Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:34.152527+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 12-0 | 1 | 25.51 | 25.92 | 11.86 | 11.41 | 0.59 |
| 2 | Boise State | Western Athletic | 12-0 | 1 | 24.83 | 23.83 | 8.78 | 10.8 | 1.2 |
| 3 | Louisville | Big East | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.73 | 22.33 | 12.73 | 10.6 | 0.4 |
| 4 | Michigan | Big Ten | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.65 | 15.58 | 13.78 | 10.18 | 0.82 |
| 5 | Florida | SEC | 12-1 | 0.92 | 23.55 | 15.38 | 13.3 | 11.17 | 0.83 |
| 6 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 11-1 | 0.92 | 22.7 | 18.33 | 7.95 | 10.81 | 0.19 |
| 7 | USC | Pac-10 | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.71 | 15.42 | 14.3 | 10.12 | -0.12 |
| 8 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.66 | 14.08 | 12.2 | 10.72 | 0.28 |
| 9 | LSU | SEC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.61 | 20.58 | 12.85 | 10.91 | -0.91 |
| 10 | West Virginia | Big East | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.25 | 18.33 | 11.26 | 9.83 | 0.17 |
| 11 | BYU | Mountain West | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.18 | 21.42 | 10.1 | 10.67 | -0.67 |
| 12 | Rutgers | Big East | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.13 | 14.5 | 11.15 | 10.03 | -0.03 |
| 13 | Auburn | SEC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.12 | 11.5 | 12.48 | 9.68 | 0.32 |
| 14 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.11 | 16.67 | 10.81 | 11.03 | -1.03 |
| 15 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.05 | 10 | 12.69 | 8.47 | 1.53 |
| 16 | Wake Forest | ACC | 11-2 | 0.85 | 20.7 | 7.54 | 9.21 | 9.46 | 1.54 |
| 17 | TCU | Mountain West | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.53 | 15.83 | 7.63 | 10.46 | -0.46 |
| 18 | Hawai'i | Western Athletic | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.7 | 23.23 | 8.65 | 10.82 | -0.82 |
| 19 | Arkansas | SEC | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.62 | 11.62 | 11.42 | 9.9 | 0.1 |
| 20 | Texas | Big 12 | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.58 | 18.92 | 12.04 | 10.17 | -1.17 |
| 21 | Tennessee | SEC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.39 | 9.83 | 14 | 8.7 | 0.3 |
| 22 | Houston | Conference USA | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.21 | 10.85 | 9.49 | 9.38 | 0.62 |
| 23 | California | Pac-10 | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.12 | 11.75 | 11.42 | 8.98 | 0.02 |
| 24 | Boston College | ACC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.02 | 11.08 | 10.96 | 9.45 | -0.45 |
| 25 | Texas A&M | Big 12 | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.02 | 10.83 | 11.1 | 8.99 | 0.01 |
| 26 | Navy | FBS Independents | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.21 | 8.92 | 6.76 | 8.5 | 0.5 |
| 27 | Nebraska | Big 12 | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.96 | 13.46 | 11.79 | 10.22 | -1.22 |
| 28 | Clemson | ACC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.69 | 18.58 | 11.71 | 10.43 | -2.43 |
| 29 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.39 | 7.31 | 10.81 | 9.12 | -0.12 |
| 30 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.36 | 5.92 | 12.15 | 8.36 | 0.64 |
| 31 | Missouri | Big 12 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.24 | 11.5 | 11.1 | 9.17 | -1.17 |
| 32 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.21 | 6.69 | 10.51 | 8.41 | 0.59 |
| 33 | Nevada | Western Athletic | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.99 | 11.92 | 9.09 | 9.12 | -1.12 |
| 34 | Penn State | Big Ten | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.96 | 7.75 | 11.04 | 8.77 | -0.77 |
| 35 | Tulsa | Conference USA | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.96 | 9.17 | 10.19 | 8.54 | -0.54 |
| 36 | Georgia | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.84 | 7.58 | 10.31 | 8.46 | -0.46 |
| 37 | Ohio | Mid-American | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.55 | 3.38 | 8.27 | 7.86 | 1.14 |
| 38 | South Florida | Big East | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.51 | 5.17 | 9.81 | 7.76 | 0.24 |
