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.93 | 17.75 | 5.59 | 6.54 | -0.54 |
| 26 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.84 | 12.57 | 12.6 | 5.06 | -0.06 |
| 27 | Louisville | Big East | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.77 | 20 | 9.82 | 5.52 | -0.52 |
| 28 | Rutgers | Big East | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.68 | 9 | 7.53 | 5.72 | 0.28 |
| 29 | Michigan | Big Ten | 6-3 | 0.67 | 18.25 | 9.11 | 17.46 | 6.43 | -0.43 |
| 30 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.45 | 1.29 | 13.47 | 3.77 | 1.23 |
| 31 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.81 | 8 | 14.99 | 5.16 | -0.16 |
| 32 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.61 | 11.88 | 12.67 | 5.63 | -0.63 |
| 33 | Missouri | Big 12 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.3 | 4.25 | 14.39 | 4.66 | 0.34 |
| 34 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.19 | 8.12 | 10.02 | 5.23 | -0.23 |
| 35 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.15 | 9.12 | 10.75 | 5.79 | -0.79 |
| 36 | Iowa | Big Ten | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.1 | 11.75 | 8.2 | 6.14 | -1.14 |
| 37 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.04 | 4.5 | 11.99 | 4.96 | 0.04 |
| 38 | Tulsa | Conference USA | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.94 | 6 | 10.82 | 5.06 | -0.06 |
| 39 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.92 | 2 | 15.03 | 4.28 | 0.72 |
| 40 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.9 | 1.38 | 18.44 | 4.26 | 0.74 |
| 41 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.86 | 8.62 | 8.69 | 5.37 | -0.37 |
| 42 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.58 | 2 | 14.15 | 4.32 | 0.68 |
| 43 | South Carolina | SEC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.07 | 0.5 | 14.58 | 4.1 | 0.9 |
| 44 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.05 | 7.71 | 10.42 | 4.6 | -0.6 |
| 45 | UConn | Big East | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.81 | 17.43 | 4.67 | 6.06 | -2.06 |
| 46 | UCF | Conference USA | 5-3 | 0.62 | 14.78 | 0.88 | 10.94 | 4.16 | 0.84 |
| 47 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 5-3 | 0.62 | 14.78 | 4 | 4.63 | 4.59 | 0.41 |
| 48 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 5-3 | 0.62 | 14.69 | 0.38 | 12.07 | 4.08 | 0.92 |
| 49 | Memphis | Conference USA | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.67 | 5.57 | 10.37 | 4.37 | -0.37 |
| 50 | Virginia | ACC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.61 | 3.71 | 12.01 | 4.15 | -0.15 |
| 51 | Houston | Conference USA | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.53 | 4.14 | 10.76 | 4.11 | -0.11 |
| 52 | Navy | FBS Independents | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.31 | 4.14 | 7.79 | 4.11 | -0.11 |
| 53 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.23 | 8 | 4.49 | 4.68 | -0.68 |
| 54 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.06 | 3.86 | 8.11 | 4.11 | -0.11 |
| 55 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.93 | 1.44 | 12.03 | 4.76 | 0.24 |
| 56 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.83 | 10.25 | 14.28 | 5.39 | -1.39 |
| 57 | South Florida | Big East | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.47 | 6.33 | 13.42 | 4 | -1 |
| 58 | Clemson | ACC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.43 | 5.25 | 13.4 | 5.09 | -1.09 |
| 59 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.11 | 6.75 | 9.56 | 5.35 | -1.35 |
| 60 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.06 | 3.88 | 12.58 | 4.73 | -0.73 |
| 61 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.03 | 7.5 | 7.18 | 5.25 | -1.25 |
| 62 | Maryland | ACC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.92 | 1.62 | 15.18 | 4.31 | -0.31 |
| 63 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.72 | 4 | 8.06 | 4.61 | -0.61 |
| 64 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 12.69 | -1.43 | 11.54 | 3.29 | 0.71 |
| 65 | Baylor | Big 12 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.43 | 1.5 | 10.48 | 4.33 | -0.33 |
| 66 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.32 | 0.75 | 12.47 | 4.14 | -0.14 |
| 67 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 4-3 | 0.57 | 12.27 | -2.43 | 8.89 | 3.17 | 0.83 |
| 68 | Utah | Mountain West | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.09 | 1.25 | 9.28 | 4.23 | -0.23 |
| 69 | BYU | Mountain West | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.92 | 0.5 | 12.46 | 4.08 | -0.08 |
| 70 | Kansas | Big 12 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.53 | 0 | 11.48 | 4 | 0 |
| 71 | Tennessee | SEC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.79 | 0.14 | 18.14 | 3.54 | -0.54 |
| 72 | UAB | Conference USA | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.79 | 4 | 5.38 | 4.15 | -1.15 |
| 73 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.73 | -1.75 | 10.14 | 3.66 | 0.34 |
