Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:34.151666+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 12-0 | 1 | 25.69 | 25.92 | 11.94 | 11.41 | 0.59 |
| 2 | Boise State | Western Athletic | 11-0 | 1 | 24.75 | 23.18 | 7.67 | 9.79 | 1.21 |
| 3 | Michigan | Big Ten | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.89 | 15.58 | 13.85 | 10.18 | 0.82 |
| 4 | Louisville | Big East | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.61 | 21.3 | 14.04 | 8.83 | 0.17 |
| 5 | USC | Pac-10 | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.45 | 16.9 | 14.19 | 8.65 | 0.35 |
| 6 | Florida | SEC | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.36 | 16.64 | 12.38 | 9.75 | 0.25 |
| 7 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.05 | 12.73 | 11.85 | 8.35 | 1.65 |
| 8 | West Virginia | Big East | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.95 | 22.3 | 10.26 | 8.68 | 0.32 |
| 9 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 11-1 | 0.92 | 22.91 | 18.33 | 8.39 | 10.81 | 0.19 |
| 10 | Rutgers | Big East | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.77 | 14.5 | 10.42 | 8.58 | 0.42 |
| 11 | Arkansas | SEC | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.73 | 15.09 | 9.35 | 9.17 | 0.83 |
| 12 | LSU | SEC | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.34 | 22 | 11.58 | 10.21 | -1.21 |
| 13 | Texas | Big 12 | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.33 | 21.09 | 11.59 | 9.46 | -0.46 |
| 14 | Auburn | SEC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.27 | 11.5 | 12.66 | 9.68 | 0.32 |
| 15 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.14 | 14.82 | 12.19 | 9.13 | -0.13 |
| 16 | BYU | Mountain West | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.11 | 23.18 | 9.99 | 10.03 | -1.03 |
| 17 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.99 | 16.64 | 10.85 | 9.99 | -0.99 |
| 18 | Boston College | ACC | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.91 | 12.36 | 11.67 | 8.89 | 0.11 |
| 19 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.76 | 27.09 | 7.32 | 9.56 | -0.56 |
| 20 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.4 | 9.18 | 9.82 | 8.02 | 0.98 |
| 21 | Wake Forest | ACC | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.02 | 7.36 | 7.9 | 7.97 | 1.03 |
| 22 | TCU | Mountain West | 8-2 | 0.8 | 19.85 | 13.5 | 7.6 | 8.5 | -0.5 |
| 23 | Clemson | ACC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 19.27 | 20.55 | 11.79 | 9.87 | -1.87 |
| 24 | Tennessee | SEC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 19.13 | 10.27 | 14.52 | 7.99 | 0.01 |
| 25 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 8-3 | 0.73 | 19.12 | 15.09 | 12.37 | 8.84 | -0.84 |
| 26 | California | Pac-10 | 8-3 | 0.73 | 19.02 | 12 | 12.36 | 8.25 | -0.25 |
| 27 | Houston | Conference USA | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.74 | 10.58 | 8.65 | 8.6 | 0.4 |
| 28 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.64 | 11.36 | 10.57 | 8.22 | -0.22 |
| 29 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.37 | 15.82 | 7.39 | 9.06 | -1.06 |
| 30 | Navy | FBS Independents | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.02 | 8.64 | 7.94 | 7.69 | 0.31 |
| 31 | Ohio | Mid-American | 8-3 | 0.73 | 17.78 | 5 | 8.81 | 7.26 | 0.74 |
| 32 | Penn State | Big Ten | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.09 | 7.75 | 11.46 | 8.77 | -0.77 |
| 33 | Maryland | ACC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 16.7 | -0.27 | 11.64 | 5.42 | 2.58 |
| 34 | Missouri | Big 12 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.61 | 10.27 | 10.8 | 8.19 | -1.19 |
| 35 | Tulsa | Conference USA | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.27 | 6.82 | 10.44 | 7.25 | -0.25 |
| 36 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.26 | 6.55 | 11.33 | 7.33 | -0.33 |
| 37 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.25 | 6.36 | 10.61 | 6.93 | 0.07 |
| 38 | Georgia | SEC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.22 | 8 | 9.7 | 7.8 | -0.8 |
| 39 | Utah | Mountain West | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.03 | 8.64 | 8.15 | 7.77 | -0.77 |