| 39 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.16 | 3.58 | 8.86 | 7.19 | 0.81 |
| 40 | San José State | Western Athletic | 8-4 | 0.67 | 15.91 | 3.83 | 6.86 | 7.15 | 0.85 |
| 41 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.56 | 5.77 | 10.25 | 8.44 | -0.44 |
| 42 | South Carolina | SEC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.14 | 7.92 | 12.84 | 8.52 | -1.52 |
| 43 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.94 | 7.75 | 11.27 | 7.94 | -0.94 |
| 44 | UCLA | Pac-10 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.89 | 4.75 | 13.95 | 7.63 | -0.63 |
| 45 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.74 | 5.67 | 11.42 | 7.4 | -0.4 |
| 46 | Utah | Mountain West | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.69 | 7.75 | 9.18 | 8.18 | -1.18 |
| 47 | Maryland | ACC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 14.6 | -1.42 | 11.46 | 5.55 | 2.45 |
| 48 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.53 | 7.17 | 8.31 | 8.1 | -1.1 |
| 49 | Purdue | Big Ten | 8-5 | 0.62 | 14.34 | 0.54 | 10.14 | 6.65 | 1.35 |
| 50 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.3 | 3.25 | 10.74 | 6.9 | 0.1 |
| 51 | Cincinnati | Big East | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.1 | 1.33 | 13.18 | 6.48 | 0.52 |
| 52 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.1 | 2.25 | 10.85 | 6.74 | 0.26 |
| 53 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.74 | 1.17 | 10.46 | 6.36 | 0.64 |
| 54 | Middle Tennessee | Sun Belt | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.51 | 0.92 | 9.23 | 6.28 | 0.72 |
| 55 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 13.46 | 10.17 | 12.67 | 8.29 | -2.29 |
| 56 | Pittsburgh | Big East | 6-6 | 0.5 | 13.17 | 8.92 | 10.86 | 8.23 | -2.23 |
| 57 | Florida State | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 13.12 | 5.83 | 13.19 | 7.82 | -1.82 |
| 58 | Alabama | SEC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.79 | 4.25 | 12.07 | 7.48 | -1.48 |
| 59 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.68 | 3.42 | 12.39 | 6.92 | -0.92 |
| 60 | Miami | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.66 | 4.42 | 10.6 | 7.77 | -1.77 |
| 61 | Iowa | Big Ten | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.56 | 3.58 | 10.92 | 7.14 | -1.14 |
| 62 | Kansas | Big 12 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.43 | 3.5 | 9.7 | 6.91 | -0.91 |
| 63 | Kentucky | SEC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 12.34 | -2.5 | 12.4 | 5.36 | 1.64 |
| 64 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.27 | 1.5 | 12.8 | 6.45 | -0.45 |
| 65 | SMU | Conference USA | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.17 | 2.58 | 8.83 | 6.71 | -0.71 |
| 66 | Troy | Sun Belt | 7-5 | 0.58 | 12.14 | -1.42 | 7.81 | 5.54 | 1.46 |
| 67 | Rice | Conference USA | 7-5 | 0.58 | 11.83 | -4.83 | 11.41 | 4.87 | 2.13 |
| 68 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.99 | -0.5 | 10.36 | 5.84 | 0.16 |
| 69 | Arizona | Pac-10 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.44 | -3 | 13.02 | 4.83 | 1.17 |
| 70 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.41 | -1.67 | 8.9 | 5.5 | 0.5 |
| 71 | Kent State | Mid-American | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.16 | -2.25 | 7.6 | 5.16 | 0.84 |
| 72 | Ball State | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 10.06 | 1.42 | 8.75 | 6.38 | -1.38 |
| 73 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.91 | -4 | 8.11 | 4.76 | 1.24 |
| 74 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.38 | -8.92 | 8.62 | 3.01 | 2.99 |
| 75 | Virginia | ACC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.56 | -2.75 | 11.75 | 4.82 | 0.18 |
| 76 | Washington | Pac-10 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.47 | -4.08 | 14.05 | 4.8 | 0.2 |
| 77 | Akron | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.39 | -2.92 | 9.83 | 5.03 | -0.03 |
| 78 | Marshall | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.29 | -3.33 | 9.42 | 5.15 | -0.15 |
| 79 | UTEP | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.18 | -3.92 | 9.36 | 5.06 | -0.06 |
