Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:34.150804+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 10-0 | 1 | 26.09 | 26.4 | 12.6 | 9.72 | 0.28 |
| 2 | Louisville | Big East | 8-0 | 1 | 25.93 | 24.12 | 12.41 | 7.24 | 0.76 |
| 3 | Michigan | Big Ten | 10-0 | 1 | 25.84 | 15.9 | 13.36 | 8.69 | 1.31 |
| 4 | Rutgers | Big East | 8-0 | 1 | 25.05 | 20.12 | 8.6 | 7.52 | 0.48 |
| 5 | Boise State | Western Athletic | 9-0 | 1 | 24.98 | 23.67 | 7.64 | 8.01 | 0.99 |
| 6 | Florida | SEC | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.46 | 13.33 | 15.31 | 7.58 | 0.42 |
| 7 | Texas | Big 12 | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.37 | 23.5 | 11.22 | 8.97 | 0.03 |
| 8 | Auburn | SEC | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.3 | 15.3 | 12.61 | 8.81 | 0.19 |
| 9 | California | Pac-10 | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.11 | 16.67 | 12.47 | 7.3 | 0.7 |
| 10 | USC | Pac-10 | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.96 | 16.25 | 13 | 6.77 | 0.23 |
| 11 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.68 | 9.56 | 12.32 | 6.31 | 1.69 |
| 12 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.61 | 18.5 | 8.09 | 9.02 | -0.02 |
| 13 | West Virginia | Big East | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.58 | 23.38 | 8.76 | 7.11 | -0.11 |
| 14 | Arkansas | SEC | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.48 | 15 | 9.46 | 7.47 | 0.53 |
| 15 | Wake Forest | ACC | 8-1 | 0.89 | 21.46 | 8 | 6.36 | 6.61 | 1.39 |
| 16 | LSU | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.79 | 25 | 12.28 | 8.56 | -1.56 |
| 17 | Tennessee | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.78 | 11.22 | 15.01 | 6.67 | 0.33 |
| 18 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.6 | 14.11 | 13.82 | 7.43 | -0.43 |
| 19 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.58 | 12.6 | 10.45 | 7.72 | 0.28 |
| 20 | BYU | Mountain West | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.33 | 20.22 | 10.43 | 8.01 | -1.01 |
| 21 | Boston College | ACC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.24 | 10.33 | 12.08 | 6.93 | 0.07 |
| 22 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.1 | 15.44 | 10.27 | 7.91 | -0.91 |
| 23 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.93 | 7.33 | 12.66 | 6.14 | 0.86 |
| 24 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.92 | 13.56 | 9.79 | 6.76 | 0.24 |
| 25 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.91 | 24.11 | 7.03 | 7.6 | -0.6 |
| 26 | Tulsa | Conference USA | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.71 | 9.78 | 8.97 | 6.66 | 0.34 |
| 27 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.03 | 6.44 | 7.5 | 5.98 | 1.02 |
| 28 | Clemson | ACC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.98 | 22 | 12.43 | 9.06 | -2.06 |
| 29 | Maryland | ACC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 18.86 | 2 | 11.1 | 4.99 | 2.01 |
| 30 | TCU | Mountain West | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.79 | 9.62 | 8.5 | 6.3 | -0.3 |
| 31 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.49 | 16.5 | 11.5 | 8.27 | -1.27 |
| 32 | Missouri | Big 12 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.34 | 11.8 | 11.24 | 7.7 | -0.7 |
| 33 | Houston | Conference USA | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.94 | 11.4 | 9.68 | 7.3 | -0.3 |
| 34 | San José State | Western Athletic | 6-2 | 0.75 | 17.74 | 7.62 | 2.77 | 5.5 | 0.5 |
| 35 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.58 | 16.67 | 8.98 | 7.69 | -1.69 |
| 36 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.42 | 7.44 | 13.32 | 6.11 | -0.11 |
| 37 | Ohio | Mid-American | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.32 | 4.5 | 9.68 | 6.41 | 0.59 |
| 38 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.05 | 10 | 9.08 | 6.43 | -0.43 |
| 39 | South Florida | Big East | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.62 | 7 | 7.69 | 6.24 | -0.24 |
| 40 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.53 | 4 | 9.82 | 5.29 | 0.71 |