| 40 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.9 | 3.55 | 10.89 | 6.4 | 0.6 |
| 41 | South Florida | Big East | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.86 | 5.18 | 8.7 | 7.13 | -0.13 |
| 42 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.84 | 4.91 | 9.65 | 6.94 | 0.06 |
| 43 | Purdue | Big Ten | 8-4 | 0.67 | 15.64 | 1.17 | 8.94 | 6.32 | 1.68 |
| 44 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.34 | 2.36 | 8.31 | 6.19 | 0.81 |
| 45 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.07 | 7.75 | 11.82 | 7.94 | -0.94 |
| 46 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.04 | 1.09 | 8.67 | 5.81 | 1.19 |
| 47 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.77 | 11.64 | 11.97 | 7.83 | -1.83 |
| 48 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.54 | 11.91 | 9.93 | 8.22 | -2.22 |
| 49 | South Carolina | SEC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.51 | 8.36 | 12.84 | 8 | -2 |
| 50 | Florida State | ACC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.42 | 7 | 13.06 | 7.45 | -1.45 |
| 51 | San José State | Western Athletic | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.25 | 2.1 | 7.01 | 5.51 | 0.49 |
| 52 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.2 | 4.82 | 13.45 | 6.96 | -0.96 |
| 53 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.92 | 1.17 | 10.59 | 6.36 | 0.64 |
| 54 | Kansas | Big 12 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.88 | 6.09 | 9.23 | 6.94 | -0.94 |
| 55 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.76 | 5.36 | 8.87 | 6.91 | -0.91 |
| 56 | Kentucky | SEC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 13.73 | -2.27 | 11.62 | 4.99 | 2.01 |
| 57 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.59 | 2.27 | 11.04 | 6.07 | -0.07 |
| 58 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.51 | 2 | 11.06 | 6.09 | -0.09 |
| 59 | Cincinnati | Big East | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.47 | 1.18 | 14.34 | 5.89 | 0.11 |
| 60 | SMU | Conference USA | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.45 | 3.18 | 9.01 | 6.31 | -0.31 |
| 61 | Alabama | SEC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.93 | 4.25 | 12.13 | 7.48 | -1.48 |
| 62 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.77 | 3.42 | 13.02 | 6.92 | -0.92 |
| 63 | Iowa | Big Ten | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.68 | 3.58 | 10.67 | 7.14 | -1.14 |
| 64 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.43 | 1.5 | 13.1 | 6.45 | -0.45 |
| 65 | Kent State | Mid-American | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.99 | -0.27 | 7.51 | 5.41 | 0.59 |
| 66 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.82 | -2 | 13 | 4.77 | 1.23 |
| 67 | Miami | ACC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.61 | 4.55 | 9.88 | 7.15 | -2.15 |
| 68 | Rice | Conference USA | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.1 | -5.64 | 11.85 | 4.3 | 1.7 |
| 69 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.03 | -0.5 | 10.55 | 5.84 | 0.16 |
| 70 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 6-5 | 0.55 | 10.55 | -8.36 | 8.59 | 2.89 | 3.11 |
| 71 | Troy | Sun Belt | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.12 | -3.1 | 7.88 | 4.18 | 0.82 |
| 72 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 5-5 | 0.5 | 9.84 | -4.4 | 8.45 | 3.84 | 1.16 |
| 73 | Marshall | Conference USA | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.77 | -0.45 | 9.17 | 5.39 | -0.39 |
| 74 | Air Force | Mountain West | 4-6 | 0.4 | 9.63 | 0.4 | 13.16 | 5.11 | -1.11 |
| 75 | Virginia | ACC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.56 | -1.45 | 11.49 | 4.95 | 0.05 |
| 76 | Akron | Mid-American | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.45 | -1.64 | 9.25 | 5.02 | -0.02 |
| 77 | UTEP | Conference USA | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.29 | -2.55 | 9.8 | 4.94 | 0.06 |
| 78 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.95 | -4.27 | 9.75 | 4.31 | 0.69 |
| 79 | Washington | Pac-10 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.46 | -4.08 | 14.11 | 4.8 | 0.2 |
