Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:34.152086+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 12-0 | 1 | 25.61 | 25.92 | 11.97 | 11.41 | 0.59 |
| 2 | Boise State | Western Athletic | 12-0 | 1 | 24.87 | 23.83 | 8.67 | 10.8 | 1.2 |
| 3 | USC | Pac-10 | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.73 | 17.18 | 14.75 | 9.44 | 0.56 |
| 4 | Michigan | Big Ten | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.71 | 15.58 | 13.72 | 10.18 | 0.82 |
| 5 | Louisville | Big East | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.7 | 21.55 | 13.62 | 9.66 | 0.34 |
| 6 | Florida | SEC | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.49 | 15.83 | 12.54 | 10.53 | 0.47 |
| 7 | Rutgers | Big East | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.85 | 16 | 10.23 | 9.66 | 0.34 |
| 8 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 11-1 | 0.92 | 22.81 | 18.33 | 8.21 | 10.81 | 0.19 |
| 9 | LSU | SEC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.68 | 20.58 | 12.94 | 10.91 | -0.91 |
| 10 | BYU | Mountain West | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.27 | 21.42 | 10.37 | 10.67 | -0.67 |
| 11 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.25 | 14.08 | 12.08 | 9.8 | 0.2 |
| 12 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.21 | 10 | 12.9 | 8.47 | 1.53 |
| 13 | Auburn | SEC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.2 | 11.5 | 12.6 | 9.68 | 0.32 |
| 14 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.2 | 16.67 | 11.04 | 11.03 | -1.03 |
| 15 | West Virginia | Big East | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.11 | 19.82 | 10.64 | 9.3 | -0.3 |
| 16 | Arkansas | SEC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.96 | 13.42 | 10.1 | 9.62 | 0.38 |
| 17 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.96 | 25.42 | 7.77 | 10.23 | -0.23 |
| 18 | TCU | Mountain West | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.3 | 15.09 | 7.54 | 9.52 | -0.52 |
| 19 | Wake Forest | ACC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.29 | 7.92 | 8.86 | 8.73 | 1.27 |
| 20 | Texas | Big 12 | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.7 | 18.92 | 12.08 | 10.17 | -1.17 |
| 21 | Tennessee | SEC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.46 | 9.83 | 14.2 | 8.7 | 0.3 |
| 22 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.36 | 15.75 | 11.22 | 9.77 | -0.77 |
| 23 | Boston College | ACC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.17 | 11.08 | 11.2 | 9.45 | -0.45 |
| 24 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.09 | 10.83 | 11.31 | 8.99 | 0.01 |
| 25 | California | Pac-10 | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.92 | 12 | 12.58 | 8.25 | -0.25 |
| 26 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.79 | 8.17 | 10.16 | 8.55 | 0.45 |
| 27 | Houston | Conference USA | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.67 | 10.58 | 8.56 | 8.6 | 0.4 |
| 28 | Ohio | Mid-American | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.08 | 5.42 | 7.74 | 7.98 | 1.02 |
| 29 | Navy | FBS Independents | 8-3 | 0.73 | 17.89 | 8.64 | 7.24 | 7.69 | 0.31 |
| 30 | Clemson | ACC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.83 | 18.58 | 11.97 | 10.43 | -2.43 |
| 31 | Missouri | Big 12 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.24 | 11.5 | 10.94 | 9.17 | -1.17 |
| 32 | Penn State | Big Ten | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.05 | 7.75 | 11.41 | 8.77 | -0.77 |
| 33 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.04 | 11.92 | 8.7 | 9.12 | -1.12 |
| 34 | Tulsa | Conference USA | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.97 | 9.17 | 10.13 | 8.54 | -0.54 |
| 35 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.9 | 6.17 | 11.62 | 7.84 | 0.16 |
| 36 | Georgia | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.88 | 7.58 | 10.49 | 8.46 | -0.46 |
| 37 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.71 | 7.42 | 9.41 | 8.3 | -0.3 |
| 38 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.59 | 5.5 | 9.9 | 7.44 | 0.56 |