| 41 | Navy | FBS Independents | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.37 | 3.44 | 9.38 | 5.28 | 0.72 |
| 42 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.17 | 3.22 | 8.25 | 5.26 | 0.74 |
| 43 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.81 | 5.4 | 14.01 | 6.41 | -0.41 |
| 44 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.76 | 9.7 | 11.45 | 6.99 | -0.99 |
| 45 | Alabama | SEC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.54 | 7.2 | 10.25 | 7.01 | -1.01 |
| 46 | Penn State | Big Ten | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.41 | 4.2 | 12.22 | 6.32 | -0.32 |
| 47 | Iowa | Big Ten | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.34 | 5.6 | 10.01 | 6.52 | -0.52 |
| 48 | Georgia | SEC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.31 | 6.6 | 8.93 | 6.79 | -0.79 |
| 49 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 15.15 | 10.22 | 12.75 | 6.26 | -1.26 |
| 50 | Florida State | ACC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.98 | 11 | 12.09 | 6.82 | -1.82 |
| 51 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.79 | 3 | 10.07 | 5.86 | 0.14 |
| 52 | South Carolina | SEC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.58 | 5.33 | 11.89 | 5.89 | -0.89 |
| 53 | Miami | ACC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.42 | 6.78 | 9.02 | 6.36 | -1.36 |
| 54 | Utah | Mountain West | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.41 | 8.78 | 8.04 | 6.36 | -1.36 |
| 55 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.04 | 4.67 | 8.58 | 5.45 | -0.45 |
| 56 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.76 | 2.33 | 10.72 | 5.06 | -0.06 |
| 57 | Cincinnati | Big East | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.75 | 1.33 | 12.38 | 4.9 | 0.1 |
| 58 | SMU | Conference USA | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.69 | 3.89 | 7.21 | 5.34 | -0.34 |
| 59 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.53 | 1.11 | 12.11 | 4.77 | 0.23 |
| 60 | Purdue | Big Ten | 6-4 | 0.6 | 13.3 | -0.6 | 9.78 | 4.86 | 1.14 |
| 61 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.3 | 0.44 | 10.58 | 4.59 | 0.41 |
| 62 | Kent State | Mid-American | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.17 | 1.33 | 5.92 | 4.84 | 0.16 |
| 63 | Air Force | Mountain West | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.78 | 3.62 | 12.68 | 4.75 | -0.75 |
| 64 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.68 | 3.4 | 11.03 | 6 | -1 |
| 65 | Kansas | Big 12 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.61 | 4.8 | 8.61 | 6.05 | -1.05 |
| 66 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 5-4 | 0.56 | 11.85 | -1.78 | 8.28 | 4.08 | 0.92 |
| 67 | Kentucky | SEC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 11.66 | -4.33 | 12.71 | 3.66 | 1.34 |
| 68 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.46 | 2.56 | 13.19 | 5.11 | -1.11 |
| 69 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 5-4 | 0.56 | 10.95 | -7.89 | 7.6 | 2.32 | 2.68 |
| 70 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 4-6 | 0.4 | 10.21 | 2.1 | 11.31 | 5.57 | -1.57 |
| 71 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 4-6 | 0.4 | 10.18 | 1.8 | 14.47 | 5.41 | -1.41 |
| 72 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.04 | -5.62 | 9.99 | 2.95 | 1.05 |
| 73 | Troy | Sun Belt | 4-4 | 0.5 | 9.93 | -3.88 | 8.11 | 3.16 | 0.84 |
| 74 | Indiana | Big Ten | 5-5 | 0.5 | 9.9 | -7.7 | 11.03 | 3.49 | 1.51 |
| 75 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.55 | -0.67 | 6.88 | 4.3 | -0.3 |
| 76 | UTEP | Conference USA | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.32 | -2.11 | 10.89 | 4.11 | -0.11 |
| 77 | Marshall | Conference USA | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.99 | -2.22 | 9.24 | 4.07 | -0.07 |
| 78 | Akron | Mid-American | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.98 | -2.56 | 9.81 | 3.92 | 0.08 |
| 79 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.59 | -5.89 | 11.89 | 2.71 | 1.29 |
| 80 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.52 | -2.2 | 13.48 | 4.54 | -0.54 |