| 80 | UConn | Big East | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.16 | -3.3 | 12.96 | 4.17 | -0.17 |
| 81 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.12 | -1.9 | 8.08 | 4.41 | -0.41 |
| 82 | Indiana | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.83 | -9.75 | 12.23 | 3.63 | 1.37 |
| 83 | Ball State | Mid-American | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.65 | -0.64 | 8.79 | 5.35 | -1.35 |
| 84 | Syracuse | Big East | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.89 | -5 | 13.54 | 3.97 | 0.03 |
| 85 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.89 | -1.67 | 11.58 | 5.48 | -1.48 |
| 86 | Toledo | Mid-American | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.66 | -5.55 | 8.85 | 4.11 | -0.11 |
| 87 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.53 | -3.25 | 12.95 | 5.14 | -1.14 |
| 88 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.39 | -8.73 | 9.55 | 3.22 | 0.78 |
| 89 | Tulane | Conference USA | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.14 | -12.82 | 12.07 | 2.61 | 1.39 |
| 90 | Florida Atlantic | Sun Belt | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6 | -13.55 | 9.91 | 1.79 | 2.21 |
| 91 | Idaho | Western Athletic | 4-7 | 0.36 | 5.85 | -18.09 | 9.09 | 1.7 | 2.3 |
| 92 | Baylor | Big 12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.83 | -9 | 12.61 | 3.81 | 0.19 |
| 93 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.63 | -9.67 | 11.5 | 3.01 | 0.99 |
| 94 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.47 | -11.92 | 11.42 | 2.86 | 1.14 |
| 95 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.29 | -6 | 12.71 | 3.65 | -0.65 |
| 96 | NC State | ACC | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.96 | -4.27 | 12.56 | 4.12 | -1.12 |
| 97 | UAB | Conference USA | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.71 | -5.73 | 11.41 | 3.8 | -0.8 |
| 98 | Mississippi State | SEC | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.56 | -7.73 | 13.15 | 3.35 | -0.35 |
| 99 | Ole Miss | SEC | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.53 | -8.18 | 13.43 | 2.92 | 0.08 |
| 100 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.42 | -8.27 | 10.24 | 3.35 | -0.35 |
| 101 | UCF | Conference USA | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.21 | -11.09 | 10.71 | 2.7 | 0.3 |
| 102 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.16 | -11.82 | 10.51 | 2.05 | 0.95 |
| 103 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.69 | -24.18 | 12.53 | 1.24 | 1.76 |
| 104 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 2-8 | 0.2 | 3.2 | -4.4 | 9.28 | 3.84 | -1.84 |
| 105 | New Mexico State | Western Athletic | 2-8 | 0.2 | 3.19 | -4.4 | 9.09 | 4.15 | -2.15 |
| 106 | Colorado | Big 12 | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.78 | -4.36 | 11.11 | 4.01 | -2.01 |
| 107 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.47 | -13.9 | 11.67 | 1.62 | 0.38 |
| 108 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.4 | -6.55 | 9.34 | 3.56 | -1.56 |
| 109 | Illinois | Big Ten | 2-10 | 0.17 | 2.26 | -7.17 | 12.66 | 3.88 | -1.88 |
| 110 | North Carolina | ACC | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.96 | -13.73 | 14.93 | 2.01 | -0.01 |
| 111 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.87 | -16.73 | 11.74 | 1.86 | 0.14 |
| 112 | Memphis | Conference USA | 1-10 | 0.09 | 0.21 | -9.36 | 9.75 | 3.32 | -2.32 |
| 113 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 1-10 | 0.09 | 0.05 | -11.64 | 10.98 | 2.27 | -1.27 |
| 114 | UNLV | Mountain West | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.05 | -13.36 | 10.82 | 2.31 | -1.31 |
| 115 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.44 | -21.91 | 15.64 | 0.66 | 0.34 |
| 116 | Utah State | Western Athletic | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.63 | -28.18 | 14.75 | 0.44 | 0.56 |
| 117 | Temple | FBS Independents | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.92 | -30.42 | 13.7 | 0.49 | 0.51 |
| 118 | Florida International | Sun Belt | 0-10 | 0 | -2.23 | -15.4 | 11.43 | 1.01 | -1.01 |
| 119 | Duke | ACC | 0-11 | 0 | -2.49 | -20.55 | 13.42 | 0.97 | -0.97 |