| 39 | South Florida | Big East | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.56 | 5.17 | 10.02 | 7.76 | 0.24 |
| 40 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.15 | 3.58 | 8.71 | 7.19 | 0.81 |
| 41 | San José State | Western Athletic | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.2 | 3.27 | 6.95 | 6.39 | 0.61 |
| 42 | South Carolina | SEC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.19 | 7.92 | 13.18 | 8.52 | -1.52 |
| 43 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.02 | 7.75 | 11.6 | 7.94 | -0.94 |
| 44 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.82 | 5.67 | 11.27 | 7.4 | -0.4 |
| 45 | Maryland | ACC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 14.8 | -1.42 | 12.24 | 5.55 | 2.45 |
| 46 | Utah | Mountain West | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.77 | 7.75 | 9.12 | 8.18 | -1.18 |
| 47 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.49 | 7.17 | 7.93 | 8.1 | -1.1 |
| 48 | Purdue | Big Ten | 8-5 | 0.62 | 14.43 | 0.54 | 10.12 | 6.65 | 1.35 |
| 49 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.35 | 3.25 | 11.05 | 6.9 | 0.1 |
| 50 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.2 | 4.82 | 13.42 | 6.96 | -0.96 |
| 51 | Cincinnati | Big East | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.16 | 1.33 | 13.61 | 6.48 | 0.52 |
| 52 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.12 | 2.25 | 10.92 | 6.74 | 0.26 |
| 53 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.82 | 1.17 | 10.76 | 6.36 | 0.64 |
| 54 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.58 | 0.92 | 8.97 | 6.28 | 0.72 |
| 55 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 13.56 | 10.17 | 12.85 | 8.29 | -2.29 |
| 56 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 6-6 | 0.5 | 13.26 | 8.92 | 10.89 | 8.23 | -2.23 |
| 57 | Florida State | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 13.22 | 5.83 | 13.37 | 7.82 | -1.82 |
| 58 | Alabama | SEC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.81 | 4.25 | 11.92 | 7.48 | -1.48 |
| 59 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.75 | 3.42 | 12.7 | 6.92 | -0.92 |
| 60 | Miami | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.7 | 4.42 | 11.05 | 7.77 | -1.77 |
| 61 | Iowa | Big Ten | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.62 | 3.58 | 11.06 | 7.14 | -1.14 |
| 62 | Kansas | Big 12 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.49 | 3.5 | 9.4 | 6.91 | -0.91 |
| 63 | Kentucky | SEC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 12.38 | -2.5 | 11.94 | 5.36 | 1.64 |
| 64 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.32 | 1.5 | 12.96 | 6.45 | -0.45 |
| 65 | SMU | Conference USA | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.27 | 2.58 | 9.11 | 6.71 | -0.71 |
| 66 | Rice | Conference USA | 7-5 | 0.58 | 11.87 | -4.83 | 11.72 | 4.87 | 2.13 |
| 67 | Troy | Sun Belt | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.26 | -2.73 | 8.86 | 4.7 | 1.3 |
| 68 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.22 | -2.64 | 8.4 | 4.72 | 1.28 |
| 69 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.04 | -0.5 | 10.56 | 5.84 | 0.16 |
| 70 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.52 | -3 | 12.97 | 4.83 | 1.17 |
| 71 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.39 | -1.67 | 8.94 | 5.5 | 0.5 |
| 72 | Kent State | Mid-American | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.24 | -2.25 | 7.46 | 5.16 | 0.84 |
| 73 | Ball State | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 10 | 1.42 | 8.78 | 6.38 | -1.38 |
| 74 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.43 | -8.92 | 8.35 | 3.01 | 2.99 |
| 75 | Virginia | ACC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.63 | -2.75 | 11.91 | 4.82 | 0.18 |
| 76 | Washington | Pac-10 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.48 | -4.08 | 13.94 | 4.8 | 0.2 |
| 77 | Akron | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.46 | -2.92 | 9.83 | 5.03 | -0.03 |
| 78 | Air Force | Mountain West | 4-7 | 0.36 | 8.39 | 0.09 | 12.03 | 5.52 | -1.52 |
| 79 | Marshall | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.37 | -3.33 | 9.45 | 5.15 | -0.15 |