| 81 | Rice | Conference USA | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.41 | -7.33 | 11.45 | 3.25 | 0.75 |
| 82 | Washington | Pac-10 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.39 | -3.5 | 15.55 | 4.15 | -0.15 |
| 83 | Virginia | ACC | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.38 | -2.6 | 11.82 | 4.14 | -0.14 |
| 84 | Baylor | Big 12 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.1 | -4 | 11.93 | 4.13 | -0.13 |
| 85 | UConn | Big East | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.74 | -3.5 | 13.78 | 3.23 | -0.23 |
| 86 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.37 | -9.4 | 10.3 | 2.91 | 1.09 |
| 87 | Idaho | Western Athletic | 4-6 | 0.4 | 6.95 | -16.5 | 10.21 | 1.85 | 2.15 |
| 88 | NC State | ACC | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.67 | -3 | 12.77 | 3.73 | -0.73 |
| 89 | Syracuse | Big East | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.42 | -4.89 | 15.36 | 3.31 | -0.31 |
| 90 | Ball State | Mid-American | 3-7 | 0.3 | 6.31 | -1 | 9.03 | 4.79 | -1.79 |
| 91 | UAB | Conference USA | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.28 | -4.33 | 9.71 | 3.4 | -0.4 |
| 92 | Toledo | Mid-American | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.88 | -6.89 | 9.29 | 3.19 | -0.19 |
| 93 | Tulane | Conference USA | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.62 | -12.67 | 12 | 2.36 | 0.64 |
| 94 | Florida Atlantic | Sun Belt | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.4 | -15.89 | 10.8 | 1.17 | 1.83 |
| 95 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.4 | -5.9 | 10.03 | 3.57 | -0.57 |
| 96 | Mississippi State | SEC | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.24 | -7.1 | 13.32 | 3.2 | -0.2 |
| 97 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.11 | -20 | 11.75 | 1.42 | 1.58 |
| 98 | Ole Miss | SEC | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.1 | -8.7 | 13.37 | 2.51 | 0.49 |
| 99 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.05 | -8.3 | 11.27 | 2.72 | 0.28 |
| 100 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.87 | -13.1 | 11.45 | 2.23 | 0.77 |
| 101 | New Mexico State | Western Athletic | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.75 | -4.33 | 9.82 | 3.77 | -1.77 |
| 102 | Illinois | Big Ten | 2-8 | 0.2 | 3.12 | -6.4 | 14.36 | 3.33 | -1.33 |
| 103 | UCF | Conference USA | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.97 | -13.67 | 11.45 | 1.91 | 0.09 |
| 104 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.88 | -15.33 | 11.29 | 1.25 | 0.75 |
| 105 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.74 | -15.22 | 12.02 | 1.81 | 0.19 |
| 106 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.87 | -9.62 | 10.26 | 1.94 | -0.94 |
| 107 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.74 | -12.38 | 15.25 | 2.02 | -1.02 |
| 108 | Colorado | Big 12 | 1-9 | 0.1 | 0.72 | -6.5 | 12.46 | 2.98 | -1.98 |
| 109 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.7 | -12.62 | 12.01 | 1.5 | -0.5 |
| 110 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.61 | -10.22 | 10.75 | 2.09 | -1.09 |
| 111 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 1-9 | 0.1 | 0.61 | -7.4 | 9.91 | 3.14 | -2.14 |
| 112 | Memphis | Conference USA | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.57 | -10.89 | 9.89 | 2.51 | -1.51 |
| 113 | UNLV | Mountain West | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.39 | -13.89 | 11.91 | 1.85 | -0.85 |
| 114 | North Carolina | ACC | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.22 | -17.56 | 15.75 | 1.37 | -0.37 |
| 115 | Utah State | Western Athletic | 1-8 | 0.11 | -0.07 | -25.44 | 13.02 | 0.51 | 0.49 |
| 116 | Temple | FBS Independents | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.4 | -28.2 | 13.69 | 0.57 | 0.43 |
| 117 | Florida International | Sun Belt | 0-8 | 0 | -2.19 | -13.62 | 13.22 | 1.12 | -1.12 |
| 118 | Duke | ACC | 0-9 | 0 | -2.46 | -19.67 | 12.71 | 0.81 | -0.81 |
| 119 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 0-9 | 0 | -2.76 | -26.11 | 16.77 | 0.36 | -0.36 |