| 74 | NC State | ACC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.69 | 1.57 | 11.92 | 3.79 | -0.79 |
| 75 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.46 | -4.38 | 12.2 | 3.37 | 0.63 |
| 76 | Indiana | Big Ten | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.32 | -4.75 | 10.56 | 3.18 | 0.82 |
| 77 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 3-5 | 0.38 | 10.22 | 3 | 13.12 | 4.41 | -1.41 |
| 78 | Wake Forest | ACC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.97 | -0.44 | 13.48 | 4.41 | -0.41 |
| 79 | Marshall | Conference USA | 4-4 | 0.5 | 9.91 | -6.25 | 10.74 | 2.67 | 1.33 |
| 80 | Cincinnati | Big East | 4-4 | 0.5 | 9.7 | -8.12 | 10.52 | 2.52 | 1.48 |
| 81 | Akron | Mid-American | 4-4 | 0.5 | 9.65 | -6.88 | 8.53 | 2.69 | 1.31 |
| 82 | Ohio | Mid-American | 4-4 | 0.5 | 9.54 | -10 | 10.64 | 2.22 | 1.78 |
| 83 | North Carolina | ACC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.56 | -9.29 | 16.58 | 1.89 | 1.11 |
| 84 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 3-4 | 0.43 | 7.84 | -10.43 | 8.17 | 1.81 | 1.19 |
| 85 | Ole Miss | SEC | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.62 | -4 | 11.02 | 2.83 | 0.17 |
| 86 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.53 | -3.88 | 9.5 | 3.29 | -0.29 |
| 87 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.06 | -8.88 | 11.52 | 2.71 | 0.29 |
| 88 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.04 | -8.75 | 11.91 | 2.22 | 0.78 |
| 89 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.96 | -11.38 | 12.82 | 1.96 | 1.04 |
| 90 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.8 | -2.67 | 13.15 | 3.95 | -0.95 |
| 91 | Troy | Sun Belt | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.72 | -9.75 | 6.62 | 2.05 | 0.95 |
| 92 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.65 | -9.38 | 8.22 | 2.39 | 0.61 |
| 93 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.53 | -2.67 | 9.17 | 2.38 | -0.38 |
| 94 | Air Force | Mountain West | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.52 | -3.78 | 11.23 | 3.86 | -0.86 |
| 95 | Arkansas | SEC | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.64 | -3.86 | 15.04 | 2.94 | -0.94 |
| 96 | Tulane | Conference USA | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.22 | -5 | 8.02 | 2.69 | -0.69 |
| 97 | Kentucky | SEC | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.62 | -9.71 | 9.89 | 1.99 | 0.01 |
| 98 | Utah State | Western Athletic | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.54 | -16 | 11.87 | 1.21 | 0.79 |
| 99 | Purdue | Big Ten | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.5 | -5.88 | 16.16 | 3.11 | -1.11 |
| 100 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.2 | -24.43 | 11.5 | 0.3 | 1.7 |
| 101 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.13 | -6.12 | 12.82 | 2.81 | -0.81 |
| 102 | Mississippi State | SEC | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.01 | -9.5 | 12.3 | 1.76 | 0.24 |
| 103 | SMU | Conference USA | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.87 | -11.12 | 13.26 | 1.83 | 0.17 |
| 104 | UNLV | Mountain West | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.84 | -10.12 | 10.02 | 2.22 | -0.22 |
| 105 | Illinois | Big Ten | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.55 | -19.88 | 16.22 | 1.31 | 0.69 |
| 106 | Idaho | Western Athletic | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.29 | -16.25 | 8.23 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| 107 | Ball State | Mid-American | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.22 | -22.88 | 16.09 | 1.13 | 0.87 |
| 108 | Florida International | Sun Belt | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.61 | -16.67 | 9.02 | 0.91 | 0.09 |
| 109 | Army | FBS Independents | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.14 | -13.29 | 15.75 | 1.19 | -0.19 |
| 110 | Syracuse | Big East | 1-7 | 0.12 | 1.02 | -8.5 | 13.82 | 2.11 | -1.11 |
| 111 | San José State | Western Athletic | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.73 | -12 | 7.81 | 2.19 | -1.19 |
| 112 | Kent State | Mid-American | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.68 | -13.12 | 9.94 | 1.83 | -0.83 |
| 113 | Washington | Pac-10 | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.67 | -14 | 16.73 | 1.83 | -0.83 |
| 114 | Florida Atlantic | Sun Belt | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.47 | -16.75 | 11.13 | 0.96 | 0.04 |
| 115 | Duke | ACC | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.04 | -22.11 | 13.89 | 0.95 | 0.05 |
| 116 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 0-8 | 0 | -2.47 | -19.5 | 12.35 | 0.5 | -0.5 |
| 117 | New Mexico State | Western Athletic | 0-8 | 0 | -2.6 | -21.62 | 14.68 | 1.01 | -1.01 |
| 118 | Rice | Conference USA | 0-7 | 0 | -2.77 | -24.86 | 17.95 | 0.94 | -0.94 |
| 119 | Temple | FBS Independents | 0-9 | 0 | -3.04 | -35.67 | 16.76 | 0.23 | -0.23 |