| 80 | Toledo | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.08 | -4.25 | 8.55 | 4.83 | 0.17 |
| 81 | Indiana | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.74 | -9.75 | 12 | 3.63 | 1.37 |
| 82 | Florida Atlantic | Sun Belt | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.51 | -9.83 | 8.53 | 2.8 | 2.2 |
| 83 | New Mexico State | Western Athletic | 4-8 | 0.33 | 7.48 | 0.42 | 7.59 | 6.1 | -2.1 |
| 84 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 4-8 | 0.33 | 7.02 | -0.42 | 8.58 | 5.87 | -1.87 |
| 85 | Air Force | Mountain West | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.8 | -1.92 | 12.6 | 5.44 | -1.44 |
| 86 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.75 | -1.67 | 11.45 | 5.48 | -1.48 |
| 87 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.43 | -3.25 | 12.38 | 5.14 | -1.14 |
| 88 | UConn | Big East | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.16 | -5.58 | 13.17 | 4.39 | -0.39 |
| 89 | Fresno State | Western Athletic | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.12 | -5.25 | 11.87 | 4.57 | -0.57 |
| 90 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6 | -5.08 | 8.84 | 4.18 | -0.18 |
| 91 | Syracuse | Big East | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.98 | -7.17 | 13.94 | 3.68 | 0.32 |
| 92 | Ole Miss | SEC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.89 | -7.25 | 12.2 | 3.47 | 0.53 |
| 93 | Baylor | Big 12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.73 | -9 | 12.02 | 3.81 | 0.19 |
| 94 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.64 | -9.67 | 11.16 | 3.01 | 0.99 |
| 95 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.62 | -8.83 | 9.19 | 3.5 | 0.5 |
| 96 | UCF | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.62 | -9.42 | 10.4 | 3.37 | 0.63 |
| 97 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.49 | -11.92 | 11.14 | 2.86 | 1.14 |
| 98 | Tulane | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.39 | -14.67 | 12.5 | 2.42 | 1.58 |
| 99 | Idaho | Western Athletic | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.14 | -17.83 | 9.84 | 1.84 | 2.16 |
| 100 | NC State | ACC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.4 | -4.33 | 12.14 | 4.46 | -1.46 |
| 101 | UAB | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.15 | -6 | 11.06 | 4.09 | -1.09 |
| 102 | Mississippi State | SEC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.05 | -7.33 | 12.31 | 3.73 | -0.73 |
| 103 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.9 | -8.58 | 10.57 | 3.54 | -0.54 |
| 104 | North Carolina | ACC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.68 | -12.5 | 12.68 | 2.67 | 0.33 |
| 105 | North Texas | Sun Belt | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.59 | -12.5 | 9.7 | 2 | 1 |
| 106 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.54 | -12.92 | 10.92 | 2.13 | 0.87 |
| 107 | Louisiana Tech | Western Athletic | 3-10 | 0.23 | 2.74 | -23.08 | 11.09 | 1.68 | 1.32 |
| 108 | Colorado | Big 12 | 2-10 | 0.17 | 2.35 | -5.92 | 11.54 | 3.9 | -1.9 |
| 109 | Illinois | Big Ten | 2-10 | 0.17 | 2.23 | -7.17 | 12.45 | 3.88 | -1.88 |
| 110 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 2-10 | 0.17 | 2.23 | -6.83 | 10.42 | 3.86 | -1.86 |
| 111 | Memphis | Conference USA | 2-10 | 0.17 | 2.2 | -7 | 9.8 | 4.2 | -2.2 |
| 112 | UNLV | Mountain West | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.83 | -12 | 10.7 | 2.95 | -0.95 |
| 113 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.57 | -17.58 | 12.34 | 2.03 | -0.03 |
| 114 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.26 | -12.92 | 11.71 | 2.09 | -1.09 |
| 115 | Stanford | Pac-10 | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.63 | -20.83 | 15.71 | 0.85 | 0.15 |
| 116 | Utah State | Western Athletic | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.85 | -27.67 | 13.87 | 0.57 | 0.43 |
| 117 | Temple | FBS Independents | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.92 | -30.42 | 13.39 | 0.49 | 0.51 |
| 118 | Florida International | Sun Belt | 0-12 | 0 | -2.25 | -16.5 | 10.35 | 1.02 | -1.02 |
| 119 | Duke | ACC | 0-12 | 0 | -2.38 | -18.92 | 12.09 | 1.51 | -1.51 |