| 80 | UTEP | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.24 | -3.92 | 9.17 | 5.06 | -0.06 |
| 81 | Toledo | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.06 | -4.25 | 8.7 | 4.83 | 0.17 |
| 82 | Indiana | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.76 | -9.75 | 11.96 | 3.63 | 1.37 |
| 83 | Florida Atlantic | Sun Belt | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.48 | -9.83 | 8.6 | 2.8 | 2.2 |
| 84 | UConn | Big East | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.18 | -3.27 | 12.43 | 4.6 | -0.6 |
| 85 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.81 | -4.55 | 9.36 | 4.05 | -0.05 |
| 86 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.8 | -4.82 | 11.83 | 4.32 | -0.32 |
| 87 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.78 | -1.67 | 11.47 | 5.48 | -1.48 |
| 88 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.48 | -3.25 | 12.86 | 5.14 | -1.14 |
| 89 | Syracuse | Big East | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.04 | -7.17 | 14.15 | 3.68 | 0.32 |
| 90 | Ole Miss | SEC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.86 | -7.25 | 12.21 | 3.47 | 0.53 |
| 91 | Baylor | Big 12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.76 | -9 | 12.35 | 3.81 | 0.19 |
| 92 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.67 | -8.83 | 9.3 | 3.5 | 0.5 |
| 93 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.67 | -9.67 | 11.46 | 3.01 | 0.99 |
| 94 | UCF | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.58 | -9.42 | 10.31 | 3.37 | 0.63 |
| 95 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.5 | -11.92 | 11.09 | 2.86 | 1.14 |
| 96 | Tulane | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.44 | -14.67 | 12.52 | 2.42 | 1.58 |
| 97 | Idaho | Western Athletic | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.17 | -17.83 | 9.57 | 1.84 | 2.16 |
| 98 | New Mexico State | Western Athletic | 3-8 | 0.27 | 5.08 | -2 | 7.9 | 5.07 | -2.07 |
| 99 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 3-8 | 0.27 | 5.07 | -2.18 | 8.81 | 4.84 | -1.84 |
| 100 | NC State | ACC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.45 | -4.33 | 12.67 | 4.46 | -1.46 |
| 101 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.37 | -8.27 | 10.45 | 3.35 | -0.35 |
| 102 | UAB | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.17 | -6 | 10.78 | 4.09 | -1.09 |
| 103 | Mississippi State | SEC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.09 | -7.33 | 12.59 | 3.73 | -0.73 |
| 104 | North Carolina | ACC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.63 | -12.5 | 13 | 2.67 | 0.33 |
| 105 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.62 | -12.5 | 9.73 | 2 | 1 |
| 106 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.23 | -22.75 | 11.65 | 1.54 | 1.46 |
| 107 | Colorado | Big 12 | 2-10 | 0.17 | 2.37 | -5.92 | 11.58 | 3.9 | -1.9 |
| 108 | Illinois | Big Ten | 2-10 | 0.17 | 2.24 | -7.17 | 12.62 | 3.88 | -1.88 |
| 109 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 2-10 | 0.17 | 2.24 | -6.83 | 10.49 | 3.86 | -1.86 |
| 110 | Memphis | Conference USA | 2-10 | 0.17 | 2.13 | -7 | 9.71 | 4.2 | -2.2 |
| 111 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.93 | -15.09 | 11.18 | 1.64 | 0.36 |
| 112 | UNLV | Mountain West | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.77 | -12 | 10.98 | 2.95 | -0.95 |
| 113 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.59 | -17.58 | 12.46 | 2.03 | -0.03 |
| 114 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.25 | -12.92 | 11.29 | 2.09 | -1.09 |
| 115 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.44 | -21.91 | 15.62 | 0.66 | 0.34 |
| 116 | Utah State | Western Athletic | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.85 | -27.67 | 13.92 | 0.57 | 0.43 |
| 117 | Temple | FBS Independents | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.93 | -30.42 | 13.58 | 0.49 | 0.51 |
| 118 | Florida International | Sun Belt | 0-11 | 0 | -2.27 | -16.82 | 10.21 | 0.87 | -0.87 |
| 119 | Duke | ACC | 0-12 | 0 | -2.4 | -18.92 | 12.31 | 1.51 | -1.51 |